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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 394

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 4:54:42 PM | message detail
Inside information! </Reali>



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

!?enog mur eht si yhW
Janus5000 | Posted 10/17/2006 4:59:25 PM | message detail
Zoidberg > Jack Sparrow
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
wavedash101 | Posted 10/17/2006 5:13:06 PM | message detail
Batman = Auron
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/17/2006 6:06:53 PM | message detail
Tifa is so screwed
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
wavedash101 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:07:47 PM | message detail
loliphuants are comin' Hiko!!!
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
Tai | Posted 10/17/2006 6:22:22 PM | message detail
Peach and Cream > Jill :-)))
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I lost my sig. Can you find it for me? :(
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/17/2006 6:23:14 PM | message detail
I really like how people who took Mario act like they KNEW that Samus was going to get SFF'd to the ground when not even Link himself appeared to do so before. Most Mario supporters were just using the "IT'S FREAKIN' MARIO" argument.

I assure you I never used that argument. I just knew that in the Nintendo hierarchy, Samus was always a little overrated. Case closed.
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
red sox 777 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:23:17 PM | message detail
Cloud > Link > Crono > Sephiroth > Mario > Samus
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"........!" ~Magus
KingBartz | Posted 10/17/2006 6:23:37 PM | message detail
oh, and pics. Lara is almost unrecognizable, and Aeris looks completely stoned. CHUN-LI FTW.

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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 36/38 Today's pick: Jill Valentine
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/17/2006 6:23:39 PM | message detail
loliphuants are comin' Hiko!!!

OH NOES!!
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/17/2006 6:23:41 PM | message detail
Gah, Jill stop nickel and diming her and get it over with. :(
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
Terran | Posted 10/17/2006 6:24:10 PM | message detail
Jill needs to gain about 8 and a half votes per update from here on in to win. I'm stating the obvious but this'll probably be one of the closest votes there's ever been...

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Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo merge to create...Microtendony!
"When the president does it, that means it is not illegal." - Richard Nixon
Who Cares? | Posted 10/17/2006 6:24:26 PM | message detail
Heh, Jill is making small gains, yet she's meeting the necessary 8-9 vote quota.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go!
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/17/2006 6:24:35 PM | message detail
tag


KB
jonthomson | Posted 10/17/2006 6:24:40 PM | message detail
I really like how people who took Mario act like they KNEW that Samus was going to get SFF'd to the ground

It was fairly obvious and I can't believe the number of people that took Samus in that one.
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Jon Thomson - Z1mZum pwned me good and proper.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 6:24:46 PM | message detail
Jill is starting to do what she needs to in order to make this match wire-to -wire and finish in her favour. I have a feeling that we may not know the victor of this match until the very last update.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
therealmnm | Posted 10/17/2006 6:24:58 PM | message detail
Unexpected 500 post? As many times as I've TRIED to get it before...
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/17/2006 6:25:04 PM | message detail
Heh, Jill is making small gains, yet she's meeting the necessary 8-9 vote quota.

That makes it all the more excruciating.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:25:11 PM | message detail
For reference, since this match is obviously going to end up on this list:

All Time Closest Matches By Vote Difference

01. 0007 - (6) Frog vs (3) Master Chief (2004 Characters Round 2)
02. 0027 - (3) Ryu Hayabusa vs (14) Jill Valentine (2004 Characters Round 1)
03. 0034 - (5) Samus Aran vs (1) Sonic the Hedgehog (2002 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
04. 0038 - (4) Metal Gear Solid vs (5) Final Fantasy Tactics (2004 Games Round 2)
05. 0093 - (6) Frog vs (11) Liquid Snake (2004 Characters Round 1)
06. 0115 - (1) Mario vs (5) Crono (2002 Characters Semifinal)
07. 0137 - (1) Mario vs (4) Crono (2003 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
08. 0143 - (6) Donkey Kong vs (11) Duck Hunt (2004 Games Round 1)
09. 0171 - (16) StarCraft vs (5) The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker (2004 Games Sweet Sixteen)
10. 0277 - (1) Mario vs (2) Cloud Strife (2002 Characters)
11. 0362 - (1) Chrono Trigger vs (6) The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past (2004 Games Quarterfinal)
12. 0373 - (16) StarCraft vs (1) Halo (2004 Games Round 1)
13. 0534 - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (16) StarCraft (2004 Games Quarterfinal)
14. 0650 - (13) Magus vs (12) Ganondorf (2003 Characters Round 2)
15. 0742 - (1) Mega Man vs (1) Sonic the Hedgehog (2005 Characters Quarterfinal)
16. 0968 - (3) Tommy Vercetti vs (6) Donkey Kong (2003 Characters Round 2)
17. 0987 - (7) Sephiroth vs (6) Mega Man (2002 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
18. 1088 - (9) Kingdom Hearts vs (8) Soul Calibur (2004 Games Round 1)
19. 1116 - (5) WarCraft vs (4) Grand Theft Auto (2006 Series Round 1)
20. 1149 - (5) Vincent Valentine vs (2) Squall Leonhart (2005 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
21. 1196 - (1) Solid Snake vs (3) Bowser (2005 Characters Quarterfinal)
22. 1320 - (4) Donkey Kong vs (12) Aya Brea (2002 Characters Round 2)
23. 1545 - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (3) Final Fantasy X (2004 Games Sweet Sixteen)
24. 1546 - (8) Tidus vs (9) Shadow the Hedgehog (2004 Characters Round 1)
25. 1568 - (1) Master Chief vs (4) Donkey Kong (2005 Characters Round 2)

2002 Characters - 5
2003 Characters - 3
2004 Games - 8
2004 Characters - 4
2005 Villains - 0
2005 Characters - 4
2006 Series - 1
2006 Characters - 0
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 6:25:21 PM | message detail
if Jill ripped like 40 votes off this lead in one update, the board would go nuts. we haven't seen a down-to-the-wire match in... two years?
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 6:25:43 PM | message detail
This is nowhere near Mario/Samus, and for you to replace it with this would diminish what Mario/Samus truly was. Samus was the overwhelming favorite on the board. Peach is the overwhelming favorite here. Mario/Samus wasn't even close. This match is going down to the wire.

There's no comparison, and this is coming from someone who had Mario and thought Peach would take this match with ease.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/17/2006 6:25:45 PM | message detail
What the HELL is going on? Every time I leave my PC things take a turn for the worse for Peach... that's it goddamit, I'm staying until the end of the match. This seriously has the potential to beat MC/Frog, not that I realistically think it's gonna happen, but it has a shot. If Peach doesn't get her ass to stall some more, or make small increases, I fear Jill will only be getting stronger as time progresses.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/17/2006 6:25:58 PM | message detail
Oh, my. This...is quite...something.
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caps
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 6:26:32 PM | message detail
if Jill ripped like 40 votes off this lead in one update, the board would go nuts. we haven't seen a down-to-the-wire match in... two years?

Jill doesn't have to do anything drastic like that if she keeps winning updates by more then 8 votes. Then again, there's a good chance peach will win a few more updates herself, so it might be in order.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Nyah | Posted 10/17/2006 6:26:35 PM | message detail
Off to b.net to rally!



Jk, that probably would work against me.
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"If truly there is evil in this world it lurks in the hearts of man" -- Edward D. Morrison
TanzaGamesCo | Posted 10/17/2006 6:26:44 PM | message detail
Hahah Yes!
Peach has taken the lead.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2006 6:26:58 PM | message detail
Woah, how is this match "HAW HAW STATS TOPIX LOL U"? Most of the people here took Peach to win this.

And yeah, many also said that Peach wouldn't end up at DK level. Some said fodder, but I'm pretty sure the consensus was low 20's on BL, which is right where she is looking to land.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)
therealmnm | Posted 10/17/2006 6:27:29 PM | message detail
It was fairly obvious and I can't believe the number of people that took Samus in that one.

Yeah, Mario supporters talk a confident game now. I saw nobody calling for a Mario blowout before the match.
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
red sox 777 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:27:40 PM | message detail
Come on Jill... 264 more.
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"........!" ~Magus
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 6:28:26 PM | message detail
dammit jill!
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xyzzy
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/17/2006 6:28:43 PM | message detail
Phew, only 4 this time.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:28:53 PM | message detail
dun dun dun
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CB5 Points: 35/38, Current Oracle placement: 30/163
Now playing: Okami
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/17/2006 6:29:20 PM | message detail
Yeah, Mario supporters talk a confident game now. I saw nobody calling for a Mario blowout before the match.

So true. There were literally no Mario supporters that were fully confident in him beating Samus as far as my memory goes back. There may have been, but you certainly weren't as vocal as you just started being in the last 15 minutes. Mario/Samus wasn't obvious, just stop. This match is nowhere in the LEAGUE of that match. Peach was the favorite and if she loses it's going to be by minimal amounts. Just stop, seriously.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 6:29:35 PM | message detail
Yeah, Mario supporters talk a confident game now. I saw nobody calling for a Mario blowout before the match.

Indeed. Ulti's prediction was, what, 53% for Mario?

I will say that while filling out my bracket however, I spent more time deliberating on Samus/Ganondorf than Mario/Samus. Sure, that has to do with my constant G-dorf overestimation. But I never gave that match a second thought.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Just Some Person | Posted 10/17/2006 6:29:44 PM | message detail
Has TheRock 'high grounded' this match yet?

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If you hate Final Fantasy Mystic Quest, then you no longer exist to me. >_>
jonthomson | Posted 10/17/2006 6:29:44 PM | message detail
Well, not a blowout of the extent that actually happened, but I couldn't honestly see Samus managing 45% before the match. Still, it's nitpicking I guess.
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Jon Thomson - Z1mZum pwned me good and proper.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/17/2006 6:30:46 PM | message detail
This Mario/Samus crap is pretty lame and way too damn subjective for its own good. Lets just focus on this match and how it is a totally seperate entity, shall we? >_>
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/17/2006 6:30:46 PM | message detail
We totally need to get an AIM chat going for CS&D. (EC only has 21 more posts! :( )

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:31:12 PM | message detail
Make one, then !!
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CB5 Points: 35/38, Current Oracle placement: 30/163
Now playing: Okami
Tai | Posted 10/17/2006 6:31:33 PM | message detail
Go Peach! Hang in there, girl! :-))
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I lost my sig. Can you find it for me? :(
Mikey Lenetia | Posted 10/17/2006 6:31:52 PM | message detail
Go Peach and the two... vote... gain...

Dangit, get more, please!
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Aerith: Who would you go for? Marth, Roy, or Link? If you had to choose.
Peach: Link. I'd sooner slap the other two around. Literally.
NClark128 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:31:58 PM | message detail
And Peach just gained two votes last update. It doesn't sound like much, but stalls like that will make it hard for Jill to come back.
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Oklahoma State Cowboys: 4-2 - back in my good graces with a 42-32 win over Kansas
Next: vs. Texas A&M (HOMECOMING, 9/21)
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/17/2006 6:32:36 PM | message detail
Theres still two and a half hours to go here. Jill needs time to rest and get some herbs!
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 6:32:44 PM | message detail
http://oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=57

totally obvious!
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 6:33:10 PM | message detail
Jill's liable to gain more and more the closer this match gets to the end. I still expect Peach to throw in the occasional stall though, so it really is a tossup here.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 6:33:25 PM | message detail
Peach by 2! WOO
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xyzzy
Draco1214 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:34:11 PM | message detail
If Jill wins, that "Jill Sandwich" line will become eerily appropriate.
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Character Battle V Score - 35/38 points
Current Prediction - Jill Valentine vs. Princess Peach
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 6:34:19 PM | message detail
I actually didn't highlight the 7 at the end of that link tranny, so it ended up linking me to Samus/Yuri XD
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Phediuk | Posted 10/17/2006 6:34:42 PM | message detail
Yaaaaay, a real nailbiter.
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/17/2006 6:34:45 PM | message detail
http://oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SC2k5&type=match&match=57

totally obvious!


Lopen is obviously a genius with incredible foresight and predicting ability!
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!