GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 384
| GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/9/2006 10:29:02 PM | message detail |
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Once again, Kakashi remains the only zero bracket ever... *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php Demented Cartoon Movie: http://www.albinoblacksheep.com/flash/demented.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link): http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt --- CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Crono with 75.50% |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/9/2006 10:29:42 PM | message detail |
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First --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| transience | Posted 10/9/2006 10:30:38 PM | message detail |
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pfft, 32 character contests don't count! --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/9/2006 11:51:53 PM | message detail |
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Tag. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, PW:AA, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/10/2006 7:27:17 AM | message detail |
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tizzagg --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 10/10/2006 8:10:29 AM | message detail |
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Squall > Sonic > Snake > Mega Man --- Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship: Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 2:45:04 PM | message detail |
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Truth. --- As you wish. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 2:45:43 PM | message detail |
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*looks at the previous 500 post* J-Man FTW! --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:46:03 PM | message detail |
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Bowser > Crono! --- "Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!" |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:48:26 PM | message detail |
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Falcon needs to keep this up so I can win me a Crew point! --- "Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!" |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 2:48:47 PM | message detail |
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Bowser could outperform Mega Man on Kennedy and I still wouldn't be worried! oh you crazy guys and your noble nine upsets --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 2:49:24 PM | message detail |
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Fear Squall before you fear the Koopa King! --- As you wish. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/10/2006 2:49:30 PM | message detail |
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Woo, I hope this is a sign of what Bowser may be able to do against Crono with his day vote. Go Go Bowser! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Crono vs. Capt. Falcon - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Falcon (25/28) |
| Aprosenf | Posted 10/10/2006 2:49:44 PM | message detail |
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Once again, Kakashi remains the only zero bracket ever... I thought there were 3 or so zero brackets in the series contest? --- For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:51:17 PM | message detail |
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You'll be worried when Bowser gets the doubling, Tran Man!! Fear Squall before you fear the Koopa King! Haw! NSMB boost > KH2 boost!! --- "Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!" |
| Redtooth | Posted 10/10/2006 3:06:44 PM | message detail |
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It will many more years for Crono to drop. As long as there are people
out there willing to play old games, CT will be one of the first they
play. Most of my friends were introduced to SNES era games through it.
Who here has an SNES, console or emulator, and never played CT? When a new generation comes around that outright refuses to play old games, that's when Crono will stop keeping up with the 'newer' characters. I think this is happening, but slowly. Some gamers don't want to play old games, for varying reasons, but enough do that the SNES, and through proxy CT, can remain popular on the site. I'm thinking at the very least, another 3 years before Crono has any considerable 'drop'(or just stagnates while everyone else boosts). That idea of CT on Virtual Console could be interesting though. I know it's unlikely, since CT can be free, but the game could do decent. Anyone know the sales on FF:C? --- Z1mZum>Redtooth Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7 |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 3:07:05 PM | message detail |
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Personally I think Sora > Megaman is the most likely Noble Nine upset right now. --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 3:08:12 PM | message detail |
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most likely NN upset? uh... Vincent > Sonic Squall > Snake Bowser > Crono Sora > Mega Man Zelda > Samus in that order, with none of them being very threatening. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| Aprosenf | Posted 10/10/2006 3:08:21 PM | message detail |
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Crono is dropping like a rock. He's been pretty consistently losing
about 3-4 hundredths of a percent per update for the last 3 and a half
hours (total loss of 1.5% since 14:35). At this rate, he'll fall under
the tripling in two more updates, and he could end up under 72% if
these trends keep up until the end of the match (which I doubt they
will). He'll probably end in the low 73's. --- For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/10/2006 3:10:06 PM | message detail |
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With Round 2 upsets, I'd go...*from most likely to least likely* Vincent > Sonic Bowser > Crono Sora > Mega Man Squall > Snake --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Crono vs. Capt. Falcon - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Falcon (25/28) |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2006 3:11:15 PM | message detail |
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Random thought: If Crono vs. Master Chief was held for a year, and you
could only vote once (EVER), do you think Master Chief would win? =p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 3:11:49 PM | message detail |
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that's one weird, meaningless and impossible to know question! --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/10/2006 3:11:53 PM | message detail |
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I don't understand why that would make adifference.. --- I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon. SC2k6: 27/28 Today's pick: Crono |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 3:12:53 PM | message detail |
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Sora > Mega Man isn't a round TWO upset, Moltar. And there's no way
it's more likely than Squall > Snake. This so-called
"overperformance" is by no means a guarantee. Personally I think Sora > Megaman is the most likely Noble Nine upset right now. Strange people. NSMB boost > KH2 boost!! Irrelevant since Crono > Snake! --- As you wish. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 3:14:53 PM | message detail |
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Yeah I know. I usually overestimate characters who faces my favourite
characters (Sonic and Megaman). I've no idea who Axel is, but if he can
get above 30% on the blue bomber, then I'm scared what the main
character from that game can do. --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/10/2006 3:14:58 PM | message detail |
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Sora > Mega Man isn't a round TWO upset, Moltar. You know what... ... ... ... ... ... Snake >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Squall !! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Crono vs. Capt. Falcon - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Falcon (25/28) |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 3:16:06 PM | message detail |
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So you're trying to counter being wrong with an even greater wrong? That's interesting. --- As you wish. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/10/2006 3:16:18 PM | message detail |
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I'd consider Sora a lock to break 40% at this point, but that's not saying much. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 3:16:20 PM | message detail |
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And Crono doesn't triple Falcon anymore. Mission Failed! (I wonder how many times I heard that when I beat all the F-Zero GX missions?) --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 3:17:33 PM | message detail |
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Captain Falcon is going to break the fodder line, after all. A tripling puts him at 19.94% on BL. --- As you wish. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2006 3:18:04 PM | message detail |
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The reason I asked that is...well, you'd think that the vast majority
of the voters will be the most casual visitors after several days; they
are obviously in the minority among voters in any given day (or 2/3/4
days), but across 365 days... Well, it's meaningless, I know. =p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/10/2006 3:18:44 PM | message detail |
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Well, I was kinda hoping that Crono might have had one of his random increases again. Though PoP > Falcon feels so weird, yet so right !! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/10/2006 3:19:29 PM | message detail |
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So you're trying to counter being wrong with an even greater wrong? They say two wrongs make a right....I think. I also never said the overperformance was a guarantee. I just think it's likely to happen. And thinking about it, yeah, Squall > Snake should be above Sora > Mega Man (since I think mid-40's is the best Sora will be able to manage on MM, while Squall shouldn't get any lower than 45%). --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Crono vs. Capt. Falcon - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Falcon (25/28) |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 3:20:45 PM | message detail |
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Meh, I think Snake and Squall are too close to think about an overperformance. --- As you wish. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 3:21:24 PM | message detail |
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The Prince is a gaming icon. Falcon is just a picture is the most of
the F-Zero games. If it wasn't for SSB, Crono would break 85% --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 3:35:46 PM | message detail |
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wouldn't Sora breaking 40% on Mega Man put him pretty close to Snake? --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/10/2006 3:35:46 PM | message detail |
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If it wasn't for SSB/M, Crono would be aiming hard for 90%. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 3:39:03 PM | message detail |
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wouldn't Sora breaking 40% on Mega Man put him pretty close to Snake? 40% on Mega Man = 31.03% on BL, below 2005 Luigi --- As you wish. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/10/2006 3:40:54 PM | message detail |
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wouldn't Sora breaking 40% on Mega Man put him pretty close to Snake? Who, Sora or Mega Man? I'd like to think that Snake could break 40% on MM pretty easily nowadays... And Sora not breaking 40% would dumbfound me given that freaking Axel broke 30%. Mega Man's only projected to get 63% on Sora 2k4 anyway... --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Kaxon | Posted 10/10/2006 3:46:07 PM | message detail |
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Bowser > Crono! Man, you jumped right from one crappy bandwagon to another! --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2006 3:48:28 PM | message detail |
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37% update for Captain Falcon! --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/10/2006 3:50:08 PM | message detail |
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If Falcon can do this, Bowser may be winning a nice chunk of updates during the day. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Crono vs. Capt. Falcon - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Falcon (25/28) |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 10/10/2006 3:50:59 PM | message detail |
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Crono's Percentage by the hour: 18:00 | 69.81% 17:00 | 69.52% 16:00 | 71.29% 15:00 | 73.83% 14:00 | 74.88% 13:00 | 76.98% 12:00 | 75.37% 11:00 | 75.01% 10:00 | 77.80% 09:00 | 75.77% 08:00 | 74.61% 07:00 | 74.59% 06:00 | 78.88% 05:00 | 78.24% 04:00 | 79.62% 03:00 | 78.70% 02:00 | 78.19% 01:00 | 77.19% Behold the power of the Melee, er, evening vote? Huh. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 3:52:26 PM | message detail |
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If Falcon can do this, Bowser may be winning a nice chunk of updates during the day. Repeat after me: Bowser's day vote isn't that good. He actually lost VOTES, not just percentage, against Kirby, and his day vote against Snake wasn't THAT good. --- As you wish. |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 3:56:21 PM | message detail |
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yeah, Bowser's really not special with the day vote despite being
Nintendo. this is just SSBM's massive day vote. we've seen it before
with Master Hand. remember, CF is not drawing power from anything but
SSBM. maybe 10% of his votes come from F-Zero. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 3:58:43 PM | message detail |
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Man, you jumped right from one crappy bandwagon to another! The Bowser > Crono bandwagon is a very nice place. You should come along; it's hardly crappy! --- "Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!" |
| Kaxon | Posted 10/10/2006 4:00:16 PM | message detail |
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Although Crono doesn't seem to have lost much strength, might his day vote be getting worse as he (and his fans) age? --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 4:01:47 PM | message detail |
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this voter shift is not surprising to me. it's kind of like Kratos/Ryu
- Ryu doesn't have a horrid day vote (that's the morning vote), but
Kratos shaved a ton of percentage off with the day vote. I thought
Crono would achieve a tripling and then fall to about 71% - I
underestimated him, but it looks like the voting pattern will be right
on. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 4:01:50 PM | message detail |
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Whoa! I hadn't even realized that Crono was brought under the tripling. Only .65% more to go, Falcon! --- "Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!" |
| Kaxon | Posted 10/10/2006 4:06:01 PM | message detail |
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The Bowser > Crono bandwagon is a very nice place. You should come along; it's hardly crappy! Sorry, I like Crono too much. Now Luigi > Sonic, there's a bandwagon I can get behind! (Luigi > Sonic > Mario, *****es!) --- ....TCELES B HSUP |