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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 390

ZidaneRocks22 | Posted 10/16/2006 3:58:09 PM | message detail
And people think I'm crazy for having Mega Man win the main bracket /pif
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"lol moar liek teh girls are teh wide range not ur tastes mirite" -Rikku Almighty
Current fools of the eternity: SDragonRocker, ertyu, the jp
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/16/2006 3:59:49 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter Posted 10/16/2006 6:51:39 PM #350
It's REmake Jill.

It looks like ass.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/16/2006 4:04:28 PM | message detail
Jill looks sexy as heeeeeell!
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/16/2006 4:04:33 PM | message detail
REmake Jill? I hope she isn't screwed by it. >_>
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Samus vs. Ada Wong / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus (30/32)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Abstain
wavedash101 | Posted 10/16/2006 4:05:11 PM | message detail
Looks like Jill's been doing a little too much acid...
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 4:06:05 PM | message detail
Hmmmm, I can see Peach running away with the match, but Jill has the potential to build a lead (perhaps insurmountable) overnight.

TuRtLe
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I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 4:07:19 PM | message detail
If Peach doesn't run away with this one I'll be very (but happily) surprised. I can see the Peach = Luigi crowd actually getting some momentum before being smacked down by Tifa next round.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/16/2006 4:16:14 PM | message detail
If Peach doesn't run away with this one I'll be very (but happily) surprised. I can see the Peach = Luigi crowd actually getting some momentum before being smacked down by Tifa next round.

I guess it's possible for Peach to really beat up on Jill, but I'm not expecting it. Either way, it's impossible for me to believe there's actually a Peach = Luigi crowd. I doubt anyone here really thinks that Peach can take Zero without any trouble.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:18:12 PM | message detail
I can see Jill winning by a slim margin, or Peach winning pretty comfortably... which is why I ended up going with Peach.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:19:02 PM | message detail
Thinking Peach is even on DK's level is silly in my mind, that's pretty much Peach's ceiling to me.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 4:19:47 PM | message detail
Either way, it's impossible for me to believe there's actually a Peach = Luigi crowd. I doubt anyone here really thinks that Peach can take Zero without any trouble.

In the stats topics, you're absolutely right. Outside of them? You'd better believe there's a Peach = Luigi crowd, and they annoy the crap out of me. -_-
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 10/16/2006 4:20:40 PM | message detail
psh. Peach > Luigi!

what
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xyzzy
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/16/2006 4:24:56 PM | message detail
I kinda think that the people saying Peach > Luigi magically forgot about Luigi's past two years...if that were the case, Peach > Luigi might be slightly reasonable. I don't think any of the Peach > Luigiers have actually said Peach > Zero...
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/16/2006 4:25:09 PM | message detail
lol

Sorry, but Peach > Luigi isn't getting you any indie cred. It's a well-known fact!
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caps
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:28:10 PM | message detail

In the stats topics, you're absolutely right. Outside of them? You'd better believe there's a Peach = Luigi crowd, and they annoy the crap out of me. -_-


hey kh peach > mm true queen of sff
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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 4:30:05 PM | message detail
From transience Posted 10/16/2006 7:20:40 PM
psh. Peach > Luigi!

what


The female bracket is so screwed!

TuRtLe
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I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/16/2006 4:32:29 PM | message detail
Would anyone here take Peach over Rikku?
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/16/2006 4:33:28 PM | message detail
Not me! Rikku with 60%!
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caps
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2006 4:34:41 PM | message detail
No, however if Rikku/Kairi was a Round 1 match, and Rikku had to face Peach in Round 2, I would'nt feel good about it at all.

Besides, Peach isn't breaking 25% on BL, yo!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Tifa vs. The Boss - Bracket: Tifa - Vote: The Boss (32/36)
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:35:36 PM | message detail
Would anyone here take Peach over Rikku?

Yep, Rikku is overrated thanks to Bowser!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2006 4:40:46 PM | message detail
Woah, I just checked the Oracle...

Peach with 60% is crazy, but 70% on Jill?! I'd leave GameFAQs forever if that happened.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Tifa vs. The Boss - Bracket: Tifa - Vote: The Boss (32/36)
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:41:31 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/16/2006 4:41:50 PM | message detail
Actually, all RE characters are far stronger than everyone thinks, thus explaining why Rikku is so strong after defeating Kairi who defeat a monster like Claire, and how Peach will be so strong after defeating a monster like Jill with 68%.
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caps
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 4:42:20 PM | message detail
I ask myself this question: would I take even the most overrated Rikku imaginable over Master Chief?

Me: "Yes!"

Rikku > Peach it is!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:43:22 PM | message detail
You won't be saying that when Samus puts up 73 large on Rikku!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Draco1214 | Posted 10/16/2006 4:44:22 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be surprised at all if Jill ends up blowing Peach away.
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Character Battle V Score - 33/36 points
Current Prediction - Tifa Lockhart vs. The Boss
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:45:18 PM | message detail
I ask myself this question: would I take even the most overrated Rikku imaginable over Master Chief?

Get off the anti-MC wagon KH, it's not very becoming of you!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 4:46:24 PM | message detail
Heh, I'd be rooting for MC hardcore in that matchup, but I'd take Rikku over Sub-Zero.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:47:09 PM | message detail
Yeah, I know you're a dirty Halo fanboy, but your lack of faith in the Chief is disturbing! I have short-term, long-term memory loss by the way.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 4:49:15 PM | message detail
No matter how this goes, I can't see the winner getting any higher than 57%

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 4:50:25 PM | message detail
Not speaking of Lopen, where the hell has that crazy bastard been?

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Draco1214 | Posted 10/16/2006 4:59:09 PM | message detail
Out of curiosity, what's Wario's value through 2004 Tidus?
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Character Battle V Score - 33/36 points
Current Prediction - Tifa Lockhart vs. The Boss
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/16/2006 5:00:56 PM | message detail
Anybody who thinks Peach could beat Zero ever is a total fool, just for the record.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 5:03:51 PM | message detail
Wario would stand at approximately 18.78% on BL, between Vyse 2k3 and Issac 2k3.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/16/2006 5:04:23 PM | message detail
hey kh pull my finger
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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Xuxon | Posted 10/16/2006 5:07:36 PM | message detail
I'm going to put an absolute limit at a doubling for either side tomorrow; anything in that area seems possible if unlikely.

Peach gets 64.53% if Lloyd > Sheena = 15BL (Jill = 19.75), and Peach = 2005 DK (27.84)

Jill gets 62.58% if Peach = Wario through adjusted 2004 Shadow (18.78) and Sheena is halfway between Lloyd and Kratos (Jill = 25.09).
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Take off every sig.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 5:10:34 PM | message detail
I think that 27.84 is DK's value on Link 2k5, not BL...not that it matters since Master Chief is such a goddamn fraud, but yeah.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Xuxon | Posted 10/16/2006 5:11:45 PM | message detail
Hah, yeah that's true. I wouldn't expect DK to be any stronger than that on BL.
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Take off every sig.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 5:14:31 PM | message detail
Why does Jill look like a cokehead?
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/16/2006 5:16:01 PM | message detail
Not speaking of Lopen, where the hell has that crazy bastard been?

Lopen's still alive on the Crew, and he's got a Hit or Miss pick!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Tifa vs. The Boss - Bracket: Tifa - Vote: The Boss (32/36)
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 5:20:50 PM | message detail
So then, Karma Hunter. I haven't looked at you numbers in too much detail, but they look good. My only problem is that, well, I have the idea of 2k3 = 50% ingrained into my mind and that won't change. Seeing it being % on 2k2 Link seems... weird.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 5:22:19 PM | message detail
This is more a setup for making comprehensive 2002 stats and adjustments, which will be on 2003 Link.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 5:22:57 PM | message detail
Hmm... 2k3 Magus... hmmm. hmmm. hmmmmmm. No sir, I don't like it.
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Draco1214 | Posted 10/16/2006 5:23:20 PM | message detail
It's weird how much this board is overestimating Peach. I've seen some people think she could be Luigi level.
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Character Battle V Score - 33/36 points
Current Prediction - Tifa Lockhart vs. The Boss
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 5:23:45 PM | message detail
Ah, then I do say you're off to an excellent start. I didn't catch that this was a preliminary work. Sumimasen.
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ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/16/2006 5:25:56 PM | message detail
She'd be a bit lucky to be above 2k3/2k4 Luigi level. I have respect for her, but not that much. 25% sounds about right, maybe a tad less.
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King Bowser | Posted 10/16/2006 5:38:11 PM | message detail
Peach actually looks a lot better there than Jill. Very nice.

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 5:44:54 PM | message detail
BOLD PREDICTION: Certain people will use this match to justify a second Nintendo boost -- no matter what the outcome.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Lopen | Posted 10/16/2006 5:48:04 PM | message detail
BOLD PREDICTION: Jill beats Peach so bad she'll be called Princess Rotten Fruit from now on.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2006 5:55:33 PM | message detail
Match XXXVI: (3) Jill Valentine vs. (2) Princess Peach

Previous Matches

Jill Valentine
Defeated Sheena Fujibayashi, 62.03% - 37.97%

Princess Peach
Defeated Princess Daisy, 83.10% - 16.90%

Analysis:

Jill started off doing really well almost doubling Sheena, but as the day vote came we saw one of the bigger percent swings of last round with Jill finishing with just above 62%. Peach destroyed her clone by almost quintupling Daisy. I’m guessing Daisy votes were from the few Daisy fans and anti-Peach fans.

This is the most debatable round 2 match of the female bracket, mostly because we know nothing about Peach’s strength after her SFF match against Daisy. What we do know is that Jill probably stayed the same or even dropped since 2k4; unless you want to believe that Sheena is stronger than Lloyd. Kratos I can understand, but I don’t see any reason for Sheena to be stronger than Lloyd.

Despite what the some people are saying that Peach might equal to Luigi I think that she would rank somewhere between Wario and Donkey Kong. Peach is one of those characters that everyone knows, but when you come to fans she doesn’t have that many huge fans and the ones that she does have are mostly from SSBM. As you’ve seen in the favorite Mario character poll Peach is ranked one of the bottom characters for fan favorites. I can see Peach being like Pac-Man where she’ll be fine against unknown characters, but as soon as she faces someone with any popularity she would fold like a piece of paper.

The board is seriously overrating Peach with some predictions reaching near 70%. I can see Jill go 50/50 with Peach after the board vote and throughout the night and keeping it close during school hours, but then getting crushed one school is let out. Remember before the bracket was announced Peach/Chun Li was a heavily debated match in the stats topic. I wouldn’t take Chun Li to destroy Jill, but I would’ve probably had to think about it before choosing the winner.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Princess Peach over Jill Valentine

charmander6000’s Prediction: Peach wins, 55.22% - 44.78%

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