GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 388
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/13/2006 1:25:22 PM | message detail |
|
This afternoon vote won't last long. Sub-Zero will undoubtly get the night vote. Due to the new start time there really is no second night vote. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 1:26:19 PM | message detail |
|
.. Well, the time near the end of the poll then. >_>;; --- Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero (29/31) Tomorrow / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:26:39 PM | message detail |
|
I mean, Sub-Zero!? I've never even heard of him! Classic partystar! And despite Sub-Zero being a casual favorite, he pales in comparison to Master Chief. If he breaks 30% prediction here, I'll be shocked. In a similar situation, Auron had 70% of the brackets against Scorpion, and MC will probably be THIS four-pack's favorite. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/13/2006 1:27:04 PM | message detail |
|
It really sucks I had Claire > Kairi and MC > Sub when those were
the only two matches that made me think hard when I first made my
bracket. Damn! Not that there aren't other tough matches, but still, yeesh. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 1:27:31 PM | message detail |
|
I guess there won't be any Crono Vs. Master Chief miracles here --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:27:48 PM | message detail |
|
So the 7 seed to win wasn't Claire or Zero. It was Sub-Zero. All you had to do was go one down from Zero to get it right! ...A horrible pun, but I'm going to cop out and say I was referring to one division down! --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 1:35:21 PM | message detail |
|
whoa --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/13/2006 1:36:10 PM | message detail |
|
Go Go Chief! He can do it if he takes off 68 votes per update! --- caps |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/13/2006 1:36:15 PM | message detail |
|
Huge update for Chief. He's going to need alot more of those if he wants to fail with grace. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero - Bracket: MC - Vote: MC (28/31) |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:36:36 PM | message detail |
|
Meh, they both dropped. Sub-Zero just dropped a little more. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:37:17 PM | message detail |
|
Note that it was easily Sub-Zero's worst update in the last 90 minutes. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| BDawg | Posted 10/13/2006 1:37:26 PM | message detail |
|
I'm surprised Subzero is winning with ease but I think in the back of
almost everyone's mind is "well this IS Master Chump". The guy you can
believe will beat or get beaten by almost anyone. Oh and surely Auron
has to put up 64% on Subzero. Well I could actually see it happening if
there are really a lot of anti-votes in this match and Armageddon cools
off a little. --- Should I start running now? |
| The_Ocelot | Posted 10/13/2006 1:37:33 PM | message detail |
|
At least MC will make it look more respectable. --- Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101 |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/13/2006 1:38:00 PM | message detail |
|
And Master Chief's best percentage in the entire match!! He's gonna come back, guys!! --- caps |
| BDawg | Posted 10/13/2006 1:38:47 PM | message detail |
|
Psh he's been twidling his thumbs for a while now, I have no faith in him anymore. GORDON>CHIEF. --- Should I start running now? |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/13/2006 1:40:59 PM | message detail |
|
Oh, and for kicks, how many votes per update does Chief need to win at this point? I'm sure it's over 50. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero - Bracket: MC - Vote: MC (28/31) |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 1:42:12 PM | message detail |
|
Anyone have any idea when this day vote surge will start to weaken? --- Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero (29/31) Tomorrow / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:42:43 PM | message detail |
|
Per five minutes? About 28. That's still around 560 an hour. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 1:43:01 PM | message detail |
|
88 updates left? a lead of 4019? 45.67. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| TheSwizzle | Posted 10/13/2006 1:43:05 PM | message detail |
|
Subs would probably have to completely roll over and die as he did the
previous update for MC to have any real shot, without a decent stall or
update the rest of the night. --- "If at first you don't succeed, find out if the loser gets anything." |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 1:43:28 PM | message detail |
|
Next update will be back under 4000 TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 1:43:47 PM | message detail |
|
In Frog Vs. Master Chief, it pretty much kept up the pace until the last 2 hours. In Crono vs. Master Chief, MC actually kept getting strong and stronger as the day went on. He was doing 4% better at 10 PM than he was at 4 PM even. Of course, it would be a miracle if that happened --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2006 1:43:52 PM | message detail |
|
I'm, definitely rooting for MC top come back, even if it isn't feasibly possible. --- Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:46:07 PM | message detail |
|
...An odd day indeed when Board 8 roots for Master Chief. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| Jawsepito | Posted 10/13/2006 1:46:15 PM | message detail |
|
Under 4000 --- still waiting, still wailing |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2006 1:46:41 PM | message detail |
|
Personally, I don't care for either character. I just want the best possible match. --- Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero. |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 1:47:18 PM | message detail |
|
brackets > all, Leon! and yeah, the later the day went on the more amazing the Chief got. I remember that, we were all kind of in shock. MC's not going to start ripping off 100 votes per update on Sub though.. maybe once and a while, but not regularly. and throughout the contest the last hour has been a stall, like the night vote is about to happen. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:47:24 PM | message detail |
|
Sub-Zero pulling one of the biggest bracket busters of all-time is a good result however you look at it. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/13/2006 1:48:05 PM | message detail |
|
In 15 minute terms, there are 29 of them left, and Subby leads by 3991. That's 137.6 votes per update for a tie, which is completely and utterly impossible. MC doesn't have a single update win that's as high as 137 votes. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2006 1:48:16 PM | message detail |
|
True. I just want to see something outdo Duck Hunt in terms of vote comebacks. --- Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:49:12 PM | message detail |
|
Master Chief's probably not even going to come within 2000 votes by the
end, so slicing off that many votes probably won't happen. Even now,
he's only sliced off 250 votes in the last 45 minutes. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/13/2006 1:49:53 PM | message detail |
|
I'm hoping MC starts destroying Subbie at some time, but Sub-Zero still wins by a hair (aka an MC/Frog scenario). lol my bracket, at least my Round 2 is looking good --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero - Bracket: MC - Vote: MC (28/31) |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 10/13/2006 1:54:34 PM | message detail |
|
Dammit. I can't believe I can go perfect for 27 days, then lose 2 points out of 5. Urgh. >_< That said, I'm rooting for MC to go under 3000 or something. That would = the closest match of the contest so far, yes? (IIRC it's still Kairi/Claire, and that was 5000-odd) --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz AC2K6 Score: 28/29 Today: Bowser |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 1:55:19 PM | message detail |
|
Assuming Sub-Zero ends with around 51% here by the end, here's what our first round preliminary stats look like in full! Samus Aran – 41.69% Crono – 39.87% Mega Man – 38.79% Sonic the Hedgehog – 38.50% Solid Snake – 36.97% Bowser Koopa – 36.54% Auron – 36.28% Vincent Valentine – 35.58% Squall Leonhart – 35.16% Kirby – 34.99% Luigi – 34.66% Dante Sparda – 34.12% Ganondorf – 33.74% Princess Zelda – 33.71% Tifa Lockhart – 33.57% Aeris Gainsborough – 32.81% Leon Kennedy – 32.56% Zero – 32.09% Sora – 32.00% Sub-Zero – 31.50% Master Chief – 30.87% Ryu – 29.98% Yoshi – 29.01% The Prince of Persia – 26.80% Rikku – 26.55% Yuna – 26.10% Riku – 25.99% Alucard – 25.83% Kratos – 25.72% Gordon Freeman – 25.60% Chun-Li – 24.92% Ryu Hayabusa – 23.75% Jill Valentine – 23.74% Princess Peach – 23.50% Axel – 23.37% The Boss – 23.00% Phoenix Wright – 21.40% KOS-MOS – 21.30% Captain Falcon – 20.60% Marle – 19.83% Tidus – 19.68% Kairi – 19.39% Terra Branford – 18.65% Ada Wong – 18.64% Claire Redfield – 18.58% Sheena Fujibayashi – 18.03% Celes Chere – 17.90% Lara Croft – 16.75% Joanna Dark – 16.50% Ivy Valentine – 15.99% Tingle – 15.61% Kasumi – 15.58% Sarah Kerrigan – 15.41% Nidoran F – 15.13% CATS – 14.82% Amy Rose – 14.73% Lenneth Valkyrie – 13.28% Soma Cruz – 13.20% Cortana – 13.12% Roll – 10.81% Carmen Sandiego – 9.38% Jade – 9.00% Princess Daisy – 7.94% Alyx Vance – 7.52% ...*runs* On a more serious note, these stats predict 77.64% for Samus tomorrow. Let's see how well they hold. Granted, Ada's placement is entirely a guess, but I fully expect Jade to be under 10% on BL all the same. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/13/2006 1:56:26 PM | message detail |
|
Alyx Vance – 7.52% LOL SOUL --- ~*Ex~Tha*~ Sometimes it's darkest just before dawn. |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 1:57:17 PM | message detail |
|
ha. what about MC based on Frog 2k5? what does that get on Auron as per your stats? --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/13/2006 1:57:27 PM | message detail |
|
Y'know, maybe MC has a chance here. There's still a lot of time left, and it's all MC time. --- We are Smurf and Pikaness.... and we love to fight for the betterment of Board 8. Vote for us in the Presidential election on Friday. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2006 1:58:57 PM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 1:59:06 PM | message detail |
|
Well, since Frog and Alucard are probably near each other by now, I'd say he'd get a little less than what Auron got on Alucard. --- Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero (29/31) Tomorrow / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 1:59:39 PM | message detail |
|
I say he gets more than Alucard did. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/13/2006 2:00:28 PM | message detail |
|
MC pulls miracles people. He's the miracle man goddamnit. I still have hope. --- CB06 - Score: 28/31 Rank: Tied - 1703rd Yesterday's Pick: Auron Today's Pick: MC Tomorrow's Pick: Samus Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/13/2006 2:00:38 PM | message detail |
|
Y'know, maybe MC has a chance here. There's still a lot of time left, and it's all MC time. MC needs to average 46.3 votes per an update from now until the end in order to win. It just isn't going to happen, unless the unlikely event of many votes getting removed from sero due to vote stuffing occurs. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/13/2006 2:00:39 PM | message detail |
|
I'll give MC a small boost to put him over 2005 Frog, and work from there. Let's see...Auron with 63.48% give or take. --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 2:00:49 PM | message detail |
|
From trannyscience Posted 10/13/2006 4:57:17 PM ha. what about MC based on Frog 2k5? what does that get on Auron as per your stats? XDDDDDDDDDDD Can anybody say most unreliable stats comparison EVAR! TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 10/13/2006 2:01:19 PM | message detail |
|
Celes Chere – 17.90% Lara Croft – 16.75% So next year, after 10th Anniversary Edition, Lara Croft would have the potential to beat a FINAL FANTASY LEAD?! Believe, etc. (And yes, I know it's very unlikely that those two will ever see the light of contest day again. Just humour me here) --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz AC2K6 Score: 28/29 Today: Bowser |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/13/2006 2:01:22 PM | message detail |
|
I would take MC>Frog easily. Frog's just lost steam since 2004, and MC at least had Halo 2. --- Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero. |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/13/2006 2:01:40 PM | message detail |
|
that sounds reasonable to me. if Sub = Scorpion, Auron = Zero 2k3? --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/13/2006 2:01:48 PM | message detail |
|
Whatever Auron gets on Sero, he'd get like ten percent less then that on MC since MC is just weird like that. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/13/2006 2:03:24 PM | message detail |
|
Can anybody say most unreliable stats comparison EVAR! No.. it really sounds logical. MC isn't as high as you think he is. And Frog isn't erratic. --- Master Chief vs. Sub-Zero / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero (29/31) Tomorrow / Bracket: Samus / Vote: Samus |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 2:03:51 PM | message detail |
|
Hey guys, remember that MarkSmith character and his apparant vote
stuffing method? I sent a feedback ticket involving the apparant
cheating method, here's the reply: Message From GameFAQs at 2006-10-09 16:50:45 It's so cute when people think they've come up with a way to stuff votes that hasn't worked for three years. lol marksmith TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |