GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 379
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:43:47 AM | message detail |
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Oh yeah, because we all know Vincent has the majority of the support this match. I highly doubt that Aeris is stronger than Vincent or even Tifa. FF7 fans have done a complete 180 on her since that game was released. Everyone likes Tifa and hates Aeris now for some reason. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| SilverNightmareX7 | Posted 10/7/2006 12:43:52 AM | message detail |
| Better yet, why is no one comparing Ganon to Squall, who was suffering SFF. And if people believed Ganon could possibly take Sonic (#8 on the noble 9), does this mean Snake could be in trouble against Squall, whom at this point looks to have gained as much power as Vincent in his near-tripling of Tidus? |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/7/2006 12:44:29 AM | message detail |
| Ganon's doing considerably better than Dante.
Sure, in both cases the lead was in the 700s around this point, but
Vincent had 53.30% of the vote by now last year. --- thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:44:31 AM | message detail |
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I meant that to be for Zylo, since he's pretty much saying "Ganon = Dante", which isn't even close to right. As far as letting them foolishly believe Ganon's a beast during the day, well, to each their own. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2006 12:45:16 AM | message detail |
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Solid Snake has already won over Squall once, I believe that match made
everyone think Luigi > Squall in 2003, because Squall couldn't even
get 40% --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 12:47:35 AM | message detail |
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I would give Dante/Ganon some thought >_> --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| SilverNightmareX7 | Posted 10/7/2006 12:48:17 AM | message detail |
| Squall lost to Snake in the first tournament, he was almost doubled up on. Since then, Squall has only gotten stronger (probably more so than ANY other character in the initial contest) where Snake has only gotten weaker (easily more so than any other character in the noble nine). It will be interesting to see how Squall does 4 years after one of the worst non-SFF defeats the FF series has ever known. |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:49:54 AM | message detail |
| But NGamer, the poll times were different then.
That means it won't be until slightly later that Vincent loses steam
meaning he does have time to extend his lead. I'm not trying to say
Vincent will certainly put it out of Ganon's range, but I am saying
it's not necessarily a good idea to compare the two matches directly. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/7/2006 12:50:16 AM | message detail |
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I really want to know where this talk of Ganondorf being some day vote
monster comes from. He did very little against Yuna and Auron, lost it
to Sephiroth and lost it to Ansem. I don't care if Ansem is KH. There
is no excuse for the widely known main Legend of Zelda villain to lose
the day vote to someone like Ansem. --- Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:50:39 AM | message detail |
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"non-SFF" Evidence suggests otherwise. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:51:54 AM | message detail |
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Shivan, don't forget how telling of a sign it is that actually lost the
day vote to a character that's from the same game as his current
opponent. That' should really be bolded, or something. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/7/2006 12:52:13 AM | message detail |
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I guess Auron really is as weak as Tidus now. >_< --- Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:53:27 AM | message detail |
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From ChichiriMuyo Posted 10/7/2006 3:51:54 AM #211 Shivan, don't forget how telling of a sign it is that actually lost the day vote to a character that's from the same game as his current opponent. That' should really be bolded, or something. Huh? ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:54:20 AM | message detail |
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The two really should go hand in hand. It's only by the width of a hair
that I'd hae ever given Auron the edge of Tidus in the past (which is
to say I'd ride that upset like a bat out of hell). Of course, post-KH2
he should have the edge, regardless of the fact that he's (at best)
only as strong as he was in 2k3/2k4 post (unimaginably difficult)
adjustment. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 12:54:39 AM | message detail |
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funny how no one trusts Ganon's performance on Sephiroth, yet use the voting trends from it! I don't know how this match is going to play out, but I sure wouldn't count Ganon out when the lead is under 1000 with 20 hours to go. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:55:46 AM | message detail |
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JESUS CHRIST ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2006 12:55:57 AM | message detail |
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Another strong ht for Vincent. --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 12:56:10 AM | message detail |
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of course, if Vincent keeps getting 60% updates, it's not going to matter what kind of day vote he has. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:56:25 AM | message detail |
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Ganon can't take too many more of these 60-40 updates. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:56:27 AM | message detail |
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Heh, forgot a word. Or rather, a name. It should be a telling sign that Ganon lost the day vote to a character (Sephiroth) that is from the same game as his current opponent (Vincent). Much clearer. :) --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/7/2006 12:58:07 AM | message detail |
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If Ganon does what he did aganist Auron, I'd expect him to win this quite easily. This is Vincents strongest time and Ganons weakest. He'll need more than 1000 votes to secure this. That said, it is Saturday. So maybe.... --- Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism. |
| voltch | Posted 10/7/2006 12:58:08 AM | message detail |
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so this match is about to be over. --- Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2006 12:58:28 AM | message detail |
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He won't lose the day vote to Vincent, but at the rate Vincent's going,
it won't matter. Vincent's lead will be too big if he continues to rake
in huge updates. --- Character Battle V Score - 24/25 points Current Prediction - Ganondorf vs. Vincent Valentine |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:59:32 AM | message detail |
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Well, even if we can't trust the results why does that mean his voting
pattern would change? Seems reasonable to me that even if his result
was padded (and it wasn't by on overly large amount, just one that is
large enough to see straight away) it'd be spread evenly through the
day. And even if it weren't, wouldn't it be more reasonable to expect
it to come from Ganon's supposed best time? --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:03:40 AM | message detail |
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We need some more staunch Ganon supporters in this discussion; his day vote will prevail! --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 1:04:09 AM | message detail |
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I wouldn't trust it myself - if Sephiroth was antivoted, it was from
the early voters, the ones who follow the contest closely. he's got
nowhere to go but down in that situation. not to mention that Sephiroth is an anomaly as is. I don't know, Vincent most likely wins this with ease, but I wouldn't count out the chance of a comeback after seeing what Ganon did to Auron, Link did to Cloud and Zelda did to Final Fantasy with the morning vote. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| SilverNightmareX7 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:04:18 AM | message detail |
| I think 2 more updates and I am done. Vincent now holds a 3% edge and is starting to gain some very large leads. If the kiddies do indeed wake up, it wont heal the wound, only stop blood from continuing to gush. |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 1:04:42 AM | message detail |
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In the past hour, Vincent has increased his lead by 347 votes. At this rate and assuming the morning vote begins in 4 hours , Vincent will have increased his lead to 2227 votes. --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 1:05:05 AM | message detail |
| What day vote? The one he lost to Sephiroth or the
one that only brought him to the same point at 24 hours in on Auron as
he was at 1 hour in? --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 1:06:14 AM | message detail |
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yeah, at the time when votes come in much slower. HM, Draco and I were
looking at it and the "day vote" seems to start around 6:30 AM EST.
that's two and a half hours during the dead time of the poll. I'd
expect a lead of about 1300-1400 votes when that comes. whether Ganon
can come back or not is another story. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:06:19 AM | message detail |
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Ganondorf didn't do much against Auron. He gained two percent during
the morning and then Auron chipped away at his percentage throughout
the afternoon and the rest of the match. --- Character Battle V Score - 24/25 points Current Prediction - Ganondorf vs. Vincent Valentine |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:07:00 AM | message detail |
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What day vote? The one he lost to Sephiroth or the one that only
brought him to the same point at 24 hours in on Auron as he was at 1
hour in? But Sephiroth isn't Vincent, and 1 hour in probably wasn't enough time to completely erase the awesome board vote Ganon's been documented to have, or so I've read. Plus, the Villain's contest, while not incredibly old, is still not current. --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2006 1:07:31 AM | message detail |
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Magus 44.87% 43,190 Vincent 55.13% 53,064 TOTAL VOTES 96,254 Vincent wins with 55.13% of the vote! Come on Vincent you can do better than that on Ganondorf! --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 1:07:36 AM | message detail |
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Ganon had a huge board/bracket vote vs. Auron, so that's not really
reliable. he had the same thing with Vincent in this match - one hour
in, it was 50/50. it's not the day vote that he's great with, it's the morning vote. he even held his own vs. Sephiroth during that time. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 1:07:39 AM | message detail |
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"it was from the early voters, the ones who follow the contest closely." However, that doesn't effect hs voting patterns because those peopel would have voted early anyway. Those people never would have voted during the day to begin with, so why is it his day vote was suddenly changed? Face it, even when he wins the day vote it's not by a whole lot, and it's generally not enough to deal with a sizable vote deficit. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 1:07:48 AM | message detail |
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I said a few days ago that the Zelda day vote might be weakened or
spread out due to this being on a weekend, where Square has always been
at its best. Assuming Vincent wins this in a close one, Ganon
supporters might actually get to blame the day of the week. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 1:10:10 AM | message detail |
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FF, Ganon STILL got that insane early poll boost. He took off like
crazy at the start of THIS match just like he didn against Auron. How
does the fact that Auron hadn't worked it off completely, so to speak,
have anything to do with how the votes actually come in? --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 1:10:12 AM | message detail |
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the votes come no matter when, it doesn't matter if they vote at 5am,
2pm or 11pm. I wouldn't blame my incorrect pick on the day of the week,
that's a bit much for me to swallow. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 1:11:33 AM | message detail |
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Wind Waker beats Starcraft on ANY OTHER DAY besides Saturday night
during a poll that gave Bnet and Korea a full 7-8 hours of Saturday
Starcraft traffic to work with. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 1:11:53 AM | message detail |
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Not really. Different people visit the site on different days. Not all
of us are here every day of the week, and the past has indicated that
there's a fair chance Square gets a slight boost on the weekend. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2006 1:13:01 AM | message detail |
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that's rallying, it's completely different. no one is going to be rallying for friggin' Ganondorf. I will say one thing about this match: neither of these two are impressing me to the point where I'm worried about Sonic losing. I would need to see an impressive win (55%+) to be worried about Sonic losing in that match. I don't think Vincent gets that and no way in hell does Ganondorf. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:14:04 AM | message detail |
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How does the fact that Auron hadn't worked it off completely, so to
speak, have anything to do with how the votes actually come in? Because if Ganon was at a higher percentage at the start of the match just based off a ridiculous board vote, that extreme value really isn't a fair comparison to his ending value. In the next few hours, he could have dropped it a lot, only for Ganon to recover it during the day back to his high starting value. But, whatever, I'd rather put more stake in the claim that the Villain's contest, or last year's summer contest, is open to change, and won't predict how this match occurs absolutely. --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 1:14:52 AM | message detail |
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neither of these two are impressing me to the point where I'm worried about Sonic losing That hype was 100% useless from the start. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 1:17:42 AM | message detail |
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FF, that "ridiculous board vote" constitutes around 200, maybe 300
people. If you look at poll updates, you'll actually see that the
ridiculous boost is almost completely unnoticable after 10 minutes of a
match, and within an hour it's a small drop in the bucket and has no
effect on the vote totals at all... But even IF it did, HOW DOES THAT MAKE THIS MATCH ANY DIFFERENT? He still got the ridiculous boost at the start. So again, how is this match any different? --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 1:18:20 AM | message detail |
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Anyone reconsidering Chief/Auron? --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:19:24 AM | message detail |
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Not at all. Post KH2 Auron beats the Chief with ease. --- Character Battle V Score - 24/25 points Current Prediction - Ganondorf vs. Vincent Valentine |
| SilverNightmareX7 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:19:55 AM | message detail |
| I still hold my ground in saying Chief may not make it past Sub-Zero. I mean, he is Chief..... the guy almost lost to Donkey Kong. |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 1:20:28 AM | message detail |
| Naw. Auron has had KH2 since last year, and he'd
end up a tad closer to Ganon if they were in a rematch right now. Also,
Vincent has had FF7 AC (which all of perhaps 150,000 on the net seen by
the end of Vincent's run last year, only a small number of which
actually visit GF) AND his own friggin' game since then. --- If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/7/2006 1:21:19 AM | message detail |
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FF, that "ridiculous board vote" constitutes around 200, maybe 300
people. If you look at poll updates, you'll actually see that the
ridiculous boost is almost completely unnoticable after 10 minutes of a
match, and within an hour it's a small drop in the bucket and has no
effect on the vote totals at all... But even IF it did, HOW DOES THAT MAKE THIS MATCH ANY DIFFERENT? He still got the ridiculous boost at the start. So again, how is this match any different? It's different in that it's a different match, for one, with different contestants, but I'd assume you're recognized that. It's also a different year, after a series contest where Zelda dominated. But in addition to what I said about this match not needing to follow past results explicitly, I both don't care enough nor know enough to argue about Ganon/Auron. I'm more blindly defending Ganondorf than I am making accurate points. I'm fully aware of that, and completely happy in this capacity at 4:20 in the morning. --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 1:22:23 AM | message detail |
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For all the trolling consolefreak used to do in this topic, his points
on today's match were spot-on almost all the way through. I wish I had
archived them so I wouldn't have to look through 100 topics to find
them. I'm going to bed once this hits 1000. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI |