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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 392

KingBartz | Posted 10/17/2006 9:25:57 AM | message detail
I like 50-50 updates...
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 36/38 Today's pick: Jill Valentine
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/17/2006 9:26:08 AM | message detail
Do Peach's last 13 updates :)

TG
Heroic_Servbot | Posted 10/17/2006 9:26:19 AM | message detail
And people thought this match was only going to be mildly entertaining....
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wavedash
Ozzie's in a pickle!
params7 | Posted 10/17/2006 9:26:52 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 9:27:56 AM | message detail
From Tequilla Gundam Posted 10/17/2006 12:26:08 PM #052
Do Peach's last 13 updates :)

TG


Lowest number is 188, highest is 225, and Peach has been far more consistent. This is seriously the most obvious vote-stuffing campaign since Kefka.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 9:29:56 AM | message detail
mmm that was an intresting snack.

*checks update*

n_n Wow. An unexpected gain!
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 9:31:48 AM | message detail
Check the overall vote totals in the five minute updates. Is there a sudden spike in the total when Jills votes spike or do they remain fairly consistent?
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 9:32:12 AM | message detail
HOLY CRAP!
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Supporter of Ryu.
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/17/2006 9:32:30 AM | message detail
Peach's last 13 updates are something like this...

210
188
221
203
199
216
220
210
194
225
206
216
197

And doing this by 15 minutes...

Peach
619
618
624
647

Jill
647
606
697
661

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 9:34:09 AM | message detail
You know, Ulti, if you're going to include 231 and 232, you might as well include Peach's 225. Seriously, Jill's been fairly consistent too. You're kinda grasping with stuffing allegations.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
params7 | Posted 10/17/2006 9:34:18 AM | message detail
Jill needs to keep this pace up, to win this thing.
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On December 9,2001,Chris Jericho brought the argument to an end when he became the first superstar to unify the World Championship Titles of both WCW and WWF.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 9:35:09 AM | message detail
Jill is going to take this match. Only votestuffers can stop her now! :P
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Supporter of Ryu.
Who Cares? | Posted 10/17/2006 9:36:28 AM | message detail
I really, really hope Jill is doing this on her own...
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go!
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
Sir Auron | Posted 10/17/2006 9:37:56 AM | message detail
This isn't too bothersome right now when you consider what should be Peach's best time, or second best time, and Jill's worst time has yet to come.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
voltch | Posted 10/17/2006 9:37:57 AM | message detail
didn't jill once completely blow a small lead against ryu once?
against a nintendo character isn't that dangerous?
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 9:39:14 AM | message detail
Let's do 13 updates again! Now Peach's range is 166-225!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 9:44:04 AM | message detail
What time did Kairi start to turn things around? 15:20 ish?
andaca | Posted 10/17/2006 9:44:42 AM | message detail
I love the faux statistical analysis regarding allegations of vote stuffing that breaks out every time we have a close match.

*Sits down with popcorn, waits for someone to break out the Standard Dev.*
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 9:46:03 AM | message detail
Keep em coming, Jill.
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 9:48:11 AM | message detail
Peach dropped to 166 votes last update. Looks like the stuffer was taking a coffee break.
Lopen | Posted 10/17/2006 9:48:24 AM | message detail
Lawl looks like Peach was doing the stuffing to keep up with Jill. She's dropping like a brick!

(I'm not actually saying she's stuffing... it's a joke!)
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
KingBartz | Posted 10/17/2006 9:48:26 AM | message detail
Jill for the win. And with that I go to sleep. mmm...
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 36/38 Today's pick: Jill Valentine
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 9:50:24 AM | message detail
Peach is consistently getting under 200 votes an update now.
It's blatantly obvious that there was stuffing going on for her in an attempt to nullify Jill's strong time.

I sure hope Cjay spots this.
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 9:54:45 AM | message detail
o_0

Nice!
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 9:56:07 AM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2006 11:24:39 AM | message detail

At any rate, Jill is diappointing me big time.


...Didn't you have Peach winning with 54% or so?
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 9:56:18 AM | message detail
This is what should have been happening since 10 o clock
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
params7 | Posted 10/17/2006 9:58:15 AM | message detail
It's blatantly obvious that there was stuffing going on for her in an attempt to nullify Jill's strong time.


See people? That's what I first said too. There's just as good a chance for stuffing from Peach's side as much as it is for Jill.

in any case, let me enjoy this. Peach is under PWN'D attack from Jill.
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On December 9,2001,Chris Jericho brought the argument to an end when he became the first superstar to unify the World Championship Titles of both WCW and WWF.
params7 | Posted 10/17/2006 9:59:12 AM | message detail
Is school out yet? (different time zone here)
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On December 9,2001,Chris Jericho brought the argument to an end when he became the first superstar to unify the World Championship Titles of both WCW and WWF.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/17/2006 9:59:48 AM | message detail
I love the faux statistical analysis regarding allegations of vote stuffing that breaks out every time we have a close match.

Normally I'd agree, but smurf has a proven bad history and he was acting like this the last time he got caught, what with all the cheeky "look at me I'm not doing anything bad" nonsense. It's so close to being moddable, but it isn't.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 9:59:52 AM | message detail
And people, PLEASE shut up with all of this vote stuffing crap. I don't want to have to waste a stats topic with accusations of vote stuffing, especially when Ulti goes so far as to say it's as obvious as Kefka's vote stuffing, when it's nothing close to that.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 9:59:59 AM | message detail
1:00 - 49.87
2:00 - 52.32
3:00 - 53.28
4:00 - 56.68
5:00 - 55.12
6:00 - 49.65%
7:00 - 48.75%
8:00 - 48.83%
9:00 - 50.26%
10:00 - 51.27%
11:00 - 50.75%
12:00 - 52.47%

whoamg
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Samurai7 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:00:27 AM | message detail
1 hr 30 mins - 2 hours before the after school vote starts
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 10:00:57 AM | message detail
And right now, Jill is being much more consistent than Peach. The Princess's updates in the last half hour have been sporadic.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/17/2006 10:01:13 AM | message detail
I'm in GMT but judging from the Kairi - Claire match, if there is going to be a turnaround it'll happen in two- three hours time. If it doesn't then it's over. Presumably that's when the schools come out.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 10:01:18 AM | message detail
It's funny though. When you look at the by-the-hour percentages, it seems like Jill would be dominating. Yet her lead is under 1000.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Who Cares? | Posted 10/17/2006 10:01:25 AM | message detail
After school vote starts around 2:30 EST, and really kicks in after 3, so about an 1 1/2 hours until then. I'm off to work!
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go!
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:01:57 AM | message detail
No matter who wins, there's a very good chance that this match will end up in the top 25 closest matches (25th is MC/DK with a difference of 1568 votes), so that's always nice. And it'll be the first such match this contest.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
Guess how many teens | Posted 10/17/2006 10:03:11 AM | message detail
So the stuffer is back, eh?
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I got owned Z1mZum, the BSE Guru Champion!
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 10:04:36 AM | message detail
The stuffer is on Peach's side and they're holding back right now.
params7 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:06:08 AM | message detail
1 hr 30 mins - 2 hours before the after school vote starts

Okay, Jill, time to build your lead up to around 1000+.

meh, I remember how good Claire was doing (she was about to crack 500 iirc), before the school vote began. it was scary, with a minor down flux we thought was normal, it went over the hill and Kairi took it in a curbstomp.

It remains to be seen if Jill would share the same fate, but compared to Claire, she's doing much better, as to those who said Claire might be near Jill's strength.
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On December 9,2001,Chris Jericho brought the argument to an end when he became the first superstar to unify the World Championship Titles of both WCW and WWF.
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 10:07:29 AM | message detail
Kairi is a beast with the day vote, Peach is average at best.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 10:08:41 AM | message detail
I still hope that Rikku will pull some kickass high percent on Rikku.

Claire > Jill IMO
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Supporter of Ryu.
Samurai7 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:09:00 AM | message detail
airi is a beast with the day vote, Peach is average at best.

Cause we totally have seen Peaches day vote before. REs day vote (barring RE4) is pretty bad. No question in my mind that Peach wins the day vote. Just matters if its enough to cover the ground.
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
H__RR____H | Posted 10/17/2006 10:09:04 AM | message detail
Okay, just making sure, but...there's not officially been any vote-stuffing caught, correct? Just allegations?

Either way, it's looking like Peach has her work cut out. I'm still taking her to win, but it's nothing promised.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 10:09:57 AM | message detail
Okay, just making sure, but...there's not officially been any vote-stuffing caught, correct? Just allegations?

That sounds like stuffing talk to me! o_o
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 10:10:25 AM | message detail
I had thought that Jill would build a 1300 vote lead starting from 9 o clock, but building a 1300 vote lead starting from noon is just as good!
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/17/2006 10:12:26 AM | message detail
The only thing this topic is missing is a perverted yoblazer post regarding a female character's butt.
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 10:12:30 AM | message detail
The fact that all of a sudden Peach's votes decline sharply and Jill's remains consisent is blatant proof that Peach has been cheating.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/17/2006 10:12:52 AM | message detail
Yep, that's the only thing it's missing.
params7 | Posted 10/17/2006 10:14:57 AM | message detail
thanks to Smurf's reputation, whichever character he sides for normally get eyed on as the stuffed one.
in any case, I'm waiting for the school to let out, that going to ultimately decide the winner. So 1-2 hours from now. Later.
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On December 9,2001,Chris Jericho brought the argument to an end when he became the first superstar to unify the World Championship Titles of both WCW and WWF.