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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 379

swirIdude | Posted 10/6/2006 11:11:34 PM | message detail
No no no Ganon, wake up and get back in gear!
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The FFP is the best topic on the board. It's a fact, look it up.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 11:13:58 PM | message detail
The AIM room wasn't publicly released for a reason.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/6/2006 11:15:41 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
24-----393------100.0000000
23-----1558-----99.4865212
22-----3725-----98.9261745
21-----6258-----98.9453500
20-----6981-----98.1807764
19-----6538-----96.9409605
18-----5482-----96.4976286
17-----4116-----95.4567541
16-----2918-----94.9623029
15-----1948-----94.3018480
14-----1128-----93.3510638
13-----678------94.3952802
12-----357------90.4761905
11-----166------88.5542169
10-----70-------85.7142857
9------30-------76.6666667
8------11-------63.6363636
7------14-------50.0000000
6------22-------4.5454545
5------26-------3.8461538
4------56-------1.7857143
3------69-------0.0000000
2------49-------0.0000000
1------33-------0.0000000
0------20-------0.0000000

Overall prediction percentage: 96.38%

Finally the perfects go perfect! Not only that the 0s, 1s, 2s and 3s all get the match "right" as well. The -1s were close, but 8 of them still got the match wrong. Everyone else also does well. All the way down to the -12s break 90. As the perfects went perfect, nobody fell off the Top 50 today.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/6/2006 11:21:59 PM | message detail
Vincent breaks 200!
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
transience | Posted 10/6/2006 11:25:05 PM | message detail
this is looking.. well, bad. I'm not too concerned yet because it's going to be the other way around come morningtime, but this is still worrisome.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
Rodri316 | Posted 10/6/2006 11:25:55 PM | message detail
Well, now I can sleep in peace. Go Vincent, keep the lead!
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Character Battle V Score: 25/25
Current Prediction: Ganondorf vs. Vincent Valentine
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/6/2006 11:31:07 PM | message detail
this is looking.. well, bad. I'm not too concerned yet because it's going to be the other way around come morningtime, but this is still worrisome.

Nothing is guaranteed. It could very well be Vincent increasing his lead come morningtime. All we can say for sure is what is happening in the present.
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
SilverNightmareX7 | Posted 10/6/2006 11:33:31 PM | message detail
Keep in mind Vincent quickly started with a fast deficit to Ganon, representing the overzealous Ganon fans getting the jump start. If you void the first 30 minutes, you have a more accurate depiction of how voting is going to go for this for the next 5-7 hours at the least. Vincent will open this up to an unsurmountable lead before the "kiddies" ever get out of bed and finish their Corn Pops.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/6/2006 11:35:26 PM | message detail
I recall the samething being said about Halo when it faced Castlevania. People were talking as if a 2000 vote swing was guaranteed once morning hit. That's just ignorant.
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 11:40:52 PM | message detail
I recall the samething being said about Halo when it faced Castlevania. People were talking as if a 2000 vote swing was guaranteed once morning hit. That's just ignorant.

That was the series contest. A lot of people were basing that off of characters/games in the past and how they have performed. It's also something to note that Vincent isn't going to get close to a 2000 vote lead by morning, especially since Ganon has the occasional stall. He's definitely doing what he should be right now, but we've seen how they have performed in the morning hours before. There's a precedent for this.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Redtooth | Posted 10/6/2006 11:43:02 PM | message detail
266 isn't much of a lead in a match that will go to to 110k+. I hadn't expected Vincent to hang this close though, I completely believed he would bomb...

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/6/2006 11:48:10 PM | message detail
Actually HM, at the rate Vincent is going; he will hit 2000 votes by morning. Ganon hasn't stalled Vincent for more than a half-hour.
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
Redtooth | Posted 10/6/2006 11:50:03 PM | message detail
oh, and ;_; at the private AIM room. If the discussion I can reach stalls this much, I might as well sleep and just look at updates tomorrow.

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
Janus5000 | Posted 10/6/2006 11:51:46 PM | message detail
Die, pig!

...*gets owned by Wesker*
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 11:55:07 PM | message detail
Nothing is guaranteed. All we can say for sure is what is happening in the present.

I wish more people thought that way. It kind of sucks that we all know the voting trends like nothing else though.

By the way, Ganon/Auron trends holding up means that Ganon is in trouble if he lets this get out of hand.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 11:55:24 PM | message detail
Aside from that last 50/50 update, this is looking pretty stable. I'll check the match again before I go to work, which should be right about when Ganon will be starting his "comeback".

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Janus5000 | Posted 10/6/2006 11:56:02 PM | message detail
...Whoa, Ganondorf actually listened to that.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/6/2006 11:56:03 PM | message detail
WOW


KB
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/6/2006 11:56:37 PM | message detail
Vincent just gained 90 votes in a 5 minute update ^_^
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 11:56:43 PM | message detail
And as soon as I post that, Vincent goes up 100. NICE!

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
Janus5000 | Posted 10/6/2006 11:57:37 PM | message detail
Hah, that gain was just Ganon suckling.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
The Real Truth | Posted 10/6/2006 11:59:20 PM | message detail
lol Ganon
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
Contest score= 22/24, Next= Sonic, Vincent, Kirby, Zero
Redtooth | Posted 10/7/2006 12:00:33 AM | message detail
ouch, brutal update right there.

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:05:35 AM | message detail
Vincent's gonna kill that *****!
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:06:16 AM | message detail
^5s Chich IMHO

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
voltch | Posted 10/7/2006 12:07:37 AM | message detail
come on vincent,destroy the perfects so i can head straight back into the top 1000.
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/7/2006 12:07:49 AM | message detail
I'm liking these past two updates more!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:08:25 AM | message detail
^5s

It's weird not having HM on this side though... Poor kid, he coulda had (most) of his way if this match was later in the contest.

Oh well, the better man wins here. And really, isn't that what counts?

Go, go Vincent! Keep it up!
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ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:09:08 AM | message detail
I have a feeling you're going to be disappointed again fairly soon, HM. Upadte after next or the one following it.
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Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/7/2006 12:12:50 AM | message detail
Keep it up Vincent!

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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
Osfan | Posted 10/7/2006 12:16:35 AM | message detail
Vincent's gonna kill that *****!

Unfortunately Dorf will come back as Ganon and in the same way as the morning vote he will become a monster ;-) Anyway off to work HM hold off the crazy VInce fanboys till the morning then the real battle will ensue.


Ganon/dorf > Sonic ;-)
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"I'll do it with my magic!" Tellah-Final Fantasy 4
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:17:45 AM | message detail
That's like, the insane leading the crazy. HM is a Vincent fanboy, and I don't know what he's doing on the other side of the table.
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:22:34 AM | message detail
58% update. Even if Ganon makes a comeback attempt, he might fall too far behind for it to matter.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:23:05 AM | message detail
Ahhh, that was the one I was looking for. :)
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 12:24:13 AM | message detail
Next year, Will Vincent be exposed like Magus :(

He's following the path of Magus perfectly, too.
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2006 12:30:25 AM | message detail
Next year, Vincent will lose to Magus!
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Supporter of Alucard.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:35:48 AM | message detail
That would be crazy.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:36:18 AM | message detail
If Vincent is going to be exposed (lol), it will happen in round two of this contest. Don't bank on him ever being caught scoring much lower than his 2k5 stats have him (barring the effects of aging).
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 12:36:20 AM | message detail
One thing I don't understand is why Aeris/Zelda isn't getting much discussion. If Aeris, Vincent, and Tifa are all relatively equal (re: 1-2%) then why isn't Aeris > Zelda not a popular pick. Especially after seeing how an optional character from FFVII can hang with the franchise's 20-year villian. Unless you believe Zelda > Ganondorf, I don't see why Aeris > Zelda is such a farout pick. Maybe because TP's release date was projected to come out before the match >_>
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 12:37:10 AM | message detail
Random -2? :|
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
The Real Truth | Posted 10/7/2006 12:37:28 AM | message detail
I have Aeris > Zelda
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
Contest score= 22/24, Next= Sonic, Vincent, Kirby, Zero
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:37:33 AM | message detail
Maybe because TP's release date was projected to come out before the match >_>

Exactly what my logic was, actually. But I still think Zelda takes that on bracket support alone.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
nevergleam | Posted 10/7/2006 12:37:38 AM | message detail
Well, that was unexpected. Ganondorf gained two votes back. An anomaly I guess.

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Someday 2D games will come back in style....
I'm just deluding myself, aren't I?
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:38:13 AM | message detail
Yeah, the TP delay makes me wish I'd have gone with the better character on that match, too. *shrugs* It's gonna be damn close either way.
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 12:38:59 AM | message detail
First, the random +95 and now the random -2. Hooray spikes.
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
The Real Truth | Posted 10/7/2006 12:39:22 AM | message detail
UltimaterializerX
Posted 10/7/2006 12:37:33 AM
message detail Maybe because TP's release date was projected to come out before the match >_>

Exactly what my logic was, actually. But I still think Zelda takes that on bracket support alone.


Oh yeah, because we all know Vincent has the majority of the support this match.
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
Contest score= 22/24, Next= Sonic, Vincent, Kirby, Zero
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2006 12:39:35 AM | message detail
Why isn't everyone discussing that Dorf isn't doing that much better than Dante?
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Supporter of Alucard.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/7/2006 12:40:50 AM | message detail
Because everyone is expecting Ganondorf's incredible day vote to descend from the heavens and cause a projected 1200-1500 vote swing (Yeah, I was wrong about 2000 HM.)
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/7/2006 12:41:40 AM | message detail
Uhh... you realize that AC hit the mainstream AND Vincent got his own leading role since the last contest, right?
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If B8 were any more like the WWE I'd be getting paid for this message.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2006 12:42:34 AM | message detail
From ChichiriMuyo Posted 10/7/2006 3:41:40 AM #199
Uhh... you realize that AC hit the mainstream AND Vincent got his own leading role since the last contest, right?

Let them think that Ganon is a day vote beast.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI