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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 386

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transience | Posted 10/11/2006 9:08:44 PM | message detail
*fixes first post.. again*


*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt
Draco1214 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:09:03 PM | message detail
THE PLAN
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Character Battle V Score - 28/30 points
Current Prediction - Auron vs. Alucard
Redtooth | Posted 10/11/2006 9:10:47 PM | message detail
NEVER FAILS

---
Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
falcofan88 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:12:29 PM | message detail
Alucard am do good
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Character Battle V Points: 28/29
Today's Pick: Castlevania vs. Kingdom Hearts
WTF PLAN?!!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/11/2006 9:13:46 PM | message detail
Uh... what was wrong with the first post? <_<

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, PW:AA, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:14:22 PM | message detail
*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

Demented Cartoon Movie:
http://www.albinoblacksheep.com/flash/demented.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/
---
Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
transience | Posted 10/11/2006 9:14:59 PM | message detail
XIII put a random link in to try and be funny. I fixed it a couple weeks ago and he went and did it again. check the last topic.
---
xyzzy
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/11/2006 9:16:01 PM | message detail
omg too soon
---
~*Ex~Tha*~
Sometimes it's darkest just before dawn.
Big Bob | Posted 10/11/2006 9:21:23 PM | message detail
But this time you forgot !yawA tsoP
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"My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/11/2006 9:46:09 PM | message detail
And people wonder why I hate when the 'omg i get to make a stats topic woohoo' people make stat topics. Such immature crap.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, PW:AA, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/11/2006 9:47:27 PM | message detail
WOO HOO I'M POSTING IN A STATS TOPIC
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Big Bob | Posted 10/11/2006 10:11:09 PM | message detail
I'm gonna hold off asking to make a stats topic until I own the board in some way.

Say, Sonic > Crono.
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"My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti
Redtooth | Posted 10/11/2006 11:31:00 PM | message detail
*basks in e-popularity just by joining the thread*

But seriously, that's pretty dumb right there. I guess the end result is hopefully more maturity. That, and screwing smurf out of making one.

---
Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/11/2006 11:57:56 PM | message detail
I didn't even notice that Smurf made one. I saw this at the top of the first page and came in to tag it.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, PW:AA, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/12/2006 5:46:58 AM | message detail
First and last time I make one.
My confidence is now shattered.
---
We are Smurf and Pikaness.... and we love to fight for the betterment of Board 8.
Vote for us in the Presidential election on Friday.
Samurai7 | Posted 10/12/2006 5:48:36 AM | message detail
Auron > Bowser
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 6:02:53 AM | message detail
Auron > Bowser indeed! How can these two characters be in the same division and not be set up for a match?!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/12/2006 1:47:49 PM | message detail
And Auron/MC, if the Chief survives against Sub-Zero! - Leonhart.

Debating a match that will likely end up a doubling? srsly lol leonhart.
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We are Smurf and Pikaness.... and we love to fight for the betterment of Board 8.
Vote for us in the Presidential election on Friday.
King Bowser | Posted 10/12/2006 1:49:21 PM | message detail
Ganondorf > Bowser > Auron!

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"That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!"
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 1:53:31 PM | message detail
Luigi boosting is the only logical explanation for him beating Zero that easily. I'm not saying it was a massive boost, but enough that Yoshi should be able to still beat Dante.

The only problem is that Luigi boosting =/= Yoshi boosting

And we've seen characters like Riku, Auron, Leon, and Kratos show noticeable improvement this year. Could it be because they've had games that have had excellent sales in the last year?

Well, guess who ELSE has had some excellent sales numbers in the last year?

Now, I'm not saying Yoshi can't beat Dante, but nothing I've seen so far is convincing me that he will.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/12/2006 1:54:44 PM | message detail
And what has convinced you that Dante will beat Yoshi? Getting his series nearly tripled by Sonic, maybe?
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We are Smurf and Pikaness.... and we love to fight for the betterment of Board 8.
Vote for us in the Presidential election on Friday.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 1:54:45 PM | message detail
Squall > Auron > Bowser > Ganon
---
Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
King Bowser | Posted 10/12/2006 1:55:01 PM | message detail
Well, guess who ELSE has had some excellent sales numbers in the last year?

Luigi and Bowsa!


(Yes, yes, I know you were talking about Dante!!)

---
"That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!"
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/12/2006 1:55:09 PM | message detail
I'd certainly agree that Luigi boosted at least a little, but nothing can be said for sure about any other Nintendo characters. I would guess that Luigi boost = Mario boost, but then I'd also guess that Mario boost = Bowser boost, and Bowser's overperformance on Snake last year would have to be HUGE for him to have boosted since 2k5.

The rest of Nintendo, though? I don't think so. Peach has her own reasons to boost, but we won't be able to tell how much she boosted, for obvious reasons. As for Yoshi, Samus, and the Zelda crew, a boost's looking rather unlikely at this point.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 1:55:56 PM | message detail
Luigi and Bowsa!

But not Yoshi!!
---
Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/12/2006 1:56:53 PM | message detail
But not Yoshi!!

Mario Party 7 was a video game sales dynamo!!
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/12/2006 1:57:29 PM | message detail
Can you please think of another word to alternate with "boost" occasionaly. 10 times a post is overkill. <_<
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We are Smurf and Pikaness.... and we love to fight for the betterment of Board 8.
Vote for us in the Presidential election on Friday.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/12/2006 1:57:33 PM | message detail
So Samus and Zelda boosting is unlikely because their first round opponent was untested fodder?

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 1:58:29 PM | message detail
I'd hate to think that Nidoran F could've avoided a quadrupling before this year.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/12/2006 1:58:42 PM | message detail
So Samus and Zelda boosting is unlikely because their first round opponent was untested fodder?

No, Samus and Zelda crew increasing is unlikely because they they have no reason to do so.
---
Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
voltch | Posted 10/12/2006 1:59:30 PM | message detail
yeah so how long will the perfects last?
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/12/2006 2:00:55 PM | message detail
So Samus and Zelda boosting is unlikely because their first round opponent was untested fodder?

Samus's "boost" would be from being underrated in 2005 as opposed to any "new" increase. And Zelda certainly looked mighty impressive against Carmen -- highest blow and 100,000 individual votes -- but we'll get to check up on her in round 2, along with a number of other characters. I say we just wait!

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/12/2006 2:02:08 PM | message detail
yeah so how long will the perfects last?

In some obvious match, maybe Auron VS Masterchief
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Supporter of Alucard.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 2:18:02 PM | message detail
Nah, the last few perfects should be Board 8 people, so I doubt we'll lose them on a Master Chief match (unless it's Subby pulling the upset tomorrow!!).
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
Haste_2 | Posted 10/12/2006 2:23:18 PM | message detail
We shouldn't assume anything from today's match...we don't know how much of this was Auron's boosting, and we don't know what that means for anyone related to KH2 for sure...

It's hard to deny Auron benefited a nice amount, though...it makes me wonder more if Squall grew decently, though. Watch out, Snake!

---
Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 2:24:07 PM | message detail
67.46% in that last hour for Auron.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/12/2006 2:25:07 PM | message detail
From THEJackSparrow Posted 10/12/2006 4:58:29 PM
I'd hate to think that Nidoran F could've avoided a quadrupling before this year.

Yes, because being from a non-Nintendo game means that any other year she breaks 70% on Smasu\\us

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 10/12/2006 2:25:28 PM | message detail
well, we'll get a nice good read on Auron-Crono with Master Chief. if he outperforms Crono then we can start going nuts. for now it doesn't really matter how strong he is since we have no way of knowing.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 2:25:49 PM | message detail
Please say things that make sense.
---
Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
trannyscience | Posted 10/12/2006 2:25:55 PM | message detail
(that's assuming MC wins, of course! though we could extrapolate through Sub-Zero anyway, I don't see any reason for him to be nonlinear other than his game releasing)
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/12/2006 2:26:13 PM | message detail
Luigi beat Zero so there must be another widespread Nintendo boost despite every other Nintendo character failing to impress this round!

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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 2:26:30 PM | message detail
Meh, I'm a little hesitant to base ANYTHING off Master Chief.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
wavedash101 | Posted 10/12/2006 2:28:37 PM | message detail
MC is never a good character to base things off of. His strength doesnt just shift every contest like most characters, it shift practically every match. He is too erratic. His matches are fun to watch though.
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/12/2006 2:29:16 PM | message detail
Does the poll results look strange to anyone else?
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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
Haste_2 | Posted 10/12/2006 2:30:15 PM | message detail
It looks like CJayC put in all the new stuff he was talking about.

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 2:32:15 PM | message detail
Yeah, he made some changes. Meh, nothing exciting though.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 3: Superman (0-2)
wavedash101 | Posted 10/12/2006 2:32:23 PM | message detail
What does "new stuff" entail exactly?
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
trannyscience | Posted 10/12/2006 2:32:52 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/cb5_stats

that looks weird too
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/12/2006 2:33:09 PM | message detail
Tag. Update me on current CS & D topics!
---
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/12/2006 2:33:10 PM | message detail
I just refreshed the poll and the bars are a different colour O_o

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.