GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 376
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/3/2006 2:37:25 PM | message detail |
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[REM lyrics] *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link): http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt !yawA tsoP |
| wavedash101 | Posted 10/3/2006 2:37:59 PM | message detail |
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first, second, third!!!??? --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
| Ed Bellis | Posted 10/3/2006 2:38:05 PM | message detail |
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...everybody hurts? lololololol --- This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy! |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 2:38:24 PM | message detail |
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Too early. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/3/2006 2:38:35 PM | message detail |
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So, uh, next interesting match is... Ganon vs. Vincent! Man, think about it. This match is worth the same amount of points as Ada/Jade...yet it's the most hyped match of the bracket. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/21 points Current Prediction - Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/3/2006 2:38:49 PM | message detail |
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Alucard > Auron --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| wavedash101 | Posted 10/3/2006 2:38:51 PM | message detail |
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Ahh first. Go moi. --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/3/2006 9:49:59 PM | message detail |
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Fun-fact: XIII and TuRtLe have recently gone well out of their way to
make CS&D topics despite not being around the topics for too long... ...meanwhile, this topic "celebrates" 100 topics passing since the last time I made one, and I've been a regular in these topics since Spring 2k4. I feel like it had to be said since BT said "I've been trying to make one since 360, but was beaten every time" last topic when he made it so early. Not to say you are the only one, not by any chance, but I'll single you out here because people seriously need to chill the **** out about it and you're the most recent. Then again, it was probably going to be a dead issue until this post, too, heh..... --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/3/2006 9:50:36 PM | message detail |
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Man, think about it. This match is worth the same amount of points as Ada/Jade...yet it's the most hyped match of the bracket. When Ganon beats Sonic, you'll be changing your tune! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/4/2006 12:19:50 AM | message detail |
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And that, ladies and gentlemen, was the first ever 500th post RKO in stats topic history. --- Pride. Power. Pinstripes. |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/4/2006 12:23:39 AM | message detail |
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That was a big deal, damnit~! --- Pride. Power. Pinstripes. |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/4/2006 12:31:29 AM | message detail |
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From HaRRicH Posted 10/4/2006 12:49:59 AM #008 Fun-fact: XIII and TuRtLe have recently gone well out of their way to make CS&D topics despite not being around the topics for too long... ...meanwhile, this topic "celebrates" 100 topics passing since the last time I made one, and I've been a regular in these topics since Spring 2k4. I feel like it had to be said since BT said "I've been trying to make one since 360, but was beaten every time" last topic when he made it so early. Not to say you are the only one, not by any chance, but I'll single you out here because people seriously need to chill the **** out about it and you're the most recent. Then again, it was probably going to be a dead issue until this post, too, heh..... Eh, I don't care that much. Turtle hasn't bothered me in weeks and XIII hasn't bothered me ever. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/4/2006 1:19:25 AM | message detail |
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This is crazy. It's possibly the most predictable bracket ever created.
The favourite has won each match and yet there's only just over 500
perfects? >_< --- My World is still Smurf! |
| WiggumFan267 | Posted 10/4/2006 1:37:24 AM | message detail |
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[REM lyrics] So it really did start with an earthquake.... 5 minutes into the match, I hit my head prety damn hard on my open drawer, looking for something that fell on the floor. I now have a bump on my head as a (not-so) permanent reminder of the day that never was. --- Cry of the B8er: "God, I don't even know her name. All I know is that I want to have sex with her." ~PkmnPtrch Happily married to Alanna82 on VDay 05 |
| transience | Posted 10/4/2006 2:12:51 AM | message detail |
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I still don't get why you would watch the post count to make a stats
topic. people claim they don't care about their internet status and
then they do things like that. I only make a stats topic when it's +400
and I go to look for the next one and it's not there. (well except for
last week, just to update the first post) anyway, Kratos got me all excited for nothing when he had those two 58% updates to start. I hate false alarms like that, now we're doomed to watch another predictable match. I still think Kratos gets under 60%, but not a lot under. DAMN YOU ROUND 1 --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic |
| transience | Posted 10/4/2006 3:59:06 AM | message detail |
| *hugs morning vote* |
| mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/4/2006 4:08:16 AM | message detail |
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*hugs tranny's wang* --- I love bananas. |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/4/2006 4:10:06 AM | message detail |
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Damn morning vote. --- Kratos vs. Ryu / Bracket: Ryu / Vote: Ryu (20/21) Tomorrow / Bracket: Mega Man / Vote: Mega Man |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 4:11:26 AM | message detail |
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...meanwhile, this topic "celebrates" 100 topics passing since the
last time I made one, and I've been a regular in these topics since
Spring 2k4. By that logic, I've been apart of this topic since 2004 as well simply because I lurked around it so much >_> thats right, I was here when SFF was just forming prominently in people's every day theories <_< --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 4:13:20 AM | message detail |
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This is crazy. It's possibly the most predictable bracket ever
created. The favourite has won each match and yet there's only just
over 500 perfects? >_< You call Claire/Kairi predictable? Hell, even Phoenix/Gordon being debatable wasn't THAT far-fetched. The rest of the bracket your pretty much right on though. All I really care about is Zero winning his fourpack and, if were really lucky, his division. That would pretty much make the contest for me! --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/4/2006 4:13:22 AM | message detail |
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Huh, Ryu's doing a bit better then I expected, but I wouldn't be
surprised at all to see kratos safely finish with over 40%... in fact
it looks very likely that he will right now. By the looks of things
he's been increasing a lot in recent updates. Maybe this is a sign that the after school vote will massively favour him? And no I don't mean he'll take it or anything, just that he'll increase a good deal in percentage. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/4/2006 4:15:24 AM | message detail |
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Hell, even Phoenix/Gordon being debatable wasn't THAT far-fetched. Eh... you would have to completely ignore Gordon's HL-2 boost, I don't see how often we completely ignore other characters boosts like they never happened, it was special in Gordon's case, for PW supporters to believe. --- I love bananas. |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 4:16:42 AM | message detail |
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Kratos really shouldn't be sacrificed as "tests of strength" for big
time midcarders like Alucard and Ryu as soon as he enters the contest.
Man needs to work his way up if he wants success. Hes obviously
stronger than other mainstream people like Fisher, Payne, Vercetti, and
the like. I say you pit him up against say Riku, Master Chief, Tails,
Jill, Hayabusa, people of that respect, and he'd win a couple matches.
Heres to Kratos getting a good fourpack next year! --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/4/2006 4:17:57 AM | message detail |
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Kratos really shouldn't be sacrificed as "tests of strength" for big time midcarders like Alucard After this year I'd be surprised to see Alucard finish with better than 52% on him. --- I love bananas. |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/4/2006 4:17:59 AM | message detail |
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Wait, am I reading the stats page wrong, or did Gordon Freeman get less
bracket support this year then he did last year against Leon? *raises wtf flag* --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 4:18:42 AM | message detail |
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Eh... you would have to completely ignore Gordon's HL-2 boost, I
don't see how often we completely ignore other characters boosts like
they never happened, it was special in Gordon's case, for PW supporters
to believe. The boost is rather odd to explain for Freeman though, due to Leon/Freeman. Think about it, his voting trends and patterns continued as they always do in that match up. But during PW/Freeman he brought in what....60-70k votes?! So it took a year for a boost to be fully experianced? Hmmm... --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 4:27:03 AM | message detail |
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After this year I'd be surprised to see Alucard finish with better than 52% on him. Well yeah and by the time of the God of War 2 increase he could probably beat him. All I'm sayin is, give em some opponents closer or right below his strength, just to give him some time to tear up the field a bit and get his hands dirty, you know? --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/4/2006 4:28:04 AM | message detail |
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What? If anything GF is going to end up lower in the stats this year
than last. Just because he got that many votes this year as opposed to
last year, doesn't mean he only felt the boost now. That's just
ridiculous. He faced a much weaker opponent, who recieved tons of
rallying, and probable vote stuffing (can't say for sure, but looking
at the updater some stuff seems way off, and maybe Ceej just didn't
bother to check in a blowout). --- I love bananas. |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/4/2006 4:29:29 AM | message detail |
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I mentioned nothing of the stats, I was merely looking at his voting trends takin such a big change... --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/4/2006 4:31:40 AM | message detail |
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The boost is rather odd to explain for Freeman though, due to
Leon/Freeman. Think about it, his voting trends and patterns continued
as they always do in that match up. But during PW/Freeman he brought in
what....60-70k votes?! So it took a year for a boost to be fully
experianced? Hmmm... The vote totals are a lot higher than last year, of course. And Phoenix Wright <<<<<<< Leon Kennedy. You couldn't have possibly expected Freeman to be this lineair. In fact, do you expect him to break 40% on Sora? I certainly don't. Due to Phoenix' obscene obscurity, a lot of people were voting for Freeman for a variety of reasons. I'll give the lower seed a chance, I hate anime, Gordon looks cooler, whatever. --- CB: 22/22. Today: Tomorrow: Kratos vs. Ryu. Tomorrow: Mega Man vs. Axel. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/4/2006 4:34:20 AM | message detail |
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It's not an issue of who bothered who, it's an issue of caring entirely
way too much regardless, and I say this knowing the CS&D topics/GF
contests are the main things that keep me here. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 5:13:47 AM | message detail |
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Bwahaha, people were expecting Kratos to push for 45% against Ryu's
night vote? Unlikely! Ryu has the distinction of being the only
non-Noble Nine character to hold a lead over one for a prolonged period
of time due to that night vote! Either way, it doesn't really matter what you make of Kratos's strength, Ryu has always been a step above Alucard, so to expect him to finish at the same percentage was asking for a bit too much, in my opinion. At the rate things are going, 42% seems to be the most he can hope for, and even then, Ryu's morning vote isn't looking completely horrible. Ryu will keep up his tradition of losing with 40%+ against Mega Man next round! Bank on it! 2005 was a fluke! --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| transience | Posted 10/4/2006 5:16:12 AM | message detail |
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it was those two 58% updates near the beginning of the match. from
there, 45% looked very possible. now it's looking more like 41 or 42%
to me, though Ryu could hold on and get 60%. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 5:17:16 AM | message detail |
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Silly stat topics calling for things in the first 15 minutes! But what would a match be without it! --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/4/2006 5:31:00 AM | message detail |
| If the after school vote is anything like what
happened around the time people would be going to work/school, I really
don't see ryu hanging onto 60% personally. Kratos won't get 45% or
anything nearly so ridiculous, but I don't see him finishing under 40%,
even with the way he's been going in more recent updates. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| transience | Posted 10/4/2006 5:32:39 AM | message detail |
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yeah -- cause, ya know, the board just loves them some Kratos! --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/4/2006 6:19:41 AM | message detail |
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Wow Ryu, that's some morning vote you have there. Does anybody have any explanation why he would bomb the mornings so badly? Was Street Fighter really exclusively popular in just the early 90's? TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/4/2006 6:52:28 AM | message detail |
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Isn't Europe a huge fan of fighting games? --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/4/2006 7:28:02 AM | message detail |
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I don't know if it's fighting games in general or just Street Fighter, but they're definitely a fan of Ryu. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/4/2006 7:31:22 AM | message detail |
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Fine, I'll RKO HaRRicH in the next 500th post, and then let's see you all ignore it!! --- Pride. Power. Pinstripes. |
| Crono801 | Posted 10/4/2006 7:33:34 AM | message detail |
| If Ryu and Ryu H. had switched places in the
bracket, we would have gotten another two good first round matches
instead of two predictible worthless ones. --- Welcome to Moonside. Wecomel to Soonmide. Moonwel ot cosidme. Truly Gone Fishing |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/4/2006 7:41:06 AM | message detail |
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No, we would've seen Ryu losing pathetically to Dante, and Ryu H.
losing pathetically to Kratos. I'm sure the margins of victory would've
been smaller, but the matches wouldn't be anything close to "good". --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/4/2006 7:42:14 AM | message detail |
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ExTha, people only ignored it because you suck. Otherwise, somebody might have cared. =P --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/4/2006 7:43:04 AM | message detail |
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The only thing that sucks around here is your acting skills, buddy. =P --- Pride. Power. Pinstripes. |
| Kaxon | Posted 10/4/2006 7:49:35 AM | message detail |
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Question for everyone - I keep seeing people attribute prediction
percentages to the seeding, but I don't remember the seeding actually
being visible anywhere when I filled out the bracket. Was it? --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/4/2006 7:52:35 AM | message detail |
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1 8 4 5 3 6 2 7 I think that regardless, alot of people know this is how bracket seeding goes(through sports, etc.). --- I'm, ohhh, I'm still alive... SC2K6: 21/22 Today's pick: Ryu |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/4/2006 7:55:35 AM | message detail |
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Acting skills...never said I had any! I just act alot, lol. Still better than you though !! --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/4/2006 8:09:48 AM | message detail |
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HaR also has ball-breaking skills at ball breaking --- CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Ryu with 62.21% |
| mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/4/2006 8:27:38 AM | message detail |
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Question for everyone - I keep seeing people attribute prediction
percentages to the seeding, but I don't remember the seeding actually
being visible anywhere when I filled out the bracket. Was it? For the first round, the seeds were directly next to the characters names, after that they disappeared. Oh and I'm sure some punks would have gone for Dante/Ryu saying Dante was overrated/Ryu was underrated, and been horribly wrong, as well as people saying Zero got SFFed! Ryu > Kratos. Not that you really needed Ryu underrated to beat out Kratos, that would have got a lot of debate, I wonder if Kratos could have been the favorite. This isn't to say Zero wasn't SFFed either, but I don't personally buy it. It shall wait to be seen. --- I love bananas. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/4/2006 8:48:24 AM | message detail |
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If Ryu and Ryu H. had switched places in the bracket, we would have
gotten another two good first round matches instead of two predictible
worthless ones. Seeing Ryu's streak of winning at least one match every contest ending would not have been my idea of a good match. He and Dante are about the only non-Noble Niners left with that to their name, now that Knuckles got snubbed. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |