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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 389

MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/14/2006 9:11:53 PM | message detail
Compared to her 2k2 value?

... You honestly take that value to the exact point? She was obviously overrated that year thanks to Tidus/Sonic.
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Samus vs. Ada Wong / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus (30/32)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Abstain
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/14/2006 9:11:56 PM | message detail
Damnit Kairi stop avoiding SFF!
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Rikku with 65.63%
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:12:12 PM | message detail
Whoa O_O

I'd really hate to see what the day vote will do

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/14/2006 9:13:35 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
32-----1--------100.0000000
31-----63-------100.0000000
30-----485------99.1752577
29-----1494-----99.1298527
28-----3142-----98.8542330
27-----4809-----98.8147224
26-----5532-----97.8308026
25-----5464-----96.2481698
24-----5130-----95.7309942
23-----4470-----93.6017897
22-----3579-----91.4501257
21-----2767-----89.0856523
20-----2061-----87.7244056
19-----1355-----85.0184502
18-----865------81.7341040
17-----582------82.1305842
16-----293------74.7440273
15-----142------65.4929577
14-----69-------63.7681159
13-----30-------63.3333333
12-----19-------42.1052632
11-----12-------25.0000000
10-----8--------25.0000000
9------12-------8.3333333

Everyone with a score of 8 or less got the match wrong.
Overall prediction percentage: 93.61%

A great performance today especially compared to what happened yesterday. For the first time this contest, the -1s went perfect! The lone perfect obviously survived, but how much longer will he hold on? No one fell off the Top 50 today.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
origreatguy | Posted 10/14/2006 9:13:43 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:13:45 PM | message detail
Hm, Samus/Ada missed 25th on the votals list by a mere 694 votes.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:13:59 PM | message detail

... You honestly take that value to the exact point? She was obviously overrated that year thanks to Tidus/Sonic.


Which is the exact point I was making. Before Kairi/Claire, some people were calling for a 60/40 blowout on Claire's part and their entire argument was centered around her placing (13th) in the 2k2 stats.

But lets not open up a dead argument.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/14/2006 9:14:10 PM | message detail
Now who's weaker than Terra!?

Peppita Rossetti.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2006 9:14:17 PM | message detail
Rikku isn't exactly a day vote chump like Claire...
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Rikku vs. Kairi - Bracket: Rikku - Vote: Rikku (30/34)
cyko | Posted 10/14/2006 9:15:00 PM | message detail
The lone perfect obviously survived, but how much longer will he hold on?

supposedly, the lone perfect has Kairi over Rikku, so this will probably be the end of the perfects.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:15:43 PM | message detail
Doesn't mean Kairi won't be able to slice some percentage off at 3. I'd fully expect her to win a few updates at that time.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:15:47 PM | message detail
The lone perfect obviously survived, but how much longer will he hold on?

He's gone after today. He posted a topic with his bracket and he has Kairi winning today's match.
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Character Battle V Score - 31/34 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Kairi
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/14/2006 9:15:54 PM | message detail
Peppita Rossetti.

Nevar! Peppita could beat Link!
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caps
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:17:04 PM | message detail

supposedly, the lone perfect has Kairi over Rikku, so this will probably be the end of the perfects.


Kind of sad that someone who went perfect through the entire round 1 will lose it on such a terrible matchup.

Seriously, today ranks with Tingle/Sora on the top 10 matches consisting of 2 characters that absolutely suck.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/14/2006 9:17:13 PM | message detail
Which is the exact point I was making. Before Kairi/Claire, some people were calling for a 60/40 blowout on Claire's part and their entire argument was centered around her placing (13th) in the 2k2 stats.

Nobody thought Claire was nearly that strong. The vast majority of Claire supporters just thought Kairi was going to be fodder of the worst variety.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2006 9:17:15 PM | message detail
There's no school today though. Kairi's best time should be the morning/early afternoon.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Rikku vs. Kairi - Bracket: Rikku - Vote: Rikku (30/34)
Draco1214 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:17:22 PM | message detail
Rikku isn't exactly a day vote chump like Claire...

Neither is Yoshi and that didn't stop him from feeling the KH day vote burn.
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Character Battle V Score - 31/34 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Kairi
transience | Posted 10/14/2006 9:17:58 PM | message detail
huh, I expected a lot more out of Rikku. and Kairi should do better in the daytime.

meh, this match is pointless. we can't take anything from it.
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:19:11 PM | message detail
From Master Moltar Posted 10/15/2006 12:17:15 AM
There's no school today though. Kairi's best time should be the morning/early afternoon.

Good point. At any rate, we won't have a good match until.... Tuesday. Assuming Peach is closer to Jill than everyone thinks, because it seems to me that everybody either thinks she's significantly stronger, or significantly weaker.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/14/2006 9:19:26 PM | message detail
Seriously, today ranks with Tingle/Sora on the top 10 matches consisting of 2 characters that absolutely suck.

...

Go jump in a lifesize blender.

And your face is pointless, transience!
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caps
King Bowser | Posted 10/14/2006 9:19:27 PM | message detail
We can definitely take from it that there was a significant KH2 boost, Resident Evil is still very much around, and Riku is significantly higher than before.

YOSHI > DANTE; BOWSER > CRONO; TINGLE HIGH FODDER CONFIRMED!!

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"That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!"
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2006 9:19:42 PM | message detail
I know she'll lose it, but I'm just saying it won't be that extreme.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Rikku vs. Kairi - Bracket: Rikku - Vote: Rikku (30/34)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:20:34 PM | message detail
Hell, after Jill/Peach, the next good match doesn't take place until Lara/Chunners, and even that looks to be only interesting in terms of seeing where Lara stands >_<

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:21:45 PM | message detail

Go jump in a lifesize blender.


As opposed to a deathsized blender? Seriously, both characters were pointless, lame and only served to attract the "lol jailbait" crowd.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
cyko | Posted 10/14/2006 9:22:01 PM | message detail
well, here's hoping Kairi can rock Kairi's world!! the better she does, the better i feel about Yoshi and Vincent!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:22:59 PM | message detail
We can definitely take from it that there was a significant KH2 boost, Resident Evil is still very much around, and Riku is significantly higher than before.

I've always figured something weird happened in either Riku/Frog or more likely, Frog/Smaus, because I couldn't see Riku being that weak. I guess people accepted it because Sora also was underrated last year.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2006 9:23:28 PM | message detail
And here's hoping for one ugly night vote and Rikku to break current trends and increase thoughout the day!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Rikku vs. Kairi - Bracket: Rikku - Vote: Rikku (30/34)
Haste_2 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:23:44 PM | message detail
meh, this match is pointless. we can't take anything from it.

Pointless? For one, at least we can safely say Kairi and Claire will have a reliable value. Kairi's related to Claire, and Claire is related to Jill Valentine! We know Claire should be Jill's floor, so things aren't looking to shabby for Jill's chances against Peach. Then, there's the idea that DK should be stronger than Peach, and MC (and thus DK) was exposed like mad the other the day.

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Draco1214 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:23:54 PM | message detail
As far as Yoshi/Dante is concerned, Yoshi's chances are slim to none, IMO. In order for him to have a chance against the strongest Dante we've seen in these contests, Yoshi has to hope Riku got one monster of a KH2 boost.
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Character Battle V Score - 31/34 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Kairi
charmander6000 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:23:55 PM | message detail
well, here's hoping Kairi can rock Kairi's world!!

O_o
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/14/2006 9:25:53 PM | message detail
've always figured something weird happened in either Riku/Frog or more likely, Frog/Smaus, because I couldn't see Riku being that weak. I guess people accepted it because Sora also was underrated last year.

... You and Frog really don't like each other. 24-25% on BL isn't "weak".
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Samus vs. Ada Wong / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus (30/32)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Abstain
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/14/2006 9:26:09 PM | message detail
well, here's hoping Kairi can rock Kairi's world!! the better she does, the better i feel about Yoshi and Vincent!!

Vincent? Why? Ganon wasn't in KH2.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Haste_2 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:27:17 PM | message detail
Yoshi also has a shot if Dante SFFed Ryu Hayabusa. Technically you could say there's still no concrete proof (outside of maybe this match) that the Devil Division wasn't over-rated, since Squall had SFF and Vincent had new stuff going for him. Very doubtful, though.

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transience | Posted 10/14/2006 9:27:18 PM | message detail

Pointless? For one, at least we can safely say Kairi and Claire will have a reliable value. Kairi's related to Claire, and Claire is related to Jill Valentine! We know Claire should be Jill's floor, so things aren't looking to shabby for Jill's chances against Peach. Then, there's the idea that DK should be stronger than Peach, and MC (and thus DK) was exposed like mad the other the day.


that's really stretching it to me... but I guess you could be right. I still wouldn't base anything off a Square-Square matchup though.

As far as Yoshi/Dante is concerned, Yoshi's chances are slim to none, IMO. In order for him to have a chance against the strongest Dante we've seen in these contests, Yoshi has to hope Riku got one monster of a KH2 boost.

I have Dante, but this is crazy talk. Yoshi definitely has a chance to win, and a good one. heck, you could look at this match and say that if Kairi's above the fodder line, Riku is a high midcarder. that easily puts Yoshi in Dante's league.
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xyzzy
cyko | Posted 10/14/2006 9:28:55 PM | message detail
well, here's hoping Kairi can rock Kairi's world!!

O_o


um...... yeah!! >_>


Vincent? Why? Ganon wasn't in KH2.


have you seen my sig over the past month, Mac? at this point, i'd use just about anything to justify my Vincent pick. <_<

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
origreatguy | Posted 10/14/2006 9:36:41 PM | message detail
I'm sorry if it's been discussed or listed before, but I haven't been able to find any complete information anywhere. Does anyone have an archive of the information on the official stats page, specifically the number of people who got a certain amount of guesses right? I did see the information for yesterday's data on this topic, but nothing like that on previous topics. This is especially considering the fact that everything before Part 387 has been purged. Can someone help?
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Taurus: Be aware that Pluto will soon pass between Jupiter and Mars in retrogade. Of course, this doesn't mean anything anymore.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:38:43 PM | message detail
Marle vs. Kairi...who wins?

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longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/14/2006 9:39:41 PM | message detail
Marle by a very small margin
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/14/2006 9:40:49 PM | message detail
Kairi by a very small margin
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caps
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:42:52 PM | message detail
Kairi, although I wouldn't understand it

As for Yoshi/Dante, all signs have been positive for Yoshi recently.

Axel doing good on MM, Zero bombing to Luigi (Nintendo boost and/or Hayabusa being weaker than thought) and today all help Riku look much better than people thought, and let Yoshi back "into" that match with Danta. I still won't take a side, but I'm leaning towards Yoshi for now.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/14/2006 9:43:50 PM | message detail
have you seen my sig over the past month, Mac? at this point, i'd use just about anything to justify my Vincent pick. <_<

Heh, I'd give Samus's performance yesterday more credit than Kairi's performance today in that regard. Especially since it could be argued that stronger Rikku = stronger Yuna = stronger Ganon = stronger Vincent.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
transience | Posted 10/14/2006 9:44:54 PM | message detail
man, this match could end up 55/45. never expected Kairi to have fans.
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xyzzy
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/14/2006 9:45:02 PM | message detail
So the guy with the perfect bracket had Kairi > Rikku?

ouch
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
Big Bob | Posted 10/14/2006 9:45:06 PM | message detail
I must say, Kairi's doing much better than I expected her to. Figured she would be SFF'd.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/14/2006 9:47:48 PM | message detail
What's to say she isn't being SFF'd. Maybe she is naturally close to Rikku's level.

Maybe she's rSSFing due to KH2 being more recent.

Which makes me think, why is the r in rSFF always uncapitalized?

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:50:40 PM | message detail
man, this match could end up 55/45. never expected Kairi to have fans.

SHAME ON YOU
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
King Bowser | Posted 10/14/2006 9:51:42 PM | message detail
man, this match could end up 55/45. never expected Kairi to have fans.

Indeed.

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"That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!"
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/14/2006 9:54:50 PM | message detail
Which makes me think, why is the r in rSFF always uncapitalized?

I have two theories:

1. Some people think (either ignorantly or subconsciously) of it as "re-SFF." Thus, the r is lower case.

2. Reverse SFF, at its core, is really just SFF. The "r" doesn't even have to be there, and it's certainly not important enough to warrant a cap!
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Master Moltar | Posted 10/14/2006 9:55:43 PM | message detail
man, this match could end up 55/45. never expected Kairi to have fans.

Scary, scary thought.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Rikku vs. Kairi - Bracket: Rikku - Vote: Rikku (30/34)
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/14/2006 9:58:41 PM | message detail
From transience Posted 10/15/2006 12:44:54 AM #292
man, this match could end up 55/45. never expected Kairi to have fans.

Shut your mouth!

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, PW:AA, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI