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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 379

PiGuy96 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:02:14 PM | message detail
01:00 | Ganondorf | 5576 | +1162 | 50.35% | Vincent Valentine | 5592 | +1146 | 49.65% | 11168 | Lead of 16 | (Down 16)
00:45 | Ganondorf | 4414 | +1250 | 48.89% | Vincent Valentine | 4446 | +1307 | 51.11% | 8860 | Lead of 32 | (Up 57)
00:30 | Ganondorf | 3164 | +1396 | 50.23% | Vincent Valentine | 3139 | +1383 | 49.77% | 6303 | Lead of 25 | (Up 13)
00:15 | Ganondorf | 1768 | +1501 | 49.36% | Vincent Valentine | 1756 | +1540 | 50.64% | 3524 | Lead of 12 | (Down 39)
00:00 | Ganondorf | 267 | +267 | 55.28% | Vincent Valentine | 216 | +216 | 44.72% | 483 | Lead of 51 | (Up 51)
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:02:18 PM | message detail
And with that I'm going to bed, I want to wake up near the beginning of the morning vote. Ganondorf has the advantage, but Vincent isn't out yet.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 10:03:34 PM | message detail
Interestingly, at about 11171 votes into the Link/Cloud match, Cloud was winning by 103 votes.

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Starion | Posted 10/6/2006 10:04:36 PM | message detail
The best chance of a Noble Nine ruination will probably happen when the next-gen systems are firmly established. That depends on whether or companies actually make new memorable characters in new super-popular games instead of the same old characters in sequels of spinoffs.
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Currently playing: Dark Cloud 2 - Medal hunting (303/396)
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:05:20 PM | message detail
Interestingly, at about 11171 votes into the Link/Cloud match, Cloud was winning by 103 votes.

If Ganon finishes with 52.5%, and my 1% boost for DoC is correct, that would put Ganon at exactly what Sonic is projected to get on Vincent last year.

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Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 10:05:21 PM | message detail
Ganon brings it down to 10 votes!

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XxSoulxX | Posted 10/6/2006 10:05:44 PM | message detail
10 VOTES?!

Holy ****. I WANT SOME ****ING SLEEP GANON! STOP MAKING THINGS INTERESTING!
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/6/2006 10:06:04 PM | message detail
10 votes. Vincent isn't looking too hot...
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 10:06:17 PM | message detail
DECLARATION: I will go to bed when either

a. Ganon re-take the lead
b. This match has been going on for 1 hour, 30 minutes

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/6/2006 10:07:30 PM | message detail
I'm with you on that. Hell, if Vincent takes a strong lead (over 30), then I'm out of here.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
fluffyflyingpig | Posted 10/6/2006 10:07:54 PM | message detail
Hmm, let's try again.


IF (and it's a big if) this stays a 50/50 match... do you still take the winner over Sonic?



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CJayC | 6/3/2003 | Message Detail
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Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/6/2006 10:08:49 PM | message detail
Going to bed on a Friday Night?!
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 10:08:49 PM | message detail
Of course not. Sonic is simply too strong to be beaten by someone who would essentially get 45% on Crono.

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/6/2006 10:09:05 PM | message detail
No
Haste_2 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:09:08 PM | message detail
No way in heck would I think both Ganon and Vincent are stronger than Sonic. :p

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HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:09:22 PM | message detail
IF (and it's a big if) this stays a 50/50 match... do you still take the winner over Sonic?

You definitely have to call Sonic the favorite, though it won't be more than 53-47.

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Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 10:09:49 PM | message detail
I think the winner would need to have some separation -- let's say about 52% or more -- for people to believe that the winner is going to threaten Sonic. 50/50 won't cut it.

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XxSoulxX | Posted 10/6/2006 10:11:03 PM | message detail
Screw it, that was enough.

Good night people. Here's hoping for a Ganon lead when I wake up!
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 10:11:08 PM | message detail
...17 votes.

DAMNIT GANON, I WANT TO SLEEP.

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/6/2006 10:11:15 PM | message detail
17 votes
Haste_2 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:11:16 PM | message detail
So...if Ganondorf beat Vincent with 52%...who wins in Auron vs. Squall?!

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HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:11:48 PM | message detail
So...if Ganondorf beat Vincent with 52%...who wins in Auron vs. Squall?!

I completely throw stats out the window and take Squall.

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Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 10:12:31 PM | message detail
KH2 Auron is all like "lol squall."

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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 10:12:43 PM | message detail
I would pick Squall, then switch to Auron after remembering his KHII appearence.

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/6/2006 10:12:46 PM | message detail
50/50 would make a victory over sonic farfetched, since that would make at least two characters above at least one noble nine character (a noble niner who is unlikely to be the weakest of the nine no less). If this goes 50/50 until the day though, 52.5%+ wouldn't be entirely out of the question for ganon, albeit unlikely.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
transience | Posted 10/6/2006 10:14:36 PM | message detail
*gets home*

oh ****. ummm.... *goes to read stats topics*
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:15:35 PM | message detail
*fondles tranny*

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The_Ocelot | Posted 10/6/2006 10:15:55 PM | message detail
8 votes...ugh this is going nowhere
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 10:15:56 PM | message detail
One more update like that and I can sleep.

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
Samurai7 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:16:33 PM | message detail
I declare this CT vs LttP 2 and Vincent will do well with the day vote for no reason whatsoever and keep it close all day long.
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
Haste_2 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:17:11 PM | message detail
Okay...that's it. Ganondorf wins.

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Haste_2 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:17:40 PM | message detail
On another note, I really hope samurai is right.

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Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/6/2006 10:17:50 PM | message detail
Let's assume massive day votes!
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:18:09 PM | message detail
I declare this CT vs LttP 2 and Vincent will do well with the day vote for no reason whatsoever and keep it close all day long.

Except that LttP being an older Zelda game would give it a stronger night vote and a weaker day vote, or so I'd assume. Simply because it's a Zelda game doesn't make it have a good day vote.

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dragoontheguy | Posted 10/6/2006 10:18:12 PM | message detail
Nice update for Ganon there, bringing vincents lead back down to single digits. Vincent needs to take off in the next hour or two or I don't see him winning... unless his voting patterns somehow shifted dramatically from last year to this year for him. Since I don't think his fanbase has changed in terms of what kinds of gamers like him, I doubt it has,even if he is stronger this year (which he should be, even if just marginally).
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Kaxon | Posted 10/6/2006 10:18:19 PM | message detail
Interestingly, at about 11171 votes into the Link/Cloud match, Cloud was winning by 103 votes.

But that match started at midnight. If this one had started at midnight instead of nine, Vincent would be doing a lot better one hour in.
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....TCELES B HSUP
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 10:18:38 PM | message detail
And here's my lovely bit that I came up with before this match and told to Draco on AIM in relation to Ganon!


Okay -- we all know that Auron got about 32% or so on Sephiroth in 2004, right? But I would hope we all also know that that was a Square/Square match with potential SFF. Don't believe it? Fine by me!

We also know that Sephiroth went on later to face Cloud. Sephiroth dips from his 2003 value in 2004 and rises back up to his 2003 value in 2005. Despite the initial claims of no SFF or whatever, it's pretty evident to me that Sephiroth, in fact, never left his 2003 strength.

Now, what does this mean for Ganon? Lots o' things!

(HOLY CRAP ON A STICK GANON WITH THE GAIN!)

For starters, if we raise Sephiroth up to his 2003 value in 2004 we get around a 4% increase for him. Now when you adjust Auron based upon that, he jumps up to around 33% on BL. You translate that over in 2005 and it puts Ganon at approximately Bowser's level, a little higher or little lower.

Oh yes.

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fluffyflyingpig | Posted 10/6/2006 10:20:22 PM | message detail
o.O
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HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:20:27 PM | message detail
You could also boost up Samus to where she should be and get the very same thing. It's a lot easier like that!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 10:20:33 PM | message detail
But that match started at midnight. If this one had started at midnight instead of nine, Vincent would be doing a lot better one hour in.

I wasn't comparing them from a time perspective. I was doing it from the total votes. If I was comparing them at the same time marks, it'd be a little weird. But one hour in, Link had a small lead over Cloud.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
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The_Ocelot | Posted 10/6/2006 10:20:49 PM | message detail
Vsquared up 33
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 10:20:51 PM | message detail
****ing roller coaster.

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:01 PM | message detail
y halo thar ganon dropoff

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:07 PM | message detail
Tag


KB
Kaxon | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:17 PM | message detail
...Forgot to mention, there's also no way Ganon's day vote is as strong as Link's. Even relatively speaking.
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....TCELES B HSUP
therealmnm | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:34 PM | message detail
Ganon is about at Bowser's level?

I'm so shocked
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
nevergleam | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:41 PM | message detail
WHAMMO. That hurts.

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Someday 2D games will come back in style....
I'm just deluding myself, aren't I?
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:44 PM | message detail
...Forgot to mention, there's also no way Ganon's day vote is as strong as Link's. Even relatively speaking.

Nor Vincent, Clouds.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:48 PM | message detail
Both dropped off, but Ganon took a harder fall there. Lead of 33 for Mr. Valentine. Nothing to really fret about.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
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fluffyflyingpig | Posted 10/6/2006 10:21:58 PM | message detail
But that match started at midnight. If this one had started at midnight instead of nine, Vincent would be doing a lot better one hour in.

I wasn't comparing them from a time perspective. I was doing it from the total votes. If I was comparing them at the same time marks, it'd be a little weird. But one hour in, Link had a small lead over Cloud.




What happens when you compare the same time periods in Link/Cloud to this match so far?


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CJayC | 6/3/2003 | Message Detail
GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site…