GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 385
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/11/2006 9:26:39 PM | message detail |
|
Oh, looks like this won't be a doubling then. --- Auron vs. Alucard / Bracket: Auron / Vote: Abstain (28/30) Tomorrow / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero |
| transience | Posted 10/11/2006 9:30:12 PM | message detail |
|
nah, doubling seems out of the question to me. 64% seems possible, but I think Alucard cuts at the lead overnight. I'm curious to see if Auron develops Sora-like voting patterns. that would indicate a KH boost to me. I don't know if we'll be able to see in this match since Alucard is so dreadful in the day, but Master Chief (should he win) would be a great way to evaluate that. --- xyzzy |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:32:13 PM | message detail |
|
Squall had KH2, but he still lost the after-school vote against Tidus
slightly. Auron shouldn't be incredible or anything with it. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/11/2006 9:33:16 PM | message detail |
|
Well, it's easy to dip in percentage when you're that damn high. The fact that he lost it to Vincent seems a bit more damning, but it was only by the slimmest of margins... --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:33:54 PM | message detail |
|
Or, maybe Squall didn't get a KH2 boost, but Auron's boost will show in the afterschool vote. :p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| transience | Posted 10/11/2006 9:34:22 PM | message detail |
|
hmm.. maybe the night vote that you get for being a FF character makes
your day vote look less potent? *shrugs* this is overanalysis anyway! --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/11/2006 9:35:56 PM | message detail |
|
Keep slowly bringing him down, Alucard! Make this look good for when Auron comes back for my Oracle. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/11/2006 9:37:47 PM | message detail |
|
I really don't get how a semi-generic gun toting guy like Leon is able to hang so well with the iconicness that is Bowser. Stop everything you're doing and play RE4 start to finish right this minute. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, PW:AA, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/11/2006 9:38:32 PM | message detail |
|
Leon was good in RE4, but Jill in RE2 is a whole nother level :) --- Feel my truth. |
| Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/11/2006 9:39:35 PM | message detail |
|
Leon was good in RE4, but Jill in RE2 is a whole nother level :) You can be Jill in RE2??????? KB |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/11/2006 9:39:35 PM | message detail |
|
Jill was in RE2? Cool. --- Auron vs. Alucard / Bracket: Auron / Vote: Abstain (28/30) Tomorrow / Bracket: Sub-Zero / Vote: Sub-Zero |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/11/2006 9:40:30 PM | message detail |
|
Revelation that Jill was secretly in RE2 boost CONFIRMED !! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2006 9:42:21 PM | message detail |
|
This has been pretty consistant so far. It'll be interesting to see if there's a big swing in terms of percentage. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:42:28 PM | message detail |
|
Peach is so screwed --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| BDawg | Posted 10/11/2006 9:56:59 PM | message detail |
|
Hmm yeah Auron is the only FFX character I like. Oh wait damn I played
straight into the writer's hands. I meant Wakka, Wakka I tell ya! --- Should I start running now? |
| transience | Posted 10/11/2006 10:07:40 PM | message detail |
|
argh, Auron's predictable path drives me nuts. give him someone
slightly above him like Squall or Bowser and you could have a fun
little match. instead we get SZ/MC and then Crono. --- xyzzy |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/11/2006 10:10:01 PM | message detail |
|
It'd be cool if he had a close one with Crono - not likely, but awesome. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/11/2006 10:11:38 PM | message detail |
|
I'd consider Alucard's absolute ceiling to be 28% on BL, and I really
doubt he's quite that high... Crono would get 65% on such an Alucard. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| transience | Posted 10/11/2006 10:13:43 PM | message detail |
|
even if he has a close one with Crono, it's a wasted slot. give him, say, POP's spot and the bracket's a lot more interesting. ...man, if POP beat Alucard, the board would be in shock. --- xyzzy |
| Redtooth | Posted 10/11/2006 10:32:30 PM | message detail |
|
Alucard needs more of these 42% updates. I'd be very pleased if he can hold Auron under 60. --- Z1mZum>Redtooth Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7 |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/11/2006 11:11:02 PM | message detail |
|
Poor Alucard. Going to look worse than Tails here. Well, at least there's a possible reason --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Chinballz | Posted 10/11/2006 11:30:53 PM | message detail |
|
*regarding an earlier analysis* Actually, Alucard did have a release since his last contest appearance. Dawn Of Sorrow. --- And that's The Word. |
| cardboard_BoxA_ | Posted 10/11/2006 11:34:33 PM | message detail |
|
I have 27 points even though I voted Nidoran F>Samus. :) --- *Uses box to cover nakedness* CBoxA~AKA~GavHarrison316 |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/12/2006 12:02:51 AM | message detail |
|
From Chinballz Posted 10/12/2006 2:30:53 AM #422 *regarding an earlier analysis* Actually, Alucard did have a release since his last contest appearance. Dawn Of Sorrow. That really doesn't count. He's barely even a side character so much as an added bonus. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, PW:AA, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/12/2006 12:22:08 AM | message detail |
|
This is the one time I'm going to say this, but it looks like the 360
is my only hope. Alucard needs to be pulled up massively, he's just
lost way too much strength the last couple of years. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/12/2006 12:33:41 AM | message detail |
|
Alucard 37.14% 34,366 Auron 62.86% 58,155 TOTAL VOTES 92,521 At least there something positive in this match, even if the fact that Auron gets any votes at all is disgusting. --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/12/2006 5:18:36 AM | message detail |
|
Wow... this match is absolutely shocking me. Even though I think Auron
is underrated last year, this is still far exceeding my expectations.
Auron 2K5 doesn't even break 52% on Alucard 2K4 using lol x-stats, yet
he's absolutely dominating right now. This only lends more credence to
the Vincent > Sonic train, though Sonic's still the favorite, it's
making me definitely think Ganon and Auron are underrated last year,
which makes Vincent's win even more powerful. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| Who Cares? | Posted 10/12/2006 5:22:05 AM | message detail |
|
Auron 2K5 doesn't even break 52% on Alucard 2K4 using lol x-stats, yet he's absolutely dominating right now. Considering Sora scored 55% against Alucard last year, I'm not seeing how this match is all that shocking. Anyway, good job Auron...ready for Subby/MC now please... --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go! *Currently playing Tales of the Abyss* |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/12/2006 5:26:26 AM | message detail |
|
Considering Sora scored 55% against Alucard last year, I'm not seeing how this match is all that shocking. Maybe because Auron is less than 1% ahead in the stats than Sora in 2K4? --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/12/2006 5:45:24 AM | message detail |
|
Yeah, but if you use 2004 Sora=2005 Sora, then Auron would be projected
to get over 58% on Alucard using Auron's 2005 value. Granted, the
derivation of Auron's 2005 value is questionable. --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 5:58:51 AM | message detail |
|
Impressive performance by Auron so far. I had a feeling he could push
60% here, though I'm not sure how much to attribute to him boosting and
Alucard seemingly falling. Alucard is at 23.16% using Auron's straight
up 2005 value, which is barely
above Alucard's own 2005 value, so we know that's wrong. He's
definitely stronger than that now (or he was stronger than the stats
showed last year. Again, Samus/Mario and Samus/Ganon make that
difficult to know, especially given that we've never had a clear reading on Auron). I need a basic idea of where to place Auron so I can work on these preliminary stats. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: Superman (0-2) |
| transience | Posted 10/12/2006 6:51:57 AM | message detail |
|
how about Alucard through Sora 2k4? seems the best option, I don't know. --- xyzzy |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 6:57:47 AM | message detail |
|
I'm of the opinion that Sora 2005 > Sora 2004, but that's a good
place to start, I suppose. These are only rough guestimates, just to
see how well they hold up in the second round. Anyway, based on Auron's
current percentage (62.56%), this is what it looks like... Samus Aran – 41.69% Crono – 39.87% Mega Man – 38.79% Sonic the Hedgehog – 38.50% Solid Snake – 36.97% Bowser Koopa – 36.54% Vincent Valentine – 35.58% Squall Leonhart – 35.16% Kirby – 34.99% Luigi – 34.66% Auron – 34.49% Dante Sparda – 34.12% Ganondorf – 33.74% Princess Zelda – 33.71% Tifa Lockhart – 33.57% Aeris Gainsborough – 32.81% Leon Kennedy – 32.56% Zero – 32.09% Sora – 32.00% Ryu – 29.98% Yoshi – 29.01% The Prince of Persia – 26.80% Rikku – 26.55% Yuna – 26.10% Riku – 25.99% Alucard – 25.83% Kratos – 25.72% Gordon Freeman – 25.60% Chun-Li – 24.92% Ryu Hayabusa – 23.75% Jill Valentine – 23.74% Princess Peach – 23.50% Axel – 23.37% The Boss – 23.00% Phoenix Wright – 21.40% KOS-MOS – 21.30% Captain Falcon – 20.60% Marle – 19.83% Tidus – 19.68% Kairi – 19.39% Terra Branford – 18.65% Ada Wong – 18.64% Claire Redfield – 18.58% Sheena Fujibayashi – 18.03% Celes Chere – 17.90% Lara Croft – 16.75% Joanna Dark – 16.50% Ivy Valentine – 15.99% Tingle – 15.61% Kasumi – 15.58% Sarah Kerrigan – 15.41% Nidoran F – 15.13% CATS – 14.82% Amy Rose – 14.73% Lenneth Valkyrie – 13.28% Soma Cruz – 13.20% Cortana – 13.12% Roll – 10.81% Carmen Sandiego – 9.38% Jade – 9.00% Princess Daisy – 7.94% Alyx Vance – 7.52% KHII BOOST CONFIRMED --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: Superman (0-2) |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/12/2006 7:34:56 AM | message detail |
|
*Does some quick calculations* Looks like Luigi is going to beat Kirby, not that it would matter since I would probably be out of the leaderboard for having Yoshi > Dante. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/12/2006 7:40:06 AM | message detail |
|
Yoshi > Dante is still very possible. To lose faith in Yoshi because he underperformed on a boosted Riku (who may have been underrated himself last year due to Frog fishyness) is silly. Although Danta did impress against Hayabusa, Zero's falling to Luigi kinda takes away from that. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/12/2006 7:49:40 AM | message detail |
|
Never mind after looking through my stats it starts to make sense and Kirby > Luigi is still possible. That's the last time I'm going to use lol x-stats to see if something is possible and as for Yoshi/Dante I still think Yoshi can win it, I just have a bad feeling. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 7:55:37 AM | message detail |
|
Although Danta did impress against Hayabusa, Zero's falling to Luigi kinda takes away from that. Leon doing so well on Bowser doesn't speak too well for Yoshi either, as I'd take Dante over Leon. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: Superman (0-2) |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/12/2006 8:06:13 AM | message detail |
|
If Leon made no gains then Bowser would be as strong as 2k5 Luigi. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 8:12:14 AM | message detail |
|
But even holding Bowser entirely at his 2005 level (meaning he isn't
overrated at all) puts Leon Kennedy a hair below Dante, whom I believe
is stronger this year than he was last year. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: Superman (0-2) |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/12/2006 8:15:01 AM | message detail |
|
Auron (2005c) VS Alucard (2005c) Auron has a strength of 30.88. Alucard has a strength of 22.94. Auron wins with 62.86% of the vote! A win of 23,789 with 92,521 total votes cast. Surprisingly close to the result. My take is that Snake DID SFF Sora, so Alucard's stronger than his value makes him, yet Auron's KHII boost cancels it out. Or he's really that weak and Auron didn't have a boost. I like the first one better. --- "My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 8:17:12 AM | message detail |
|
If Snake didn't overperform against Sora, that makes Ryu look really bad... --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: Superman (0-2) |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/12/2006 8:18:48 AM | message detail |
|
Wait, Kratos only got 42.89% on Ryu I thought it was closer to 45%, that changes everything about Luigi/Kirby. Let's assume Auron = 2k5 Ganondorf and if Alucard gets 37% on Auron (note that I don't use Base Link so % are based on what they would get against 2k5 Link). Alucard is now worth 23.66% against Link and Kratos would get 21.05%. Assuming that Kratos didn't gain this puts Ryu at 24.53% and Bowser at 29.91% (expected to get 57.87% against Leon) which then puts Kirby at 28.64%. If Luigi hasn't changed in strength then Kirby would be expected to get 49.87%. There's a lot of assuming, but this match will be closer than Luigi/Zero. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/12/2006 8:19:58 AM | message detail |
|
Ryu looking bad isn't the end of the world. He's overrated on Board 8, anyway. 55% on Rikku says enough :( TG |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 8:22:10 AM | message detail |
|
Yeah, it says that Rikku is stronger than people give her credit for. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: Superman (0-2) |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/12/2006 8:24:05 AM | message detail |
|
I said that in this topic! But no, everyone was like "Rikku can't possibly be stronger than Yuna!" --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/12/2006 8:25:27 AM | message detail |
|
Rikku being stronger than Yuna IS a viable possibility, because Yuna is
looked upon in the same light as Tidus is by a lot of people, and Rikku
isn't as unpopular as some would have you think. I'd still take Yuna directly, but Rikku won't be very far off. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 3: Superman (0-2) |
| transience | Posted 10/12/2006 8:27:22 AM | message detail |
|
those two are even to me. arguing over who's stronger comes down to a direct match, not an indirect match. as for Tidus... I've given up with him. I have no idea. --- xyzzy |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/12/2006 9:55:13 AM | message detail |
|
Rikku and Yuna could be even... --- That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich. SC2k6: 29/30 Today's pick: Auron |
| BDawg | Posted 10/12/2006 9:57:42 AM | message detail |
|
Eh did Auron ever bottom out last night, he's already a full percent above where I left. --- Should I start running now? |
| creativename | Posted 10/12/2006 9:59:33 AM | message detail |
|
KH: Well, it's easy to dip in percentage when you're that damn high. Nah, it doesn't work like that. Plenty of people with 90%+ have only continued to go up as the match wore on. How high a percentage someone has, has no relation on their likelihood of dipping or rising in the day. Ulti: Stop everything you're doing and play RE4 start to finish right this minute. Everyone says it's good, but survival horror has never really been my genre. I just find it weird that a guy from one game can get 45% on Bowser. That means only 11/20 people on this site prefer Bowser. This is the type of result that could be turned around in a couple years...I doubt Leon has anywhere to go but down, but if he stars in another game he could go above Bowser, which would be very disturbing. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |