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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 377

Ngamer64 | Posted 10/5/2006 11:34:07 PM | message detail
Risk status is based on BOP consensus.

...or at least, that's what I'm going to continue believing, since the alternative would entail some work on my end.

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thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/6/2006 12:30:20 AM | message detail
Contest over.
Sonic has this won, at least until Samus.
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Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 3:28:54 AM | message detail
Actually Smurf, this is just an SFF match.

Think about it, CATS is an exclusive Megadrive character (I heard that he's not in the other Zerowing versions) and who was the mascot for the Megadrive? That's right, Sonic The Hedgehog.

Do I win?
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Supporter of Alucard.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/6/2006 3:33:05 AM | message detail
Nope! I doubt even half of the CATS voters even played Zero Wing.
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Sonic vs. CATS / Bracket: Sonic / Vote: Sonic (23/24)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Vincent / Vote: Ganondorf
greatone10 | Posted 10/6/2006 3:34:15 AM | message detail
Half? That's being generous. CATS would be lucky if even 10% of his voters have actually played Zero Wing in any fashion.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/6/2006 3:36:07 AM | message detail
I was going to say that, no, you don't win. Until someone acted like you seriously believed what you said. Now I have to say that you do win.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/6/2006 3:36:54 AM | message detail
Heh, I know he didn't really mean it anyway.
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Sonic vs. CATS / Bracket: Sonic / Vote: Sonic (23/24)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Vincent / Vote: Ganondorf
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 3:41:22 AM | message detail
A WINNER IS ME ^^
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Supporter of Alucard.
Gooper Blooper | Posted 10/6/2006 3:49:14 AM | message detail
I've played Zero Wing and I voted Sonic.

It's very hard for me to vote against Sonic. I have really fond memories of this guy and his Genesis/Adventure games.
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face it cjay i have the high ground i have powend you - ertyu
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/6/2006 3:55:04 AM | message detail
If we assume Sonic and Mega Man are equal, Axel gets 65% on CATS.

'Tis a sad day.
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Sonic vs. CATS / Bracket: Sonic / Vote: Sonic (23/24)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Vincent / Vote: Ganondorf
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 4:12:47 AM | message detail
Then Axel must be much stronger than ansem.
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Supporter of Alucard.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 4:46:31 AM | message detail
And now Sonic is getting even higher % for every update O_O
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Supporter of Alucard.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/6/2006 4:47:57 AM | message detail
Almost 83% of the vote within the last 45 minutes, and that's just the before-school vote.

He'll probably be bringing in 85% consistently after school.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Samurai7 | Posted 10/6/2006 4:48:27 AM | message detail
Its called the day vote.

CATS was overrated AND the shift towards more voters obviously doesn't favor joke fodder characters. I wouldn't put TOO much stock in to this, but it does make Sonic look good even still.
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
Tediz247 | Posted 10/6/2006 5:30:46 AM | message detail
Heh, Ryu > Sonic, at least for a few more hours. Still, I don't think this says anything about Sonic one way or the other. I still think Sonic will barely squeak out a win against Vincent/Ganon, and collapse against Crono.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 5:58:41 AM | message detail
As for Snake/Squall, I think people are going to be all surprised when Squall holds Snake to under 54%.

Well, the board routinely sells Squall short, for whatever the reason. Despite a close match with Vincent and a lot of people taking him over Ganondorf, I doubt as many people would seriously consider Squall > Ganondorf.

But as far as KH saying Sonic is Board 8's favorite...remember that he had a hard time with Ryu in the early hours of that match.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 6:00:58 AM | message detail
Didn't Ryu have the lead for like an hour on Sonic?
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Supporter of Alucard.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 6:11:42 AM | message detail
It wasn't until 3 hours 15 minutes into the match that Sonic's lead broke 100 against Ryu.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 6:15:41 AM | message detail
And that's the same character that got crushed by Bowser the next year >_>

BTW Keon, you seem to know how to use X-stats. How much is 2005 Sonic expected to get on 2004 Cats?
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Supporter of Alucard.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 6:16:33 AM | message detail
At the 9:15 mark, this match has 37826 votes. To compare with other matches at the same time:

Samus/Nidoran F - 39479
Snake/Soma - 37851
Kratos/Ryu - 40309
Mega Man/Axel - 40158
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 10/6/2006 6:16:46 AM | message detail
Kekeke Keon.
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~FFDragon (at work !!)
FFDragoon, now with the blood of the mods stained to his armor and dripping from his lance.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 6:22:24 AM | message detail
Sonic 2005 gets 83.05% on 2004 CATS, but Face CATS is different, to be sure.

Okay, assuming that CATS gets 20% here against Sonic, that would put his value at 15.40% on BL, between Laharl and Wesker.

If 2005 CATS = 2006 CATS, Master Chief adjusts to 24.70% on BL, between Chun-Li and Diablo (and below Frog!!).

DK is adjusted to 24.31% on BL, and Sam is adjusted to 17.13% on BL. Note that both of these are about 1% above their respective 2004 values. Watch out, Chief! Subby's coming!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
HaRRicH | Posted 10/6/2006 6:23:44 AM | message detail
Hos does MC's value by that compare to various Scorpion values we've seen?
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
transience | Posted 10/6/2006 6:36:20 AM | message detail
I'd take Squall > Ganondorf before I would Vincent > Ganondorf.

as for Scorpion, I wanna see how Zero performs first. who do you take in a Hayabusa/Scorpion match?
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
transience | Posted 10/6/2006 6:49:36 AM | message detail
heh, DK being adjusted to 24.31% gives him 44.59% vs. Vivi. Scorpion and MC would be projected to go 50/50. Frog 2k5 beats MC.

those numbers seem a little on the low side to me. it's basically saying that Halo 2 did nothing. this might be a stronger Sonic.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
charmander6000 | Posted 10/6/2006 6:50:06 AM | message detail
MC is expected to beat 2k4 Scorpion 58/42.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/6/2006 6:52:43 AM | message detail
So much for Ganon/Vincent > Sonic.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
swirIdude | Posted 10/6/2006 7:29:16 AM | message detail
So much for Ganon/Vincent > Sonic.

So much for this nonsensical theory.
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The FFP is the best topic on the board. It's a fact, look it up.
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411
The Albion Hero | Posted 10/6/2006 7:30:15 AM | message detail
Vincent has a shot at Sonic. Not a good one, but a shot.
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Not changing this sig until 30 people tell me that they've played Shining Force 2. So Far: 29
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/6/2006 7:30:48 AM | message detail
It was possible!!

...Of course, the TP release date failed me.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 7:36:02 AM | message detail
I just noticed, Megaman didn't end above 70% on Axel O_o
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Supporter of Alucard.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:09:38 AM | message detail
this might be a stronger Sonic.

Which is another reason I posted those numbers. Either you believe MC's vulnerable to Sub-Zero or Sonic has a legit shot at the Male Bracket! It's win-win, baby!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:13:30 AM | message detail
For the record, if Sonic 2006 = Crono 2005, then CATS is at 15.95% on BL if he finishes with 20% here, right below KoaC. This would adjust Master Chief to 25.62% on BL, meaning he beats Frog with 51.27% in 2005.

This adjusts DK down to 25.22% on BL, meaning he gets 46.25% on 2005 Vivi. Sam Fisher adjusts to 17.78% on BL, between Jin and Geno.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
The Albion Hero | Posted 10/6/2006 8:15:30 AM | message detail
For the record, if Sonic 2006 = Crono 2005, then CATS is at 15.95% on BL if he finishes with 20% here, right below KoaC. This would adjust Master Chief to 25.62% on BL, meaning he beats Frog with 51.27% in 2005.

This adjusts DK down to 25.22% on BL, meaning he gets 46.25% on 2005 Vivi. Sam Fisher adjusts to 17.78% on BL, between Jin and Geno.


Uh.... yeah? *confused*
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Currently Playing: Disgaea 2, Final Fantasy VIII
Bands currently listening to: Black Mages, Bruce Springsteen, Megadeth
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:18:46 AM | message detail
By the way, Axel's final number based on 2005 Mega Man is 23.37% on BL, between Hayabusa and Vercetti last year.

...Man, we really need to get Seifer into the contest.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/6/2006 8:19:33 AM | message detail
AXEL BROKE 30?! WOW!!!!!!!
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 8:23:37 AM | message detail
This Ganon/Vincent > Sonic stuff doesn't make any sense to me.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:25:04 AM | message detail
This Ganon/Vincent > Sonic stuff doesn't make any sense to me.

Welcome to my sentiments from the beginning.

...Of course I am perennial Sonic overrater, but that's besides the point!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 8:25:58 AM | message detail
Even then, people are just desperate to see the NN break.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/6/2006 8:28:14 AM | message detail
On a cold winter morning, in the time before the light
In flames of death's eternal reign we ride towards the fight
And the darkness is falling down and the times are tough all right
The sound of evil laughter falls around the world tonight

Fighting high, fighting on for the steel
Through the wastelands evermore
The scattered souls will feel the hell that is wasted on the shores

On the blackest planes in hells domain
We watch them as they go
Through fire, pain and once again we know

So now we fly ever free
We're free before the thunderstorm
On towards the wilderness our quest carries on
Far beyond the sundown, far beyond the moonlight
Deep inside our hearts and all our souls

So far away we wait for the day
For the lights are so wasted and gone
We feel the pain of a lifetime lost in a thousand days
Through the fire and the flames we carry on

As the red day is dawning
And the lightning cracks the sky
They raise their hands to the heavens above
As we send them to their lies
Running back through the mid-morning light
There's a burning in my heart
We're banished from the time in the fallen land
To a light beyond the stars

In your blackest dreams we do believe
Our destiny this time
And endlessly we'll all be free tonight

And on the wings of a dream
So far beyond reality
All alone in desperation
Now the time is gone

Lost inside you'll never find
Lost within my own mind
Day after day this misery must go on

So far away we wait for the day
For the lights are so wasted and gone
We feel the pain of a lifetime lost in a thousand days
Through the fire and the flames we carry on

Now here we stand with their blood on our hands
We've fought so hard now can we understand?
I'll break the seal of this curse if I possibly can
For freedom of every man

So far away we wait for the day
For the lights are so wasted and gone
We feel the pain of a lifetime lost in a thousand days
Through the fire and the flames we carry on

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
ShadowOwns | Posted 10/6/2006 8:28:35 AM | message detail
Even then, people are just desperate to see the NN break.

~*ST*~


Hasn't it been like that every year since the NN was made up. I distinctly remember people saying every year that someone will happen to beat sonic or snake >_>
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TONIGHT BABY!Lovin Oil Country.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/6/2006 8:29:11 AM | message detail
Even then, people are just desperate to see the NN break.

Well this is possibly the last chance to see the Noble Nine break. Next year Sonic will hopefully have at least 1 new good game to boost him and Solid Snake will also be stronger. Crono seems to stay constant every year and Megaman just can't lose...
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Supporter of Alucard.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 8:30:33 AM | message detail
Probably because it's completely non-sensical without TP or DoC being the godliest gane known to modern man. >_>

Sonic kicks so much ass here. I'm loving my Sonic > Crono pick right now.

Sucks that we won't get a good reading on Crono until he faces Bowser, though. I'm pulling for Bowser to hold him under 45 or 46.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic
KingBartz | Posted 10/6/2006 8:35:22 AM | message detail
Axel > Ansem

GOT IT MEMORIZED?
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It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon.
SC2k6: 23/24 Today's pick: Sonic the Hedgehog
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:38:23 AM | message detail
Squall > Snake

Believe.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
KingBartz | Posted 10/6/2006 8:39:51 AM | message detail
ya whatever
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It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon.
SC2k6: 23/24 Today's pick: Sonic the Hedgehog
OmegaRagnarok | Posted 10/6/2006 8:41:25 AM | message detail
I can't believe CATS is not winning.
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Holy crap, my SC2k6 score is horrible! Oh well. Life goes on.
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:43:06 AM | message detail
Vincent Valentine > Ganondorf with 52%+!

Take it to the bank!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/6/2006 8:43:10 AM | message detail
Sonic > Male Bracket
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 25/25 Today:Sonic
LeonhartForever | Posted 10/6/2006 8:43:21 AM | message detail
Squall > Battle Royale
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D