GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion- Part 375
| shadow8021 | Posted 10/3/2006 12:00:07 PM | message detail |
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I have a feeling we won't be losing many perfects. --- Character Battle Score: 21/21 Today's Pick: Gordon Freeman |
| ShadowOwns | Posted 10/3/2006 12:07:43 PM | message detail |
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Did you see how many perfects we lost when yoshi beat Riku? It was
pretty obvious that yoshi was going to win and yet we lost a whole hell
of a lot of perfects. This match will be worse because of phoenix being
the 4th seed and GFNW. --- 2 days! Lovin Oil Country. |
| transience | Posted 10/3/2006 12:08:34 PM | message detail |
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I bet the perfects do worse than the -1's and -2's today. --- xyzzy |
| BDawg | Posted 10/3/2006 12:09:54 PM | message detail |
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Well I'm losing my perfect, didn't really believe it but couldn't
resist. Still better than going through the series contest and going
down with something as stupid as KH>Metal Gear. --- Should I start running now? |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/3/2006 12:17:10 PM | message detail |
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Very happy to see Gordon where he is right now, and can someone please
tell me why everyone was abandoning GF like his strength he showed last
year is all but dissipated? I mean, it was pretty damn obvious that PW
was going to be tremendously better with the night vote, and the
linkage on the PW site has become far more apparent than before. 57.5%
right now for GF, and possibly more? I'll take it. --- I'm so hardcore. |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/3/2006 12:31:37 PM | message detail |
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Also, I think the 0's are gonna take a much harder hit than the
perfects. I just see the 0's being only board users, and most of the
ones who go for it aren't all that into contests, that plus fanboyism,
plus GFNW, and I think the zeros are in for a hard hit. --- I'm so hardcore. |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/3/2006 12:32:11 PM | message detail |
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How much better would Phoenix have done if he was pointing? --- My bracket is so screwed. |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/3/2006 12:32:38 PM | message detail |
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Not at all. Don't even bring it up please. --- I'm so hardcore. |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/3/2006 12:50:32 PM | message detail |
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In my ongoing quest to believe that Yoshi will still take down Dante,
how well (because, again, this is completely related) will Axel have to
do on Mega Man to restore some faith in Yoshi? Okay, so that's a desperate stretch, but what are people thinking for tomorrow anyway? One on hand, he's just Axel, but he's somewhat of a fan favorite, and he is the fourth Kingdom Hearts character in this contest; that does show some devotion. --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 1:08:30 PM | message detail |
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I once did some x-stats based on the day vote/night vote...I think I
used 4-6 hours of the night to create x-stats, then divided that by the
regular x-stats to calculate the night vote. All I remember is that
KOS-MOS and Ryu were among the best with the night vote. To restore some of my faith in Yoshi, Axel will need close to 30%. If Axel gets 35%, I'd call Yoshi the favorite, easily. Too bad there's no way Axel gets 35%, and I doubt he'll even approach 30%. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/3/2006 1:19:35 PM | message detail |
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Axel? Get 35%? He'll be lucky to get 25%, quite frankly. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/3/2006 1:22:00 PM | message detail |
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| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 1:23:49 PM | message detail |
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I'd imagine Axel is below Kairi, but how about compared to, say, Ansem? --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/3/2006 2:16:26 PM | message detail |
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Heh, at this rate, Phoenix Wright will finish with more votes than copies his game sold. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/21 points Current Prediction - Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2006 2:19:03 PM | message detail |
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Gordon winning the after-school vote. It was expected, but damn, this is weird. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Phoenix vs. Gordon - Bracket: Gordon - Vote: Gordon (20/21) |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 2:35:47 PM | message detail |
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if Mega Man can get 65% on Tidus, just think of what he could do to Axel. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2006 2:39:47 PM | message detail |
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Gordon isn't exactly winning the after school vote. He's doing worse
than during school, and a bit better than in the early morning. Here
are updated percentages by the hour: 1 52.80 2 55.08 3 56.43 4 56.00 5 57.17 6 56.93 7 57.20 8 57.60 9 58.23 10 59.09 11 60.88 12 59.98 13 60.69 14 59.08 15 60.53 16 57.54 17 58.78 --- Take off every sig. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2006 2:52:08 PM | message detail |
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Didn't you get the memo? Whoever's percentage is going up = winner of (insert time of day here) vote! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Phoenix vs. Gordon - Bracket: Gordon - Vote: Gordon (20/21) |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2006 3:19:06 PM | message detail |
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Wow, Gordon really stepped it up since last night. This is so weird, yet expected. Here's hoping Phoenix has one last push before the poll closes so I can get closer to my 55% oracle pick. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/3/2006 3:21:37 PM | message detail |
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if Mega Man can get 65% on Tidus, just think of what he could do to Axel. I'm expecting around 76-77% myself. I think Axel can manage enough to avoid a quadding. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/3/2006 3:22:44 PM | message detail |
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If the KH fans are rabid enough to get Kairi to win a match, I think
Axel will do somewhat well. I think he can avoid the tripling. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/21 points Current Prediction - Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/3/2006 3:25:18 PM | message detail |
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Axel will avoid the doubling!! --- caps |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 3:25:32 PM | message detail |
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this won't go down from where it is now. the only question is if Gordon breaks 60% or not. I want to see 59.xx just for kicks. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 3:30:12 PM | message detail |
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Reaching 60% is nearly impossible at this point. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/3/2006 3:36:21 PM | message detail |
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If the KH fans are rabid enough to get Kairi to win a match, I think
Axel will do somewhat well. I think he can avoid the tripling. If Ganondorf can triple Ansem, I think Mega Man can triple Axel. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 4:01:47 PM | message detail |
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UltimaterializerX asks, "What would happen if a contest poll ended in a tie?" The earth would collapse in on itself, destroying all life as we know it. I have no idea. It's highly unlikely, but possible. I suppose, if it looks like it could happen, I would set the contest handling script to extend the contest by 5 seconds, check to see if there's a winner, and repeat if not. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/3/2006 4:03:11 PM | message detail |
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And there you have it. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/3/2006 4:58:34 PM | message detail |
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For some consolation for Phoenix Wright fans, he now has more votes than the following characters have managed in this contest: Nidoran F Jade Lenneth Valkyrie Ivy Valentine Princess Daisy Carmen Sandiego Amy Rose Marle Roll Cortana Kasumi Alyx Vance Soma Cruz Tidus Tingle And he'll likely pass the following characters before the match ends: Celes Chere Sheena Fujibayashi Sarah Kerrigan Ryu Hayabusa --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna (0-1) |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/3/2006 5:12:24 PM | message detail |
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So, where would you guys put Phoenix in the X-Stats, based on what we have so far? --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 5:12:58 PM | message detail |
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the fodder line! TAKE THAT VYSE --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 5:17:20 PM | message detail |
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Gordon Freeman (2005c) VS CATS (2005c) Gordon Freeman has a strength of 22.78. CATS has a strength of 19.24. Gordon Freeman wins with 57.77% of the vote! A win of 12,497 with 80,421 total votes cast. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/3/2006 5:19:21 PM | message detail |
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Also addressed in today's Grind. ICTOAN asks, "Have you ever thought of making the contests registered users only?" No. The whole point of the contest is to act as a promotion for the site, by bringing in new users, getting other sites to link to us, and so on. Requiring registration just to vote would drive users away, and it wouldn't really swing the final tallies that much (except in a few cases, and you have to admit, those were some of the more interesting battles we've had). Huh? I'd never heard CJay admit outright that the Contests exist primarily for site promotion. In fact, in the past he's taken an official stance on it being "unfortunate" that massive linking/rallying was taking place, but that there was nothing he could do to stop it. He should have brought up Pokemon/Xenogears in defense of the registration idea. --- thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/3/2006 5:19:47 PM | message detail |
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I think this match is telling me that Gordon is not performing at his
2k5 level today, though I also think Phoenix is doing better than he
should due to cheating/rallying. Though if the reasons for Gordon 'underperforming' are tied to the nature of his character, we could see him look better in this year's stats than ever before. Like a fodderific Master Chief! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/3/2006 5:20:13 PM | message detail |
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CATS was behind Master Chief <_< --- Character Battle V Score - 21/21 points Current Prediction - Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 5:22:31 PM | message detail |
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hmm... Gordon Freeman (2005c) VS CATS (2005v) Gordon Freeman has a strength of 22.78. CATS has a strength of 16.90. Gordon Freeman wins with 62.91% of the vote! A win of 20,718 with 80,265 total votes cast. yeah, I'm pretty sure this is Gordon just being overrated. and you know what? I bet he gets his highest x-stat value ever thanks to facing his strongest opponent ever, assuming he doesn't bomb vs. Mega Man. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/3/2006 5:25:01 PM | message detail |
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Gordon will break 40% on Sora. Book it. --- UNIVERSE IMPLOSION IMMINENT! Time Remaining: 3 hours! SC2K6: 20/21 Today's pick: Gordon Freeman |
| Lopen | Posted 10/3/2006 5:25:35 PM | message detail |
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I'm glad you're all accepting my theory on Gordon Freeman now. ... what? It's all mine! (someday I'll make a contentful post in here again... someday!) --- Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/3/2006 5:26:03 PM | message detail |
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I will celebrate if Gordon breaks 40% on Sora. It'd establish Gordon as
a legitimate contest entry (i.e., he's difficult to get a good read on)
and Phoenix gets to look good in the stats. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/21 points Current Prediction - Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/3/2006 5:27:40 PM | message detail |
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Like I said before, a vote for Gordon in Sora vs Gordon makes Phoenix look better and Tingle look worse! Voting Gordon is win-win! --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/3/2006 5:34:43 PM | message detail |
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Gordon won't be approaching 40% on Sora. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/3/2006 5:35:02 PM | message detail |
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| Gaddswell | Posted 10/3/2006 6:03:42 PM | message detail |
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And Gordon hits 58%! --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 6:06:38 PM | message detail |
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and 100,000 votes... and Phoenix with more votes than his game sold in the US! --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| creativename | Posted 10/3/2006 6:06:46 PM | message detail |
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I'd never heard CJay admit outright that the Contests exist primarily for site promotion. No other purpose they could have, really. And I vaguely recall CJayC saying something along those lines back in 2K2 or 2K3 anyway. As for Gordon, I really, really doubt he'll be getting 40% on Sora. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/3/2006 6:07:46 PM | message detail |
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| KingBartz | Posted 10/3/2006 6:08:17 PM | message detail |
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58% GET --- UNIVERSE IMPLOSION IMMINENT! Time Remaining: 3 hours! SC2K6: 20/21 Today's pick: Gordon Freeman |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/3/2006 6:08:57 PM | message detail |
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And Gordon hits 58%! ...for the second time! As for the contests, I think it's pretty obvious why he does it. It brings site activity up, and increases our userbase, the only reason he can give away money for these contests, is because the new people contests bring in help him make more, even if he isn't technically the owner anymore. I was surprised about him encouraging linking though, I always thought he was against it. --- I'm so hardcore. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/3/2006 6:09:53 PM | message detail |
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New characters that were able to exit with dignity (i.e. didn't totally bomb) in their first contests: 2003: Magus Zelda Zero Shadow the Hedgehog Ganondorf Auron Summer 2004: Frog Liquid Snake Vivi Summer 2005: Vincent Valentine Tifa Lockhart Leon Kennedy Riku Kratos (God of War) Rikku Chun-Li This year, so far: Kairi The Boss Any other predictions? I think Sub-Zero, The Prince, and Captain Falcon will do relatively well. --- Character Battle V Score - 21/21 points Current Prediction - Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/3/2006 6:10:21 PM | message detail |
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Sora (2004c) VS Gordon Freeman (2005c) Sora has a strength of 28.93. Gordon Freeman has a strength of 22.78. Sora wins with 60.63% of the vote! A win of 18,226 with 85,737 total votes cast. I don't think it's too much of a stretch for Gordon to break 40%, he does have a freakishly large following that usually fails him. --- I'm so hardcore. |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/3/2006 6:11:13 PM | message detail |
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Kairi The Boss Don't know how much you can say about Kairi, Claire could be hardcore weak. --- I'm so hardcore. |