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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 383

H__RR____H | Posted 10/10/2006 10:30:55 AM | message detail
Tanner must have a hellacious day-vote then!
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
Garsha_III | Posted 10/10/2006 12:28:37 PM | message detail
*looks at Luigi/Zero prediction percentage*

Wow. Board 8 got utterly owned.
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George Harrison > Flonne
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/10/2006 12:47:00 PM | message detail
I love how bloutout matches are even better than the female bracket, granted they were 90% blowout matches.

I can't get over PoP not being in the next round either.... getting 38%+ just feels like he won.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/10/2006 12:47:22 PM | message detail
lol bloutout
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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Master Moltar | Posted 10/10/2006 12:56:42 PM | message detail
Yes Crono, feel the power of Faclon's day vote!!!

Wow, Crono actually hit 78% overnight? Impressive. Crono > Male Bracket Indeed!!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Crono vs. Capt. Falcon - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Falcon (25/28)
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/10/2006 1:05:20 PM | message detail
"Ness beats CF and does so comfortably"

How long have I been saying that?
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/10/2006 1:08:21 PM | message detail
I never expected CF to even come past the fodder line, You guys just.. overrate SSBM characters a bit too much.
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Crono vs. Falcon / Bracket: Crono / Vote: Falcon (26/28)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Bowser / Vote: Bowser
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/10/2006 1:11:44 PM | message detail
Wow. CF might actually avoide the tripling.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 1:14:32 PM | message detail
did you use a constant Lara when you made those stats?

Nah, I raised her a little bit. Either way, chances are good that Alyx Vance ends up dead last in this thing.

And Captain Falcon is doing very well with the after school vote. I didn't expect him to be pulling 30% updates. Crono might drop below 75% after all.
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As you wish.
trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 1:14:53 PM | message detail
isn't Ness > CF the consensus here? you guys are treating it like you were the only one who thought that. I've seen at least ten people, myself included, say that.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/10/2006 1:16:34 PM | message detail
I've always thought that CF>Ness was fishy at best.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/10/2006 1:16:50 PM | message detail
Really? I didn't feel like that, heh.
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Crono vs. Falcon / Bracket: Crono / Vote: Falcon (26/28)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Bowser / Vote: Bowser
nintendoveteran | Posted 10/10/2006 1:17:04 PM | message detail
These move fast. 0_0
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http://ultnintendo.proboards4.com/index.cgi
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/10/2006 1:18:37 PM | message detail
Nah, I raised her a little bit.

Good.

Either way, chances are good that Alyx Vance ends up dead last in this thing.

Not so sure about Alyx - Carmen or Jade might manage it. If Daisy somehow finished last, I wouldn't buy it at all, obviously.

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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 27/28 Today: Crono
trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 1:31:07 PM | message detail
ahh, it's like Master Hand all over again. 65% update there.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 1:35:55 PM | message detail
More like, Axel all over again.
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As you wish.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 1:36:07 PM | message detail
Seems like Falcon will avoid to get trippled.
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Supporter of Alucard.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2006 1:36:33 PM | message detail
I honestly believe there are a group of about five people who cheat for Crono in EVERY SINGLE ONE of his matches, giggling frantically all the while.

Why doesn't Crono decrease? It's because the site loves CT...that's why. GameFAQs increases its traffic by CT fans telling all their friends to come to GameFAQs. It's different from, say, people loving the latest Grand Theft Auto or something. New games come along and are popular for a while...but since this is ultimately a Nintendo/Square site, such games will drop in popularity after not-too-long.

Well, it's not precisely that, but...you get the idea. To make Crono drop, I say something would have to happen to the site that made it more mainstream and less biased toward Square. High vote totals don't necessarily mean the site has become more mainstream...for all we know, most of the new visitors were Nintendo/Square fanboys who told their Nintendo/Square fanboy friends to come to the site...

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Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2006 1:39:34 PM | message detail
Two 35% updates in a row...impressive.

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Starion | Posted 10/10/2006 1:48:22 PM | message detail
How does that explain Magus and Frog though? (unless those two didn't actually decrease, can't remember).
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Now playing: Castlevania:AOS | Queue: Castlevania:DOS, Okami | Waiting for: FF12, Castlevania:POR
Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 1:49:48 PM | message detail
People confuse Magus and Frog dropping with them getting exposed. There's a big difference. We really have no idea if they dropped or not because we never had an accurate reading on them before.
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As you wish.
RevolverAk47 | Posted 10/10/2006 1:51:39 PM | message detail
Crono could very well finish at 73+% if CF continues this.
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"A cornered fox is more dangerous than a jackal." - Gray Fox
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/10/2006 2:07:25 PM | message detail
I do think Crono can only keep this up for so long, to be honest. As the old crowd leave, and new people arrive, he'll become less and less known on the site. Obviously, a good many will always be here to vote for Crono, which is why I can never see him being anything less than a strong character, but I can definitely see him being the weakest in a couple of years.

This is part of my reasoning for picking Sonic > Crono. Obviously I think Sonic boosted this year, but Crono's popularity getting passed through time is another factor. I mean, casuals who are around 13 or 14-ish come to the site. Who're they going to vote for? Some guy called Crono, who has red hair and a bandanna, or someone like Sonic, well-known recently?

I'm probably just talking right through my ass here, but I think this is the best shot Sonic's ever gotten at beating Crono, had they met previously.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 27/28 Today: Crono
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/10/2006 2:10:46 PM | message detail
Frog and Magus didn't drop, they just didn't boost with everyone else. It's the same reason why Crono got his socks rocked by Mario last year.

Besides, Frog seems to fluctuate in strength randomly, much like Master Chief.

Why this is, I do not know.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:13:25 PM | message detail
I do think Crono can only keep this up for so long, to be honest. As the old crowd leave, and new people arrive, he'll become less and less known on the site. Obviously, a good many will always be here to vote for Crono, which is why I can never see him being anything less than a strong character, but I can definitely see him being the weakest in a couple of years.

The mentality that Crono must eventually decrease over time is one that never has any substantial backing. No matter what shifts we see at this site Chrono Trigger is going to be one of the "elite" games. It only makes sense that Crono would benefit rather heavily from that.

Now, other characters in the Noble Nine passing him up, and even perhaps the near-elites, would not be particularly surprising. I don't think we'll see any big decline for Crono for a long time to come. Chrono Trigger should get plenty of exposure again on the Virtual Console -- and maybe on whatever system Square Enix decides to release it on again. I think Crono will stay rather static, but other characters around him will go up thanks to their new games and whatnot.

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2006 2:16:11 PM | message detail
Speaking of Frog and Magus getting exposed... isn't it interesting that, despite Frog turning out to be much more overrated than Magus, Magus was the one who lost in the major upset? Magus/Knuckles was more Knuckles being underestimated (or, rather, Knuckles boosted unexpectedly) than Magus being overestimated...well, unless the Devil Division was indeed overrated, but it's not looking all that likely.

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wavedash101 | Posted 10/10/2006 2:16:23 PM | message detail
I do think Crono can only keep this up for so long, to be honest. As the old crowd leave, and new people arrive, he'll become less and less known on the site. Obviously, a good many will always be here to vote for Crono, which is why I can never see him being anything less than a strong character, but I can definitely see him being the weakest in a couple of years.

This is said tons of times every year yet it is never proven true. CT will never decrease cause of a little thing called emulation!

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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
GavHarrison316 | Posted 10/10/2006 2:16:55 PM | message detail
lawl
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*hides in a box*
>_>~~~SMBX2J[SPARE ROOM]>_>~~~Maviss Coincidence?!?!
Starion | Posted 10/10/2006 2:18:56 PM | message detail
Yeah. Unlike the rest of the Noble Nine, Crono won't have the benefit of new games to sustain his popularity (Cloud and Sephiroth have KH + possible FF7 sequels). Unless CT gets released on the Wii or DS or Xbox Arcade, he has nowhere else to go but down. It will probably be a very slow descent but it will be a fall nonetheless.

Speaking of Xbox Arcade, I hope the release of SOTN on the Xbox360 boosts Alucard's popularity a bit. Too late for this contest though.
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Now playing: Castlevania:AOS | Queue: Castlevania:DOS, Okami | Waiting for: FF12, Castlevania:POR
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/10/2006 2:21:22 PM | message detail
Only so many people emulate or wish to emulate. They might be running out, who knows?

Last time I bought this up, people dismissed it as saying "people say this every year". THAT MAKES NO SENSE AT ALL. People said Gordon Freeman would never win. OOPS. CjayC said he would never merge this site with gamespot. OOPS.

I'm sure there's plenty of other examples, but whatever. Saying Crono won't decrease this year because people have said it every year and it hasn't happened is ridiculous.
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AC2K6 Score: 27/28 Today: Crono
Haste_2 | Posted 10/10/2006 2:22:30 PM | message detail
The afterschool vote today has been almost identical to that of Mega Man vs. Axel...at the rate things are going, Crono will end up at 74% almost on the mark. I'm not counting on it going at the same rate, though...

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shadow8021 | Posted 10/10/2006 2:23:24 PM | message detail
Bowser > Crono!
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Character Battle Score: 27/28
Today's Pick: Crono
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:23:39 PM | message detail
I'm sure there's plenty of other examples, but whatever. Saying Crono won't decrease this year because people have said it every year and it hasn't happened is ridiculous.

The only reason you even want to say it is so that you reassure yourself that Sonic looks good. There's nothing pointing to Crono decreasing and he probably won't. People do come out of the woodwork every year to start preaching out increased vote totals are going to make Crono decrease or how this is the year that Crono finally starts to decline or whatever.

Trying to call that again this year is not anything new. You're just stating what has been stated every year. Until we actually see something pointing to him decreasing, I think it's just rather pointless to discuss.

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:24:45 PM | message detail
Bowser > Crono!

I like the way you think!!

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
GavHarrison316 | Posted 10/10/2006 2:29:07 PM | message detail
As do I.
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*hides in a box*
>_>~~~SMBX2J[SPARE ROOM]>_>~~~Maviss Coincidence?!?!
Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 2:32:52 PM | message detail
I do think Crono can only keep this up for so long, to be honest. As the old crowd leave, and new people arrive, he'll become less and less known on the site.

Yeah, all of those new people who own the Wii who will have the opportunity to play Chrono Trigger on the Virtual Console!
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As you wish.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/10/2006 2:36:19 PM | message detail
The only reason you even want to say it is so that you reassure yourself that Sonic looks good.

I've never denied this - I'm arguing to support my pick, as many people do. Besdies, I hardly need to argue Sonic after his performance on CATS. I know, it's CATS, and we have no idea how to place his hybrid form, but it was still a great performance.

Trying to call that again this year is not anything new. You're just stating what has been stated every year.

...Yes, and? I know this already, I referred to it, in fact. What I'm saying is, people are just dimsissing the possibility of a Crono decrease for no other reason than "It's been mentioned before every year", which is horrendous logic.

Yeah, all of those new people who own the Wii who will have the opportunity to play Chrono Trigger on the Virtual Console!

Hmm, it was announced for the Virtual Console? Meh, even if it hasn't it probably will be there...which means that this is possibly the best shot Sonic will ever have at winning against Crono
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AC2K6 Score: 27/28 Today: Crono
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 2:38:42 PM | message detail
Who hasn't played Chrono Trigger on a emulator? And who would actually pay to download a old game which has been on the internet for almost 10 years?
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Supporter of Alucard.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/10/2006 2:39:50 PM | message detail
People who are against Emulating or didn't know you could download old games, I guess...
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AC2K6 Score: 27/28 Today: Crono
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/10/2006 2:40:16 PM | message detail
(as in, didn't know about emulation)
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AC2K6 Score: 27/28 Today: Crono
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:40:35 PM | message detail
...Yes, and? I know this already, I referred to it, in fact. What I'm saying is, people are just dimsissing the possibility of a Crono decrease for no other reason than "It's been mentioned before every year", which is horrendous logic.

They are dismissing the possibility because we have heard it year after year after year. It's the same deal about someone finally beating the Noble Nine. People call for it every year and it never comes to fruition. When you're just reguritating the same old stuff we've heard year in and year out without new evidence to support it, why should people bother listening this time? Perhaps if Crono was underperforming today by a good bit there might be a reason to mention it...but he's not.

I'm not sure why you would expect anyone to hear what you're saying and start really considering it. There's no reason to believe Crono has gotten weaker right now. Higher vote totals don't mean anything against Crono in these contests; that should be common knowledge by now.

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 2:41:16 PM | message detail
a Crono decrease needs to be shown with results, not "oh he's a year older, he's got to decline sometime". when you say that without any evidence backing it, it's basically a meaningless comment.

now if you say "hey, Crono underperformed against Falcon, Sonic > Crono confirmed", that's something totally else. mind you that's not what's happening here at all and Crono looks as good as ever. I know you want Sonic to win, but at least try to put forth reasoning for a Sonic victory rather than "Crono's old!"
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 2:41:54 PM | message detail
Luigi beat Zero worse than Sonic. Luigi lost to Yoshi who lost to Bowser. Crono = Sonic, so Bowser will win with ease!
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Supporter of Alucard.
trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 2:42:48 PM | message detail
see, now that's a leap of faith!
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:43:05 PM | message detail
Bowser is beating the male bracket with ease, yo!


FEAR NSMB!

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 2:43:37 PM | message detail
pfff Bowser won't stand a chance against Alucard!

The plan > The male bracket!
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Supporter of Alucard.
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/10/2006 2:44:05 PM | message detail
Bowser > The Plan !!

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"Looking good, Princess, especially from this angle!"
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/10/2006 2:44:21 PM | message detail
LIES!
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Supporter of Alucard.
Sir Crono | Posted 10/10/2006 2:44:36 PM | message detail
HM finally backing the BETTER Nintendo villain!
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As you wish.
trannyscience | Posted 10/10/2006 2:44:37 PM | message detail
Jay Solano - putting any and all plans to shame.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters