GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 380
| shadow8021 | Posted 10/7/2006 12:56:22 PM | message detail |
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"I won't be worried about Zero no matter what Kirby does. Luigi is the bigger threat to him." That's exactly what I've been thinking. Whoever wins Luigi/Zero will prolly win the fourpack, unless Luigi gets under the same hex the Bowser did against Kirby. --- Character Battle Score: 25/25 Today's Pick: Vincent Valentine |
| creativename | Posted 10/7/2006 12:58:53 PM | message detail |
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Bowser/Kirby are overrated in the standings, but I'm pretty sure Kirby is stronger than Luigi. I don't think Luigi can really beat Zero, but Kirby can. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 1:03:37 PM | message detail |
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3500 vote lead. Out of the range for random variation. Hooray, NintendoFAQs hath fallen. --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| Dark115 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:05:52 PM | message detail |
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If all of this keeps up I may actually get out of the first round with
a perfect for the first time. Hopefully Zero/Luigi is the only possible
upset left in the first round --- Current Content Score: 25/25 My Collection: http://club.ign.com/b/list/custom?lid=100018&owner=Dark115.&mode=vown |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2006 1:23:42 PM | message detail |
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Percentages by hour: 0:00-1:00 – 50.07% 1:00-2:00 – 50.64% 2:00-3:00 – 53.64% 3:00-4:00 – 54.43% 4:00-5:00 – 54.50% 5:00-6:00 – 56.17% 6:00-7:00 – 55.15% 7:00-8:00 – 54.20% 8:00-9:00 – 50.35% 9:00-10:00 – 50.23% 10:00-11:00 – 50.16% 11:00-12:00 – 50.36% 12:00-13:00 – 51.32% 13:00-14:00 – 52.26% That makes this win look more dominating than it feels, heh. As for Kirby/PoP tomorrow...as long as Kirby gets the doubling, I'm not going to worry on his behalf -- PoP just has a big range, and statistically it's on Luigi and Zero to catch him, anyway, no matter if Kirby's a bit over-rated from last year or not. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 1:25:52 PM | message detail |
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won't be worried about Zero no matter what Kirby does. Luigi is the bigger threat to him. There's no reason to believe this. Luigi has never looked better than Kirby. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 1:27:25 PM | message detail |
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*gets home from work* Well, so much for this being a photo finish. lol ganondorf TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2006 1:28:54 PM | message detail |
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Hell, neither Luigi nor Yoshi has ever looked better than Kirby at that. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 1:30:22 PM | message detail |
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Chances of taking the fourpack by KH probability! Zero - 70% I'm fairly sure Zero's got this one in the bag right now, and this is coming from someone who has Kirby taking the pack. It's hard to see Luigi and/or Kirby preferred over the penultimate badass known as Zero... Kirby - 20% But Kirby could still pull it out...there's a reason I took him in the first place. Luigi - 9.99% Luigi's in the worst spot of all. He's got a tough enough time against Zero, and even if he can win and is indirectly stronger than Kirby, I think that's still the best case scenario for Kirby. If the puffball can rSFF Bowser to 48% (which is what supposedly overrates him), what stops him from rSFFing Luigi to victory? The Prince - 0.01% I rig the poll. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 1:31:00 PM | message detail |
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Hopefully this match will shut up all the "lol nintendofaqs" asshats for good. Square is still damn popular around here. And with people like Dante and Kratos on the rise, the site is turning into something that's a far cry from the "ZOMG FF7!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1111111111111" days of olde. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 1:32:43 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Luigi being better than Kirby is a stretch. 2002 45% on Jill Valentine vs Nothing 2003 48% on Alucard vs 40% on Squall 2004 45% on Squall vs 45% on Yoshi 2005 48% on Bowser vs 47% on Tifa ...yeah, I ain't worried about Kirby if Luigi beats Zero. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 1:33:23 PM | message detail |
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Although this match is over, it will still be interesting to see how
Vincent performs against Snoic, to give us some kind of accurate
reading on these two. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 1:34:39 PM | message detail |
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If Luigi manages to beat Zero, I will be shocked. I would consider it an exposing on par with Magus/Knuckles in terms of "WTF?" TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 1:38:02 PM | message detail |
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Zero will never lose to Luigi. Never. --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| Tatsumaki Senpuu | Posted 10/7/2006 1:38:03 PM | message detail |
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Eh, all that has to happen is Zero not needing an adjustment (hardly
shocking) and Luigi being where he was in 2005. He should probably get
a boost from NSMB, too. --- ...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 1:39:37 PM | message detail |
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Eh, all that has to happen is Zero not needing an adjustment (hardly shocking) With arguably the third piece of evidence that the Devil Division wasn't overrated and everything that could have gone funky in Dante/Hayabusa plus a potentially stronger Dante, I would consider it a surprise. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| DGZFIGHTERS | Posted 10/7/2006 1:40:19 PM | message detail |
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This doesn't make any sense, why would Gannondorf lose after the boost? Especially after Zelda, the series, and Zelda, the character, each won their tournament and match with such domination. Did we over-estimate Gannondorf's popularity, under-estimate Vincent's possible boost from DoC or both? Cause I thought this is a pretty big anomaly considering how dominant Zelda has been so far. --- The greatest torture in the world for most people is to think |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/7/2006 1:40:52 PM | message detail |
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I think Luigi definitely stands a chance. Lemme put it this way: Dante outdid the Xstats on Ryu by a few good points, despite Ryu being behind Zero/Mario "SFF". That means that perhaps Zero wasn't SFF'd, and that his ranking is legitimate. Luigi DID do rather well on Tifa... So my fourpack is Kirby > Luigi > Zero. --- "My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti |
| BDawg | Posted 10/7/2006 1:43:23 PM | message detail |
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Oh Ganon you failed and yet Sonic will just have to clean up your mess.
As for Kirby, well I KNOW series doesn't equal character and yet...I
just can't get the beating it took (and he's the title character no
less) from the Metroid "juggernaut" that let Pokemon hang in there. He
just screams fraud and yet he will probably win the four pack just to
screw me. --- Should I start running now? |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 1:44:16 PM | message detail |
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People just assumed that Zelda boosted since 2k5 because of what we saw
of it in the series contest. Of course, we had never had a series
contest before, so drawing that conclusion was hardly substantiated
(although an understandable reaction given how many of the board's
brackets got slaughtered thanks to Zelda). I'm saying it now -- a BOLD PREDICTION, if you will -- there is no second Nintendo boost. This was a perfectly reasonable outcome, and looking at the most recent stats Vincent was the clear favorite. There were other potential intangibles at work, of course, but this isn't some radical anomaly at work here. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 1:48:29 PM | message detail |
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Eh, saying there won't be a second boost when the Wii won't be coming
out midcontest isn't that bold of a prediction. It's what I would've
expected. It was the launch date that had me worried when filling out
my bracket. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| creativename | Posted 10/7/2006 1:49:03 PM | message detail |
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If the puffball can rSFF Bowser to 48% (which is what supposedly overrates him) It's Bowser/Snake that overrates him. there is no second Nintendo boost. Not until after the Wii comes out. There should be one then, though it may take some time for the Wii boost to come into its own. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 1:53:28 PM | message detail |
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It's Bowser/Snake that overrates him. Well, there are people around here who think Kirby performed a little too well against Bowser. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 1:56:05 PM | message detail |
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Kirby/Bowser was never the problem. Bowser/Snake is. --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2006 1:56:31 PM | message detail |
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I've got Luigi > Zero, and I'm retaining my faith in a close match.
Last year's stats show Zero beats Luigi by 51.19%, and Luigi should
have all the intangibles... --Nintendo > Capcom / SMB and/or SSB > MMX (and MK shouldn't be too far off from MMX) --more well-known/iconic --more recent big release --huge seed/bracket advantage --much improved DS ownership since last year --hype for Nintendo's Wii puts Nintendo in a more favorable light --last year Luigi's 2/7-match should have been close, and it certainly wasn't --Mega Man and Zero both got lower than expected seeds this year, and (though it may have been all Axel) Mega Man failed to impress ...add to it (again) that they're close as of last year, and I don't feel bad with Luigi. It should be a great match either way and Zero has good reason to win...but I'm not looking back with Luigi given what we've seen and what we got right now. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 1:57:51 PM | message detail |
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The more I think about it, the more I think Bowser/Snake is a lot more
legitimate than we thought. Ganondorf losing today may not be saying
bad things about Ganon and more about saying things about Vincent. All will be revealed next round. From a statistical point, round 2 will have a lot of validation of potentially fishy 2k5 matches, and better ideas on where characters stood after a couple of surprising round 1 results. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/7/2006 1:59:44 PM | message detail |
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Vincent is doing very well right now. Did he have a major role in kh2?
If so that could have brought him way up with the day vote. If he can
finish with over 52% I seriously wouldn't doubt his ability to beat
sonic. I'm surprised that vincent's day vote has improved so much, but that can only mean good things for him against sonic. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2006 2:00:04 PM | message detail |
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| HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2006 2:00:09 PM | message detail |
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Vincent wasn't in KH2. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/7/2006 2:03:08 PM | message detail |
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Vincent wasn't in KH2. I remember hearing last contest that he was going to be... huh, that's strange. Now I'm just flat out confused about his day vote. >_> How well did Advent Children sell in english? --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2006 2:03:54 PM | message detail |
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Vincent is doing worse than what the LOL X-stats says, but he's still winning :D --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 2:04:42 PM | message detail |
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Vincent never had a bad day vote! Look at all of Crono's matches and tell me losing the day vote to him is a bad thing. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 2:05:48 PM | message detail |
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--Nintendo > Capcom / SMB and/or SSB > MMX (and MK shouldn't be too far off from MMX) SMB came close to beating Final Fantasy. Doesn't mean I'd take Mario over Cloud. --more well-known/iconic This iconicness didn't help him against Yoshi or Tifa --more recent big release Ok, KRATOS > RYU!!!!!!!!!!!!111111111111111 --huge seed/bracket advantage Ok, SORA > MEGA MAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1111111111111 --much improved DS ownership since last year Which would help Zero as well --hype for Nintendo's Wii puts Nintendo in a more favorable light Ok, GANON > VINCENT!!!!!!!!!!!!11111111111 --last year Luigi's 2/7-match should have been close, and it certainly wasn't Ok, DANTE > SNAKE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!111111111111111 --Mega Man and Zero both got lower than expected seeds this year, and (though it may have been all Axel) Mega Man failed to impress Ok, MASTER CHIEF > CHRONO 2k5!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 2:07:04 PM | message detail |
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How well did Advent Children sell in english? 1.4 million a month after its release in America. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 2:07:22 PM | message detail |
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Um...Turtle, he was just giving his reasons for his pick. Most, if not all, are completely valid (though I don't agree). Sure, you should be upset, but that's because he failed to take the TOP 100 LIST INTO ACCOUNT !! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2006 2:12:41 PM | message detail |
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NO MMX OR EVEN MMX GAMES MADE THE DROP-DOWN BOX SO LUIGI WILL SHUT OUT ZERO --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 2:18:28 PM | message detail |
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--much improved DS ownership since last year --hype for Nintendo's Wii puts Nintendo in a more favorable light These were supposed to help out Ganondorf, and...well... --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 2:18:41 PM | message detail |
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Meh, most, if not all of those points can be countered by points
supporting Zero, but I'll leave it at Mario/Zero SFF and be on my merry
way. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/7/2006 2:20:01 PM | message detail |
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These were supposed to help out Ganondorf, and...well... They're much more likely to help out Luigi considering NSMB and everything. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 2:20:48 PM | message detail |
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He already mentioned NSMB. I was only assuming he was compounding those two points on top of that. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 2:21:13 PM | message detail |
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Stop winning random updates and let Vincent break 52%, Ganon! --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/7/2006 2:21:33 PM | message detail |
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I really don't understand why DS ownsership would help Ganondorf at all. --- Demyx > Axel Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills! |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2006 2:21:44 PM | message detail |
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Also, KH already defended me, but since I'm passing time right now..... SMB came close to beating Final Fantasy. Doesn't mean I'd take Mario over Cloud. Maybe you should have in 2k2 then. =P This iconicness didn't help him against Yoshi or Tifa It's not meant to be the deciding factor, but it can't hurt him. Besides, Yoshi is iconic too. Ok, KRATOS > RYU!!!!!!!!!!!!111111111111111 Kratos is newly-introduced though -- that is, he ONLY from his new release. Luigi's been around much longer (though you could then say that new releases wouldn't help Luigi so much, which would be hard to disagree with in many cases). Ok, SORA > MEGA MAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1111111111111 2-seed > 1-seed is hardly a huge seeding upset, and the bracket-support between Sora and Mega Man will likely be much closer than the bracket-support between Luigi and Zero. Which would help Zero as well Maybe a touch, but not like it would help Luigi -- SM64DS, MKDS, and NSMB are likely the three biggest games on the DS, no? Ok, GANON > VINCENT!!!!!!!!!!!!11111111111 Again, shouldn't be the deciding factor, but Nintendo/Wii hype couldn't hurt. Besides, Vincent had plenty of reason to impress today anyway. Ok, DANTE > SNAKE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!111111111111111 ...I missed your point with this one. Solid Snake has always had the higher seed over Dante barring last year where they both had 1-seeds. When were they ever supposed to be close, too? Ok, MASTER CHIEF > CHRONO 2k5!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! MC also impressed against Crono. Bad example. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/7/2006 2:22:11 PM | message detail |
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No, bring it back down to 51%, Ganon! --- caps |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 2:51:25 PM | message detail |
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4000 vote lead for Vincent, 52% soon to be broken. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 2:53:34 PM | message detail |
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I'll be honest with you Harr, I really half-assed those contradictions. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Tai | Posted 10/7/2006 2:57:31 PM | message detail |
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LOL! Damn, I haven't had time to do **** and come in here for the good matches like this! :( Of course..no one cares....:( But, nice job Vincent! :-) Too bad you won't beat Sonic...hehe :D --- I lost my sig. Can you find it for me? :( |
| Aprosenf | Posted 10/7/2006 3:01:16 PM | message detail |
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And Vincent falls 9 votes short of 52%. --- For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2006 3:07:02 PM | message detail |
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If Vincent bombs against Sonic next round, I have a shiny "Overrated bust" badge for Ganny. On the other hand, if Samus didn't SFF him at all, she may be a bigger beast than we thought. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 3:10:12 PM | message detail |
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You know, if not for those three or four morning hours, Vincent would have 53%+ right about now. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |