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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 377

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 2:33:26 PM | message detail
Sonic definitely needs to watch out for Vincent, much more than he does Ganondorf. Vincent has more reason to boost, and if his old number was legit, anything can happen. Meanwhile, no matter how you swing the stats, Sonic significantly outdid Ganondorf on Diablo. With TP it was much more or a threat, but now he's been significantly diminished.

This isn't to say Ganondorf can't beat Vincent -- far from it -- it's just that Vincent's range is much higher.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/5/2006 2:33:28 PM | message detail
I don't think Squall has much of a shot at Snake, to be honest. This year's Snake might be the strongest one we've ever seen in these contests and he's already comfortably ahead of Squall. I don't think KH2 will overcome that.
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Character Battle V Score - 22/23 points
Current Prediction - Mega Man vs. Axel
Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/5/2006 2:33:58 PM | message detail
Dear goodness, its fun to talk about...



KB
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/5/2006 2:35:55 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/5/2006 2:37:25 PM | message detail
I don't think Squall has much of a shot at Snake, to be honest. This year's Snake might be the strongest one we've ever seen in these contests and he's already comfortably ahead of Squall.

52.45% is comfortably ahead? Really?
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 2: Etna (0-1)
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/5/2006 2:38:19 PM | message detail
No silly ninkumpoop, Zero ^_^ oh, and I'm wagering Squall to get 45% on Snake.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
Draco1214 | Posted 10/5/2006 2:38:23 PM | message detail
Enough so that KH2 won't beat the strongest Snake we will have ever seen in a contest.
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Character Battle V Score - 22/23 points
Current Prediction - Mega Man vs. Axel
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/5/2006 2:40:22 PM | message detail
Enough so that KH2 won't beat the strongest Snake we will have ever seen in a contest.

We've already seen what KHII is capable of. We have no idea what hype will do for Snake. I wouldn't be supremely confident about that match.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 2: Etna (0-1)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 2:45:13 PM | message detail
Snake doesn't need hype! He has things like, um, Subsistence! And uh...random variation! And...

Well, I know one reason why Snake will beat Squall and Mega Man. I have a good feeling about it!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2006 2:51:36 PM | message detail
I'm confident in Snake beating Squall, more than I would be if Squall was facing Sonic or Mega Man.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
falcofan88 | Posted 10/5/2006 2:52:23 PM | message detail
Snake will take out Squall, easy.
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Character Battle V Points: 23/23
Today's Pick: Mega Man vs. Axel
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/5/2006 2:52:33 PM | message detail
What, the overperformance thing? I wonder if it'll matter if the two are close enough together.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 2: Etna (0-1)
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/5/2006 2:54:30 PM | message detail
My Prediction for the noble matches.

Snake 55.50%
Mega Man 44.50%

Sonic 50.23%
Crono 49.77%


Snake 52.14%
Sonic 47.86%


Snake 51.02%
Samus 48.98%

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Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/5/2006 2:55:33 PM | message detail
As much as I'd love for Snake to win the whole contest, that isn't happening. Hell, he's most likely losing to Mega Man.
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Character Battle V Score - 22/23 points
Current Prediction - Mega Man vs. Axel
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/5/2006 2:56:38 PM | message detail
Mega Man? The guy whos threatening to let fodder bring him under 70? XD

Let it go, he once had popularity. Don't keep clinging on to false hope.
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Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/5/2006 2:57:18 PM | message detail
Note to Draco: Don't even give Smurf a pity response.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 2: Etna (0-1)
HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2006 2:58:02 PM | message detail
Let it go Smurf, he twice beat Solid Snake and outranked him last year too.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 2:58:08 PM | message detail
Would'nt Smurf's numbers put Snake at around Mario's level?

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/5/2006 2:58:30 PM | message detail
Note to HaRRicH: Don't even give Smurf a pity response.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 2: Etna (0-1)
Draco1214 | Posted 10/5/2006 2:58:33 PM | message detail
I wasn't even going to bother arguing about Mega Man with him.
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Character Battle V Score - 22/23 points
Current Prediction - Mega Man vs. Axel
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 2:58:36 PM | message detail
Sig bet me right now, if you believe that I'm talking through my ass with Snake > Mega Man, Leonhart.

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My World is still Smurf!
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 2:59:57 PM | message detail
Let it go Smurf, he twice beat Solid Snake and outranked him last year too.

- MGS4
- Nintendo Proxy

- Megamans continuing decline.

It wouldn't take much for Snake to topple MM, given his improvement last year. I think he's clenched it now.
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My World is still Smurf!
wavedash101 | Posted 10/5/2006 3:00:48 PM | message detail
I wonder how Smurf would react to Sonic jobbing to Ganon/Vincent....

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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 3:02:04 PM | message detail
You know how I'd react.
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My World is still Smurf!
The Real Truth | Posted 10/5/2006 3:02:07 PM | message detail
Heroic Mario
Posted 10/5/2006 2:11:50 PM
message detail How about the game that he starred in?

Sure. He can get a smidge from that crappy game!


Correct me if I'm wrong (I'm not), but if I recall correctly, it was you saying that Dirge of Cerberus was going to be a good game because they were fixing all the mistakes that the japanese version had.
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
Contest score= 22/24, Next= Sonic, Vincent, Kirby, Zero
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/5/2006 3:02:51 PM | message detail
You're not wrong. It's just that he cannot acknowledge something that would be detrimental to his pick.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 3:03:23 PM | message detail
Also, what's the deal with all this talk about the Noble Nine becoming repeatedly broken this year? None of this existed before the bracket was out.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 3:04:14 PM | message detail
Megaman is out of the noble 9 so it only makes sense that a new name/member be discussed.
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My World is still Smurf!
trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2006 3:04:27 PM | message detail
it's called hype. people always hype upsets, no matter how improbable.
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/5/2006 3:04:35 PM | message detail
Man, MM is disappointing. ;_;

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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 3:04:36 PM | message detail
We have Noble Nine murmurs of an upset every year. Even in 2004 you had a fair amount of people taking Frog to beat Snake and Ryu to beat Sonic.

The Noble Nine are frankly the safest they've been in a long time.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/5/2006 3:05:45 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2006 3:06:12 PM | message detail
I saw that! freudian slip!
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xyzzy
"12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 3:06:43 PM | message detail
lol TCA
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/5/2006 3:08:28 PM | message detail
Cloud
Link
Sephiroth
Mario
Crono
Samus
Sonic
Snake
Megaman

I love the new Noble 9!
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 3:08:37 PM | message detail
Good, I was worried that everyone was seeing something that threatens the Noble Niners that I was missing.

The only way I can see Vincent taking his division is if his 2k5 value against Crono was legit, and he has boosted significantly with KH2 and DoC

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/5/2006 3:09:13 PM | message detail
o man tranny kh ur so mean
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
therealmnm | Posted 10/5/2006 3:10:08 PM | message detail
Wow, Axel is really impressing. I was expecting to see a tripling, and thought there was the chance that he might get blown out... but he's exceeding my expectations. This makes me feel a lot better about having taken Claire. Although this just may be a one-time bandwagon, Axel is looking to challenge Kefka in strength.
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Vote for Soma Cruz
Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 3:11:09 PM | message detail
Tiering is much more effective

Cloud
Link
Sephiroth
-------
Mario
Crono
Samus
Sonic
Snake
------
Megaman
Squall
Vincent
Ganondorf
Tifa
Bowser
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My World is still Smurf!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 3:15:15 PM | message detail
Hey Smurf would you stop jinxing my Snake > Mega Man upset kthx
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 3:17:29 PM | message detail
Link
Cloud
Sephiroth
-------
Mario
Samus
Crono
Mega Man
Sonic
Snake
------
Ganondorf
Vincent
Squall
Zero
Zelda

Revised tiering

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/5/2006 3:18:16 PM | message detail
Man, MM is disappointing. ;_;

More like Axel is impressing!
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 3:18:23 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter Posted 10/5/2006 6:15:15 PM
Hey Smurf would you stop jinxing my Snake > Mega Man upset kthx

I thought you had Mega Man beating Samur

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 3:18:46 PM | message detail
It's all part of The Plan!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
therealmnm | Posted 10/5/2006 3:18:59 PM | message detail
I'm still catching up from the last topic, but I just wanted to say that Axel is probably the first REALLY popular Square villain since Sephiroth (i.e. core fanbase plus casual appeal) so this shouldn't be surprising at all. Square hasn't totally fallen off the map. The Organization XIII craze following the release of KH2 should have been an indicator of this performance. Too bad they only lasted 2 games. Square finally had a good thing going for themselves.
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Vote for Soma Cruz
Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
The Real Truth | Posted 10/5/2006 3:19:36 PM | message detail
Since when is Zelda above Bowser?
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
Contest score= 22/24, Next= Sonic, Vincent, Kirby, Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 3:20:18 PM | message detail
Whoops, forgot Bowser >_<

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2006 3:20:49 PM | message detail
I like how five characters are above Bowser and in a completely lower TIER than Snake after the big man went 50/50 with him.

Man, Noble Nine is quite a psychological barrier.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/5/2006 3:26:09 PM | message detail
Link
Cloud
Sephiroth
-
Mario
Samus
Crono
Mega Man
Sonic
Solid Snake
-
Vincent
Bowser
Squall
Ganondorf
Zero/Dante/Zelda
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Character Battle V Score - 22/23 points
Current Prediction - Mega Man vs. Axel
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/5/2006 3:29:14 PM | message detail
Too bad they only lasted 2 games. Square finally had a good thing going for themselves.

They really did though! Kingdom Hearts II opened so much better than it ended. Everything really shouldn't have been as resolved as it was; there was so much potential to keep that story going.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.