GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 388
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/13/2006 10:00:44 AM | message detail |
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SUB-ZERO WINS! FLAWLESS VICTORY! *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link): http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt !yawa tsoP --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: W, 50-12 vs. Superman |
| cardboard_BoxA_ | Posted 10/13/2006 10:01:21 AM | message detail |
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>_> --- *Uses box to cover nakedness* CBoxA~AKA~GavHarrison316 |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/13/2006 10:01:54 AM | message detail |
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This poll shows that The most overrated and horrible series of all time > HALO --- Supporter of Ryu. |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 10:01:59 AM | message detail |
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*gloats* *looks at bracket* *shuts up* --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/13/2006 10:37:44 AM | message detail |
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By popular, I mean mainstreamly popular. 13 year old kids have no clue who the hell SZ is. If I walked up to a hundred 13 year olds today and asked them if they knew who Sub-Zero was, you bet your ass I'd be getting an 80% 'yes' rate. IT'S F'ING SUB-ZERO --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:37:56 AM | message detail |
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At any rate, Sub-Zero is likely going to win this, but to count Master Chief of all people out is sheer asshattery. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 10/13/2006 10:38:09 AM | message detail |
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That's twice now that my incredibly hilarious and original 500th post attempts have failed! CURSE YOU LUCID FAIA --- This was Ed Bellis. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/13/2006 10:39:17 AM | message detail |
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1. DK was up by 2000, but at the end, MC was up by ~1500. That's a 3500 vote turnaround right there. 2. The votals for that match were significantly lower 3. DK is a freaking Nintendo character. Sub-Zero is a fighting game character who hasn't been popular since 1995 1. Point taken, though the further behind you get the harder it is to make that kind of a swing. 2. The lead is significantly larger here, too. 3a. DK is still one of the worst characters ever for gettin' votes in the second half of matches, Nintendo or not. 3b. Sub-Zero has been and is still popular since then, and today's proving it. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Lopen | Posted 10/13/2006 10:39:32 AM | message detail |
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At least even Lopen had given up by now. Excuse me? I'd given up on Halo, but Master Chief still has a chance because of the condensed after school vote and higher votals. He's INVINCIBLE! --- MASTER CHIEF IS INVINCIBLE! *waves M$ Flag* |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 10:41:28 AM | message detail |
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Over 4000. 1 hour 20 minutes to the after school vote. Oddly enough, considering this is my first Board 8 influenced bracket, it's my worst round 1 of the 3 other contests I've entered. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 10:41:33 AM | message detail |
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annnd we've hit 4000. afterschool vote is coming, and it better come really freaking hard if he even wants a small chance of winning this match. --- xyzzy |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 10:43:29 AM | message detail |
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To put in my two cents...MC has a slight chance of winning. I won't say anything more. Anyway, the poll is on pace to get 130,000 votes...it looks like only Luigi vs. Zero will be higher, along with maybe Ganondorf vs. Vincent. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/13/2006 10:44:24 AM | message detail |
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Excuse me? I'd given up on Halo, but Master Chief still has a chance because of the condensed after school vote and higher votals. He's INVINCIBLE! *hugs Lopen* --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 10:46:09 AM | message detail |
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Actually, I've lowered my chances of MC winning to about 0.5%. I just did the math and realized that even in the match with Frog, from 3 PM to 12 AM, he only got about 52.6% of the vote. Now, that was enough for him to tie it up because even though Frog had 53% of the vote prior, there were only 42% of the votes in.... so he had leeway. Since we'll have like, 55% of the votes in when the school vote hits this time, even if he manages the same swing, he'll fall short. Ah well... Still aim for that 51% though --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| RydiaOfTheMist | Posted 10/13/2006 10:48:56 AM | message detail |
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So in other news how much can Ada Wong manage to fight her impending
doom tommorow. Well we gotta talk bout something til this after school
vote and a Peach > Luigi argument is not something I'm willing to
fight for right now nor a Bowser over Crono bout either. I would like
to say Kairi and Rikku could be interesting but again I just dont feel
like the arguing so lets all agree on how Samus will slaughter the
somewhat decent Ada tommorow. --- Rydia: It's not yours! Edge: That's okay it would be happy to be used by us! |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/13/2006 10:56:17 AM | message detail |
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So, I had a dream last night that Sub-Zero's prediction percentage for this match was 20.48%. >_> --- 99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 11:00:29 AM | message detail |
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Haeh at least my dreams are somewhat reasonable. I remember dreaming
about Luigi vs. Zero and Luigi got 51%...I also dreamed
about...lesse...yeah, that Dante got 65% on Ryu Hayabusa, which was
exact there. :p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 11:01:53 AM | message detail |
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Okay, but with the latter dream, I already saw the beginning of Dante
vs. Ryu H, and Dante had 65% when I went to bed, anyway. I was
expecting Ryu H to win more of the day vote, but my dream nailed it,
instead. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 11:02:38 AM | message detail |
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Doh. Mac, I thought you were talking about Sub-Zero's VOTE percentage, not prediction percentage...sorry. :p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 11:02:42 AM | message detail |
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I now feel less dorky for not dreaming about contest matches! man that's gotta be one boring dream --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/13/2006 11:04:01 AM | message detail |
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I dreamt about a contest match once, but it only served as an impetus
for me to go on an in-dream killing spree. Funny enough, I can't even
remember what the match was about anymore. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/13/2006 11:04:20 AM | message detail |
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I had a dream that I woke up and Subby was winning by 6000 votes. >.> --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| transience | Posted 10/13/2006 11:04:48 AM | message detail |
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Frog > Solid Snake?! KARMA HUNTER KILLS 14, MORE AT 11 --- xyzzy |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/13/2006 11:06:15 AM | message detail |
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Yes, KARMA HUNTER WILL HAVE KILLED MORE PEOPLE BY 11. --- ~*Ex~Tha*~ Sometimes it's darkest just before dawn. |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 10/13/2006 11:17:31 AM | message detail |
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I've had several dreams where I've been banned from the site. >_> --- This was Ed Bellis. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 11:22:14 AM | message detail |
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MC will want to do something massive between 14:30 and 15:00, since
this is the time the afterschool vote starts... it's an intense half
hour! --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/13/2006 11:46:45 AM | message detail |
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Yeah, Sub-Zero's gains are definitely starting to slow...but this is
one HELL of a lead. Chief is going to have to show us the best day vote
we've ever seen in order to pull this one off. So...let's get started. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 11:47:36 AM | message detail |
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It ain't gonna happen. Now it's a game of "Guess how low MC will bring Sub-Zero's percentage" --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 11:50:55 AM | message detail |
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MC's screwed. There's zero chance of catching up now. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/13/2006 11:52:16 AM | message detail |
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Anytime now with that miracle day vote, MC. Anytime now. --- ~*Ex~Tha*~ Sometimes it's darkest just before dawn. |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/13/2006 11:54:09 AM | message detail |
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SUB-ZELOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO --- lol guru, more like gurOWNED by Z1mZum Now playing: Xenosaga III, Starfox Command |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 11:55:16 AM | message detail |
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I have a feeling that MC won't even decisively win the day vote to begin with >_> --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/13/2006 11:56:10 AM | message detail |
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Also, has it really just been coincidence that the male bracket has been fun to watch? We've had: Ganondorf/Vincent Luigi/Zero Bowser/Leon And now this. About the only interesting match in the female half so far is Kairi/Claire. Every other match went exactly to expectations. Isn't it just weird how the male bracket has just been more fun to watch? --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/13/2006 11:56:58 AM | message detail |
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To compare to Kairi vs. Claire Redfield, Kairi started catching up
almost immediately after 14:30, but MC hasn't even cut into Subby's
lead at all. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/13/2006 11:58:52 AM | message detail |
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Any reason more relevant than "I dont like you" why my topic got ignored? --- Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism. |
| redrocket | Posted 10/13/2006 11:59:14 AM | message detail |
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And now this. About the only interesting match in the female half so
far is Kairi/Claire. Every other match went exactly to expectations This only holds true if you're talking about wins and losses. There have been plenty more matches that were surprising by the percentage the winner got. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 12:00:18 PM | message detail |
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Shave off .01% every 5 minutes.. THAT'S THE TICKET --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/13/2006 12:01:56 PM | message detail |
| But with the female bracket 'surprising'
percentages were more or less flat-out expected -- with that much new
blood, there's no way you're going to be able to predict vote margins
as well as when you have previous contest data. The male bracket not
only gave us a bunch of surprising percentages despite
that, it gave us a number of upsets as well. And imagine if we hadn't
had any previous data or contests to go on for the male characters --
it'd have been even MORE brutal. The male half was just better. No arguing it. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 12:02:01 PM | message detail |
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I'm going to post this one last time for the hell of it Vs. Frog 4:00 - 42.98% 5:00 - 43.37% 6:00 - 48.49% 7:00 - 49.05% 8:00 - 47.20% 9:00 - 46.78% 10:00 - 47.66% 11:00 - 48.00% 12:00 - 46.60% 13:00 - 47.93% 14:00 - 50.62% Vs. Sub-Zero 4:00 - 43.59% 5:00 - 42.96% 6:00 - 48.92% 7:00 - 48.51% 8:00 - 46.85% 9:00 - 46.86% 10:00 - 48.16% 11:00 - 49.45% 12:00 - 47.76% 13:00 - 46.95% 14:00 - 48.19% Overall pretty similar. But I get the feeling the next hour is where the similarities end. --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/13/2006 12:03:49 PM | message detail |
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How awesome would it be if MC did come charging back like he did with DK? We deserve at least 1 match like that this round! --- Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 12:05:34 PM | message detail |
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It begins TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/13/2006 12:06:03 PM | message detail |
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Heh, decent slice by the Chief. Like clockwork. Then again... *glares at Smurf* --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 12:06:09 PM | message detail |
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Ok, maybe it will be similar >_> But it's still too little. He would have to better on Sub-Zero in the day than he did on Frog. --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 12:06:37 PM | message detail |
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lol Smurf --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/13/2006 12:07:17 PM | message detail |
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It's not lol Smurf. That last update was Subby dropping. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Yesmar | Posted 10/13/2006 12:07:25 PM | message detail |
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Not that I think this will matter, but Master Chief will probably do much better with the later hours than he did against Frog. --- Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 12:07:33 PM | message detail |
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Yeah yeah --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/13/2006 12:08:31 PM | message detail |
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But it's always lol Smurf, no matter what --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/13/2006 12:09:48 PM | message detail |
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No matter what. --- Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/13/2006 12:10:28 PM | message detail |
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Is it still lol Smurf? ^_^ --- Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism. |