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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 391

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/16/2006 3:41:27 PM | message detail
SSBM'D! Took freaking long enough.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt



[Insert phrase stolen from SSBM HRC topics]
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 3:42:02 PM | message detail
Now if only Jill would win regardless, what a great day that would be here.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 10/16/2006 3:42:26 PM | message detail
SSBMFAQS
---
xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/16/2006 3:42:56 PM | message detail
I can't comment on Jill one way or the other. Haven't played RE...1? 2? Whichever.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/16/2006 3:43:18 PM | message detail
From transience Posted 10/16/2006 6:42:26 PM #003
SSBMFAQS

GOD DAMN RIGHT KIDDO, I MEAN GRANDPA WHOOPS.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/16/2006 3:50:51 PM | message detail
From MoogleKupo141 Posted 10/16/2006 4:33:02 PM #004
This is a general complaint, rather than actually being directed at you, but why do people make these things when the other topic isn't even close to full? Even Ulti makes them when the previous topic is under 400 posts...

Because of attention-whoring idiots who scramble and go "zomg lemme make a stats topic plz so I can be famous too" all the time. And these things have been made at 300 during contest season for two years now.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/16/2006 8:01:04 PM | message detail
Because we hate Smurf.

---
I'm so hardcore.
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/16/2006 8:02:04 PM | message detail
Honestly, I think Ulti should just make every topic unless it's really late and needs to be made.
---
caps
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/16/2006 8:02:42 PM | message detail
That works too! =p

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 8:34:13 PM | message detail
Either that or have people ask Ulti for permission to make them.

At any rate, I made my topic, so I no longer care.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 8:34:23 PM | message detail
Round 2

Limit Division Semifinas- Match 2

Jill Valentine (3) vs Princess Peach (2)


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2505
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2506

In round 1, Jill put up disappointing numbers on Sheena while Peach expectedly destroyed her clone Daisy.

We really have no idea how this match will go. Peach is a new character who's one match is one of the worst SFF cases in contest history, and Jill's round 1 opponent is an unknown too.

Some speculate that Peach could be as weak as Wario, and that DK is her absolute ceiling, but I don't believe that. Even still, Jill disappointed against a character that's expected to be weaker than Lloyd.

Lloyd Irving 28.26% 23,433
Donkey Kong 71.74% 59,490


So even if DK is noticeably stronger than Peach, that leaves alot of room before Jill is a threat.

Then again, x-stats have been known to be wrong in the past, so who knows. Jill winning is entirely possible. Although it seems likely that Peach will be turning her into a Jill sandwich.

TuRtLe's Prediction: Peach with 55.36%
TuRtLe's Bracket: Peach
TuRtLe's Vote: Peach

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/16/2006 8:36:19 PM | message detail
Either that or have people ask Ulti for permission to make them.

I wouldn't ask anyone for permission to make a topic.

---
"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/16/2006 9:02:43 PM | message detail
From BlAcK TuRtLe Posted 10/16/2006 11:34:13 PM #010
Either that or have people ask Ulti for permission to make them.

That's kind of extreme. Contrary to popular belief, I'm not always here.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:03:10 PM | message detail
C'mon Jill! Close the gap!!!
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/16/2006 9:03:23 PM | message detail
LOL at Jill's pathetic attempt at a night vote! Peach will bring it back to 62!
---
caps
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2006 9:04:26 PM | message detail
Bah sickening board vote. Looks like this one will end up 55-45 at best for Jill =(
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)
charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2006 9:04:30 PM | message detail
Go Peach, take that board vote.
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Yesmar | Posted 10/16/2006 9:04:39 PM | message detail
I only want to make a topic just so that I can have a Kefka quote in the first post so as to rectify the gross incompetence that was none of the five topics made on Kefka Vs. Vercetti having one.
---
Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 9:05:10 PM | message detail
I was joking btw. The fact that peope thought I was serious makes the joe that much funnier

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:05:57 PM | message detail
Well, this one seems to be locked up. Hello two points, goodbye better character. =/
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/16/2006 9:06:00 PM | message detail
Peach leading by 129 at the freeze! She just needs to hang tough during the night and she'll be doing great!

---
"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
Janus5000 | Posted 10/16/2006 9:06:03 PM | message detail
Jill Valentine 44.19% 491
Princess Peach 55.81% 620
TOTAL VOTES 1111

Not too bad of a first freeze for Jill.
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 9:06:07 PM | message detail
And wow at those typos O_O

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
cyko | Posted 10/16/2006 9:06:16 PM | message detail
- Peach will win with over 55%!!

- Tifa will have 87.43% of the brackets!! - um, not quite... >_>

- Peach will win the board/bracket vote!! - CHECK!


- Jill will claw her way up to 48% before collapsing with the day vote!!

- the Bears will beat the Cardinals!! - CHECK!


---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 9:06:18 PM | message detail
55/45, That's more fight than I expected from Jill. Guess she stopped that whole "I'm falling into obscurity" thing that she'd to be doing before. Oh well.
---
If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/16/2006 9:06:55 PM | message detail
Is it me or is Jill going dead even with Peach now? What is this stupidity!?
---
caps
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2006 9:07:26 PM | message detail
Hmm, you know, Jill still can redeem herself. A good night vote will help, and Peach lost the day vote to Daisy, so she probably won't dominate Jill with it.

At least I can hope!
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 9:07:29 PM | message detail
"- the Bears will beat the Cardinals!! - CHECK!"

As an Arizonan I claim that to be a non-accomplishment.
---
If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/16/2006 9:07:29 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
35-----49-------95.9183673
34-----395------95.9493671
33-----1082-----95.1016636
32-----2243-----93.6246099
31-----3384-----92.9669031
30-----4434-----91.2043302
29-----5033-----88.6747467
28-----4961-----85.2045958
27-----4511-----82.4207493
26-----3906-----77.0865335
25-----3352-----72.1957041
24-----2667-----65.6917885
23-----2014-----62.2641509
22-----1502-----57.7230360
21-----1104-----50.0000000
20-----684------44.4444444
19-----463------39.3088553
18-----276------38.4057971
17-----118------37.2881356
16-----75-------20.0000000
15-----58-------18.9655172
14-----26-------26.9230769
13-----12-------16.6666667
12-----10-------10.0000000

Everybody with a score of 11 or lower got the match wrong.
Overall prediction percentage: 78.98%

The -1s to the -6s manage to break 90, but none of them go perfect. The -2s technically do a tiny bit better than the -1s on this match but it's probably due to the fact that there are only a few -1s.

The two people who fell off the Top 50 were the two -1s to get the match wrong. Galtran_X and Jefferson_Darcy did not have Tifa winning the match today.
---
I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
Who Cares? | Posted 10/16/2006 9:07:35 PM | message detail
Lead of 129, not too bad considering RE is best at night. Wanna see if Jill can actually grab the lead in the night unlike Claire.
---
Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go!
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/16/2006 9:07:54 PM | message detail
Rushing to create the next topic is probably the stupidest thing that happens on this board. There is no ****ing point in trying to start on of these topics. You don't gain any (lol) e-popularity or anything like that. All you do is start ****ing arguments. It's as dumb as trying to get 500 topics.

Anyways, go Peach!
--- -
Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 9:08:09 PM | message detail
lol

Viper Vixen is back on the leaderboard.

Shame Smurf gets nothing if she wins

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
swirIdude | Posted 10/16/2006 9:08:15 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
cyko | Posted 10/16/2006 9:09:35 PM | message detail

As an Arizonan I claim that to be a non-accomplishment.



it shouldn't have been, but after the way Arizona dominated the Bears for the first three quarters, i thought they were dead. that was a crazy series of events to win the game!

and, go Peach!!

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 9:09:39 PM | message detail
You don't gain any (lol) e-popularity or anything like that. All you do is start ****ing arguments. It's as dumb as trying to get 500 topics.

For me, it was just something I always wanted to do around here. I've done it and it's lost its appeal. I don't remember starting any arguments either ^_^

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 10/16/2006 9:09:58 PM | message detail
I just don't get why topics are made before this gets to at least like 450 posts .. It always just seem so weird to me..
---
Eagerly awaiting Final Fantasy XII!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:10:12 PM | message detail
Early indications prove 90% of the stats topic are complete morons for saying that Peach can't be stronger than Wario and that Jill would win clearly.

-Peach is the stats topic favorite
-this says precisely nothing about Peach's standing compared to Wario
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 9:10:21 PM | message detail
I don't think that many people were backing Jill. though anyone who said she couldn't be stronger than Wario is friggin' nuts. I couldn't have imagined her losing to Wario.
---
If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2006 9:10:32 PM | message detail
Hey, good going Jill! Keep it close!
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)
charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2006 9:10:53 PM | message detail
Peach only gained 35 votes there.
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
rains of destruction | Posted 10/16/2006 9:10:56 PM | message detail
Peach took the update =[
---
I prefer to be called Vorlik.
# of times I've been called Vorlik : 27
Janus5000 | Posted 10/16/2006 9:10:56 PM | message detail
Lead increase, but the %s got closer.

Sorta like what SMB did to FF!

...Or not... at all...
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/16/2006 9:11:23 PM | message detail
Bleh. This just proves Rikku's strength for getting 60% on Claire. Peach Shmeach!
---
caps
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 9:11:32 PM | message detail
Jill kills the percentage but falls 40 votes farther behind

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 9:11:46 PM | message detail
"that was a crazy series of events to win the game!"

Yes, well, very few can squander opotunities as well as the likes of the Cardinals and Donkey Kong. They've got the KY clutch.
---
If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2006 9:12:22 PM | message detail
And this is the board vote wearing off, Jill is looking to ride all the way into the night with the night vote!!
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Peach - Bracket: Peach - Vote: Jill (34/38)
HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2006 9:13:04 PM | message detail
Early indications prove 90% of the stats topic are complete morons for saying that Peach can't be stronger than Wario and that Jill would win clearly.

*insert the "Scooby Doo is shocked" sound effect*

Name this 90%, please.
---
http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Alyssa Milano (#44)
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/16/2006 9:13:30 PM | message detail
If Peach wins this, I will be very pleased!

she is the superior character!
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 9:13:39 PM | message detail
Bold Prediction: Jill builds up a respectable lead overnight, only to see Peach murder her with the day vote

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
wavedash101 | Posted 10/16/2006 9:13:41 PM | message detail
Peach has Jill caught in the Black Hole glitch!

There is no escaping the turnips!!!
---
Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down