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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 378

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UItimaterializer | Posted 10/5/2006 8:19:50 PM | message detail
We feel the pain of a lifetime lost in a thousand days. Through the fire and flames, AXEL CARRIES ON!

(brownie point to whoever gets the reference)



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt



!yawA tsoP
Aprosenf | Posted 10/5/2006 8:20:13 PM | message detail
Commit it to memory.
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 8:20:18 PM | message detail
Forst

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
therealmnm | Posted 10/5/2006 8:21:01 PM | message detail
I'm so flattered!
---
Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 8:21:01 PM | message detail
Gah

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
KingBartz | Posted 10/6/2006 8:44:19 AM | message detail
Sonic says: "That's NOOOOOOOO GOOD!"
---
It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon.
SC2k6: 23/24 Today's pick: Sonic the Hedgehog
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:44:42 AM | message detail
BURN, BABY!
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Applekidjosh | Posted 10/6/2006 8:45:35 AM | message detail
As the red day is dawning
And the lightning cracks the sky
They raise their hands to the heavens above
As we send them to their lies
Running back through the mid-morning light
There's a burning in my heart
We're banished from the time in the fallen land
To a light beyond the stars
---
mli
Aprosenf | Posted 10/6/2006 8:45:38 AM | message detail
Post 499 wins.
---
For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 8:45:48 AM | message detail
Sonic > The male bracket.
---
Supporter of Alucard.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:46:17 AM | message detail
Post 500 > Post 499 > Post 498

Though all are true!
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/6/2006 8:46:53 AM | message detail
Assuming a constant Sonic and giving Ganondorf the percentage he's projected on CATS in the VC, this looks pretty bad for Ganondorf as well.

Of course, that was Face CATS while this is what is now dubbed as 'Hybrid CATS'...but does it make *that* much of a difference?
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:49:55 AM | message detail
I think the key is that the face is visible and recognizable. I don't see why it would make a difference in his performance.

Speaking of which...

Based on CATS (assuming he finishes with 20% here), Sonic/Ganondorf is projected to be 57.43% in favor of Sonic!!

...Maybe it does make a difference.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 8:50:24 AM | message detail
And now Sonic has above 80%
---
Supporter of Alucard.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:51:05 AM | message detail
Then again, Sonic/Ganondorf in 2005 is projected to be 56.31% in favor of Sonic.

BLUE BLUR BOOST!
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:51:58 AM | message detail
Odd that Sonic breaking 80% and CATS breaking 10,000 votes occurs on the same update.
---
Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/6/2006 8:59:29 AM | message detail
CATS
---
The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 8:59:55 AM | message detail
All your stats are belong to CATS

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:03:48 AM | message detail
And the more I think about it, the more I think Vincent has every chance to take the match tomorrow.

For all we know, Ganondorf is the next Magus. 1 massive overperformance followed by unreliable losses = perfect formula for an overrated bust.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/6/2006 9:05:38 AM | message detail
Linking Ganondorf with Magus? But why? They're so unrelated in every conceivable way!
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:11:20 AM | message detail
He beat Auron with 54%, and Auron's certainly no chump.
---
The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 9:12:20 AM | message detail
For what it's worth, Sonic 2005 scores 83.05% on Eggplant CATS 2004.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/6/2006 9:12:25 AM | message detail
He beat Auron with 54%, and Auron's certainly no chump.

That was clearly an SFF match.
---
This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 9:13:19 AM | message detail
Ganon could be an overrated bust...but that would max out the "overrated bust" quota(tm) for this contest, and I want that title to go to Kirby so Prince can win or make it close. >_>

I know I'm kidding myself, but let me dream k

Sonic the Hedgehog 80.01% 41187
CATS 19.99% 10291

Woo.

RISE, SONIC! RISE AND FACE MALE BRACKET DOMINATION!
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic
KingBartz | Posted 10/6/2006 9:13:22 AM | message detail
lol sff explanations
---
It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon.
SC2k6: 23/24 Today's pick: Sonic the Hedgehog
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/6/2006 9:13:53 AM | message detail
Auron's certainly no chump, which is why that victory over him is by far the most impressive thing Ganondorf has ever done, I'll wager. But we've never had a good read on Auron -- ever.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:15:01 AM | message detail
For all we know, Auron might have been overrated as well.

"But he performed better on Scorpion than Zero!!!"

But who's to say Zero isn't overrated either?

I guess we'll see over the next week whether or not those 3 are overrated.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 9:15:09 AM | message detail
For what it's worth, Sonic 2005 scores 83.05% on Eggplant CATS 2004.

And by the end of today, he'll be less than a % away from that. That has to mean a stronger Sonic since we know that face CATS isn't horrendously bad.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/6/2006 9:15:25 AM | message detail
...I thought that was funny in my head for some reason. >_>
---
This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 9:17:01 AM | message detail
Axel increased almost 3% on Megaman in the last 12 hours.. Think Sonic can do the same against CATS today? >_>
---
Supporter of Alucard.
Samurai7 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:18:31 AM | message detail
I maintain higher votals = even weaker CATS >.>
---
It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:18:37 AM | message detail
Also, time for a BOLD PREDICTION!

If Vincent beats Ganondorf and Sonic, he will take his division the second year in a row before jobbing to Crono again, but the difference will be much closer this time around.

If this happens, Vincent/Crono will be the new Mario/Crono

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:19:43 AM | message detail
But then again, Vincent may be overrated to hell as well.

Damn these unreliable values >_<

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/6/2006 9:19:46 AM | message detail
If Vincent beats Ganondorf and Sonic, that isn't a very bold prediction at all. <_<
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 9:20:36 AM | message detail
Kirby > Vincent is a lock!
---
Supporter of Alucard.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 9:20:42 AM | message detail
I like the idea of Vincent/Crono becoming the next Mario/Crono, but at the expense of Sonic's male bracket victory? No.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/6/2006 9:22:30 AM | message detail
I don't particularly like it -- Vincent/Squall was about the best match we're ever going to get out of two Square characters, I'll wager. It's those Nintendo/Square rivalries that really get the blood boiling and the vote swings happening.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:22:48 AM | message detail
I dunno, until today it seemed obvious to me that Ganny would take Vincent down, but after thinking about it, what if Vincent's value on Crono was legit, and he does get a significant enough boost from AC, DoC and, god-forbid, KH2 to beat Sonic?

lol whacky upset predictions

So my question to you guys would be how much does Ganon/Vincent need to score tomorrow to consider them a viable upset pick against Sonic?

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/6/2006 9:23:31 AM | message detail
Nothing. Either of them could be overrated to high hell. I'll believe it when I see it.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:24:41 AM | message detail
What a contest this would be if both Snake and Sonic break the NN tradition by losing their second round matches.

This bracket may be better than we thought.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 9:26:40 AM | message detail
I don't particularly like it -- Vincent/Squall was about the best match we're ever going to get out of two Square characters, I'll wager. It's those Nintendo/Square rivalries that really get the blood boiling and the vote swings happening.

Well, we need one great rivalry to replace Mario/Crono, anyway. 2005 all but exhausted the concept. Crono made it very close twice then gave Mario a relative thrashing, closely followed by Mario giving Crono a relative thrashing. It's done, over, now. Mario has shot out of Crono's league.

So what should replace the rivalry? If Crono beats Sonic (lololololol) and gets to Samus, we could maybe get something going there...

Hmm. *ponders* Maybe this year's Sonic/Samus match (hopefully) will rekindle their rivalry if Sonic gives it a close run.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 9:27:53 AM | message detail
I would say that Ganny needs to score +57%, assuming that Vincent is a little stronger than Tifa and that Sonic has boosted..

Vinnie needs to score around 60% I think.... I'm not sure how Sonic would do on Ganondorf.

---
Supporter of Alucard.
BDawg | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:20 AM | message detail
Sonic is doing well enough Sub Zero should be throw out and immediately replaced with Knuckles. Although for all I care you can replace that jobber Chief with Knuckles.
---
Should I start running now?
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:21 AM | message detail
Well, we need one great rivalry to replace Mario/Crono, anyway. 2005 all but exhausted the concept. Crono made it very close twice then gave Mario a relative thrashing, closely followed by Mario giving Crono a relative thrashing. It's done, over, now. Mario has shot out of Crono's league.

I'm looking at the pre-2005 topics right now. EVERY SINGLE PERSON IS SAYING THE EXACT SAME THING ABOUT CRONO.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:28:59 AM | message detail
Next year, I could definitely see Snake/Samus being a good matchup

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/6/2006 9:29:57 AM | message detail
Snake/Squall and Sonic/Ganon/Vincent are getting debated, but Crono/Bowser is left high and dry. Just like last year, I think Bowser has the best chance to break the Noble 9. He has an advantage over anyone else in being the only one who's put them in danger before.
---
The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 9:30:09 AM | message detail
And I'm really hoping Vincent beats Ganon. Not only is it a point for my bracket, but it could firmly prove either way the results of Sonic/Crono.

I mean, Vince could have rSFFed Crono...but even if he did, I believe the boosts he will get put him to that level anyway, or thereabouts. If Sonic comes close to Crono's performance on Vincent, Sonic has it.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:30:54 AM | message detail
Replace Subby with Knux or Frog.

Both of them and Master Chief always seem to have entertaining matches, and it would kick ass to see Round 1 end with a 6 vote lead for Frog.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/6/2006 9:31:51 AM | message detail
Snake and Crono are 2 different beasts though. Not to mention Bowser/Snake is fishy

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 9:32:08 AM | message detail
Next year, I could definitely see Snake/Samus being a good matchup

Nope. Snake SFFs Samus into the ground.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic