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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 388

EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:42:55 PM | message detail
If it did we'd see a hell of a lot more fluctuation in characters from match to match than we do, Board 8 obviously bracket votes to all hell, and I'm guilty of it too, unless it's a character I really like, I don't care either way, even when I know it's gonna be a blowout.

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I'm so hardcore.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 4:43:40 PM | message detail
Hmm.. though he's 3,000 votes ahead, I can't help but get a little worried.
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Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero (29/31)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 4:43:55 PM | message detail
there is no doubt that bracket voting in close matches is very rampant at the beginning of the poll. when I saw that Sub-Zero was going 50-50 in the first minute, I knew MC was in a lot of trouble.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 4:43:59 PM | message detail
Generally I only bracket vote when I don't care about either character.

...I bracket voted a lot in the female division.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
charmander6000 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:46:36 PM | message detail
Now that was a big gain.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:46:45 PM | message detail
there is no doubt that bracket voting in close matches is very rampant at the beginning of the poll. when I saw that Sub-Zero was going 50-50 in the first minute, I knew MC was in a lot of trouble.

Yeah... whenever I think there might be a close match, and I'm not there for the start, I go to sc2k5.com, close my eyes, and scroll to the bottom of the updater, then go update by update. I'm lame like that. Anyway, as soon as I saw MC's 1 minute freeze, I knew it was done.

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I'm so hardcore.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/13/2006 4:47:14 PM | message detail
Down 80; keep it up MC.

TG
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:47:48 PM | message detail
Master Chief, evening vote extraordinaire!

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I'm so hardcore.
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/13/2006 4:48:25 PM | message detail
If I'm not mistaken Master Chief only has like four hours left. Theres no way he can pull off a win.

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Can't think of a good sig.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 4:48:34 PM | message detail
That was Sub-Zero tanking.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 4:48:37 PM | message detail
too bad you weren't here. MC started out at 53 and just dropped like a rock. it was awesome to watch and the board was going nuts. half were pissed and half were lovin' it.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:49:44 PM | message detail
too bad you weren't here. MC started out at 53 and just dropped like a rock. it was awesome to watch and the board was going nuts. half were pissed and half were lovin' it.

Yeah, even though I wanted MC to win, just for my bracket (Yes, I'm aware it's shot!), I couldn't help but laughing as I went through the updater.

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I'm so hardcore.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 4:51:09 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero with the stall!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:51:10 PM | message detail
If MC wants to make a run, he needs to pull in consistent 58% updates, now random sporadic ones, not happening! Anyway, time for me to go do nothing and sleep, hooray standardized tests!

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I'm so hardcore.
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:51:32 PM | message detail
It's not like MC has even a fraction of prayer. He needs 177 votes/15 minutes to come back, something he hasn't been remotely close to during any period thus far. Give it up already.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
wavedash101 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:52:04 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:53:05 PM | message detail
It's not like MC has even a fraction of prayer. He needs 177 votes/15 minutes to come back, something he hasn't been remotely close to during any period thus far. Give it up already.

The only person that seems to think MC has a chance is TG, but everyone ignores him anyway, so it's all good.

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I'm so hardcore.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:53:23 PM | message detail
Tests, HM?

>_>

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I'm so hardcore.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/13/2006 4:54:07 PM | message detail
And this is EC speaking!

TG
wavedash101 | Posted 10/13/2006 4:56:49 PM | message detail
I mixed up alts. I'm tired and I got bloody SATs tomorrow...thrilling indeed >_>
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 5:01:38 PM | message detail
It took MC 3 hours, 15 minutes to go from 4000 to 3000.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 5:03:43 PM | message detail
looks like MC will go up 3% in the day against Sub. to compare, Auron did the same thing vs. Alucard.

had this been Alucard instead of Sub, MC could have come back!
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 5:06:14 PM | message detail
And Master Chief is starting to slow down big time.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Just Some Person | Posted 10/13/2006 5:17:31 PM | message detail
I'll admit, MC is putting up the good fight.

But it's just too late for him. Sub-Zero's going to uppercut his head off in less than 4 hours! :o

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¤ ¹ ² ³ ² ¹ ¤
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 5:17:51 PM | message detail
Hmm.. I wouldn't be too sure. What if Alucard had a stronger night vote?
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Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero (29/31)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus
Phediuk | Posted 10/13/2006 5:18:13 PM | message detail
Why the hell did the day vote take so long to kick in for MC?

He's doing an impressive job here, by the way. But there's not enough time for a comeback. v_v
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"Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle."
-Toad in Super Mario Bros.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 5:23:57 PM | message detail
It kicked in right around when it was supposed to. MC's strength has always been in the after school vote.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
charmander6000 | Posted 10/13/2006 5:35:34 PM | message detail
Match XXXIII: (1) Samus Aran vs. (4) Ada Wong

Previous Matches

Samus Aran
Defeated Nidoran F, 81.85% - 18.15%

Ada Wong
Defeated Jade, 75.89% - 24.11%

Analysis:

Last round Samus was suppose to crush Nidoran F, but instead proved her inability to SFF opponents and on top of that letting Nidoran F look like she could take over a third of the females. Ada on the other hand did much better than expected tripling Jade. I haven’t seen fodder beating up fodder this bad since Ryo/Guybrush back in 2k2.

Samus may have done poorly and Ada may have done much better than expected, but that still doesn’t mean Ada has any kind of a chance against Samus, even Leon would struggle to get anywhere close to Samus. Speaking of Leon I may have underestimated the power of RE4 after it has been released to the PS2. Leon did an amazing job against Bowser and even if you think Bowser was overrated you can’t think that he’s that overrated to let Leon get almost 45% on him. Ada may not have had as big of a role as Leon did, but it also means that she won’t be pure fodder like I originally thought she would.

When I originally saw the bracket I thought Samus would be able to break 80% on Ada, but now I think she might be closer to Jill and Claire (though weaker than them). I still think Samus would still be able to manage the tripling, but I wouldn’t be surprised if she doesn’t. Resident Evil may not be the strongest characters, but it’s not like they are total fodder.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Samus Aran over Ada Wong

charmander6000’s Prediction: Samus wins, 75.72% - 24.28%

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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 5:41:33 PM | message detail
oh, it's the end of the round. every year I rank the remaining characters so I can look back and see how wrong I was!

1. Samus
2. Crono
3. Sonic
4. Mega Man
5. Snake
6. Vincent
7. Squall
8. Bowser
9. Auron
10. Tifa
11. Aeris
12. Zelda
13. Dante
14. Luigi
15. Sora
16. Kirby
17. Yoshi
18. Ryu
19. Yuna
20. Rikku
21. Sub-Zero
22. Chun-Li
23. Peach
24. Jill
25. Kairi
26. KOS-MOS
27. The Boss
28. Gordon Freeman
29. Lara Croft
30. Ada Wong
31. Joanna Dark
32. Terra
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 5:46:08 PM | message detail
Joanna and Lara > Terra? Meh.

Let's see...by my stats, it goes:

1. Samus Aran
2. Crono
3. Mega Man
4. Sonic the Hedgehog
5. Solid Snake
6. Bowser Koopa
7. Auron
8. Vincent Valentine
9. Squall Leonhart
10. Kirby
11. Luigi
12. Dante Sparda
13. Princess Zelda
14. Tifa Lockhart
15. Aeris Gainsborough
16. Sora
17. Sub-Zero
18. Ryu
19. Yoshi
20. Rikku
21. Yuna
22. Gordon Freeman
23. Chun-Li
24. Jill Valentine
25. Princess Peach
26. The Boss
27. KOS-MOS
28. Kairi
29. Terra Branford
30. Ada Wong
31. Lara Croft
32. Joanna Dark
32.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Draco1214 | Posted 10/13/2006 5:48:10 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
BDawg | Posted 10/13/2006 5:53:36 PM | message detail
This is old but based on what I saw many many pages ago I have to say I would still take Ryu>Subzero any day of the week, lolxstats be damned.
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Should I start running now?
Draco1214 | Posted 10/13/2006 5:53:50 PM | message detail
1) Samus Aran
2) Crono
3) Sonic the Hedgehog
4) Mega Man
5) Solid Snake
6) Vincent Valentine
7) Squall Leonhart
8) Auron
9) Bowser
10) Tifa Lockhart
11) Zelda
12) Aeris Gainsborough
13) Dante
14) Sora
15) Luigi
16) Yoshi
17) Kirby
18) Ryu
19) Yuna
20) Sub-Zero
21) Rikku
22) Chun-Li
23) Kairi
24) Jill Valentine
25) KOS-MOS
26) Princess Peach
27) The Boss
28) Gordon Freeman
29) Ada Wong
30) Terra Branford
31) Lara Croft
32) Joanna Dark
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Character Battle V Score - 29/31 points
Current Prediction - Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero
BDawg | Posted 10/13/2006 5:57:52 PM | message detail
Seeing that Joanna and Terra are still alive makes me depressed. HOORAY FEMALE BRACKET! HOORAY BEER!
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Should I start running now?
swirIdude | Posted 10/13/2006 6:00:35 PM | message detail
BAH GAWD THE FEMALES ARE BACK IN 3 HOURS.
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The FFP is the best topic on the board. It's a fact, look it up.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411
xp1337 | Posted 10/13/2006 6:01:37 PM | message detail
To the bunkers!
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (028/031) MC v Sub-Zero
charmander6000 | Posted 10/13/2006 6:11:50 PM | message detail
Let me try this and I've put them in tiers.

1. Samus
2. Crono
3. Sonic
4. Mega Man
5. Solid Snake

6. Squall
7. Vincent
8. Tifa
9. Aeris
10. Zelda
11. Bowser
12. Auron

13. Kirby
14. Luigi
15. Yoshi
16. Dante
17. Sora

18. Ryu

19. Yuna
20. Rikku

21. Peach
22. Sub-Zero
23. Chun Li

24. Kairi
25. Jill Valentine
26. KOS-MOS

27. Lara Croft
28. Gordon Freeman
29. The Boss

30. Terra

31. Ada Wong

32. Joanna Dark

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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 6:12:44 PM | message detail
Peach > Master Chief? Are you crazy?
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 6:12:54 PM | message detail
yeah, when making my list I giggled at how Ryu was so far ahead of the next best. well not "far", but he seems on his own little island between near-elite and midcarder.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 6:14:08 PM | message detail
and Zelda > Bowser? wow. Solid Snake says differently, picture or not! (not that his picture was much better vs. Zelda!)
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/13/2006 6:16:38 PM | message detail
If you believe in Bowser being significantly overrated by the picture (at least to the degree that an unboosted Leon would imply), you've got to put him on par with Zelda or assume Zelda was overrated as well.

Aeris certainly doesn't mind the second possibility!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/13/2006 6:17:43 PM | message detail
Peach > Master Chief? Are you crazy?

Had MC won he would've been in Ryu's tier, but I'd take Peach > SZ.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/13/2006 6:18:16 PM | message detail
Not just ANYONE can take Master Chief...Peach wouldn't beat Donkey Kong.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 6:18:42 PM | message detail
so.. Master Chief lost to a weaker opponent..?!?
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 6:18:54 PM | message detail
Had MC won he would've been in Ryu's tier, but I'd take Peach > SZ.

So you're just bent on believing that Sub-Zero's weak still? Peach is NOT beating Donkey Kong.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Draco1214 | Posted 10/13/2006 6:19:49 PM | message detail
I don't think Sub-Zero would have any trouble beating Peach. Today's match proves that Sub-Zero has some pretty damn good strength on this site.
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Character Battle V Score - 29/31 points
Current Prediction - Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/13/2006 6:20:10 PM | message detail
People losing faith in Bowser makes me hurt inside. He's a percent overrated at best.

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
wavedash101 | Posted 10/13/2006 6:20:45 PM | message detail
You have to account for the massive antivotes. MC's true strength is hidden from us. MK:A coming out didnt help. Its nearly impossible to predict him. Either he massively underperforms or massively overperforms.
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/13/2006 6:21:01 PM | message detail
MC carries on at the same speed he has for the last hour, he'll end the match down about 2300 votes.
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Not bad bearing in mind at one point he was down by 4264. But not good enough.
trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 6:21:39 PM | message detail
those antivotes don't go away though! they're just part of his natural strength.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters