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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 376

MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/5/2006 3:18:24 AM | message detail
Man, Snake > Mega Man looks pretty good at this point. I have a feeling MM won't have a third win.
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Kratos vs. Ryu / Bracket: Ryu / Vote: Ryu (20/21)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Mega Man / Vote: Mega Man
greatone10 | Posted 10/5/2006 3:23:06 AM | message detail
Although it's somewhat already begun, I hope no one reads too much into this. Axel is another one of those characters that has a huge range of possible values. He could easily be stronger than we imagine.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/5/2006 3:24:12 AM | message detail
Yeah. If Kairi can get passed the 1st round, I don't think any KH character being stronger than I thought is going to surprise.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/5/2006 3:24:43 AM | message detail
Yeah, I still have faith in Mega Man though. But what if Snake gets some monstrous SSBB hype boost anyway?
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Mega Man vs. Axel / Bracket: Mega Man / Vote: Mega Man (22/23)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Sonic / Vote: Sonic
transience | Posted 10/5/2006 3:48:01 AM | message detail
wow, what the hell?

this doesn't tell me a thing about Mega Man. we have zero idea how strong Axel is. I guess, if you wanted, you could blame this huge increase on KH2 coming out last week in Europe.

but really, we have zero idea about Axel, so I'm not gonna draw any conclusions from this match at all.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/5/2006 3:49:35 AM | message detail
But how many people on GameFAQs live in Europe? I forgot.
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Mega Man vs. Axel / Bracket: Mega Man / Vote: Mega Man (22/23)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Sonic / Vote: Sonic
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/5/2006 3:50:00 AM | message detail
If the european release of KH2 was going to matter much, Riku would have performed better on Yoshi.

This is Megaman crapping himself aganist fodder. He's out of the noble 9.
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Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/5/2006 3:51:43 AM | message detail
Just for fun. If we say that there were nothing wrong with Megaman VS Yoshi last year, then how close to Riku is Axel?

And while I agree that we have no idea where Axel is, dropping like this can't be a good sign for the blue bomber =(
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Supporter of Alucard.
transience | Posted 10/5/2006 3:52:12 AM | message detail
enough to push KH2 back to second on the top 10.

whoa, Pokemon Diamond is #1 despite only being out in Japan. I thought only Square games could pull that off. the FF12 leak has it at #9 as well - it's too bad there's not a debatable Square match com...

Vincent/Ganondorf! eh, probably won't mean anything, but it's interesting.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/5/2006 3:54:06 AM | message detail
Sora to break 45% on Megaman and Snake to break 55% on him.

BOOK IT.
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Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/5/2006 3:55:10 AM | message detail
Riku gets about 54% on Axel if Yoshi/Mega Man was not adjusted.
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Mega Man vs. Axel / Bracket: Mega Man / Vote: Mega Man (22/23)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Sonic / Vote: Sonic
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/5/2006 3:56:55 AM | message detail
Riku would triple Axel in actuality.
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Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/5/2006 4:15:10 AM | message detail
I hope Mega whoops Axel in the day vote. And I just now noticed somethin bout the pic....isn't that a Mega Man 8 pic?
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
cyko | Posted 10/5/2006 4:16:00 AM | message detail
i knew there was something borked about all of the people who thought Axel would be weaker than Conker! it looks like his percentage climb has slowed down for now, but the afterschool vote could push him up to 28 or even 29%. for the record, Axel does have quite a prominent role in both KH:CoM and KH2. so, this result doesn't surprise me or reduce my faith in Megaman vs. Snake.

but man, what if ALL of the remaining noble nine loses to FF/KH characters? just picture: Snake loses to Squall, Sonic loses to Vincent, Samus loses to Tifa, Mega Man loses to Sora and Crono loses to Auron! that would be seriously messed up.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/5/2006 4:26:19 AM | message detail
It'll never happen cyko. Least I really hope not.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/5/2006 4:28:12 AM | message detail
It should happen, considering they are all better than the noble nine who are going to beat them (except Sonic > Vincent)! Seriously, more like bland and boring nine.
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caps
janembaman | Posted 10/5/2006 4:33:05 AM | message detail
Megaman got 67% on Tommy Vercetti at the year he got 53% on Snake
Is TV much more stronger than Axel? I don't think so.
And you really think Axel is weaker than Conker?

Megaman stayed about the same,or even got stronger
He WILL beat Snake
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your lives that I spit on are now but a caricature of a cartoon by a kid who is stupid!
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/5/2006 4:48:10 AM | message detail
Tommy would crush Axel. No question there.
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Smurf. The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism.
janembaman | Posted 10/5/2006 4:51:18 AM | message detail
How should we know that Axel is a fodder?
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your lives that I spit on are now but a caricature of a cartoon by a kid who is stupid!
Osfan | Posted 10/5/2006 5:03:40 AM | message detail
Another thing to consider is sprite round we know it will be sometime around mega vs snake if its the round before solid may be saved but if its the round of that match then solid is at a hardcore disadvantage with that pic.
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"I'll do it with my magic!" Tellah-Final Fantasy 4
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/5/2006 6:39:37 AM | message detail
I woke up and clicked on the poll and my first reaction was "holy ****".

I get the feeling that Axel getting something close to 30% isn't totally out of the question.
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CB5 Points: 21/23, Current Oracle placement: 31/162
Now playing: Okami
Who Cares? | Posted 10/5/2006 6:41:25 AM | message detail
Hmm, surprised nobody asked this yet. Does Roxas perform better, worse, or roughly the same as Axel rightnow?
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara Croft (October 21th) One down, two to go!
*Just 5 days until Tales of the Abyss*
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/5/2006 6:45:30 AM | message detail
Origianlly I would have said Roxas would preform about the same, but now I'm not sure. I don't know if he could be doing this well.
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CB5 Points: 21/23, Current Oracle placement: 31/162
Now playing: Okami
Haste_2 | Posted 10/5/2006 7:25:29 AM | message detail
Before-school vote: (6:00-8:00) - slightly under 70%... Compare that to the night vote which had around 73%. Usually the afterschool vote is stronger. Maybe we'll be seeing Axel nearly hit 29% by the end. That would place Axel at over 22% on BL. ;) Looking good for all that said Axel > Kairi.

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Ed Bellis | Posted 10/5/2006 7:28:35 AM | message detail
...how in the hell does this say anything about Mega Man? Axel could be as strong as Kairi for all we know. I'll wait until next round to draw conclusions about Mega Man's strength.
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 7:29:45 AM | message detail
Axel has had one game, where he wasn't a PC and it wasn't a FF/LOZ game.

He's fodder by default. If you were to be generous to him, you could put him at Lloyds level.

But even at that, MM should be getting 77%+ on him. Noble 9 needs to be reevaluated.
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My World is still Smurf!
transience | Posted 10/5/2006 7:31:19 AM | message detail
Ed is correct. wait until Freeman or Sora before drawing any conclusions about Mega Man.

looks like I better change my stance on Yoshi > Sora while I'm at it.
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MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 7:33:16 AM | message detail
If you believe that Megaman hasn't plummeted again, you believe that Axel would equal Tommy Vercetti and Ryu Hayabusha , Jill Valentine etc...

lol megaman
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My World is still Smurf!
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/5/2006 7:33:21 AM | message detail
But that's the thing - he's untested. You could say the same thing about, say, Ada Wong, and she may very well end up doing as well as Jill or Claire by virtue of being in RE4. It's all speculation at this point. Who wins between Soma and Axel, for example? We don't know yet.
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
transience | Posted 10/5/2006 7:34:49 AM | message detail
you're arguing with Smurf about Mega Man. of course he's going to be weak as hell in his eyes.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/5/2006 7:35:26 AM | message detail
...oh right, I just noticed who I was arguing with. >_>
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 7:36:13 AM | message detail
he's untested

Not completly. Using common logic and nominations he's a long way behind Riku, and in all liklihood behind Kairi too.

Axel is a character whose here because KH2 is in recent memory. There's always a character like that in every contest. Tanner in 2004, Cj, and the Tos crew in 2005. They generally bomb below expectations and are never heard from again. Axel has the hype, but not the substance.

This is NOT a noble 9 performance.
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My World is still Smurf!
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/5/2006 7:37:40 AM | message detail
you're arguing with Smurf about Mega Man. of course he's going to be weak as hell in his eyes.

If Sonic was crapping himself aganist a character at the wrong end of a descending chain of midcarders, I'd be saying the same thing.
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My World is still Smurf!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/5/2006 7:39:29 AM | message detail
CATS will get 25% on Sonic! BOOK IT!
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Mega Man with 74.71%
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/5/2006 7:50:51 AM | message detail
CHECK OUT THIS AWESOME EIGHT-PACK with almost realistic seeding

(1) Riku
(8) Chun Li

(4) Donkey Kong
(5) Wario

(3) Tommy Vercetti
(6) Sub-Zero

(2) Seifer Almasy
(7) Diablo

Go ahead, predict.
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Mega Man with 74.71%
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/5/2006 7:54:25 AM | message detail
While I don't think we can REALLY judge MM's strength off this match, it's still damn funny. Go Axel, etc.

However, one thing this match really does is firmly confirm that Sonic/Crono/Vincent/Ganon > Megaman (Not that we didn't know that already, but it just reaffirms it).
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AC2K6 Score: 24/24 Today: Megaman
transience | Posted 10/5/2006 7:55:47 AM | message detail
Ganon has zero chance at Mega Man. Vincent has about a 1% chance.
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Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic || Winner: Strider Hiryu - 57.11%
KingBartz | Posted 10/5/2006 8:13:54 AM | message detail
(1) Riku
(8) Chun Li

(4) Donkey Kong
(5) Wario

(3) Tommy Vercetti
(6) Sub-Zero

(2) Seifer Almasy
(7) Diablo

Seifer and Diablo vs. a bunch of fodder? that is the only debatable match here.

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It seems I have no common sense. It's probably because I'm Mormon.
SC2k6: 22/23 Today's pick: Mega Man
Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/5/2006 8:15:26 AM | message detail
I think the overnight vote will go to Mega Man first though. I'd expect this to get into the 76's before the daytime.

Everytime I read your guesses you are wrong!

^_^


KB
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2006 8:27:28 AM | message detail
I'd take Diablo over Seifer.

I can't see Seifer being much stronger than Kefka

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
KingBartz | Posted 10/5/2006 8:28:33 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/5/2006 8:29:05 AM | message detail
lol Trans. I only put that in there so I didn't offend the "Ganon/Vince > Male bracket" crowd.

(1) Riku
(4) Donkey Kong

(6) Sub-Zero
(2) Seifer Almasy

(4) Donkey Kong
(2) Seifer Almasy


(2) Seifer Almasy
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AC2K6 Score: 24/24 Today: Megaman
Aprosenf | Posted 10/5/2006 8:34:18 AM | message detail
(1) Riku
(8) Chun Li
Riku beats Thunder Thighs with 55%+

(4) Donkey Kong
(5) Wario
Tough one, but DK ekes out a win

(3) Tommy Vercetti
(6) Sub-Zero
Sub-Zero shouldn't have too much of a problem with TV

(2) Seifer Almasy
(7) Diablo
The FFVIII fans will show a surprising amount of support.

Round 2
(1) Riku
(4) Donkey Kong
Probably the biggest "blowout" in this 8-pack

(6) Sub-Zero
(2) Seifer Almasy
This is a tough one. My gut says Seifer, but I could see Subby winning.

Finals:
(1) Riku
(2) Seifer Almasy
Again, could go either way, though if Sub-Zero beat Seifer, I don't think he has a shot at taking down Riku. Seifer is the biggest wildcard in this 8-pack.
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
R0YKEANO | Posted 10/5/2006 8:38:08 AM | message detail
(1) Riku
(8) Chun Li

(4) Donkey Kong
(5) Wario

(3) Tommy Vercetti
(6) Sub-Zero

(2) Seifer Almasy
(7) Diablo

DK > Riku
Tommy > Seifer

Tommy > DK (again)
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/5/2006 8:45:43 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Who Cares? | Posted 10/5/2006 9:01:53 AM | message detail
Votals at the halfway mark:

Squall/Tidus -- 53559 [10th]
Kratos/Ryu -- 53317 [8th]
Mega Man/Axel -- 53134
Samus/Nidoran F -- 52372 [7th]
Phoenix/Gordon -- 52030 [13th]
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara Croft (October 21th) One down, two to go!
*Just 5 days until Tales of the Abyss*
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/5/2006 9:58:20 AM | message detail
Damn, my oracle is looking to be low. Axel's already doing better than I thought and we haven't even hit 2:30 yet.
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CB5 Points: 21/23, Current Oracle placement: 31/162
Now playing: Okami
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/5/2006 10:04:44 AM | message detail
Ganon has zero chance at Mega Man. Vincent has about a 1% chance.

I will stab you in the face if you think Ganon has zero chance at Mega Man because of SFF. >>

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"Master using it and you can have this."
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creativename | Posted 10/5/2006 10:08:02 AM | message detail
I did not think Axel would be capable of a day vote like this at all. Definitely surprising.

Of course as most people know this doesn't say very much about Mega Man yet. But it's good for Axel. Sora's looking fairly likely to break 40% on Mega Man.
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H__RR____H | Posted 10/5/2006 10:23:18 AM | message detail
As a big fan of Mega Man, this doesn't look good for Mega Man. Now Mega Man is going to be in a position to have to constantly prove himself, thanks to none of us knowing where Axel is. I mean, sure, we should get a good read by Ryu next round, but if Mega Man doesn't match Solid on Ryu or Sora (42.74% and 34.74%, respectively) then the upset hounds will be going nuts...

...and odds are, Mega Man'll smoke Solid against Ryu yet look like he's not even in contention of advancing to the Final Four when he beats Sora. Throw in there that Solid Snake is STILL hot **** from E3 this year and he's likely got the most bracket support of the contest, not to mention Solid did get a higher seed than Mega Man this year despite losing to him twice before (and, for the record, Solid's first loss was the closer of his two losses, when he had the higher seed in 2k3...take it as you will)...

...yeah, Mega Man is in a position to constantly prove himself now.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio