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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 379

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Ed Bellis | Posted 10/6/2006 9:26:33 PM | message detail
Question of the hour: Will this one match make the female bracket worth sitting through?


*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt



POST ALREADY K THX
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
Big Bob | Posted 10/6/2006 9:26:41 PM | message detail
Maybe.
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"My opinion matters more to me than yours does." - Ulti
RockMFR 5 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:26:59 PM | message detail
Ganon wins!!
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O RLY? ALVEOLA RLY! o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:27:03 PM | message detail
Go Vincent!
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Character Battle V Score - 24/25 points
Current Prediction - Ganondorf vs. Vincent Valentine
Aprosenf | Posted 10/6/2006 9:27:39 PM | message detail
!!

That is all.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:01 PM | message detail
Question: No, this match, along with most of the Blast Division will make it worth it
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:10 PM | message detail
(Knux > Magus) > (Ganondorf > Vincent)

GO GANON GO!
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
Pointman | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:22 PM | message detail
GaaaNonDooorf...GaaaNonDooorf...
KingBartz | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:30 PM | message detail
DAMMIT ED YOU BEAT ME TO IT BY TEN SECONDS
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It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon.
SC2k6: 24/25 Today's upset special: Vincent
ff6man | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:51 PM | message detail
VIN-CENT! VIN-CENT!
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CB2006 Score: 23/25 points
Today's Match: Ganondorf Vs. Vincent Valentine
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 9:43:36 PM | message detail
I'll just ask in this topic. How are we doing on votal projections?

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/6/2006 9:47:18 PM | message detail
Oooh, I've never done one of these before. Let's see...

At 12:40 PM EST, this match has approximately 8054 votes. To compare to similar matches at the same time:

Zelda/Carmen: 7863
Dante/Ryu H.: 7462
Squall/Tidus: 7243
Samus/Nidoran F.: 7944

Yikes !!
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 9:47:36 PM | message detail
GANONDORF > MAIN BRACKET!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
MarkSmith | Posted 10/6/2006 9:47:53 PM | message detail
maybe.
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PROUDEST MEMBER OF THE FIGHTIN' TEXAS AGGIE CLASS OF 2010
Next game: who cares? Fire Fran!
Redtooth | Posted 10/6/2006 9:50:11 PM | message detail
Wow, that's pretty good totals =o. It is the weekend, a zelda character and a FF7 character, so it isn't completely unexpected. Still nice =D

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
Who Cares? | Posted 10/6/2006 9:50:20 PM | message detail
I'll just ask in this topic. How are we doing on votal projections?

It's trailing Tifa/Ivy by about a hundred votes. So we should have a new top vote grabber here.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara Croft (October 21th) One down, two to go!
*Just 3 days until Tales of the Abyss*
Typhoid Larry | Posted 10/6/2006 9:51:04 PM | message detail
triviaman jinxed it!
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Captain of the Sony Defense Force / Corporal of the Droid Army of NGG
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/6/2006 9:51:37 PM | message detail
GOD DAMN IT GANON LET ME SLEEP!
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 9:51:54 PM | message detail
Ganon with nearly a 51% update win! He needs to keep this up!

And it was a combination of Ganon rising a little and Vincent dropping off a bit.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/6/2006 9:52:09 PM | message detail
On a scale of 1-10, that makes -87 sense. You have no logic to decree !!

lol people not understanding that stronger night vote = weaker day vote.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/6/2006 9:52:10 PM | message detail
Day vote, that's what I mean.

Let me put it to you this way: Gordan freeman has a terrible day vote. There's no way around it, his day vote just sucks. But when faced with his match against phoenix wright, he went up considerably during the day in percentage because even though his day vote is crap, phoenix's was that much worse. Same thing applies here.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Gaddswell | Posted 10/6/2006 9:52:59 PM | message detail
And Ganon cuts the lead by winning his first update in 25 minutes.

Ganondorf: 405

Vincent: 393

Ganondorf's %: 50.75%

Vincent's %: 49.25%
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:53:04 PM | message detail
lol people not understanding that stronger night vote = weaker day vote.

It doesn't make your day vote any weaker, it just makes the dropoff between the two greater, but that doesn't mean it's actually any weaker.

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I'm so hardcore.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/6/2006 9:53:07 PM | message detail
Except of course, that ganon's day vote isn't terrible, it's just somewhat average. Same concept though is what I mean.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:53:16 PM | message detail
On one hand, I love seeing Ganon go toe to toe with Vincent at night.

On the other hand, I probably won't be able to go to bed until this match stabilizes one way or another >_<

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Aprosenf | Posted 10/6/2006 9:53:38 PM | message detail
Hey Ed Bellis or whoever, where do you get those votal comparisons from? It's gotta be coming from some script or something, since they're always formatted exactly the same, but I've never seen a link to whatever it is that generates those results.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 9:54:06 PM | message detail
Apronsenf: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:54:08 PM | message detail
Except of course, that ganon's day vote isn't terrible, it's just somewhat average. Same concept though is what I mean.

If it stays like this, the difference maker will be Ganon's morning vote, not his day vote.

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I'm so hardcore.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:54:16 PM | message detail
I hear people talking about Dirge of Cerberus bettering Vincent's day vote... yet Tidus won the after-school vote against Squall (slightly), despite Squall being the one featured in KH2.

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/6/2006 9:54:37 PM | message detail
From EvenMyROgetsB7 Posted 10/7/2006 12:54:08 AM
Except of course, that ganon's day vote isn't terrible, it's just somewhat average. Same concept though is what I mean.

If it stays like this, the difference maker will be Ganon's morning vote, not his day vote.


Agreed.
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Current Character Battle 5 Score 24/25 Today's Pick: Vincent Next Pick: Kirby Incorrect Picks: Celes
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:54:54 PM | message detail
It's a bloody shame this is only a 1 point match

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:55:06 PM | message detail
I hear people talking about Dirge of Cerberus bettering Vincent's day vote... yet Tidus won the after-school vote against Squall (slightly), despite Squall being the one featured in KH2.

It's hard not to win the day vote when you're getting pummeled that badly.

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I'm so hardcore.
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/6/2006 9:55:11 PM | message detail
14 votes
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Current Character Battle 5 Score 24/25 Today's Pick: Vincent Next Pick: Kirby Incorrect Picks: Celes
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/6/2006 9:55:52 PM | message detail
If it stays like this, the difference maker will be Ganon's morning vote, not his day vote.

Correct, however I expect that if they go toe to toe at night, Vincent won't be winning the day vote at any point. I'd say vincents max at this point is maybe 3k before the day vote, and that's only if he turns into an absolute machine in the dead of night. Even then 2k to 2,500 would be more realistic.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:56:01 PM | message detail
It's a bloody shame this is only a 1 point match

Uh... this is the most expensive match of this contest. Whoever wins > male bracket !!

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I'm so hardcore.
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/6/2006 9:56:02 PM | message detail
What Brett said.
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/6/2006 9:56:16 PM | message detail
It's a bloody shame this is only a 1 point match

GANON > SONIC IS STILL ALIVE!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Aprosenf | Posted 10/6/2006 9:56:16 PM | message detail
Apronsenf: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

I know about that, that gives you the results for any given match, but I'm asking how people generate the posts that look like:

At time xx:xx, this match has yyyyy votes. To compare with other matches at the same time,
zzzzzzz/wwww: ttttt
uuuu/vvvvvv: sssss
rrrrrrrrrr/qqqqq: ppppp
oooooo/nnnnn: mmmm
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
VinnieMac | Posted 10/6/2006 9:56:32 PM | message detail
If Ganon/Vincent was switched with the Phoenix/Gordon match, this match could have been worth more than just a point.
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"Hey Jack. Have you noticed, wherever you go, there's a body count?" - George Mason
"Be a winner, not a weiner!" - Major Victory
fluffyflyingpig | Posted 10/6/2006 9:57:02 PM | message detail
Let's say this remains a 50/50 match up till the end. How confidant would you be in Vincent/Ganon > Sonic?


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CJayC | 6/3/2003 | Message Detail
GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site…
Crono801 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:57:16 PM | message detail
So... has any match been closer than this throughout the first hour?
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Welcome to Moonside. Wecomel to Soonmide. Moonwel ot cosidme.
Truly Gone Fishing
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:57:23 PM | message detail
If Ganon/Vincent was switched with the Phoenix/Gordon match, this match could have been worth more than just a point.

Would've been a damn good match with Sora, though I'd take both of them to beat him, I would put Sora at 33% on BL after this year.

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I'm so hardcore.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:57:28 PM | message detail
It would've been worth 3 <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
shadow8021 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:57:37 PM | message detail
There is no way in hell Ganondorf beats Sonic IF he gets there, which right now, he's behind.
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Character Battle Score: 25/25
Today's Pick: Vincent Valentine
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:58:09 PM | message detail
There is no way in hell Ganondorf beats Sonic IF he gets there, which right now, he's behind.

Give it 2 minutes!

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I'm so hardcore.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/6/2006 9:59:05 PM | message detail
It doesn't make your day vote any weaker, it just makes the dropoff between the two greater, but that doesn't mean it's actually any weaker.

Day and night votes are judged by shifts, not by actually strength. If that weren't true, Link would actually have a great night vote.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2006 9:59:24 PM | message detail
Ganon is kicking absolute ass right now. Going toe-to-toe with Vincent in his best time is just what he needs to do.

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/6/2006 9:59:29 PM | message detail
Although I've always had it out for snake since his fanboys annoy the crap out of me, I still wouldn't mind seeing the noble nine crumble regardless of which noble nine member who disgraced themselves. The amount of predictibility that could take away from the contests would be worth screwing over my bracket for. >_>
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:00:25 PM | message detail
Day and night votes are judged by shifts, not by actually strength. If that weren't true, Link would actually have a great night vote.

Does it mean that he will be more likely to lose day votes now compared to before? Yes, but that still doesn't make it any weaker than it used to be.

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I'm so hardcore.
shadow8021 | Posted 10/6/2006 10:00:40 PM | message detail
2 vote update win for Vincent, I'm hittin the sack.
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Character Battle Score: 25/25
Today's Pick: Vincent Valentine