GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 389
| xp1337 | Posted 10/13/2006 9:57:33 PM | message detail |
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If Samus remained constant from last year, what % would she need to get on Ada to make Jade look worse than Tanner? >_> --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (028/032) Samus v Ada |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 9:57:48 PM | message detail |
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I don't know about you, but smaus getting 60% on Frog seemed impressive to me. And Bowser bombing was WAY more about Leon boosting than Bowser being overrated. He was overrated last year, but nowhere near the level some people think. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 9:58:57 PM | message detail |
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This also makes me wonder what would happen if we were to get a cool
Pokemon like Squirtle or Charizard into next year's contest. I could
see Mewtwo being a midcarder. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/13/2006 9:59:36 PM | message detail |
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"Samus kicking ass here. it's nice to see
Samus look good for the first time in over a year. I was a little
concerned, not to mention Leon looking so good a few days ago. makes me
wonder about Bowser, even though it shouldn't." Yeah, that Bowser match makes no sense whatsoever stats wise no matter how you look at it. A PS2 port that isn't even on the top game games/faq list for the system does not make a character that close to someone just under the noble nine. --- Can't think of a good sig. |
| MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/13/2006 10:01:25 PM | message detail |
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It's nice to see the idea of Nidoran F being able to beat half the female bracket reinforced with this match. --- Hispanics 2 | Whites 5 Asians 5 | Blacks 3 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:03:26 PM | message detail |
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Whoa... people still bring up the top 10 FAQs list? And not only did the PS2 port help Leon, but didn't the GC version go greatest hits? We saw the same thing with Dante, I don't see how Leon boosting similarly is that surprising. I suppose we'll see when Bowser/Crono rolls around. That's the great thing about it being round 2 now, the round is half as long, so the matches to look forward to way over on the other side of the bracket are that much closer. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 10:03:53 PM | message detail |
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Samus got 70% on Frog, not 60%. Huge difference there. :p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 10:04:18 PM | message detail |
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lol looks like I was right about Nintendo boosting <_< It's a freaking fodder match.. -_- --- Samus vs. Ada Wong / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus (30/32) Tomorrow / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Abstain |
| BDawg | Posted 10/13/2006 10:04:43 PM | message detail |
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It would be funny if Squall, Vincent, and Bowser all bomb. And by funny
I mean pathetically sad that the noble 9 will never be broken. --- Should I start running now? |
| xp1337 | Posted 10/13/2006 10:05:38 PM | message detail |
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From BDawg | Posted 10/14/2006 1:04:43 AM It would be funny if Squall, Vincent, and Bowser all bomb. And by funny I mean pathetically sad that the noble 9 will never be broken. You are forgetting the One Free Man. Now that he has been let loose, no one can stop him. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (028/032) Samus v Ada |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:06:35 PM | message detail |
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From Haste_2 Posted 10/14/2006 1:03:53 AM Samus got 70% on Frog, not 60%. Huge difference there. :p *checks* Damn, I don't remember him doing that bad. No wonder Riku's boost seems completely ridiculous. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 10:07:21 PM | message detail |
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Why does it seem ridiculous? --- Samus vs. Ada Wong / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus (30/32) Tomorrow / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Abstain |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:07:53 PM | message detail |
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It's a freaking fodder match.. -_- Jeeze, you think the shifty eyes were obvious enough. I won't draw any conclusions until Zelda breaks 75% on Terra and Peach breaks 60% on the Jill sandwich >_> TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:08:33 PM | message detail |
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From MarioSuperstar Posted 10/14/2006 1:07:21 AM Why does it seem ridiculous? Before Riku/Yoshi, people were saying how Riku had little to no exposure in KH2. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/13/2006 10:12:23 PM | message detail |
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Riku was awesome in KH2. --- "Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!" |
| creativename | Posted 10/13/2006 10:14:03 PM | message detail |
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20%? Holy crap. I never would've guessed that low. And what's with this about Jill>Peach being a crazy pick? Peach should be the favorite but Jill has some shot. At least 10%. Probably 25% or more. People forget how volatile things can be; a 10% shot to win is actually very, very low. No way that people would bet money on Peach at 1:9 odds, for instance. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 10:15:57 PM | message detail |
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Jill > Peach isn't a crazy pick at all. it might be unlikely, but
it's far more likely than some of the picks that get bandwagoned (Riku
> Yoshi, Phoenix > Gordon for example) --- xyzzy |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:16:46 PM | message detail |
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Whoa, Rikku/Kairi and Tifa/Boss are up. Rikku/Kairi reminds me why I've hated every single thing Square has done since that pile of ass known as FF9, and Tifa/Boss reinforces my belief that Boss is actually a man. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:18:18 PM | message detail |
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Jill > Peach is entirely possible. It all depends on how weak you think Peach is. I personally think Peach wins this match with ease, but I also thought Celes would beat Boss in a squeaker. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| creativename | Posted 10/13/2006 10:18:26 PM | message detail |
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I'm just reading some of these figures that get thrown out, like 5%,
and thinking "...the hell?" Clearly not from people with experience
handicapping ;) It's hard to say just what Jill's odds of winning are,
and there will always be that "partially pulled out of one's ass"
factor for any such guess, but it's definitely higher than 10%. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/13/2006 10:18:39 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, if CJay switched Zero and Boss's places in the bracket, I think a
lot of people wouldn't notice that the they were of the wrong gender. --- Dancing with myself! Oh-oh! Dancing with myself! Oh-oh! And I'll sweat! Sweat! Sweat! Sweat! Sweat! Sweat! SWEAT! SWEAT! |
| BDawg | Posted 10/13/2006 10:19:29 PM | message detail |
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I'm feeling more and more like Peach will bomb but we'll see. And Samus better keep this over 80%, 79.9 is just not as cool. --- Should I start running now? |
| CaptainFlufflez | Posted 10/13/2006 10:23:17 PM | message detail |
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i'm seriously afraid that jill will beat peach. and what upsets me the
most about it is that i'm a huge resident evil fan and i didn't pick
jill. slash worried --- All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest. |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 10:27:25 PM | message detail |
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round 1 winners and losers is up! http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31112613 --- xyzzy |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/13/2006 10:50:19 PM | message detail |
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I'M A LUIGI! NUMBER ONE! --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 10:54:37 PM | message detail |
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hmm.. if Samus gets 80%, here's her fourpack: Samus: 50.00 Ada Wong: 20.00 Nidoran F: 18.15 Jade: 9.64 um lol --- xyzzy |
| PokemonPatriarch | Posted 10/13/2006 10:58:01 PM | message detail |
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You know, as much as I like Ada, it'd be awesome to see her fall below Ndoran in the stats n_n I DEMAND SFF adjustments for Nidoran F!!! --- Proud fanboy of the Ogre Battle saga!!! ~~~Allah Approves~~~ |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 10:59:09 PM | message detail |
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if anything, an adjustment would make Nidoran F weaker. not that you have anything to adjust her/it on in the first place. --- xyzzy |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/13/2006 10:59:38 PM | message detail |
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I'm feeling more and more like Peach will bomb but we'll see. And Samus better keep this over 80%, 79.9 is just not as cool. Eh, I'm the exact opposite really. For whatever reason, I've become far more confident in Peach than I was before, which was already not worried about the match. I don't think Peach is going to be a powerhouse or anything, but she should at least be able to slip by Jill. --- "Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!" |
| Kaxon | Posted 10/13/2006 11:10:33 PM | message detail |
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So, another character that the television could beat? Damn. I'll have you know that television would have done a lot better if there hadn't been a weird guy in it! --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/13/2006 11:17:15 PM | message detail |
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Score-Brackets-% Right 31-----26-------3.8461538 30-----373------10.1876676 29-----1303-----11.5118956 28-----2929-----11.6421987 27-----4630-----11.9654428 26-----5354-----13.6906985 25-----5382-----16.9267930 24-----5158-----19.2516479 23-----4568-----21.1252189 22-----3654-----23.7274220 21-----2914-----27.1791352 20-----2198-----29.3448590 19-----1536-----33.0729167 18-----962------33.9916840 17-----673------34.1753343 16-----331------41.9939577 15-----205------49.2682927 14-----86-------44.1860465 13-----42-------50.0000000 12-----18-------50.0000000 11-----12-------83.3333333 10-----12-------83.3333333 9------9--------66.6666667 8------10-------90.0000000 7------17-------94.1176471 6------36-------94.4444444 5------55-------92.7272727 4------63-------93.6507937 3------41-------92.6829268 2------25-------100.0000000 1------24-------95.8333333 Overall prediction percentage: 20.27% Congrats to the 2s! It was a tough match, but every one of them had Sub-Zero over Master Chief! This match was just a masscre. Lowest Round 1 prediction percentage ever and hit the top performers the hardest. 26 perfects and only ONE managed to get the match right. A prediction percentage in the low single digits. We may not have any zero brackets left, but the 1s were just decimated. Only one 1 bracket manages to survive this match. 30 people fell off the Top 50 today. tree3005, FF7Cloud_Strife, ProfessorBen, chillaxin_homie, GauRocks, Xtremeblur, BatmanBegins05, GrapefruitKing, FAHtastic, Viper_Vix3n, eddiebumpo, T_I_S, red13n, Bender_X, KingofSweden, NinnyAlwaysWins, Invisa, FireLaserBeam, MetalGoomba, AGFan, homerhitter, charmander6000, russthebus, coconutED, Neo_Strife100, Skaigear, entertainer195, sephyvii, Tua_Mater and AppleKidPlant had Master Chief taking out Sub-Zero and have fallen off the Top 50. The following 18 people got the match wrong but managed to stay on the Top 50: Aziz_S, smasherx, madmanarcher, Bweezy, Gnarkillv88, LostRaveChld, Heroic_Rufus, guitarboyYFC, Jefferson_Darcy, Angelgear8, AmuroGabe, chrono500, gamewinner_3000, MastaC97, SebastianPhoton, CloudDaMan, MaxisAngel and former #1 and now #3 Galtran_X. Only 2 people on the Top 50 got the match right. ShadowAvatar87 and the one and only perfect left standing tehunknownazn. --- I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest. Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest! |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 11:44:06 PM | message detail |
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 I did my own round 1 summary/awards thing. It's on the second page. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 11:45:22 PM | message detail |
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And just thinking, without 0 brackets, the prediction rate would've been alot lower for yesterday's match. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/14/2006 2:03:15 AM | message detail |
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I didn't think Ada Wong would quite qualify as "Average fodder" I mean, I thought she could be high end fodder at least :( --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Ayvuir | Posted 10/14/2006 2:26:19 AM | message detail |
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Everyone seen that topic by smasherx? The one with the EPE theory Interesting stuff, sad, but interesting And OWNED that he didn't follow his so called theory --- Being drunk doesn't make me do stupid things, it gives me an excuse to do stupid things - Caelus |
| Gooper Blooper | Posted 10/14/2006 3:43:20 AM | message detail |
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XD ONE perfect left?! 20% prediction percentage?! *high fives Sub-Zero* HOORAY FOR CHAOS! --- face it cjay i have the high ground i have powend you - ertyu |
| cyko | Posted 10/14/2006 5:23:01 AM | message detail |
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Whoa, it's kinda early to be saying there's another Nintendo boost.
People forgot that Samus is a beast since she got SFF'd by Mario. And
this is still Ada Wong. It's the second round of a GameFAQs character
battle and Samus is facing Ada Wong. I like Ada and all, but she
doesn't deserve to be in the second round of a contest. Samus killed
Lara Croft and Sam Fisher like this in 2k4. I really wouldn't expect
Ada to be stronger than those two... i wasn't talking about another Nintendo boost, mnm. i was talking about the same boost that kicked in last year. it was beginning to appear that last year's boost had worn off, but nowi'm realizing that Nintendo might still be pretty dominant. just not Kirby and Bowser. --- i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest. Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!! |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/14/2006 6:55:23 AM | message detail |
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To eliminate confusion, here are the various levels are fodder! Hi - 17-20% (on BL) Mid - 13-17% Low - 10-13% 00ber - under 10% Or so my own biases say; Ada Wong would most likely still manage to be among the "high" fodder by that definition. I get the feeling most of you consider 17% on BL far from high fodder...well, that give "high fodder" a little too narrow of a range, don't you think? --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Who Cares? | Posted 10/14/2006 6:56:37 AM | message detail |
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Meh, I thought Ada would look a bit better than this after Leon's
performance, but I guess that was a bit too hopeful. Nice votals right
now. On pace to finish in the lower 120k range. --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go! *Currently playing Tales of the Abyss* |
| Yesmar | Posted 10/14/2006 8:12:36 AM | message detail |
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Woah at the prediction percentage! I can't believe that more people had
Felix winning than Sub-Zero. Congrats to everyone who picked Subby. Assuming Rikku beats Kairi we lose our only perfect! Wouldn't that make this the shortest time anyone has ever stayed perfect for? I'm thinking Master Hand/Kuja knocked all the perfects off, but I'm not sure about that one. Now I'm excited for Sub-Zero Vs. Master Chief. That will finally tell us where the two stand. Unless Sub-Zero got a temporary boost for this match. >_> --- Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII |
| Tediz247 | Posted 10/14/2006 8:21:00 AM | message detail |
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XD at yesterday, especially at Halo being on the losing end of the three biggest bracket busters of all time. I'm a bit conflicted about today. I love Ada and want her to do well, but I also love Samus and want to see her mercilessly crush everything that gets in her way. One thing this match does show: LUE/LL really did stuff the hell out of Nidoran F. --- That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end. ZSB [aX] |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/14/2006 8:38:51 AM | message detail |
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Assuming Rikku beats Kairi we lose our only perfect! Wouldn't that
make this the shortest time anyone has ever stayed perfect for? I'm
thinking Master Hand/Kuja knocked all the perfects off, but I'm not
sure about that one. We still had a perfect by the end of MH/Kuja because there was still someone perfect in the guru contest. I think we lost that person at M. Bison/Diablo --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| Tediz247 | Posted 10/14/2006 8:40:24 AM | message detail |
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Didn't we lose the last of the SC2K5 perfects with Gordon Freeman losing? --- That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end. ZSB [aX] |
| transience | Posted 10/14/2006 8:40:32 AM | message detail |
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fffffffffffffffffffffeeeedor!!!! --- xyzzy |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/14/2006 8:53:02 AM | message detail |
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We still had a perfect by the end of MH/Kuja because there was still
someone perfect in the guru contest. I think we lost that person at M.
Bison/Diablo Fedor was #1 when he was eliminated at this match, yes, but the perfects lasted until Kefka/Diablo. Didn't we lose the last of the SC2K5 perfects with Gordon Freeman losing? Nope, that was 2k4. 2k5, I think we lost all the perfects on Magus/Knuckles? If not that match, then Revolver/Pac-Man. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/14/2006 9:20:30 AM | message detail |
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I thought Gordon Freeman eliminated the last zero in 2004, not the last perfect. Or not. I don't really remember too well, but I do remember that guy worked at an EBgames >_> --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/14/2006 9:21:44 AM | message detail |
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dot dot fedor Anyway though...am I doing the stats correctly when I see that Nemesis would noticably stomp Ada? Like, 60-40? I know that's not accounting for any over-rating that happened to Bowser in the VC, but still, yikes. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| therealmnm | Posted 10/14/2006 9:22:08 AM | message detail |
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Gordon eliminated the last zero bracket in 2k4. --- Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/14/2006 9:22:28 AM | message detail |
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Yeah, last zero, my bad -- I think we had perfects until Cloud/Sephiroth in that contest, heh. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| transience | Posted 10/14/2006 9:26:31 AM | message detail |
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I remember that - Tsurajo or something like that. every day s/he'd be the lone perfect but you just knew s/he was screwed. --- xyzzy |