GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 380
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 8:45:30 AM | message detail |
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Sonic is so screwed *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link): http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt POST AWAY HEATHENS! --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 8:46:49 AM | message detail |
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Oh yeah, and The Boss > Tifa LOL! --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2006 8:47:40 AM | message detail |
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Alright, now that Vincent has this match in the bag, time for Zero's turn to shine! --- Character Battle V Score - 24/25 points Current Prediction - Ganondorf vs. Vincent Valentine |
| SmurfFAQs | Posted 10/7/2006 8:47:57 AM | message detail |
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Knuckles > Squall --- The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 8:48:20 AM | message detail |
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I wouldn't say its quite in the bag yet. Ganon still has 12 hours to produce some sort of comeback >_> --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 9:18:35 AM | message detail |
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*Bumps since 379 is bout to close* --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 10:10:15 AM | message detail |
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So how bout that Prince of Persia/Kirby tomorrow? Prince is getting 45% >_> --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 10:25:37 AM | message detail |
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What an absurd 500th post --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/7/2006 10:25:57 AM | message detail |
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ya whatever --- It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon. SC2k6: 24/25 Today's upset special: Vincent |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 10:28:07 AM | message detail |
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Aeris > Tifa > Zelda > Samus >_> <_< *runs* --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/7/2006 10:28:40 AM | message detail |
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Now THAT's a 500 post I agree with. --- "My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 10:28:57 AM | message detail |
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That HM shutdown on that last page was made of win. <_< --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/7/2006 10:30:01 AM | message detail |
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Totally. A post with a statement like "Ganon is being exposed :O" deserves a shutdown. --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/7/2006 10:30:54 AM | message detail |
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*wakes up* *sees Vincent winning by more than ever* o.O...I'll give up
what I said about it being nearly hopeless for Vincent and take that
point! I went to bed figuring Vincent wouldn't pick up the pace with
the night vote, but he indeed did. I guess it's because of the Friday
night tons of people are staying up until 2 or 3 in the morning...
Ganondorf hasn't won a single hour in the poll, and Vincent just had
his best hour since the night. I suppose it'll end with around 52% for
Vincent. So...now that Vincent is more than likely winning today, either Luigi or Sub-Zero will win. Why? My Round 1 Curse for character contests. Ever since I started paying attention to them I've missed 2 matches in EVERY round 1 that dealt with characters. I say Luigi winning is the far more likely upset. ...and sudden support for Aeris > Zelda? I'm suddenly feeling better about that, heh. I'm still kinda worried Aeris may have somehow lost fans, as a few people were theorizing. Then again, Sephiroth didn't decrease in popularity since 2K3, and it kinda seems like HE lost fans. Post-KH2 Tifa > Post KH-Aeris > Pre-KH2 Tifa > Pre-KH Aeris Well, I was thinking more like... Post-AC Tifa > Post-AC Aeris > Pre-AC Tifa > Pre-AC Aeris, but whatever. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/7/2006 10:31:50 AM | message detail |
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lol @ saying Ganon has exposed, because being in the low-to-mid 30's on Base Link is just pitiful, right? If anything, I'm glad this performance finally shows how strong Ganon is. I mean, he probably wouldn't beat Squall or Bowser (well, I dunno there), but other than those three, it doesn't seem like anyone else can beat him. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Ganondorf vs. Vincent - Bracket: Ganondorf - Vote: Ganondorf (24/25) |
| xp1337 | Posted 10/7/2006 10:32:14 AM | message detail |
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Ganon comeback! Activate the barriers! lol o wate didnt this happen b4? --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (024/025) Ganon v Vincent |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/7/2006 10:34:00 AM | message detail |
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To make things more clear about my curse...I missed Kairi vs. Claire already, but I need to miss one more match this round. =p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 10:34:53 AM | message detail |
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If DMC3: SE and stuff really did give
Dante a nice boost (not buying it), Dante could very well be a match
for the pigman this year. I think post-KH2 Tifa could take him on, too. After TP though, -dorf will probably be at a level that only Squall could potentially beat -- and by that I mean Squall is going to have to beat Snake this year. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:35:25 AM | message detail |
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I would really like to say that Vincent increased a smidged (1% or so)
from AC/DoC right now and that he wasn't overrated, but I suppose we'll
just have to wait and see until he faces off against Sonic. Despite the
loss, which totally kills this contest for me until we get another good
match, Ganon did well enough here to avoid all the "Ganon is
overrated," "Ganon is going to be exposed," crap here. Pretty blah match right now, too, unfortunately. Doesn't look like Ganon did too much with the morning vote. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 10:35:37 AM | message detail |
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Yes! Go Vincent! Maybe now Squall will finally get the credit he deserves. Barring some strange overperformance by Snake, he's gonna be #10 in the stats, baby! ...Maybe even #9! Anyway, I'll work on some possible scenarios for this match. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 10:37:08 AM | message detail |
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And when I said "Ganon is going to be exposed," I was referring to his
worth as a potential Noble Nine breaker. 52% was about what I was
expecting out of Vincent, and this was taking into consideration that
the Devil Division wasn't overrated. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/7/2006 10:37:16 AM | message detail |
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I have Zero and Sub-Zero winning those matches, admittedly. --- Ganondorf vs. Vincent / Bracket: Vincent / Vote: Ganondorf (24/25) Tomorrow / Bracket: Kirby / Vote: Kirby |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:37:50 AM | message detail |
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After TP though, -dorf will probably be at a level that only Squall
could potentially beat -- and by that I mean Squall is going to have to
beat Snake this year. Depending on what comes out next year (MGS4 and SSBB aren't going to be out by the next contest), I would wager that TP Ganon should be able to possibly take care of a couple of Noble Nine characters, I think. Now it depends on how high he is now combined with what the other characters get, but Snake still not getting anything for two more years is good for Noble Nine upset purposes!! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 10:38:08 AM | message detail |
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Oh, damn, forgot Auron. I'd pick Auron over Ganondorf right now, and it
has nothing to do with stats (and it shouldn't seeing as how they faced
off directly last year). I'm just that confident in KH2 and think that
those who argue that FFX being on the PS2 diminishes said boost are
fooling themselves. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:38:54 AM | message detail |
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And when I said "Ganon is going to be exposed," I was referring to
his worth as a potential Noble Nine breaker. 52% was about what I was
expecting out of Vincent, and this was taking into consideration that
the Devil Division wasn't overrated. It's still impossible to tell where Vincent lands right now. If he goes 50/50 with Sonic and loses, Ganon's ability to be a Noble Nine breaker is very much there. He wouldn't be strong enough to do it this year, but when Twilight Princess rolls around he's number one on the list to do it. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/7/2006 10:39:10 AM | message detail |
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I dunno about Tifa. She didn't really impress me last year, and while
KH2 will bring her up, I would think Ganon would win in a close one.
Same with Dante. And yay for post-TP Ganondorf! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Ganondorf vs. Vincent - Bracket: Ganondorf - Vote: Ganondorf (24/25) |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 10:39:27 AM | message detail |
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Depending on what comes out next year (MGS4 and SSBB aren't going to
be out by the next contest), I would wager that TP Ganon should be able
to possibly take care of a couple of Noble Nine characters, I think.
Now it depends on how high he is now combined with what the other
characters get, but Snake still not getting anything for two more years
is good for Noble Nine upset purposes!! Pfft, you're going to have to find a new upset-whipping boy once Snake beats Mega Man, boyo! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 10/7/2006 10:39:33 AM | message detail |
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...How are full stats going to be made here? Say Mario is eliminated on
Day 3 of the royale; how do you place his stat value when he probably
got less than 25% of the vote? --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 10:40:36 AM | message detail |
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Ganondorf has pulled off the feat of being both overrated and
underrated depending on who you talk to. good show, Ganon. I say he's
right about where people have pegged him and that Vincent has
increased. it's not like Vincent was behind Ganondorf by much in the
stats, if at all. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:40:39 AM | message detail |
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Pfft, you're going to have to find a new upset-whipping boy once Snake beats Mega Man, boyo! Haha! I suppose we'll have to see the distance between Ganon and the lowest Noble Nine character. I think we'll see Ganon get a really nice 3 - 5% boost from TP!! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/7/2006 10:41:08 AM | message detail |
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Well it's bed time(for me). When I wake up in 7 hours I expect the % to be roughly the same. --- It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon. SC2k6: 24/25 Today's upset special: Vincent |
| wavedash101 | Posted 10/7/2006 10:43:38 AM | message detail |
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I would say Auron benefits the most of the KHII boost. His playability
was one of the huge plus factors, and many people were disappointed
that there wasnt more Auron. Mind you, this still wont make him elite
like Squall or Vin. But all things considered, I believe Auron will
benefit the most. We'll see when his match comes round. --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/7/2006 10:44:25 AM | message detail |
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I agree with Auron getting the best deal out of a "KHII" boost. --- Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:44:57 AM | message detail |
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Say Ganon is really at 32.83% against Link 2k5. Raise Vincent 1% from
his current value (32.6% to 33.6%) and that's about where this match is
expected to land around. Of course, if someone expects a larger boost
out of DoC/AC that'd change a bit -- they'd also have to think the
Devil Division wasn't overrated or anything. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 10:45:53 AM | message detail |
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Mind you, this still wont make him elite like Squall or Vin. I'm actually leaning toward Auron being stronger than Vincent thanks to KH2, and I'm having a ***** of a time trying to decide between him and Squall. I default to Squall of course because he's much more tested, but pre-KH2 Auron is stronger than pre-KH Squall in my mind...and the potential for him is therefore very big. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| The_Ocelot | Posted 10/7/2006 10:47:55 AM | message detail |
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Vinecent>Squall>Auron IMO --- Current Character Battle 5 Score 24/25 Today's Pick: Vincent Next Pick: Kirby Incorrect Picks: Celes |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:48:34 AM | message detail |
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Eh, I'm really iffy on Auron being stronger than Vincent and Squall. I
don't think you're going to see that large of a boost for him. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 10:50:28 AM | message detail |
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I dunno...looking at KHF in 2003, the possibility is certainly there.
If only Auron had been in 2k2 I could more easily discern if it was
just 'influx' or whatever rather than pure game boost. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 10:51:37 AM | message detail |
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Possible scenarios to draw from this match (Ganondorf has 48.36% right now): Vincent 2006 = Vincent 2005, Ganondorf is at 34.41% on BL, about .8% above his 2005 value. If Samus 2005 = Mario 2005, Ganondorf is at 34.85% on BL, meaning Vincent's value is 36.04% on BL, meaning he gets 46.79% on 2005 Sonic. If Ganondorf 2005 = Bowser 2005, Vincent's value is 37.83% on BL, meaning he gets 49.09% on Sonic. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 10:52:04 AM | message detail |
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Post-KH 2 Aeris > Post-KH2 Tifa > Post KH-Aeris > Pre-KH2 Tifa > Pre-KH Aeris Overall: Vincent >= Aeris >= Tifa -- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:52:30 AM | message detail |
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I'm sure Auron will benefit nicely from KH2, but we shouldn't be seeing
anything close to the "KHF" in 2003. That was, for the most part, the
result of a Square influx on the site. I think the main person who will
benefit from KH2 is Sora, then it just gets lesser and lesser down the
line. Auron should get a couple of percentage points worth of boost,
maybe a bit higher, but he shouldn't shoot through the roof. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:53:25 AM | message detail |
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If Ganondorf 2005 = Bowser 2005, Vincent's value is 37.83% on BL, meaning he gets 49.09% on Sonic. I could get to like this one! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 10:54:43 AM | message detail |
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KHF cause the Square influx, silly. In the end it can all be attributed to Kingdom Hearts. --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/7/2006 10:54:47 AM | message detail |
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And I can't see Auron getting quite enough of a boost to make up the
difference between him and Squall, and THEN make up the difference
Squall gets from KHII as well. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: W, 52-14 vs. Etna |
| wavedash101 | Posted 10/7/2006 10:55:29 AM | message detail |
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Tifa is definitely stronger than Aeris, I would think. Unless there is some odd x-stats showing Aeris having the upper hand. --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 10:55:29 AM | message detail |
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I meant exposed in the "lol Ganon > Snake what are we smoking" sense. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:56:53 AM | message detail |
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KHF cause the Square influx, silly. In the end it can all be attributed to Kingdom Hearts. But there isn't a "KH2F." Anyone boosting from that game will likely be doing so through their role in it as opposed to it bringing a mass amount of Square fans here to get another voter shift. Auron will gain nicely, more than, say, Aeris will (I would expect a percent at the most for her), but it won't be anything huge. I wouldn't take Auron over Vincent or Squall. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 10:57:58 AM | message detail |
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I meant exposed in the "lol Ganon > Snake what are we smoking" sense. Well, if Ganon = Bowser in 2005, it's not really anything out of the question. Of course, some think Snake increased this year, but this match doesn't prove that Ganon cannot beat Snake. We have to wait until the Sonic match to determine where these two are. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/7/2006 10:59:27 AM | message detail |
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Tifa is definitely stronger than Aeris, I would think. Unless there is some odd x-stats showing Aeris having the upper hand. Tifa 2k5 gets 51.13% on Aeris 2k3. However, there is the possibility that the 2k5 stats are a little inflated (thus bringing Tifa down) and there's also that little theory out there that Cloud overperformed on Sonic a bit (meaning Aeris gets brought up a bit). Tifa had a more prominent and action-oriented role in KH2, however, which is why I give her the definite nod now. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/7/2006 10:59:42 AM | message detail |
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I bet Sora dropped after KH2, and gets double by Mega Man. You guys
have a tendency to make Sora seem so great and strong and then he
completely bombs expectations. --- caps |