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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 392

dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 11:28:12 AM | message detail
In other words this match is still up in the air and will be for a while.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 10/17/2006 11:28:20 AM | message detail
The zombies woke up.
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~FFDragon (at work !!)
FFDragoon, now with the blood of the mods stained to his armor and dripping from his lance.
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 11:28:30 AM | message detail
The main difference between Jill and Claire is that Peach is still getting curb stomped right now before the after school vote, whereas Kairi was stalling. Well, aside from the lead and KH after school vote > SMB.

I'm thinking Jill could have this, now.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 11:28:54 AM | message detail
Assuming she's behind by 1500 votes and the vote swing starts at 3:00 eastern... just under 14 votes an update.

I'd say that's possible, but difficult.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 36/38 Today: Peach
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 11:30:38 AM | message detail
I really wish people would stop comparing this to kairi/claire... we have absolutely zero read on peachs vote patterns. None. She could fall behind further with the after school vote or just as easily come back to win with ease.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 11:31:15 AM | message detail
Yeah, but we do have a read on Jill's vote patterns, and she SUCKED against Sheena.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 36/38 Today: Peach
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 11:31:16 AM | message detail
Hey, you know what this match reminds me of? Kairi/Claire
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BDawg | Posted 10/17/2006 11:31:31 AM | message detail
The only ones I would say were locks were Samus, Tifa, and Zelda. Aeris, Yuna and Rikku would've been probable, their main weakness is FF's large cast, so they run out of noms. I don't totally believe in Kairi but she could've been a low seed. Peach just comes off as someone a lot of people know but almost nobody would put in their top 10.
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Should I start running now?
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 11:31:42 AM | message detail
I'd say that's possible, but difficult.

It really depends how much the vote patterns work for each character at this point at time.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/17/2006 11:32:12 AM | message detail
Hey, you know what this match reminds me of? Kairi/Claire

You know what it reminds me of? KHF not existing!

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I love bananas.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 11:32:52 AM | message detail
Yeah, but we do have a read on Jill's vote patterns, and she SUCKED against Sheena.

I never said she didn't, but peach could go either way with it. She might have a good night vote for all we know.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 11:33:25 AM | message detail
From: The n00b Avenger | Posted: 10/17/2006 9:15:41 AM | Message Detail | #326
Peach's morning vote has actually about tied Kairi's in terms of overall percent too.

Peach's % from 6:30 to 9:00: 51.18%

Kairi's % from 6:30 to 9:00: 51.67%

Final projection of Jill's lead before after school starts: 1350+ votes


Heh, nice one n00b!
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Take off every sig.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 11:33:54 AM | message detail
*throws a turnip at KH's head*
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 11:33:56 AM | message detail
Peach is more like DK than anyone else so far, and we've seen how much he enjoys after school voting.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
BDawg | Posted 10/17/2006 11:34:13 AM | message detail
Well Master Chief took a long time to get off his ass and he is the "king of day vote". I guess I'll officially say I don't think Peach has the win in her so I can look dumb when she wins anyway.
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Should I start running now?
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:34:18 AM | message detail
lol. Too bad it was a total coincidence X_X
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 11:34:45 AM | message detail
ToS is the day vote RPG, anyway. All matches it's been in it has made up/gained ground with the day vote. I still say the RE day vote being so bad idea is unfounded.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
eclipsedv1 | Posted 10/17/2006 11:35:03 AM | message detail
Did you take Jill or Peach, Ulti?
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Currently Playing: Tales of the Abyss, Disgaea 2
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 11:35:18 AM | message detail
Peach is more like DK than anyone else so far, and we've seen how much he enjoys after school voting.

What are you basing this on? 0_o
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/17/2006 11:35:20 AM | message detail
You know what else is unfounded? Jill winning with a near doubling. >_>

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I love bananas.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:36:35 AM | message detail
You know what else is unfounded? My car keys.

Seriously, I can't find them
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Sir Auron | Posted 10/17/2006 11:36:55 AM | message detail
What are you basing this on?

He's been trying to make that comparison from the beginning.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/17/2006 11:36:59 AM | message detail
You know what else is unfounded? My car keys.

Seriously, I can't find them


...

XD
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 11:37:20 AM | message detail
Jill winning with a near doubling had logic behind it. The logic was totally wrong, but Peach was an unknown. I have no regrets!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Sir Auron | Posted 10/17/2006 11:37:51 AM | message detail
Jill winning with a near doubling had logic behind it.

I laughed!

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/17/2006 11:38:38 AM | message detail
I wet myself a little!

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I love bananas.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/17/2006 11:38:51 AM | message detail
I have class now... I fully expect this board to be in ruins regardless of the result when I get out around 6.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 11:39:26 AM | message detail
Against Wario adjusted through Shadow 2k4, Jill gets like 62%. There are arguments that could be made for Wario being more popular than Peach.

I'm not saying it wasn't wrong... but there's surely logic in there!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Draco1214 | Posted 10/17/2006 11:39:34 AM | message detail
Looks like I might be finally getting a huge board upset right for once (Vincent > Ganon does not count since the board was split for that match).
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Character Battle V Score - 35/38 points
Current Prediction - Jill Valentine vs. Princess Peach
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:40:00 AM | message detail
Peach is going the wrong direction
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
NewLib | Posted 10/17/2006 11:40:12 AM | message detail
You know whats sad. If Jill wins, that means the 2nd strongest RE character made it to Round 3, a character rivals Wesker in weakness made it to Round 2, but Leon, by far the strongest RE character, gets a horrible draw and loses in Round 1.

Leon ;_;
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--NL--
Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:40:18 AM | message detail
Or, the right direction. Whichever you prefer
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 11:40:30 AM | message detail
Against Wario adjusted through Shadow 2k4, Jill gets like 62%.

Using her 2k4 value, it's more like 57%. And I'd expect Wario to be significantly stronger now than in 2k3.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 11:42:50 AM | message detail
So... how bout that after school vote?
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Take off every sig.
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 11:43:03 AM | message detail
Well whatever... tack Peach as a % or two lower than Wario and boom, 63%!

... so... how bout that after school vote?
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 11:43:30 AM | message detail
What are you basing this on? 0_o

*sees her suck up the morning vote*

*sees her doing nothing with the day vote*

Yep, sounds like what DK would do.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 11:43:34 AM | message detail
Damn it, Xuxon!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:43:36 AM | message detail
Was that a coincidence or are you just a really fast typer?
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 11:44:06 AM | message detail
It's not 3:00 yet, though I do have to say Jill's continuing to impress me here. I thought Peach would be stalling much more effectively, but she continues to give ground.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 11:47:07 AM | message detail
So now Peach can and % but Jill still increases the lead.
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Supporter of Ryu.
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 10/17/2006 11:47:42 AM | message detail
Even if Jill somehow loses, I like matches like this because people love eating their own feet:

From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/16/2006 6:11:15 PM | Message Detail
This'll be funny. Jill won't even get within 20%.

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~FFDragon (at work !!)
FFDragoon, now with the blood of the mods stained to his armor and dripping from his lance.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 11:47:57 AM | message detail
*win* not and.
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Supporter of Ryu.
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 11:49:22 AM | message detail
Well, Jill didn't really collapse against Sheana until like 6pm, and any hope for Peach's day vote came from Jill's sucking with it to begin with.
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Take off every sig.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 11:49:50 AM | message detail
Even if Jill somehow loses, I like matches like this because people love eating their own feet:

From: AmazingKirby | Posted: 10/16/2006 6:11:15 PM | Message Detail
This'll be funny. Jill won't even get within 20%.


It's partystar. I'm nearly convinced he's a self-parody
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:50:51 AM | message detail
Wait... what just happened. I think the poll updated at a weird time O_o
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
CaptainFlufflez | Posted 10/17/2006 11:52:00 AM | message detail
1404
1407
1404

uh oh
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All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 11:52:09 AM | message detail
Peach won an update...BY THREE VOTES.

YOU NEED TO DO MORE!
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AC2K6 Score: 36/38 Today: Peach
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:52:36 AM | message detail
Oh, the poll is updating at 02 and 07 now for some reason.

Hope it doesn't mess up the updater
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/17/2006 11:52:49 AM | message detail
The poll has been screwy all day. Updating at like :-3 or :-8. And I'm not talking about creatives. How hilarious would it be if everything got delayed a day and we had the match over again? Not that I think it's gonna happen.

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I love bananas.
NClark128 | Posted 10/17/2006 11:52:53 AM | message detail
This looks kinda like what Kairi was doing shortly before the big surge began...
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Oklahoma State Cowboys: 4-2 - back in my good graces with a 42-32 win over Kansas
Next: vs. Texas A&M (HOMECOMING, 9/21)