GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 385
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/11/2006 7:10:39 PM | message detail |
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I'd also have to say Zero was turd of the round. And I was his biggest supporter. --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/11/2006 7:40:39 PM | message detail |
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Alright. What does Auron get on Alucard? I'm saying 60-65%. --- "My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti |
| xp1337 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:41:10 PM | message detail |
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Auron will be lucky to break 25. The Plan! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (025/028) Crono v C. Falcon |
| King Bowser | Posted 10/11/2006 7:41:45 PM | message detail |
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I think it's possible for Auron to manage the doubling, but I went with 64% for the one eyed badass. --- "That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!" |
| Tediz247 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:41:49 PM | message detail |
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Unless Master Chief loses, Zero has to be the turd of the round. --- That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end. ZSB [aX] |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/11/2006 7:42:48 PM | message detail |
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as far as expectations go, Zero only was 6% off or so. some others were off by a lot more. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/11/2006 7:43:28 PM | message detail |
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I wonder how the prediction percentage for this match will be. And no, that has nothing to do with anything. --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:46:44 PM | message detail |
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A doubling? I think people are really underestimating Alucard. Based
off their matches with Ganondorf, Alucard is expected to get 46.67%.
Sure, Auron has KH2, and Ganondorf might have been stronger in 2k5 than
in 2k4, but Alucard isn't going to do that badly. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:46:46 PM | message detail |
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=11&topic=31071372 Hrm...new stats page. I made a petition for more info in the stats page. But, I honestly hope this was just a coincidence...I mean, just adding the percentiles for all the different scores would be a really pathetic addition. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2006 7:51:50 PM | message detail |
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People calling for the doubling? o_O If Auron breaks 60% he'll shatter what I expect the match to be. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:54:14 PM | message detail |
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Sure, Auron has KH2, and Ganondorf might have been stronger in 2k5 than in 2k4, but Alucard isn't going to do that badly. Alucard went from 43% on Ganondorf to 45% on Sora, though...it seems like Alucard might've weakened a little bit (or Ganondorf gained HUGE the next year). Maybe not, though. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| wavedash101 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:55:42 PM | message detail |
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I just wanna see how much Auron manages on the MC. MC matches are
usually interesting to watch. And then see what Auron puts over on
Crono. Question: Is this match in question if Alucard stars in a new Castlevania? --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:56:15 PM | message detail |
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No. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/11/2006 7:57:09 PM | message detail |
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Match XXXI: (3) Auron vs. (6) Alucard Tepes Contest History Auron Summer 2003 Defeated Tails, 64.47% - 35.53% Lost to Cloud Strife, 27.80% - 72.20% Ranked: 20th Summer 2004 Defeated Scorpion, 64.85% - 35.15% Defeated Ness, 65.04% - 34.96% Lost to Sephiroth, 32.30% - 67.70% Ranked: 12th Summer 2005 Defeated Big Boss, 71.47% - 28.53% Lost to Ganondorf Dragmire, 45.90% - 54.10% Ranked: 29th Alucard Tepes Summer 2002 Defeated Tails, 54.32% - 45.68% Defeated Duke Nukem, 61.51% - 38.49% Lost to Cloud Strife, 30.36% - 69.64% Ranked: 26th Summer 2003 Defeated Bomberman, 64.46% - 35.54% Defeated Kirby, 52.21% - 47.79% Lost to Sephiroth, 27.72% - 72.28% Ranked: 22nd Summer 2004 Lost to Ganondorf Dragmire, 42.84% - 57.16% Ranked: 59th Summer 2005 Defeated Kratos, 55.52% - 44.48% Lost to Sora, 44.64% - 55.36% Ranked: 36th Analysis: Auron is from Final Fantasy X. Auron has always been a strong character, but just can’t take the title near elite, maybe this will be his year. Alucard is from the Castlevania series, but is mostly known from his lead role in Symphony of the Night. Alucard is one of the 17 characters to have been in every contest and even though he isn’t one of the strongest of the 17 he still does perform very well. Most people didn’t really gave this match much thought before picking Auron and really they shouldn’t, but I’m really getting a feeling that most people are expecting a blowout. Last year Alucard was behind Snake/Sora and Ryu/Kratos showed us that something did happen in the match (you can say the Dream Division was overrated, but it’s not that overrated). Where Alucard is ranked is still in question because Ryu was in the Dream Division, 2k4 I think Alucard was overrated and as we keep going back in years the stats become more and more useless. Another thing to point out is outside the Noble Nine Auron and Alucard probably have had the most common opponents. Looking up at the contest history both characters have fought against Cloud, Sephiroth, Ganondorf and Tails. As you can see Auron did better against all of the opponents except for Cloud because Alucard versed him before Kingdom Hearts came out, but it also looks like Alucard would be able to break 40% on him. Finally it is expected that Auron might boost this year because of Kingdom Hearts 2. Auron was one of the few Final Fantasy characters to be in this one and not in the first. How much of a boost is still in question. Unlike the other Final Fantasy characters to have appeared in the game Auron is still a new character and probably won’t jump as high as if his game was released 10 years ago. I’m expecting a higher jump than what Tidus got in the first game, but it won’t be as high as Sephiroth and Squall. Last year Alucard was behind Snake/Sora and even though he is a great character he pretty much doesn’t have much of a chance at winning. I think Alucard has a great chance at breaking 40% against Auron and if he doesn’t then he won’t be that far off. Round 1 will end tomorrow and from what we’ve seen it’s going to be pretty good one. charmander6000’s Bracket: Auron over Alucard Tepes charmander6000’s Prediction: Auron wins, 59.84% - 40.16% --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/11/2006 7:57:16 PM | message detail |
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If he stars in a new CV that is recieved well? Yes. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| King Bowser | Posted 10/11/2006 7:57:39 PM | message detail |
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Auron never has a problem with Alucard, new Castlevania or not. --- "That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!" |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/11/2006 8:08:27 PM | message detail |
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Ooh, I took it the wrong way... I don't think Auron will come close to
the doubling on Alucard, but I'm just expecting him to outdo Ganondorf
by at least a couple points, that's all. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2006 8:12:25 PM | message detail |
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Time Division: Round 1 - Match 31 – (3)Auron vs. (6)Alucard Moltar’s Analysis Auron Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy X Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 20th (28.73%) Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 12h (27.38%) Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 29th (23.58%) - Adjusted Value: 22nd (28.30%) Seed in 2003: 8 Seed in 2004: 3 Seed in 2005: 2 Lost in 2003 to Cloud in Round 2 Lost in 2004 to Sephiroth in Round 3 Lost in 2005 to Ganondorf in Round 2 The coolest FFX character is back! Alucard Game/Series Known From: Castlevania Extrapolated Rank in 2002: 26th (22.70%) Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 22nd (27.56%) Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 59th (10.37%) Adjusted Value: 19th (27.74%) Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 36th (21.02%) Seed in 2002: 6 Seed in 2003: 6 Seed in 2004: 9 Seed in 2005: 6 Lost in 2002 to Cloud in Round 3 Lost in 2003 to Sephiroth in Round 3 Lost in 2004 to Ganondorf in Round 1 Lost in 2005 to Sora in Round 2 Alucard with another 6-seed? Heh… We should just call this the Waster Division. Alucard, another strong mid-carder, is fed to Auron in Round 1. Now pre-KH2, this might have been a semi-debatable match. Now though? Nah… We can also look at Ganondorf, a common opponent between the two. Ganondorf did 3% better against Alucard in 2004 than he did against Auron in 2005, plus Ganon was stronger in 2005. Now Auron has had his big role in KH2 since then, so he should take this match without much trouble. Moltar’s Bracket Says: Auron will win. Moltar’s Prediction is: Auron: 62% - Alucard: 38% Ulti’s Analysis This match is going to kill me solely because of how much I love the two characters. It's also an obvious affair, but this may finally give us a once-and-for-all reliable reading on Alucard. Plus we get to see how much KH2 helped Auron! Prediction: Auron with 58.88% HM’s Analysis Perhaps in any other year before last, this might have been somewhat debated…but after Alucard’s loss to Sora and Auron putting up 46% on Ganon, I think it’s safe to say that the winner of this one is an absolute no-brainer. What will be interesting to see is how Auron performs thanks to his new added KH2 strength and how Alucard will fare after being the weakest he has ever been last year, at least by our stats. I think Auron is going to absolutely destroy Alucard in this match. I have always had high hopes for Auron after Kingdom Hearts II and after seeing Alucard weakened quite a by last year, I’m expecting this to never be close, not even from the start. I’d predict that Auron takes no time to shoot out to a lead and not do too bad with the night vote before – thanks to KH2 – his monstrous day vote kicks into gear. It should be entertaining to see Auron this year and I figure he’ll be joining the “near-elite” group too. After years without having any kind of solid value on Auron, we should finally be able to make something out of him this year. Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Auron Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Auron – 64% ; Alucard – 36% Aitch Emm’s Vote: Auron Yoblazer’s Analysis My word, talk about a tough match to gauge. We haven't gotten a decent read on Alucard since 2003, and we've likely never gotten a very clear read on Auron. Add to that Auron's probable boost from KHII, and this is a match that definitely requires some guesswork. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2006 8:12:41 PM | message detail |
| I think one's best bet here is to use a common
opponent who can't SFF or get SFF'd by either of these guys. That
opponent is none other than the contest entrant I'd most love to spit
on this year, Ganondorf the Losing Bastard. In consecutive years,
Alucard and Auron scored 42.84% and 45.90% against Losing Bastard,
respectively. Now, assuming a constant Bastard, that results in an
Auron victory with about 53.33%. Of course, there are those who claim
that Bastard boosted between 2004 and 2005, so believing in that theory
(even slightly) will result in a bigger margin of victory for Auron. Not only do I believe that Bastard boosted slightly between those two years, but I also think that Auron will get a nice boost from KHII and that Alucard may have dipped a bit. Thus, I think Auron can and probably will hit the high 50's here. If pre-KHII Sora can almost hit 55.5%, I don't see why 2006 Auron couldn't do a few percentage points better. My prediction: Auron def. Alucard (58-42) Lopen’s Analysis Fear not, I shall do a write up for this match yet! But... freelance style! (I need a placeholder prediction so the crew writeups don't get held up!) Lopen's Prediction: Auron with 59.01% KH’s Analysis lol x-stats history AURON "This is my story. And you're not a part of it." Summer 2003 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 20th Place [27.80%] Summer 2004 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 20th Place [27.38%] Summer 2005 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 22nd Place [28.30%] Auron is back and in style! After playing FFX at last, I finally seem to get what people see in the guy. And once again, we have a character that I seem to have a bit of a connection with here, as I suspect that despite his perhaps disappointing performance last year, with KH2 he could potentially be above the likes of Vincent and Squall. Of course, I'm sort of alone in this belief. He has to go a long way toward proving me right (or close to that), so I'm expecting a good showing from him here! WOO AURON ALUCARD "The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing." Summer 2002 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 26th Place [22.70%] Summer 2003 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 22nd Place [26.67%] Summer 2004 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 19th Place [27.24%] Summer 2005 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 39th Place [21.02%] Longtime contest veteran Alucard, for his part, is just trying to regain some of that respect that he lost when he was embarrassed by Sora and then Sora was subsequently humiliated by Solid Snake. Is he as weak as the stats indicate? Almost certainly not, but he may not be on that upper midcard level that people once thought of him at, either. This match will be a good start toward finding some answers on ol' LOL ALUCARD IS DRACULA BACKWARDS. WOO ALUCARD ... WOO THE PLAN <_< Notable Releases Since Last Appearance Auron: Kingdom Hearts 2 (PS2) Alucard: N/A Upcoming Releases Auron: N/A Alucard: N/A Back in the day you could have made the case for an outside upset here, but Auron has been far more impressive than Alucard historically and he's also riding KH2. I think he'll be knocking on the door of the Noble Nine, Alucard lost to Sora. Sorry, Plan Man. Karma Hunter's Vote: Auron. All part of The Plan! Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Auron with 61.45%. Slander and lies, this is. Upset Potential: 100% Alucard can't possibly lose, LOL Guest’s Analysis - Janus5000 Ah, another exciting contest. With it comes many exciting matches, as well as… less exciting ones. This match will, in all likelihood, be the latter. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2006 8:13:29 PM | message detail |
| Auron and Alucard have many similarities. For
starters, their names both begin with A. They both use swords. They,
uh… both lost to Ganondorf. Is that all? Probably not, but I think the
third one might be interesting so I'll stop listing random stuff. Just based on their matches with Ganon, Auron appears to have the advantage. Not only did Auron do better, but there is a good chance that Ganondorf benefited from The Boost in 2005. The Ganondorf Alucard faced… was weaker than CATS. Well, he wasn't really, but he looked that way! Hah, that was so awes- oh, hi Moltar. Forgot you were running this. I meant to say that match was clearly SFF and Ganondorf is actually much stronger. But don't let the adjusted stats from 2004 fool you, oh no – that's just part of Magus' trickery. He's clearly hiding from Ganondorf this year, as you may have noticed. While it's not safe to say where Ganondorf truly was in 2004, it would be safer to say he has gone up from there. Use The Boost to get through! Despite any improvements Ganondorf may have had, Auron still comes along and does better than Alucard on him. Alucard, in the mean time, gets 44% on Sora – one percent or so worse than what Auron did on Ganondorf. Would you take Sora over Ganondorf? I'm not too fond of the idea myself. Even so, Alucard did worse on Sora than Auron did on Ganondorf, so even if that match were to be close, Auron would still have an edge. Then, of course, there is Kingdom Hearts II. It has two things of interest – recency and Auron. The game probably helped newer Square characters in general, and a cameo can only help Auron. So while Auron already has the edge, he has more reason to go up. Don't be fooled by Castlevania's run (okay… win) in the series contest – Alucard is prominent in very few CV games, and even so, it lost to Kingdom Hearts. This should tell you something about how big the three games are (or two of them, anyway). Once more, a cameo can only help. Poor Alucard. Your days of beating up little foxes and puffballs are over. Fortunately, there's still The Plan so that Auron can get screwed against Crono. Square SFF… or sword SFF… or something. Maybe Auron will show up late like KH! Summary – Auron wins with 58.73%. Crew Consensus: High 50's seems to be the favorite, though HM and I can see Auron doing a little bit better. |
| wavedash101 | Posted 10/11/2006 8:30:25 PM | message detail |
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I totally back KH and all his predictions regarding this match. --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/11/2006 8:57:43 PM | message detail |
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Uh yeah Bowser with 59% of the brackets --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| transience | Posted 10/11/2006 8:58:18 PM | message detail |
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hmm... 68.45% for Bowzah. we lose a couple perfects. --- xyzzy |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/11/2006 8:58:46 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, there were a surprisingly large number of topics on the board asking who was the safe pick, when it was plain obvious. --- "My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/11/2006 9:01:24 PM | message detail |
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Not again.... --- Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden |
| King Bowser | Posted 10/11/2006 9:01:25 PM | message detail |
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71.09% for the Koopa King. --- "That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!" |
| transience | Posted 10/11/2006 9:01:29 PM | message detail |
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hmm.. are we running the extra 15 minutes from now on? --- xyzzy |
| cyko | Posted 10/11/2006 9:01:39 PM | message detail |
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match is moving awfully slow today: Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 --- i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest. Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!! |
| GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:04 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 THE PLAN! --- CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Auron with 59.99% |
| transience | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:10 PM | message detail |
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whoa looks like it didn't hit the main page on time. that's the first-voters at work. --- xyzzy |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:11 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 Plan? --- Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:13 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 I was the first Auron vote! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Auron vs. Alucard - Bracket: Auron - Vote: Auron (27/30) |
| Mr Purge | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:23 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 O_o |
| King Bowser | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:28 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 I voted for Auron. --- "That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!" |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:31 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 Everything is going according to Plan! --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:34 PM | message detail |
| All part of the plan |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:34 PM | message detail |
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71.09% for the Koopa King --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Auron vs. Alucard - Bracket: Auron - Vote: Auron (27/30) |
| The_Ocelot | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:36 PM | message detail |
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From cyko Posted 10/12/2006 12:01:39 AM match is moving awfully slow today: Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 Poll started a minute late or something. --- Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:47 PM | message detail |
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Poll started late so got an early vote. Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| Dark115 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:47 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 I also voted for Auron --- Current Content Score: 29/30 My Collection: http://club.ign.com/b/list/custom?lid=100018&owner=Dark115.&mode=vown |
| ShadowOwns | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:48 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 lawl --- Great game. Lovin Oil Country. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:54 PM | message detail |
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The first freeze was at 6? O_o --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:56 PM | message detail |
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Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 Auron stands no chance against The Plan! --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/11/2006 9:02:58 PM | message detail |
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Whoa, we lost 6 perfects --- CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Auron with 59.99% |
| cyko | Posted 10/11/2006 9:03:02 PM | message detail |
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and how the **** did more people pick Luigi over Zero than Bowser over Leon?!?! *shakes head* --- i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest. Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!! |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/11/2006 9:03:08 PM | message detail |
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LOL, 6 votes at the freeze. Auron 16.67% 1 Alucard 83.33% 5 TOTAL VOTES 6 --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| The_Ocelot | Posted 10/11/2006 9:03:27 PM | message detail |
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Did we lose any perfects? --- Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101 |
| therealmnm | Posted 10/11/2006 9:03:30 PM | message detail |
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*tips glass to The Plan!* --- Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/11/2006 9:03:51 PM | message detail |
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Auron 61.87% 305 Alucard 38.13% 188 TOTAL VOTES 493 There we go. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| King Bowser | Posted 10/11/2006 9:03:55 PM | message detail |
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Auron 61.87% 305 Alucard 38.13% 188 TOTAL VOTES 493 Haha! Go Auron! --- "That's a cruel, rotten, disgusting idea -- and I love it!" |