GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 376
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 1:00:53 PM | message detail |
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If the Devil Division wasn't overrated last year, and I don't think
it was, Dante has every reason to do better on Snake than Yoshi does on
him. DMC3 doubling it's sales + DMC2: Greatest Hits + DMC: Greatest
Hits Collection, all being out, is going to give him a decent sized
boost. And DMC:GHC will be coming out during the contest. All that and it doesn't change the simple fact that Snake would crush him. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/4/2006 1:01:18 PM | message detail |
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I'll make a 32 male bracket complete with (some) realistic seeding!: (1) Solid Snake (8) Diablo (4) Bowser (5) Ganondorf (3) Auron (6) Squall Leonhart (2) Vincent Valentine (7) Captain Falcon (1) Mega Man (8) Soma Cruz (4) Gordon Freeman (5) The Prince of Persia (3) Ryu (Street Fighter) (6) Alucard (2) Master Chief (7) Sub-Zero (1) Sonic the Hedgehog (8) Ryu Hayabusa (4) Tidus (5) Leon Kennedy (3) Luigi (6) Magus (2) Sora (7) Knuckles the Echidna (1) Crono (8) CATS (4) Kratos (God of War) (5) Riku (3) Kirby (6) Yoshi (2) Dante (7) Zero I couldn't think of a good place to put Hayabusa, but there are some interesting matches there. I kept MC/Sub-Zero since it's a pretty good match, but I wanted to try out some different matches with Bowser/Squall/Vincent/Ganon and give them all a shot at Snake. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/22 points Current Prediction - Kratos (God of War) vs. Ryu (Street Fighter) |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/4/2006 1:02:04 PM | message detail |
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Why are we talking about the stats topic bracket again? Didn't Ceej shoot down that idea personally back in '04? <.< I don't think anyone actually believes it would happen, more of a "That would just kick ass" type of thing. Plus there's not much else to talk about now, we knew Kratos would be doing better here than the x-stats indicated, and that he'd win the morning and day vote, now it's just about where he finishes. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/4/2006 1:02:14 PM | message detail |
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Knuckles v Sora would be a bracket buster for sure. --- My World is still Smurf! |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/4/2006 1:03:04 PM | message detail |
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All that and it doesn't change the simple fact that Snake would crush him. Without PS SFF? Sorry, but a 4% lead in the x-stats, with the complete likelihood of another decent sized boost doesn't lead to blowout for me. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 1:07:35 PM | message detail |
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Sorry, but that '4% lead' leads to a 56-44 match assuming that Dante
isn't overrated at all. And as much as you and HM want to desperately
prove to me that games continuing to sell well are going to lead to
such notable boosts ('cause, y'know, we'll end up with Dante > Link
in a few years, yo!), I won't buy it until I see it. Not to mention
that I'm thinking Snake will be stronger than he was in 2005 anyway. You can call it SFF, you can call it whatever. Snake would crush Dante in a direct matchup. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/4/2006 1:09:30 PM | message detail |
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('cause, y'know, we'll end up with Dante > Link in a few years, yo!), Haw! Twilight Princess with a 6% boost~! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 1:09:44 PM | message detail |
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Wow, Kratos is doing very well for himself with the after-school vote. Slow it down, Ryu! Slow it down! --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/4/2006 1:13:24 PM | message detail |
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Man, I knew I should have stayed with 58%. I just would have thought
Ryu would have built up his percentage enough overnight to stay at 60%,
even when Kratos' day vote began. Oh well, good performance none the
less. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Kratos vs. Ryu - Bracket: Ryu - Vote: Ryu (21/22) |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/4/2006 1:15:44 PM | message detail |
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Kratos soars past 41%! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Crono801 | Posted 10/4/2006 1:15:46 PM | message detail |
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No, we would've seen Ryu losing pathetically to Dante, and Ryu H.
losing pathetically to Kratos. I'm sure the margins of victory would've
been smaller, but the matches wouldn't be anything close to "good". But at least they would have become harder to predict. It may have been in 2k3, but Ryu beat Dante by a comfortable margin before and I'm sure at least a few people would have taken him to upset. Also, Ryu H. was well above Kratos in the 2005 X-stats and that was really the only reading we have for him. I would wager that he would have been the bracket favorite. --- Welcome to Moonside. Wecomel to Soonmide. Moonwel ot cosidme. Truly Gone Fishing |
| cyko | Posted 10/4/2006 1:17:07 PM | message detail |
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that's a nice bracket, Draco! my only complaint is that post KH2 Sora would steamroll over his 4-pack. --- i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest. Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!! |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/4/2006 1:23:47 PM | message detail |
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(3) Kirby (6) Yoshi (2) Dante (7) Zero Jesus, that's a tough fourpack TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/4/2006 1:26:44 PM | message detail |
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A stats-topic bracket would rule, too bad Ceej won't do it. His loss,
if he wants to continue making such crappy brackets people will start
to lose interest. I mean Draco's whipped up bracket already kills
anything Ceej has ever done. --- CB06 - Score: 21/22 Rank: Tied - 567th Yesterday's Pick: Gordon Today's Pick: Ryu Tomorrow's Pick: Mega Man Losses: Cortana |
| LordOfDabu | Posted 10/4/2006 1:28:01 PM | message detail |
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You really think people would lose interest? --- "Professor Planet, mathematical hero. Going to take epsilon down to zero." Math board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=576216 |
| BDawg | Posted 10/4/2006 1:29:07 PM | message detail |
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All these stupid (although admitedly predictable) day vote swings are giving me a craving for an Angry Sun/Majora's Moon match. --- Should I start running now? |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/4/2006 1:30:33 PM | message detail |
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My own predictions: Round 1: Solid Snake Bowser Squall Leonhart Vincent Valentine Mega Man Gordon Freeman Ryu (Street Fighter) Master Chief Sonic the Hedgehog Leon Kennedy Luigi Sora Crono Riku Kirby Dante Round 2: Solid Snake Vincent Valentine Mega Man Ryu (Street Fighter) Sonic the Hedgehog Sora Crono Dante Round 3: Solid Snake Mega Man Sonic the Hedgehog Crono Finals: Mega Man Crono Winner: Crono Yeah, Dante's fourpack gave me the most problems, specifically Dante/Zero. Dante clearly outperformed Zero on a common opponent, but we still haven't seen Zero in action yet and Hayabusa could have fallen or something. For now, I'd take Dante just on their respective performances, but it is subject to change depending on how Zero does. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/22 points Current Prediction - Kratos (God of War) vs. Ryu (Street Fighter) |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/4/2006 1:34:19 PM | message detail |
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Kratos has taken 52.68% of the vote in the past hour. Pretty impressive. --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/4/2006 1:35:06 PM | message detail |
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Er, I mean Ryu has. Why do I always do that --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/4/2006 1:36:02 PM | message detail |
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The problem with a stat-bracket is that it would be nigh-impossible for
casual bracketeers to predict. THAT would make people lose interest
more than a somewhat predictable bracket with 3 or 4 key matches. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 1:36:17 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, you made me do a double take just then, I nearly fell out of my chair. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 1:36:46 PM | message detail |
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(1) Solid Snake - Easy enough (4) Bowser - Good, heavily debated match with either one having a good chance at Snake. I don't necessarily like the idea of a rematch if Bowser wins though, since I wouldn't expect him to get any closer, especially since it won't be a sprite round. (6) Squall Leonhart - Squall as a 6? HA! (2) Vincent Valentine - Two rematches in the same division? Meh...Either way, you threw all of the top contenders at Snake into the same division, which means the rest will probably be rather boring in the divisional finals. (1) Mega Man - Yeah, utter destruction (5) The Prince of Persia - Against anyone with some sort of recognizability, I'm not taking Gordon (3) Ryu (Street Fighter) - After today? Yeah, there's no way Ryu loses this. (7) Sub-Zero - Bring it! (1) Sonic the Hedgehog - Destruction! (4) Tidus - I'll be in the minority here, but I'll go with him. (3) Luigi - Another potential rematch if Magus and Knux win? Come on, close rematches are fine when they were actually nailbiters, ya know. (7) Knuckles the Echidna - Psh, like Knuckles can lose a first round match. (1) Crono - Easy enough (5) Riku - 45% on Yoshi > 41-42% on Ryu (3) Kirby - Gimme the upset (2) Dante - Before his match with Hayabusa, I would've taken Zero. Now, I'll take Dante. (1) Solid Snake - Again, I doubt this match will be as close as before. (6) Squall Leonhart - Turn it around! (1) Mega Man - Not much competition here (3) Ryu - Yeah, fighting game SFF and whatnot destroys Sub-Zero beyond his nonexistent chances anyway (1) Sonic the Hedgehog - Yeah, this would be ugly now (7) Knuckles the Echidna - Luigi win a debated four-pack? I'll believe it when I see it! Devil Division ain't overrated, folks! (1) Crono - Yeah... (3) Kirby - I've said I'll take Kirby from the beginning, and I'm sticking to it! (1) Solid Snake - As much as I want to take Squall... (1) Mega Man - 40%+ for Ryu in defeat! (1) Sonic the Hedgehog - Probably nowhere close to 40% for Knuckles in defeat... (1) Crono - Kirby does respectably, but there's no way he wins this. (1) Solid Snake - Believe. (1) Sonic the Hedgehog - See above. (1) Solid Snake - See above. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 1:37:26 PM | message detail |
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The problem with a stat-bracket is that it would be nigh-impossible
for casual bracketeers to predict. THAT would make people lose interest
more than a somewhat predictable bracket with 3 or 4 key matches. Assuming this was even true, there's a reason why 2k2 has a big consensus on being the best contest we've ever had. Unpredictabillity is great. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/4/2006 1:42:08 PM | message detail |
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I'd actually struggle with Gordon/Prince. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/22 points Current Prediction - Kratos (God of War) vs. Ryu (Street Fighter) |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 10/4/2006 1:44:06 PM | message detail |
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;_; Pheonix, you've failed me! --- He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 1:46:04 PM | message detail |
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I wouldn't struggle with Gordon/Prince...not after what I saw PW pull
yesterday. I doubt the Prince's power, but he's got three high selling
games on multiple-current gen systems. Add in that he doesn't have
Gordon's inherent weakness (people actually recognize and like the guy) and... --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| The Real Truth | Posted 10/4/2006 1:48:47 PM | message detail |
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(1) Solid Snake (8) Diablo (4) Bowser (5) Ganondorf (3) Auron (6) Squall Leonhart (2) Vincent Valentine (7) Captain Falcon (1) Mega Man (8) Soma Cruz (4) Gordon Freeman (5) The Prince of Persia (3) Ryu (Street Fighter) (6) Alucard (2) Master Chief (7) Sub-Zero (1) Sonic the Hedgehog (8) Ryu Hayabusa (4) Tidus (5) Leon Kennedy (3) Luigi (6) Magus (2) Sora (7) Knuckles the Echidna (1) Crono (8) CATS (4) Kratos (God of War) (5) Riku (3) Kirby (6) Yoshi (2) Dante (7) Zero See, for the most part this is a great bracket. I don't understand why it's so hard to come up with something like this. Make a few changes and this bracket is perfect (Move Squall/Auron around). --- Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to Contest score= 18/20, Next= Sora, Gordon, Ryu, Mega Man |
| Aprosenf | Posted 10/4/2006 1:53:53 PM | message detail |
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Who would you guys all take in Conker vs. Axel? Because I'd probably
take Axel, yet lots of people are calling for Mega Man to get 77-80%+
on Axel. (For reference, Mega Man got 76.02% against Conker last year). --- For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 1:55:41 PM | message detail |
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Honestly, if Axel beats Conker, it won't be by any significant margin. It's not like he can't lose to him. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Aprosenf | Posted 10/4/2006 1:57:21 PM | message detail |
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No, it'd be close between them, but at the present I'd probably take
Axel by a hair. But I'd also be willing to bet that next year Conker
beats Axel, since Axel is still riding out KHII and can fall, but
Conker won't fall as much. --- For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 1:57:46 PM | message detail |
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...What is Conker riding, exactly? --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 10/4/2006 2:00:01 PM | message detail |
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I think Conker was riding his Xbox remake last year. I certainly hope
that's the case, anyway, as Crono did 2% better on him in 2004 than
Mega Man did in 2005. That was a pretty surprising result, IIRC. I have no idea what Conker is riding now, though. --- The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD Coming October 3, 2006 |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 2:01:02 PM | message detail |
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And...Kratos wins an update by 1 vote. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/4/2006 2:02:13 PM | message detail |
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Actually, The Prince has been on damn near every console in existence
(though his most prominent titles are the current gen ones). It's just
that some of the old polls around here (namely GotY polls involving his
game) say this site really doesn't care too much about him. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/22 points Current Prediction - Kratos (God of War) vs. Ryu (Street Fighter) |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 10/4/2006 2:02:23 PM | message detail |
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GO KRATOS GO Actually, I've been yelling "GO KRATOS GO" in a Sean Connery-like voice all day. I should probably upload it. --- The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD Coming October 3, 2006 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 2:05:58 PM | message detail |
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I really wouldn't put too much stock into GotY polls for the weakness
of the Prince's games, just like I wouldn't for the strength of other
games now (LOL GTA). In the few polls that they've been in, the
Prince's games have shown themselves to be superior to Sam Fisher's
games, and ultimately I'd expect the Prince to be stronger than Fisher
in every way. Sam beat Gordon with around 55% before HL2, and while I'd
take Gordon now I think the Prince is far enough above Fisher to be out
of Gordon's reach. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| therealmnm | Posted 10/4/2006 2:07:41 PM | message detail |
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Okay, so my internet connection decided to go out yesterday, so I've
missed the past two days. What all did I miss? Gordon Freeman
dismantles Phoenix Wright with the day vote I see... and Kratos is
doing well against Ryu. I'm assuming this was expected due to an
underrated Sora right? Or are people saying Ryu fell or anything? --- Vote for Soma Cruz Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
| therealmnm | Posted 10/4/2006 2:08:39 PM | message detail |
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And since I see that this topic started this morning, I'm assuming the
last two topics were filled with stuff about GFNW and the universe
imploding, right? --- Vote for Soma Cruz Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
| voltch | Posted 10/4/2006 2:09:30 PM | message detail |
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characters with no acual names are probably rubbish in a contest setting. --- Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 2:11:24 PM | message detail |
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characters with no acual names are probably rubbish in a contest setting. Yeah, that Master Chief guy? Total fodder, him. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 2:11:42 PM | message detail |
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Seeing Ryu's streak of winning at least one match every contest
ending would not have been my idea of a good match. He and Dante are
about the only non-Noble Niners left with that to their name, now that
Knuckles got snubbed. I know this is quite a few pages back, but Zero's in that list too! Heck hes won two matches every contest hes been in! <_< --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 2:12:50 PM | message detail |
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Zero wasn't in 2002. -_- --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/4/2006 2:13:47 PM | message detail |
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And in 2003 he lost to Sonic in round 2 >_> --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/4/2006 2:21:28 PM | message detail |
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Oh man, since I've been at Spanish Kratos has been kicking some serious ass. 57.2% here he comes! Sorry, but that '4% lead' leads to a 56-44 match assuming that Dante isn't overrated at all. And as much as you and HM want to desperately prove to me that games continuing to sell well are going to lead to such notable boosts ('cause, y'know, we'll end up with Dante > Link in a few years, yo!), I won't buy it until I see it. Not to mention that I'm thinking Snake will be stronger than he was in 2005 anyway. So you believe in random variation being potentially enough to boost Sonic > Crono, but Dante increasing from 3 games in his favor is farfetched? That just seems silly to me. I want Snake to do as well as possible, as he's easily my favorite character, but Dante kicking ass their would make me incredibly pleased. And The higher you get, we all know the harder it is to increase, getting to Link's level would be insane, plus we all know Link gets his boosts too. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 2:22:26 PM | message detail |
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Zero wasn't in 2002. -_- Thats why I clearly said every contest hes been Mr. Smartaleck Who Is Always On Hiko's Case --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 2:23:06 PM | message detail |
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And in 2003 he lost to Sonic in round 2 >_> My bad then. --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 2:25:22 PM | message detail |
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Well, I was specifically talking about every single contest, which is why I said Knuckles is no longer on the list. and Kratos is doing well against Ryu. I'm assuming this was expected due to an underrated Sora right? Or are people saying Ryu fell or anything? Ryu doesn't have to fall. This is Sora being underrated, not that it's a shock to anybody. Plus, Kratos probably went up somewhat. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/4/2006 2:26:06 PM | message detail |
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I think Kefka vs. Prince of Persia would be a good match... As long as we have a character contest every year, they'll always be predictable. We need to cut down on them... we gotta another game contest. A break of three years, along with mixed divisions, will surely make a more interesting contest. To bring it up again, it would be nice if we had a character contest one year, followed by a game contest the next year, and so forth. In fact, I wouldn't mind seeing them done every three years, and with the remaining year we'd see something completely different: A tag-team contest one year, best random enemy contest, best weapon/item, or whatever. Or, how about this: a 64-character Battle Royale! ...just kidding. Think about how huge those PotDs would be, and we'd only be able to vote for one character! --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/4/2006 2:26:15 PM | message detail |
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Kratos wins another one by one vote. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 10/4/2006 2:27:46 PM | message detail |
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I'd absolutely love to see a 64 character BR consisting of every
character in this contest after the actual contest concluded. Not for
predicting or anything, just for fun. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |