GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 377
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 9:33:13 PM | message detail |
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It's impossible for CATS to have dropped? His 2k5 matches can be explained both by the pics, and the fact that his opponents were chumps. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| creativename | Posted 10/5/2006 9:33:32 PM | message detail |
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I too was going to say that there's no way Sonic gets 85%, but that's been covered... It seems likely Sonic will get 80%. I'd guess 81% now, give or take a point. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 9:34:43 PM | message detail |
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Nevermind that 85% thing. I see now that that 81% update was a fluke. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 9:34:56 PM | message detail |
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That's ... crazy. CATS being below 15% on BL? See, you had to be all pessimistic and put the blame on CATS. Well, I got little song for that kinda talk, and it goes like this: If you're strong, you can fly, you can reach the other side of the bracket. It's alright, take a chance, 'cause there is no circumstance that you can't handle (when voters use their minds) SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST (Crono keeps you runnin' faster) SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST (save the contest from disaster) SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST (winning through a poll in motion) SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST, SONIC BOOST (take it all the way -- to the finals!) --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 10/5/2006 9:42:27 PM | message detail |
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I might have missed it among pages of stats topics, but why exactly are
people all of a sudden claiming that Sonic has a shot at Crono? Where
exactly does this hypothetical boost come from? Or is it just that
Crono may have gotten weaker? --- This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy! |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/5/2006 9:42:31 PM | message detail |
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His 2k5 matches can be explained both by the pics, and the fact that his opponents were chumps. You did not just go there! >_< --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 10/5/2006 9:42:42 PM | message detail |
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...oh, pfft. That explains it !! --- This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy! |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/5/2006 9:43:23 PM | message detail |
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Pessimism is my middle name. --- Sonic vs. CATS / Bracket: Sonic / Vote: Sonic (23/24) Tomorrow / Bracket: Vincent / Vote: Ganondorf |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/5/2006 9:43:25 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=967 --- Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 9:43:33 PM | message detail |
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I might have missed it among pages of stats topics, but why exactly
are people all of a sudden claiming that Sonic has a shot at Crono?
Where exactly does this hypothetical boost come from? Or is it just
that Crono may have gotten weaker? Sonic and Crono are close enough so that yearly variation could change the results of that match. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/5/2006 9:44:07 PM | message detail |
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I might have missed it among pages of stats topics, but why exactly
are people all of a sudden claiming that Sonic has a shot at Crono?
Where exactly does this hypothetical boost come from? Or is it just
that Crono may have gotten weaker? Sonic almost beat Mega Man, and Mega Man almost beat Crono. It's the same reasoning people used for Sonic over Cloud in 2k3, since he almost beat Cloud, and Samus was really close to Sephiroth, and Sephiroth looked stronger than Cloud. Sonic almost did it back then, too! --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 9:44:28 PM | message detail |
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So you're saying that Ansem and Master Chief aren't chumps? TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/5/2006 9:44:32 PM | message detail |
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That acctually was a pretty good rendition of Sonic Boom acctually <_< --- "I have no fear of losing my life - if I have to save a koala or a crocodile or a kangaroo or a snake, mate, I will save it. " -Steve Irwin |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/5/2006 9:45:12 PM | message detail |
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I might have missed it among pages of stats topics, but why exactly
are people all of a sudden claiming that Sonic has a shot at Crono?
Where exactly does this hypothetical boost come from? Or is it just
that Crono may have gotten weaker? There has always been a few people around here that chose Sonic to win the male bracket. Myself included. --- - Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/5/2006 9:45:13 PM | message detail |
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So you're saying that Ansem and Master Chief aren't chumps? Oh, I thought you were talking about Ganon. Carry on!! --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| transience | Posted 10/5/2006 9:45:37 PM | message detail |
| as we get later into the night, CATS should
theoretically do better. I wouldn't be amazed if the percentage drops a
little bit and then rises again come the morning. remember that the old
matches, including Ansem/CATS, were at 1am/3am. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 9:45:59 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1362 Uhhhh TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| NewLib | Posted 10/5/2006 9:46:24 PM | message detail |
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Sonic at no time "almost" beat Cloud. --- --NL-- Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 9:47:26 PM | message detail |
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That was his point, though he sort of mucked up the explanation (and
thus the sarcasm). Also, I don't think we can *quite* compare Mario's
fluke victory against Cloud followed up with KHF to this... --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/5/2006 9:47:41 PM | message detail |
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Indeed. That was just me cleverly implying that Sonic stands about as
much of a chance at beating Crono as he did at beating Cloud back in 2k3!! --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| transience | Posted 10/5/2006 9:48:30 PM | message detail |
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KH's comment about Sonic being the most loved character got me
thinking.. I think it's Mega Man. Mega Man's best percentage vs. Link
by far was the early vote until he collapsed. cn's updater seems to
start ten minutes into the match though, so it's hard to tell. Mega Man
definitely lost a ton of percentage when the daytime came though and he
won it decisively over Sonic. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| creativename | Posted 10/5/2006 9:51:39 PM | message detail |
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Sonic definitely has some chance to beat Crono. The whole
Vincent/Ganon/Sonic/Crono thing is funky though, even if it goes
according to expectations. One positive for CATS here is that since it looks like his massive board vote has lost its potency, we won't see the quite the swings as in his past matches; though Sonic will still rip him apart in the day. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 10/5/2006 10:04:28 PM | message detail |
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Hrm... that's what I figured, but it just seems so counterintuitive,
given how both characters' contest histories, even taking fluctuation
into account. (Then again, I have Snake over Mega Man - but at least
he's got a solid, substantive, provable boost! >_>) --- This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy! |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 10:07:23 PM | message detail |
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Quickly! Prediction precentages for the rest of this division! Ganon/Vincent will be close to 50/50, but I think Ganon will have a little higher support due to Zelda domination in the BSE. Kirby/PoP wil have at least 75% for Kirby, maybe more Luigi/Zero will have at least 60% picking Luigi. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 10:09:37 PM | message detail |
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I don't really want to think that far ahead...Ganon gets close to 60%
of the brackets, maybe more -- he's the higher seed AND he's Zelda. Um,
70-80% for Kirby, 58% for Luigi...yeah I'm done. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2006 10:11:22 PM | message detail |
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Just curious, but I'll point this out... Against Aeris: 30.22%, 34,779 votes. Against Mega Man: 30.13%, 35,340 votes. ...yet, does anybody else feel dirty about wanting to take Axel over Marle? --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 10:11:38 PM | message detail |
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I can't wait until Ganon/Vincent though. Weekend match to boot. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 10:12:37 PM | message detail |
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I would have taken Marle over Axel without thinking if that had been a
match in the bracket. Yet I'd have been SO happy with Axel beating her
out... --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 10/5/2006 10:13:25 PM | message detail |
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I'd be happy with nigh anyone beating Marle. --- This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy! |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2006 10:13:30 PM | message detail |
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Don't forget about his killer successes from last year, too --
runner-up and over-performed in the Villain Contest as well as matching
and outdoing most people's expectations/predictions in the Summer
Contest. Add to it the LoZ series winning this year and the releases of
LoZ:TP/Wii coming soon, and I bet Ganon has over two thirds of the
brackets against Vincent. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2006 10:14:51 PM | message detail |
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So do we still think Marle would beat Axel, then? 'Cuz if so, that
would mean either Marle was SFF'd pretty good, Mega Man dropped alot,
or Marle would rSFF Axel to victory. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/5/2006 10:15:37 PM | message detail |
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From BlAcK TuRtLe Posted 10/6/2006 1:11:38 AM #427 I can't wait until Ganon/Vincent though. Weekend match to boot. TuRtLe Weekend might actually favor the Square character. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 10:19:15 PM | message detail |
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I'd think Marle could have suffered a touch of the ol' SFF, but Axel
impressed me enough against Mega Man to make me change my ways there. I
don't see the massive fall for Mega Man...unless he does something like
fail to outperform Bowser on Ryu, I'll hold to that. And I always assumed the weekend would favor the Nintendo character...the weekend seems to bring in more votes, and I believed the Nintendo boost was just a result of newer Ninty-leaning voters coming here in the first place. Of course, if Vincent wins I think it'll be by a comfortable enough margin so that it doesn't matter. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/5/2006 10:21:11 PM | message detail |
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Most kids are in school on weekdays, hence the ridiculous after-school
votes for a lot of Nintendo and KH characters. I'd like to think this
weakens on the weekend. Starcraft did pull out that sick win on WW on
Saturday night. Any other day and WW probably wins. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/5/2006 10:23:12 PM | message detail |
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Weekend might actually favor the Square character. Err, if I had to guess, I would sooner think the weekend favors the Nintendo character. I really don't think you're going to see any notable favor anyway though. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2006 10:25:59 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, I would only consider the favor going to whichever character had
a bigger online fanbase worth noting (like Blizzard, for example). I'm
not going to worry what day of the week Ganon/Vincent lands on. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| transience | Posted 10/5/2006 10:27:26 PM | message detail |
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eek, 85% update. I don't think the day of the week matters. it's just more visible because it comes all at once with that afterschool vote. it's not like only Nintendo fans visit the site on weekdays. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/5/2006 10:31:07 PM | message detail |
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I dont see the difference between a weekend vote or a weekday one really... --- "I have no fear of losing my life - if I have to save a koala or a crocodile or a kangaroo or a snake, mate, I will save it. " -Steve Irwin |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/5/2006 10:37:49 PM | message detail |
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Well, Yoshi is the cookie cutter pick going by the Guru and BOP,
even if most people would change to Dante now if they had the chance. I agree that most would change after Dante/Ryu and Yoshi/Riku, but in light of Mega Man/Axel, I would suspect a good number of those Yoshi backers are feeling slightly less concerned. Dante stole a lot of support with his win over Ryu, but I think Axel won some of it back. --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| rpgm2newb | Posted 10/5/2006 10:44:27 PM | message detail |
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The weekend could be somewhat of a factor, because most kids/teenagers
are more likely to play videogames on a Saturday than during the week,
and then they get stuck on a level or something, so they come check out
GameFAQs. --- When my Wii doesn't work I'll just slap it around a bit. |
| transience | Posted 10/5/2006 10:48:59 PM | message detail |
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I don't really feel much different about Yoshi after seeing Axel in
action. to me, it's kind of like saying that Rikku impressing against
Ryu means that Yuna is stronger than we thought. they might be from the
same game, but they aren't really attached in any other way. we have no
way of knowing how much KH2 did for Riku right now. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/5/2006 10:57:52 PM | message detail |
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The weekend could be somewhat of a factor, because most
kids/teenagers are more likely to play videogames on a Saturday than
during the week, and then they get stuck on a level or something, so
they come check out GameFAQs. I believe we've established that already. --- Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden |
| rpgm2newb | Posted 10/5/2006 11:00:05 PM | message detail |
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I believe we've established that already. I figured someone probably already did, but I didn't really feel like reading through 400+ posts. --- When my Wii doesn't work I'll just slap it around a bit. |
| greatone10 | Posted 10/5/2006 11:00:22 PM | message detail |
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I have Alyx Vance < Lara Croft < Chun-Li < Yuna < Zelda < Samus < Crono Heh, if anyone ever deserved it, it's Alyx. --- RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/5/2006 11:06:13 PM | message detail |
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Well, technically Phoenix deserves it most for letting the universe be destroyed. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 11:07:14 PM | message detail |
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From UltimaterializerX Posted 10/6/2006 1:21:11 AM Most kids are in school on weekdays, hence the ridiculous after-school votes for a lot of Nintendo and KH characters. I'd like to think this weakens on the weekend. Starcraft did pull out that sick win on WW on Saturday night. Any other day and WW probably wins. ~*ST*~ I don't understand what you're saying. All the voters in the "after-school" vote will still be voting Nintendo or other casuals, except instead of being all at one time it will be balanced throughout the day on a weekend. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| greatone10 | Posted 10/5/2006 11:07:30 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, but Phoenix never had a hope of saving the old universe though. He was impressive just by not getting 60-40'd. --- RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/5/2006 11:08:52 PM | message detail |
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nice job Sonic! 80% here we come --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/5/2006 11:12:38 PM | message detail |
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Actually, the BOP and the Gurus disagree on one matchup... one that
effects the Ultimate Loser chain, in fact. The Guru bracket numbers
go... Yoshi - 63 Dante - 71 (52.99%) Which means that while the BOP UL is Ryu H, the Guru UL would be... *dramatic pause* Riku! Surely that would be the strongest 'ultimate loser' in history, aye? --- thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives |
| transience | Posted 10/5/2006 11:15:23 PM | message detail |
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the guru page lies, then! Dante is not a risky pick! --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11% |