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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 391

PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:10:40 AM | message detail
*wakes up*

As of this moment, It's Awn.
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/17/2006 12:11:22 AM | message detail
As "Awn" as Kairi vs. Claire, no doubt.

How did that one turn out again?
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:13:03 AM | message detail
Even more so. This time Jill will have a bigger lead and Peach won't be as strong during the day.
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
Gaddswell | Posted 10/17/2006 12:13:27 AM | message detail
Wow, Peach won that update with a spike.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
greatone10 | Posted 10/17/2006 12:15:06 AM | message detail
Jill is looking to take the lead much sooner than Claire did.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:15:46 AM | message detail
Looking good, Jill. n_n
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:28:32 AM | message detail
~~Comparisons~~~

03:25 Jill down by 150
03:25 Claire down by 447

Claire continued gaining for 6 further hours.

Unless something strange happens, Jill is going to bust well over 1000, maybe even 2000.

Is Peach capable of making that sort of comeback?
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
vash_131 | Posted 10/17/2006 12:29:22 AM | message detail
That's because you vote-stuffed Smurf.
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I might have been okay by myself, but I had this incredibly, unbelievably, amazingly, fantastically directionally-challenged guy with me here - Rumina
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:30:39 AM | message detail
Prove it.
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
vash_131 | Posted 10/17/2006 12:32:27 AM | message detail
I meant last time, Claire/Kairi.
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I might have been okay by myself, but I had this incredibly, unbelievably, amazingly, fantastically directionally-challenged guy with me here - Rumina
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:32:36 AM | message detail
If Smurf votestuffed in this match, then he votestuffed in Jill VS Sheena and Bowser VS Leon. Jill is doing just as what she's expected to do.
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Supporter of Ryu.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/17/2006 12:32:37 AM | message detail
b7
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 32/34 Today: Rikku
Gaddswell | Posted 10/17/2006 12:33:34 AM | message detail
Such a big drop in votals for that update for both characters, resulting in a Peach stall.

I don't think Jill's going to keep gaining for another 6 hours. Peach is Nintendo, she'll win the morning vote. Ganon did win it against Vincent, and Vincent's FFVII.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:41:32 AM | message detail
And it's below 100!
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Supporter of Ryu.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/17/2006 12:43:12 AM | message detail
It's below 100? I just refreshed the poll and I get what the updater shows, which is a Peach lead of 125.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:43:45 AM | message detail
The updater is one update behind. Check the Gamefaqs poll.
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Supporter of Ryu.
TheSwizzle | Posted 10/17/2006 12:44:31 AM | message detail
The updater is one update behind. Check the Gamefaqs poll.

Yup. False hope is jus' around the bend.

Though I'll wait for THAT dream crusher to fully hit me when I wake up in the morning.
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"If at first you don't succeed, find out if the loser gets anything."
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 12:44:59 AM | message detail
Yeah, that was a brutal update. A gain of 56 for Jill, with 62.84% of that update.
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Take off every sig.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/17/2006 12:47:33 AM | message detail
Opps, disregard my last post. My clock was a minute too early, so I refresh early.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
King Bowser | Posted 10/17/2006 12:50:12 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Vlado | Posted 10/17/2006 12:50:49 AM | message detail
I'm just glad Jill's doing well. I'll be very glad if she actually wins, though I'm skeptic about it.
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Vlado's Awards for Posting Excellence:
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King Bowser | Posted 10/17/2006 12:51:32 AM | message detail
Looks like Jill is indeed doing what she was expected to do. Very nice to have that lead beforehand or else this would have been too much for Peach to comeback from. As it is now, she shouldn't have any trouble taking this back once morning hits.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:52:13 AM | message detail
The Female bracket would have been really boring without the Resident Evil girls :D
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Supporter of Ryu.
YoboD | Posted 10/17/2006 12:55:06 AM | message detail
Stupid Peach. Toad would be doing much better.
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Duff beer for me, Duff beer for you, I'll have a Duff, you'll have one too.
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:56:17 AM | message detail
Morning vote = European vote.

Jill will conquer it with ease.
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 12:56:38 AM | message detail
less than 20 votes now, hopefully Jill will take the lead in the next update.
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Supporter of Ryu.
greatone10 | Posted 10/17/2006 12:59:07 AM | message detail
27 < 20?

Though that number should be familiar to Jill.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/17/2006 1:00:18 AM | message detail
The Female bracket would have been really boring without the Resident Evil girls :D

Agreed. The RE ladies have really heated things up for the first two rounds, but hell, did anyone think otherwise? I mean, have you seen them? GOOD GOD, HOT.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/17/2006 1:00:23 AM | message detail
Never expect a fanboy to be correct when it comes to math :D
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Supporter of Ryu.
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/17/2006 1:01:27 AM | message detail
Jill has the extra popularity behind her to do what Claire couldn't.

Tifa v Jill. BOOK IT.
CyberMachine08 | Posted 10/17/2006 1:01:39 AM | message detail
And Jill takes the lead!

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TheSwizzle | Posted 10/17/2006 1:01:48 AM | message detail
And she leads. Hooray!

Sleep now.
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"If at first you don't succeed, find out if the loser gets anything."
Rodri316 | Posted 10/17/2006 1:02:14 AM | message detail
Peach will win the day vote and win the match. Like against Hayabusa, Jill will start dropping after 9 AM.
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Character Battle V Score: 36/38
Current Prediction: Jill Valentine vs. Princess Peach
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/17/2006 1:02:36 AM | message detail
Yes, baby!
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
King Bowser | Posted 10/17/2006 1:03:03 AM | message detail
Peach will win the day vote and win the match.

Indeed. I wouldn't even imagine this ends up being very close at the end either.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
NewLib | Posted 10/17/2006 1:05:20 AM | message detail
Peach wins, but this will be the closest match so far in the contest. Jill builds a 800-900 vote lead. Peach slowly overcomes it winning in the end by about 1000 votes.

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--NL--
Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 1:33:44 AM | message detail
04:05 Jill takes the lead
11:35 Claire takes the lead.

Hmmm........Still think Peach will win? =)
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 1:41:13 AM | message detail
Actually, Jill took the lead right at 4:00. The updater's been an update behind for two hours.
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Take off every sig.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 1:48:24 AM | message detail
If Jill continues this 60 votes an update trend, Peach is finished.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/17/2006 1:52:02 AM | message detail
Yoshi, Megaman, Kirby, Bowser and Samus all lost the day vote so far. Two of them aganist Resident Evil characters.

Stop acting like its a sure thing Peach will win the day vote. If she's anything like Donkey Kong, she'll get murdered with it.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 1:53:12 AM | message detail
If Jill continues this 60 votes an update trend, Peach is finished.

Well duh, that was a huge spike for Jill, her largest percentage in one update yet; she's not going to get 50+ vote gains every 5 minutes.

It is of note that she's currently topped Claire's best percentage of total votes, and she could definitely get a nice 500 vote lead before the morning vote.
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Take off every sig.
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/17/2006 1:54:56 AM | message detail
After which she'll go onto to build past 1000 with the morning vote.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 2:09:36 AM | message detail
I find that hard to believe. Peach gained in the morning vote against Daisy despite losing ground in the afternoon. I think the morning vote is what Jill really has to survive here.

Percentages by the hour for Jill:
0-.5 0.46084446048357993504150126308192
.5-1 0.50514477147642976788705431921512
1-2 0.49865861837692823608316566063045
2-3 0.52489125181246979217013049782504
3-4 0.53510815307820299500831946755408
4-5 0.55854753161974704202366381068951

And to compare, Claire's percentages:
0-.5 0.47123893805309734513274336283186
.5-1 0.48396821046862154014798574952042
1-2 0.50017223561832586978987254564244
2-3 0.48672100972916118853536681567184
3-4 0.52347826086956521739130434782609
4-5 0.51710863986313088109495295124038
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Take off every sig.
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/17/2006 2:12:50 AM | message detail
Jill's are undoubtedly much more impressive, and she'll have a lot less to weather than Claire did, too.

I guess if this match proves only thing, it's that Peach > Kairi.
Which suprises me.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/17/2006 2:14:33 AM | message detail
Right now, I'm hoping against hope that Jill is a lot stronger than Claire. The thought of Peach struggling against Kairi depresses me, and I'm a big Kairi fan.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/17/2006 2:16:18 AM | message detail
Jill would probably score similar to Rikku aganist Claire, assuming there was no SFF.

Peach keeping up with her is very, very suprising.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Xuxon | Posted 10/17/2006 2:18:10 AM | message detail
Honestly, I figured Peach and Kairi to be of fairly similar strength. Before the contest started, I was waaay more confident in Jill > Peach than Claire > Kairi, and for a while even had Kairi > Claire in my bracket.
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Take off every sig.
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/17/2006 2:22:29 AM | message detail
Kairi really doesn't do anything at all. <_<
At least Peach is playable in Mario 2, Mario Kart, Smash Bros and her own game.

It would be pretty illogical if Kairi outperformed her.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/17/2006 2:26:56 AM | message detail
Over 400 now! ^_^
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Terran | Posted 10/17/2006 2:32:14 AM | message detail
To be honest I didn't expect Jill would be able to gain this quickly considering she only took the lead an hour and a half ago. At this rate she may have a lead of close to 1,000 to try and hold onto when the morning vote comes.

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