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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 393

Sir Auron | Posted 10/17/2006 2:04:52 PM | message detail
It seems like the worst thing for Jill is over now.

Until the West coast lets out of school.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 2:05:22 PM | message detail
I doubt there's any cheating going on, both characters seems to gain on expected times IMO.
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Supporter of Ryu.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:05:41 PM | message detail
Peach is down to needing gains of less than 8 votes per update to win. And I don't know why I keep reporting this calculation, because at the rate of her gains right now, it really means nothing.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 2:05:43 PM | message detail
You mean mountain time. West coast is over the next hour and a half or so.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 2:06:19 PM | message detail
From Zylo the wolf Posted 10/17/2006 5:05:22 PM #152
I doubt there's any cheating going on, both characters seems to gain on expected times IMO.

Did you loan away your account or something?

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
Sir Auron | Posted 10/17/2006 2:07:05 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Sir Auron | Posted 10/17/2006 2:07:09 PM | message detail
You mean mountain time. West coast is over the next hour and a half or so.

...Huh? He said the worst was over and I was just mentioning that there's going to be another Peach wave once the West coast lets out. It's only about 2:00 here right now.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/17/2006 2:08:08 PM | message detail
Mountain timezone is weak. Not nearly the number of people on the Pacific Time Zone. To make things even less fair, Arizona doesn't believe in DST, so we're on Pacific time until the 28th.
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Layzerbeam | Posted 10/17/2006 2:08:18 PM | message detail
Peach just gained 33 from the previous update. There's clearly cheating going on.

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ZAP!
It really isn't as bad as most people make it out to be. I hardly bled, and the pain wasn't bad after the first day. - Kleenex
Mikey Lenetia | Posted 10/17/2006 2:08:47 PM | message detail
Lesse... Peach is slowing, but still taking away chunks of the lead at a time.

Jill is currently leading by 621.
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Aerith: Who would you go for? Marth, Roy, or Link? If you had to choose.
Peach: Link. I'd sooner slap the other two around. Literally.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 2:09:13 PM | message detail
*walks back into CSaD*

"CHEATING CHEATING CHEATING CHEATING CHEATING"

*walks back out*
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 2:11:50 PM | message detail
Tag for morning although this will probably be 500 and locked by then.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:13:19 PM | message detail
Another small gain, but still a gain nonetheless.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 2:14:34 PM | message detail
Jill is doing a ok right now. She just needs to hope for that west kiddies likes her enough to make her gain a few +20 updates on Peach.

I'm mean, wouldn't the wild wild west kids like a girl who has guns more than a girl who has a frying pan?
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Supporter of Ryu.
King Bowser | Posted 10/17/2006 2:15:22 PM | message detail
I'm mean, wouldn't the wild wild west kids like a girl who has guns more than a girl who has a frying pan?

Guess where Nintendo is located? West Coast!

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/17/2006 2:15:26 PM | message detail
So Peach has cut the lead by over 700 in the last two hours? Am I seeing that right?
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:16:27 PM | message detail
Since Jill peaked with a 1427 vote lead, Peach has gotten 52.68% of the vote.

7202 votes for Jill, 8019 for Peach.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Mikey Lenetia | Posted 10/17/2006 2:16:41 PM | message detail
Yep.

Lead update: Jill, 612
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Aerith: Who would you go for? Marth, Roy, or Link? If you had to choose.
Peach: Link. I'd sooner slap the other two around. Literally.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/17/2006 2:16:54 PM | message detail
Over 800. I'm impressed.
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 2:17:21 PM | message detail
Nice Jill!

Did they finally fix the update thing?
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Supporter of Ryu.
King Bowser | Posted 10/17/2006 2:17:22 PM | message detail
I think CJayC fixed the poll updates or something. The updater caught a tiny update of 23 - 21 Jill.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
NewLib | Posted 10/17/2006 2:17:35 PM | message detail
Funny thing is, that Kairi had a 1400 vote advantage over the same time spread.

Im going to safe say that Peach wins by about 1000 votes.
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--NL--
Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:18:24 PM | message detail
What the ****.....41 total votes that update?!

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
CaptainFlufflez | Posted 10/17/2006 2:18:33 PM | message detail
exciting matches sure are fun. regardless of who wins, this has been a very good match. very interested in seeing the %s afterwards.

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All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.
King Bowser | Posted 10/17/2006 2:18:44 PM | message detail
...Peach brings the lead down to 544. Awkward update times...

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/17/2006 2:18:44 PM | message detail
Well, I have to leave. I'll get back just in time to see the board vote on the next match, no doubt.
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:20:09 PM | message detail
Weird.....

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 2:20:32 PM | message detail
I'll be shocked if Peach doesn't have over 65-70% of the brackets here. Jill might have actually had the edge if she'd got the board/bracket vote.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2006 2:22:37 PM | message detail
I don't think Peach will have THAT much bracket support. Jill's pretty good casual bait as well. I'd guess low 60's for Peach.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/17/2006 2:22:50 PM | message detail
I'll be shocked if Peach doesn't have over 65-70% of the brackets here. Jill might have actually had the edge if she'd got the board/bracket vote.

Meh, she only had 92% against Daisy, which is hardly impressive. Jill was actually the favorite over Hayabusa, despite the 14-seed, so I think she'll do quite well as a three seed. Peach won't be any more favored than Ganon was over Vincent, at the most.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 2:23:21 PM | message detail
Ah it's starting again. Why is the gaming taste of Europeans and Americans so different?
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Supporter of Ryu.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:23:24 PM | message detail
46 vote gain. I have no idea what is going on with the updater right now.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Redtooth | Posted 10/17/2006 2:24:02 PM | message detail
I have to admit I had no realy idea coming into this. No one debated it heavily, just dissmissed the opposition as fodder and left it at that. I took Peach, more on gut then any real idea. To show how 'strongly' I felt, I gave the match to Jill in the oracle. I hate when I split my choice like that though, especially when I don't notice, then I auto-lose at least somewhere =(

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
nevergleam | Posted 10/17/2006 2:24:03 PM | message detail
I just got home from class. Did I walk into the March of the Kiddies or something? That was a quick 1000 vote comeback.

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Someday 2D games will come back in style....
I'm just deluding myself, aren't I?
Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2006 2:26:13 PM | message detail
Jill/Peach got a ton of pre-Contest discussion, but it really died down once the Contest started.

Or maybe i just can't remember much between all of the "zzzzzzz female bracket zZZzZZzz"
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)
shadow8021 | Posted 10/17/2006 2:26:57 PM | message detail
OMG just got back from voice lesson. Below 500...

lol comeback
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Character Battle Score: 36/38
Today's Pick: Princess Peach
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:28:26 PM | message detail
35 vote gain there.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/17/2006 2:30:33 PM | message detail
Jill isn't even putting up much of a fight anymore. Looks like Peach has this. Ridiculous.

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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 2:30:51 PM | message detail
...the poll's update times have been sporadic as hell.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 2:33:36 PM | message detail
Mymath could fail, but didn't Jill just win that update?
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Supporter of Ryu.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:33:53 PM | message detail
Still too early for me to confidently call anything yet. Only a 2 vote gain there.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 2:35:38 PM | message detail
This is the stalling that Jill needed to be doing consistently two hours ago. Peach winning seems like a foregone conclusion at this point.

(ergo, maybe you guys should stop posting every single update in here)
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 2:35:40 PM | message detail
From Zylo the wolf Posted 10/17/2006 5:33:36 PM #190
Mymath could fail, but didn't Jill just win that update?

My bigger question right now is when the updates are coming. This 2/3/5 mix is kind of silly.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/17/2006 2:35:54 PM | message detail
461
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Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 2:36:48 PM | message detail
I think the next one will come 7.40. Oh crazy updater.
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Supporter of Ryu.
WarThaNemesis | Posted 10/17/2006 2:38:19 PM | message detail
Is that 435? O_o

Fuzzy math 4 me!
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War13104 had something weak beating something strong and he looks smarter than you or something - TessaTestarossa
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 2:38:30 PM | message detail
Gain of 26, good enough for me.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 2:40:51 PM | message detail
From Zylo the wolf Posted 10/17/2006 5:36:48 PM #195
I think the next one will come 7.40. Oh crazy updater.

Off by TWO minutes.

WTF @ this.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 2:41:24 PM | message detail
The updater is obviously stuffing for Peach
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2006 2:42:11 PM | message detail
darn you updater
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)