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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 390

BDawg | Posted 10/15/2006 9:09:36 PM | message detail
As someone who doesn't sneak peaks at the pics all I can say is "Whoa, lady look like a dude." Moreso than last round.
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Should I start running now?
Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/15/2006 9:10:10 PM | message detail
This is the check in reminder that Lara will beat Chun Li... just in case you forgot.

(tag)


KB
dethfdddddh | Posted 10/15/2006 9:10:40 PM | message detail
.......Ivy>The Boss?

>_<
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/15/2006 9:10:56 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
34-----1--------0.0000000
33-----63-------77.7777778
32-----481------81.9126819
31-----1481-----72.1134369
30-----3110-----69.3247588
29-----4765-----62.3504722
28-----5448-----63.8766520
27-----5316-----60.9292701
26-----5031-----59.4911548
25-----4389-----55.4568239
24-----3492-----53.4936999
23-----2751-----50.7815340
22-----2114-----49.3377483
21-----1454-----45.3920220
20-----960------44.8958333
19-----681------45.5212922
18-----377------41.1140584
17-----197------46.7005076
16-----118------45.7627119
15-----68-------19.1176471
14-----33-------33.3333333
13-----14-------21.4285714
12-----13-------30.7692308
11-----10-------10.0000000
10-----6--------16.6666667
9------11-------9.0909091
8------17-------0.0000000
7------35-------0.0000000
6------53-------1.8867925
5------63-------1.5873016
4------42-------0.0000000
3------28-------0.0000000
2------23-------0.0000000
1------1--------0.0000000

Overall prediction percentage: 58.22%

And the last perfect has fallen! Maybe next year we'll have a perfect in a 64 character bracket. The prediction percentages today were a bit odd. The top performers were the -2s, but the -1s do better than the -3s.

Fourteen people fell off the Top 50 today. GunMage_01, sexyman189, AvatarFeature, Bweezy, Hell_Bastardo, xanada3, LostRaveChld, link3988, DEATHRIPPER666, pastoralpha, chrono500, MastaC97, CloudDaMan and the former #1 and the last perfect standing tehunknownazn did not have Rikku winning the match today.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
Sir Chris | Posted 10/15/2006 9:11:25 PM | message detail
At this point it looks like Nidoran is going to be a mid carder in the xstats.
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I felt the force of two true patriots: The Boss, who pwned Celes, and XIII, who is the superior bracketmaker!
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411
Janus5000 | Posted 10/15/2006 9:11:28 PM | message detail
...Oh wow.

...

SOUL CALIBUR > METAL GEAR I KNEW IT BWAHAHAHAHA
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/15/2006 9:11:29 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/15/2006 9:12:18 PM | message detail
Well yeah, but that's clearly because The Boss is a dude. Total transexual.

WTF is with MGS characters always having mullets/mullet-looking hair, anyway? Who in Konami greenlights **** like that?
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/15/2006 9:13:36 PM | message detail
Now all I can do is hope Jill beats Peach.
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Samus vs. Ada Wong / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus (30/32)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Abstain
BeTheMan | Posted 10/15/2006 9:14:04 PM | message detail
Interesting little tidbit: after browsing through the updater, I realized that Tifa has lost (or barely eeked out a draw in) the day vote in all four of her matches to date. I'd say that The Boss has a fair shot at ducking the tripling.
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO Z1mZum FOR ROCKING THE GURU WORLD
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/15/2006 9:14:31 PM | message detail
Jill will kill Peach



Okay, maybe not kill, but I needed it to rhyme more.

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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/15/2006 9:15:00 PM | message detail
35 49 0.11% 99.8851
34 395 0.93% 98.9589
33 1082 2.54% 96.4217
32 2243 5.26% 91.1621
31 3384 7.94% 83.2270
30 4434 10.40% 72.8298

Man, I'm almost embarassed to be at 31 right now ;____;

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/15/2006 9:15:13 PM | message detail
Characters that would be projected to lose to CATS thus far:

Jade
Lenneth Valkyrie
Celes Chere
Princess Daisy
Alyx Vance
Carmen Sandiego
Soma Cruz
Roll

Anyone else I'm missing?
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Character Battle V Score - 33/36 points
Current Prediction - Tifa Lockhart vs. The Boss
charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2006 9:16:41 PM | message detail
If Peach beats Jill I can see myself returning to the top 50 again.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/15/2006 9:17:25 PM | message detail

Jade
Lenneth Valkyrie
Celes Chere
Princess Daisy
Alyx Vance
Carmen Sandiego
Soma Cruz
Roll


darn you gamfaqs!!!

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/15/2006 9:17:57 PM | message detail
I'm pretty happy being -2 considering so few people are (which is weird seeing as we just got into the second round).
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
King Bowser | Posted 10/15/2006 9:17:59 PM | message detail
Jill will kill Peach

The only one doing the killing in that match will be the Princess!

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/15/2006 9:19:54 PM | message detail
Do take into consideration what 2k5 CATS does to 2k4 CATS in a match. Face-pic CATS envokes the power of FAD, and therefore puts him up to the fodder line. Being just below the fodderline shouldn't be a mark of shame... though most of those characters are shameful regardless.
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/15/2006 9:22:18 PM | message detail
Top 50's Champions
ŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻŻ
Crono - 14
Solid Snake - 12
Samus Aran - 10
Zelda - 4
Vincent Valentine - 3
Sonic the Hedgehog - 2
Kirby - 1
Luigi - 1
Mega Man - 1
Squall Leonhart - 1
Tifa Lockhart - 1
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Crono FTW perhaps?
charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2006 9:28:21 PM | message detail
So Snake is one of the top 3 most predicted characters to win, not that it surprises me Snake gets a lot of bracket support.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/15/2006 10:09:35 PM | message detail
When all is said and done I fully expect The Boss to end up close to Big Boss...not that I would take her to lose to him or characters around that level, but after seeing FFVII/MGS and Sephiroth/Liquid I would have been shocked if this hadn't been a massive beatdown.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/15/2006 10:11:23 PM | message detail
Given that Big Boss looks exactly like Solid Snake, I'd give him the edge.
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
creativename | Posted 10/15/2006 10:13:04 PM | message detail
Tag
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/15/2006 10:14:25 PM | message detail
Given that Big Boss looks exactly like Solid Snake, I'd give him the edge.

Assuming he gets the same picture that he did against Auron, I couldn't agree there. Maybe he could be mistaken for MGS4 Snake, but even that is highly unlikely.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/15/2006 10:53:45 PM | message detail
I can't believe that after this match, people are still denying FFVII/MGS SFF. Celes and The Boss aren't that pathetic, and Tifa's not taking out Samus.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/15/2006 11:09:03 PM | message detail
Well, I imagine Ceej probably wants to "level the field" which is why the man didn't look as he should against Auron. Really, he had no business winning that match. I doubt he'd hold back in a battle of the bosses, though, since it'd be inconcequential and there'd be no proof BB shouldn't win.
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
cyko | Posted 10/16/2006 4:21:06 AM | message detail
well, i must say - i really thought the biggest blowout Tifa would pull was the 72% that Auron pulled off against Big Boss. this 75% does impress me. Ivy > The Boss!? excellent. perhaps Nightmare wouldn't have fared quite as badly as we were starting to think.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/16/2006 4:53:09 AM | message detail
Lenneth Valkyrie = Celes? I'll take that.

But... SFF? I don't know about that. MGS Vs. FF7 SFF I'd be willing to buy. But MGS3 Vs. FF7 SFF I'm not so sure about.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
therealmnm | Posted 10/16/2006 5:04:54 AM | message detail
But... SFF? I don't know about that. MGS Vs. FF7 SFF I'd be willing to buy. But MGS3 Vs. FF7 SFF I'm not so sure about.

So fans of MGS suddenly stopped becoming fans by the time MGS3 rolled around? Not that I'm saying there is definite SFF here, but it's not absurd for a fanbase to move on to the next system to keep playing the games they like. This isn't the first time that people claim there shouldn't be SFF in that instance... Of course there wouldn't be AS much due to new gamers, but it's not like previous fans stop playing games or anything...
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
__hiei__ | Posted 10/16/2006 5:14:06 AM | message detail
Samus's match with tifa will be very interesting.finaly someone who can actualy test her strenght,since first 2 characters she beat were untested


If samus let Tifa get 45% or more on her,i'd say things will look good for Crono
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2006 5:34:03 AM | message detail
Tifa was tested last year.

Unless you're implying Tifa boosted since then.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Samurai7 | Posted 10/16/2006 5:43:23 AM | message detail
You completly misunderstood what he was saying BT
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
Who Cares? | Posted 10/16/2006 6:38:17 AM | message detail
So something I've been wondering a for bit, how much better do you MGS fans think Meryl & Sniper Wolf would've been? (not particularily in this match but overall)

I remember being on a Metal Gear fansite prior to MGS3 (don't ask me to find, I've long since forgotten where it is) and one of the polls asked for their favorite female. Meryl & Wolf were tied for 1st and was far and away the two favorites. It had a far amount of votes too, for a fansite anyway...
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go!
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/16/2006 7:00:21 AM | message detail
Holy chervolet, Celes is going to look like ass! No more FF6 characters please.

Now, what's this talk of Tifa getting 45%+ on Samus? You people are crazy. Tifa doesn't break 40%. Send it to the bank!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Tediz247 | Posted 10/16/2006 7:15:13 AM | message detail
Ugh, I just threw up in my mouth a little bit.

As to whether Meryl of Sniper Wolf would do better, I doubt it. The Boss is absolutely adored by the MGS fanbase, and is probably second only to Solid Snake among the fanbase.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
Haste_2 | Posted 10/16/2006 7:18:26 AM | message detail
Tifa for the championship! Oh, wait, weren't we saying that last year?

I refuse to believe Celes is weaker than Ultros and would nearly get doubled by Terra, when Terra isn't even really a main character. Tifa could've boosted, sure, but I don't think enough to make the match result seem legit.

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/16/2006 8:21:15 AM | message detail
Well, I was right baout this being the worst day in GameFAQs contest history...but it was far worse than expected. I can't wait until Samus blasts that ***** Tifa right out of the water. I'll be following it eagerly.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 32/34 Today: Rikku
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:10:52 AM | message detail
Ivy > The Boss!? excellent.

By all means, take such an upset. The only loser in the end would be your bracket.

(oh, and also Ivy)
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/16/2006 9:15:06 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2498

I just feelt to post this link.
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Supporter of Ryu.
mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/16/2006 9:27:13 AM | message detail
I can't wait until Samus blasts that ***** Tifa right out of the water. I'll be following it eagerly.

Me either, than The Boss will look even worse!

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I love bananas.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:29:18 AM | message detail
Not to mention how bad it'll look for all of 'em once Samus gets humiliated in the finals!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
KingBartz | Posted 10/16/2006 9:29:54 AM | message detail
I'm waiting for new pictures... Hopefully we get the rest of the female bracket today...
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 34/36 Today's pick: Tifa Lockhart
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/16/2006 9:31:54 AM | message detail
Not to mention how bad it'll look for all of 'em once Samus gets humiliated in the finals!

Hah! Snake could never beat Samus!
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:35:27 AM | message detail
Also, may I observe that The Boss doesn't seem to be the typical MGS character at ALL in terms of voting patterns. She was gaining on Celes like crazy during the day, and she hasn't really shown too much difference in her voting patterns this match -- she's just lost percentage steadily throughout. I blame the board vote, we've got one too many Boss fanatics here. <_<
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 10/16/2006 9:39:05 AM | message detail
well, Tifa last year showed she wasn't very "FF7-like" - she had more of a night vote.
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xyzzy
consolefreak | Posted 10/16/2006 9:40:44 AM | message detail
Awesome stuff from Tifa here. It'll be interesting to see how Zelda fares against Terra, who should be a good deal weaker than The Boss. There's probably quite some SFF involved here though.

Now, what's this talk of Tifa getting 45%+ on Samus? You people are crazy. Tifa doesn't break 40%. Send it to the bank!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2073

Assuming Big boss = The Boss, and assuming this ends 75-25, Tifa gets 42.26% on Samus.

This is before Advent Children, Kingdom Hearts II, assuming Samus got absolutely no SFF against Ganondorf, and, again, assuming The Boss = Big Boss. Samus-Mario doesn't even enter the equation here, so no underrating there (unless you actually think Ganondorf rSFF'd Samus).*

Trust me, Tifa will be breaking 40%. I'm pretty sure she'll be breaking 45%.

*This result accounts for Tifa - The Boss SFF in a similar fashion as Auron did or didn't SFF Big Boss. If you would expect Tifa to SFF The Boss harder than you would Auron to SFF Big Boss, deduct some from Tifa's percentage and vice versa. Also, the stronger you think The Boss is compared to Big Boss, the more % Tifa gets on Samus.

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CB: 32/34. Today: Tifa vs. The Boss. Tomorrow: Jill vs. Peach.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:46:54 AM | message detail
I would never expect Auron to have significantly SFFed Big Boss. FFX and FFVII are just two different beasts when it comes to SFF. Note how Rikku in all probability barely SFFed Kairi, if she did at all. Then look at how Aeris absolutely demolished Sora. Now of course Rikku is no Aeris, but Kairi is definitely no Sora.

FFX/MGS SFF just ain't happening.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
RydiaOfTheMist | Posted 10/16/2006 9:48:58 AM | message detail
The real question here is how much Peach will put up on Tifa. Tifa getting 45% on Samus is inevitable. Luigi put up pretty decent numbers on Tifa so you wouldnt expect Peach to make the fourpack look to awful, but it is Peach after all...
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Rydia: It's not yours!
Edge: That's okay it would be happy to be used by us!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/16/2006 9:50:43 AM | message detail
Oh, and Tifa getting 45% on Samus means she's beating Snake and hanging with Sonic after getting her ass handed to her just a year before...sure, I believe in the power of KH2, but just as Auron ain't beating Crono, Tifa ain't beating Sonic.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 10/16/2006 9:51:01 AM | message detail
there really isn't a "question" here... Tifa and everyone in her division's path is obvious. the only question is where Peach ends up, and that'll only matter for her match with Jill.
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xyzzy