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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 392

Guess how many teens | Posted 10/17/2006 10:17:07 AM | message detail
It's over I guess
**** my bracket
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I got owned Z1mZum, the BSE Guru Champion!
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 10:18:23 AM | message detail
Peach's vote decline could be down to school dinner times. I know that the school I attended had computers that anybody could use in their free time. With the way american timezones are, that covers what, 3 hours? Peach's vote declines could simply be down to the fact that the last timezone has gone back to classes and Peaches totals shouldn't go back up now until school is out.

It's pretty farfetched but could be true.

I personally don't feel that there has been any stuffing in this match.
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 10:19:00 AM | message detail
And what? Jill voters don't eat?
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:20:15 AM | message detail
^We are zombies, we eat 24 hours a day.
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Supporter of Ryu.
Mikey Lenetia | Posted 10/17/2006 10:20:41 AM | message detail
Sounds about right. :p

Kidding. I'm impressed by how Jill is doing so far. I don't think it'll hold up very well when the schools let out, though...
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Aerith: Who would you go for? Marth, Roy, or Link? If you had to choose.
Peach: Link. I'd sooner slap the other two around. Literally.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:20:50 AM | message detail
Jill is not only gaining, she totally destroing Peach right now.
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Supporter of Ryu.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:22:09 AM | message detail
Jill is gaining big time right now. If she keeps this up, Peach would need an after school vote like MC's to beat her.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:22:38 AM | message detail
60 vote gain? Sexy!
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 10:23:25 AM | message detail
I never said that. If you look at Jill's vote totals, they've also fallen, just not as much. Peach would benefit more than Jill from all the kiddies being at computers.

Like I said, it's only me hazarding a guess but would roughly explain the change in vote patterns.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/17/2006 10:23:43 AM | message detail
School better hurry the **** up and get out, these jumps are getting out of hand. So much for keeping it close. It must be all the college kids waking up.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 10:24:51 AM | message detail
Until Jill takes the after school vote too.

MWAHAHAHA
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:25:29 AM | message detail
Bad update for Peach there.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:28:57 AM | message detail
Peach still has a shot here. In about an hour the updates should do a 180 (hopefully)
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CB5 Points: 35/38, Current Oracle placement: 30/163
Now playing: Okami
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:29:42 AM | message detail
I hope this match pulls a Castlevania/Halo and the huge swing people are guaranteeing never comes.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
lettuce Kefka | Posted 10/17/2006 10:30:46 AM | message detail
I'm not sure what to make of this match anymore. >_<
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:30:57 AM | message detail
WOW Jill.
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Supporter of Ryu.
H__RR____H | Posted 10/17/2006 10:31:11 AM | message detail
Claire took the lead from Kairi and built it up some around this time-period, didn't she?

There's no doubt in my mind Peach cuts down on the votes when school goes out. I just hope she's no DK or Bowser with the day-vote.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 10:32:05 AM | message detail
59%. There should be a law against kicking that much ass
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:32:11 AM | message detail
Halo's a completely different beast. A beast of SUCK, apparently.

Nintendo/SSBM characters have it in them to make the swing happen.
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CB5 Points: 35/38, Current Oracle placement: 30/163
Now playing: Okami
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:32:36 AM | message detail
Hey! The updater caught up!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 10:33:40 AM | message detail
Peach will cut it down on the after school vote but whether she'll cut it down 1000+ votes is a different matter. By the time the kids get home it'll be short of a 1500 vote deficit. It's a big ask and it'll become obvious fairly early on whether she has a chance of doing it or not.
H__RR____H | Posted 10/17/2006 10:34:26 AM | message detail
How big of a swing did Hayabusa make?
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 10:35:33 AM | message detail
Jesus, now a 1100 vote lead. That was quite literally 140 vote lead gain in 10 minutes
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:35:41 AM | message detail
1100 now. Way to go Jill, you just ruined a close match!

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Supporter of Ryu.
lettuce Kefka | Posted 10/17/2006 10:36:04 AM | message detail
From H__RR____H | Posted 10/17/2006 6:34:26 PM | #122
How big of a swing did Hayabusa make?


I get 900down to 400up (ish)
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 10:38:11 AM | message detail
man, what a weird match. looks like Peach has a worse day vote than DK. I'm not that amazed, but I didn't expect friggin' Jill to be able to win the day vote against anyone.
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xyzzy
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:38:13 AM | message detail
The difference is that Hayabusa started his swing about 3-4 hours ago.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:38:32 AM | message detail
That's it Jill! Don't look back!
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
Samurai7 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:39:53 AM | message detail
The difference is that Hayabusa started his swing about 3-4 hours ago.

Was it a school day? Also higher votals make higher vote swings possible.
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
TheSwizzle | Posted 10/17/2006 10:40:32 AM | message detail
*wakes up*

Heaven's ta Mergatroid! Please don't let there be some serious stuffing going on for Jill in this match...
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"If at first you don't succeed, find out if the loser gets anything."
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:42:53 AM | message detail
Sure, they make higher vote swings possible, but don't expect too much.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 10:44:03 AM | message detail
I really don't trust a voting spike that huge.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 36/38 Today: Peach
Samurai7 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:44:04 AM | message detail
I think anything under 1500 is quite possible.
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 10:44:25 AM | message detail
Ryu H is a poor comparison to this match. Half of the schools were still out of session
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:44:37 AM | message detail
actually, Ryu Hayabusa had the lead now.

And Jill's highest lead on him was around 400.

Of course the whole Jill VS Ryu Hayabbusa match is fishy because it was one of the few polls that got a repoll.
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Supporter of Ryu.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 10:49:47 AM | message detail
Hmm...wow, I did *not* expect Jill to be up by this much, or really up at all by this time. Sucks for my bracket, but this is awesome stuff here.

Of course, we still have "lol day vote" and "lol Smurf" in the wings...I really don't see her pulling this off, but it's okay.

Also, if you believe Jill is still at her 2k4 value (and wasn't underrated), Wario is probably stronger than Jill at this point. Putting him at Vyse 2k3's level (which is what you get when you adjust through Shadow 2k4), and adding in a comfortable Nintendo boost, he'd end up beating Jill more than Peach is going to. And even if that's not enough, he'll surely be ahead once SSBB comes out.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:50:52 AM | message detail
he'd end up beating Jill more than Peach is going to.

Excuse me?
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 10:51:54 AM | message detail
Okay, okay, forgive me for still acting like the match is a foregone conclusion. I'm rooting hardcore for Jill to pull this off, y'know, it's just that I still think Peach is going to get this in the end.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
CaptainFlufflez | Posted 10/17/2006 10:55:50 AM | message detail
i really really hate this match right now. i'm a huge huge huge resident evil fan and i feel stupid for overlooking jill in this match. i really wish i would've picked her so that i can whole heartidly root for her, but being only 2 points down and having peach, i know how huge it would be to get this one right. /sigh
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All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:56:07 AM | message detail
...I wish people didn't act like 1200 vote swings were normal occurrences.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 10:57:18 AM | message detail
Yeah, Peach still has a very legitimate chance here. I really don't think this match will finish at over 1000 votes between the two, whatever happens.

Oh, and if there was absolutely no vote stuffing before, that MASSIVE Jill spike from 1031 to 1100 definitely was, IMO. Then again, I've never bothered to look for vote stuffing before (people have done it for me >_>).
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 36/38 Today: Peach
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:57:47 AM | message detail
Today on my way to college, I swung 1200 votes!
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I'm Shadow... the Hedgehog. I was created to bring justice to the humans. I'm going to destroy this damn planet! This is WHO I AM!'
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 10:58:27 AM | message detail
i really really hate this match right now. i'm a huge huge huge resident evil fan and i feel stupid for overlooking jill in this match. i really wish i would've picked her so that i can whole heartidly root for her, but being only 2 points down and having peach, i know how huge it would be to get this one right. /sigh

I'm pretty much in your vote exactly. It's very similar to Claire/Kairi - I really don't know who to vote for.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 36/38 Today: Peach
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 10:58:51 AM | message detail
It's not a 'normal' occurance...but I think it'll happen here. I'm just not too worried. Sort of like during MC/DK. Now, of course we had extensive data on both characters (and it was Master Chief against frigging Donkey Kong), but with this being RE vs Nintendo I'm anticipating a very healthy vote shift for Peach. Maybe she's like DK -- who knows? -- but if you were to put a gun to my head and ask me who wins right now, I'd say Peach.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 10:59:21 AM | message detail
Smurf pleads Guilty! Lock him up and throw away the key!
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:59:36 AM | message detail
Hey you guys remember when Masterchief pulled his HUGE comeback against Sub-Zero when the afterschool voters came?
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Supporter of Ryu.
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:59:58 AM | message detail
Hax. I said it.
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I'm Shadow... the Hedgehog. I was created to bring justice to the humans. I'm going to destroy this damn planet! This is WHO I AM!'
CaptainFlufflez | Posted 10/17/2006 11:00:06 AM | message detail
vote stuffing is a non issue and shouldn't be talked about. if it happens and it's detectable then cjayc will catch it and the match will be redone/fixed whatever. if it's done and it isn't detectable then as far as i'm concerned it isn't cheating and anyone crying about it should be spending that cry time trying to stuff votes themselves. all this said, no one has mentioned if the match is or isn't on pace with vote totals compared to other matches. facts first, crying later?

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All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 11:00:37 AM | message detail
Hey you guys remember when Masterchief pulled his HUGE comeback against Sub-Zero when the afterschool voters came?

Indeed. He swung over 2000 votes. Too bad it wasn't enough. ^_^
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 11:01:13 AM | message detail
Hey you guys remember when Masterchief pulled his HUGE comeback against Sub-Zero when the afterschool voters came?

Citing an occurance of a 2000+ vote swing doesn't exactly help the case for Jill
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.