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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 391

PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/17/2006 5:52:19 AM | message detail
The 19 karma alt furthers my point.

LOL 4 KARMA ALT, 4 KARMA ALT LOLOLOLOL. Shut up.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 5:53:00 AM | message detail
O RLY?
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 5:53:46 AM | message detail
Oh, wait. I can just factor in Peach's morning vote and go from there.

So if the match follows the trend, Jill will get just under 53% of the vote before school starts, totalling about an 1800 vote lead when school vote hits.

What do you know. It's just low enough to make the match interesting.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 5:53:56 AM | message detail
No.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 32/34 Today: Rikku
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 5:54:28 AM | message detail
If that happens, I really can't see Peach making up that kind of ground.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
Tediz247 | Posted 10/17/2006 5:54:45 AM | message detail
I expect Peach to run away with it after school, but still nice to see another close match. Go Peach!
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/17/2006 5:56:47 AM | message detail
Jill is not going to get anywhere close to an 1800 vote lead by the time the after school vote hits. If you haven't noticed, Jill's been on the decline for a while now, and she's not suddenly going to start pulling in huge updates. Once Peach takes the lead, she's not going to give it back up.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 5:57:09 AM | message detail
I agree I'm calling this match over when Jill breaks 1500 and even then I think Peach would have enough problems with as low as a 1000 lead..
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 5:57:15 AM | message detail
Peach isn't the first to come to mind when someone mentions 2000 vote swing. But, well... we'll see if it even comes to that I guess
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 5:58:20 AM | message detail
Jill is not going to get anywhere close to an 1800 vote lead by the time the after school vote hits. If you haven't noticed, Jill's been on the decline for a while now, and she's not suddenly going to start pulling in huge updates.

i agree this trend will continue until the end of teh match
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 10/17/2006 5:58:22 AM | message detail
¬_¬ Well karma doesn't matter for me because everybody knows who I am....

REVELATION TIME! EC. They're all EC.
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~FFDragon (at work !!)
FFDragoon, now with the blood of the mods stained to his armor and dripping from his lance.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/17/2006 5:58:32 AM | message detail
Note: I'm fully aware that "Peach is going to win by running away with the day vote!" posts are coming after I say this, but...

Why exactly did everyone say Jill had such a small chance of pulling the upset? I kept hearing that, and it made no sense whatsoever. She never was fodder, and Peach was never destined to be strong.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 2: (1) Solid Snake
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 5:59:47 AM | message detail
Define small chance? I don't think anyone took Peach with more than 55% or so.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:00:20 AM | message detail
Peach = Nintendo = Win

That's why she was a huge favorite with the board.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 6:01:26 AM | message detail
Why exactly did everyone say Jill had such a small chance of pulling the upset? I kept hearing that, and it made no sense whatsoever. She never was fodder, and Peach was never destined to be strong.

What the hell have I been screaming for the past 2 months? And before Kairi v Claire. And Ryu v Jill. -_-

This topic is destined to underestimate Resident Evil. Simple as that.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:02:04 AM | message detail
I took Peach because I could see Peach blowing out Jill (60%), or Jill winning by a small margin (53%). When I really don't have any numbers to go on, I just went with my instinct that Peach has a lot more room for being better than Jill, than the other way around. I was never convinced it was a lock.
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mmm feel the vibration baby
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 6:02:52 AM | message detail
Crazy update there. Something will have to be done to remedy the situation.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:03:10 AM | message detail
O_O nice cut by Peach.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:03:53 AM | message detail

This topic is destined to underestimate Resident Evil. Simple as that.


?

In the last 4 matches this topic has got everything RE related correct. RE > SF, Kairi > Claire, Bowser > Leon, and now Peach > Jill. Because we all know it's happening!

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mmm feel the vibration baby
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 6:04:09 AM | message detail
That was not in my calculations O_o
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 6:07:21 AM | message detail
~~Previously on Contest Stats and Discussion~~

Kairi is a lock to win, easy. 60%+
WHaaaat? Claire had no right to make it close!

Ryu Hayabusha v Jill isn't worth discussing. only 3 gurus picked the upset. lol n00bs.
OMG LEVEL MATCH!

Peach is Nintendo, let's blindly assume she'll win.
NOBODY SAW THIS COMING!11

Bowser is teh roxxorz ninty ownorz. 83% at least .
WHAT? LEON ISN'T GETTING PWNT? STAR OF THE MALE BRACKET!111

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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:11:58 AM | message detail
Kairi is a lock to win, easy. 60%+
WHaaaat? Claire had no right to make it close!


No one was calling for her to get 60%+, except for probably partystar. There was plenty of Claire support in these topics, while Kairi was still the favorite, and guess what, she won!

Ryu Hayabusha v Jill isn't worth discussing. only 3 gurus picked the upset. lol n00bs.
OMG LEVEL MATCH!


Because we all know how a completely new, unknown is going to perform in their first match.

Peach is Nintendo, let's blindly assume she'll win.
NOBODY SAW THIS COMING!11


Peach is going to win.

Bowser is teh roxxorz ninty ownorz. 83% at least .
WHAT? LEON ISN'T GETTING PWNT? STAR OF THE MALE BRACKET!111


Oh hey, the highest Bowser predictions in here were 65%, that's definitely close to 83%.

Nice job ignoring SF/RE by the way.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:12:24 AM | message detail
Ryu Hayabusha v Jill isn't worth discussing. only 3 gurus picked the upset. lol n00bs.

I couldn't have been only one of the three gurus that went for it.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/17/2006 6:13:26 AM | message detail
I expect Peach to run away with it after school

You expect too much. Peach ain't gonna be Kairi with the after school vote by any means.

Define small chance? I don't think anyone took Peach with more than 55% or so.

Look at the "chances" people gave Jill to win this match in recent topics. Somebody said 5% chance at best, and others said Ulti was generous for giving her a 35% chance to actually win. Why Peach became such a definitive favorite made no sense to me. Because she lost the day vote big time to Sheena? Trends don't determine winners, folks.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 2: (1) Solid Snake
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:15:35 AM | message detail
Smurf is about to cream his pants and act like a jackass in a few moments.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 6:15:41 AM | message detail
Peach's morning vote has actually about tied Kairi's in terms of overall percent too.

Peach's % from 6:30 to 9:00: 51.18%

Kairi's % from 6:30 to 9:00: 51.67%

Final projection of Jill's lead before after school starts: 1350+ votes
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:16:47 AM | message detail
Look at the "chances" people gave Jill to win this match in recent topics. Somebody said 5% chance at best, and others said Ulti was generous for giving her a 35% chance to actually win. Why Peach became such a definitive favorite made no sense to me. Because she lost the day vote big time to Sheena? Trends don't determine winners, folks.

I didn't see the 5% one, but whoever said it is completely delusional, and should never be taken seriously again. As for 35%, I'd say it's pretty fair. I probably would have given Jill about a 40% chance to win the match.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 6:18:07 AM | message detail
NIce Jill still has the lead, and she just gained 40 votes.
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Supporter of Ryu.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 6:18:43 AM | message detail
Tee-hee n_n
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 6:21:03 AM | message detail
I couldn't have been only one of the three gurus that went for it.

IIRC you were. I remember that only me and you were seriously entertaining the prospect of Jill winning that match. Everybody else had Ryu making the sweet 16.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:21:34 AM | message detail
Looks like Jill woke up and is kicking ass.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Not_1 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:23:24 AM | message detail
Jill increased her lead with 61 votes in 10 minutes. Very nice.
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And I need all the love I can get
And I need all the love that I can't get to(o)
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 6:23:49 AM | message detail
IIRC you were. I remember that only me and you were seriously entertaining the prospect of Jill winning that match. Everybody else had Ryu making the sweet 16.

Well to everyone it was a free pass to the Sweet 16 because Jill > Sora.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:24:10 AM | message detail
I'm feeling a .01% cut by Peach!

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mmm feel the vibration baby
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 6:25:24 AM | message detail
The next update (09:30) is going to be a HUGE update for Jill, I feel.
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I'm Shadow... the Hedgehog. I was created to bring justice to the humans. I'm going to destroy this damn planet! This is WHO I AM!'
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/17/2006 6:27:16 AM | message detail
How can people actually care about Peach. Baffling. >.<


~*Ex~Tha*~
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Aitch Emm and the Seattle RAWKHAWKS kicked my ass and the Rams ass with a 54 yard game winning field goal
Nyah | Posted 10/17/2006 6:27:23 AM | message detail
Quick! Pull a beam sword Peach!!!
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"If truly there is evil in this world it lurks in the hearts of man" -- Edward D. Morrison
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:29:17 AM | message detail
HUGE update by Jill, m i rite?

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mmm feel the vibration baby
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/17/2006 6:29:17 AM | message detail
Nice work, Jill. Peach doesn't seem to have a dominant morning vote.

But then again, it's Peach.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 2: (1) Solid Snake
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 6:32:19 AM | message detail
The fact that Peach even is close to someone who's a maincharacter in a mainstream game is a joke.
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Supporter of Ryu.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:32:55 AM | message detail
Because Peach doesn't have a game of her own, or anything like that!

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mmm feel the vibration baby
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 6:33:31 AM | message detail
Super Princess Peach doesn't count!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:34:25 AM | message detail
Neither does Resident Evil!

Oh, and that's a nice cut by Peach! Small hic-up she had back their, nothing to be alarmed about.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Sir Crono | Posted 10/17/2006 6:35:41 AM | message detail
And since we were on the subject of alts last topic, THIS is the one HM gave me after Red got me axed. AmazingKirby was originally mine, but I gave it to partystar after his, uhhh...accidental suicide.
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As you wish.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 6:35:48 AM | message detail
Jill Valentine has until 9:50 to do something. If not, then this may continue forever.

Jill's projected lead before after-school vote: 400 >_>
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/17/2006 6:36:57 AM | message detail
Meh, you people worry about trends too much.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0)
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:37:42 AM | message detail
I'm not worrying, I'm embracing!

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mmm feel the vibration baby
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/17/2006 6:38:12 AM | message detail
Correction: I do, not them. I jabber on about them because I think they're fun and everyone else ignores me.

Well, I'm satisfied with the relatinoship.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/17/2006 6:38:57 AM | message detail
Small Jill gain? Boooooooo.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 10/17/2006 6:39:27 AM | message detail
More like yaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay, m i rite? I m so rite.
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~FFDragon (at work !!)
FFDragoon, now with the blood of the mods stained to his armor and dripping from his lance.