GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion- Part 375
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| trannyscience | Posted 10/3/2006 9:17:24 PM | message detail |
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who wins the day vote in a Ryu vs. Alucard match? --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/3/2006 9:17:26 PM | message detail |
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Well it'll be closer than yours! >_> <_< I don't think Kratos will get it down that low, that would be a massive day vote collapse, especially since Ryu just increased his %. --- I love bananas. |
| mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/3/2006 9:17:38 PM | message detail |
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Ryu. --- I love bananas. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:18:48 PM | message detail |
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No one votes during the day of such a match. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Who Cares? | Posted 10/3/2006 9:18:57 PM | message detail |
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It's not his day vote that sucks, it's his morning vote that does. His day vote is fair. --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara Croft (October 21th) One down, two to go! *Just 6 days until Tales of the Abyss* |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/3/2006 9:18:58 PM | message detail |
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Wait, Kratos will = Rikku? Booo, hiss! --- caps |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/3/2006 9:20:02 PM | message detail |
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Even if Kratos finishes a bit below where Rikku did, I'd take him over
her. Dunno why, just have a feeling Rikku would crumple there. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/3/2006 9:20:30 PM | message detail |
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I'd take Kratos over Rikku with confidence, myself. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/3/2006 9:20:52 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, well, I'd take Rikku over Ryu in a rematch!! --- caps |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/3/2006 9:21:20 PM | message detail |
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You already took her over him in the first one! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/3/2006 9:22:43 PM | message detail |
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Just wait till Kairi goes 50/50 with Rikku, and Rikku scores 40% on Samus. Then we'll see who's laughing! --- caps |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/3/2006 9:23:50 PM | message detail |
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I certainly will be, because Samus will be so screwed. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Yesmar | Posted 10/3/2006 9:26:21 PM | message detail |
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Umm. Screw GameFAQS. I thought I posted a big Extreme Scenarios for this match and now it's not in my Posted Messages. :( --- Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/3/2006 9:28:01 PM | message detail |
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lol Kratos equals KOS-MOS! --- Phoenix Wright vs. Gordon Freeman / Bracket: Gordon / Vote: Gordon (19/20) Tomorrow / Bracket: Ryu / Vote: Ryu |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:28:36 PM | message detail |
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It makes sense that the -1 were so horrible yesterday. Remember that
most of them didn't become -1s until Yoshi pulled the 'upset', meaning
most of that 49% is just riding the seeds through this round. --- thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:29:15 PM | message detail |
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Heh, let's see if the -2s do noticably worse in the next seeding upset...that's actually after today. :p --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Yesmar | Posted 10/3/2006 9:29:54 PM | message detail |
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I predict that one of two things will happen in Kairi Vs. Rikku. Rikku will SFF her hard OR Kairi will inexplicably rSFF Rikku and make the match close. Why? Anomalies always come in groups and since Claire's already behind one in 2002, there'll have to be another one, just so we can have no idea how popular she is. Note: Please don't take the above message entirely seriously. --- Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:31:12 PM | message detail |
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Aeris SFFed Sora, and Aeris couldn't even SFF Marle (much?), so I
couldn't possibly seeing Kairi rSFFing Rikku. Resisting it just might
be possible, though. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2006 9:34:47 PM | message detail |
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I'd like to thank everybody for making my first stats topic a success
that spanned the end of one universe to the beginning of another
universe. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:36:48 PM | message detail |
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I vote we let this topic purge with the old universe. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| BDawg | Posted 10/3/2006 9:37:36 PM | message detail |
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The stats topic that includes Ganon/Vincent will probably make its own universe. --- Should I start running now? |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2006 9:40:10 PM | message detail |
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How many topics will we go through that day? I'll say 2.5 TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/3/2006 9:44:00 PM | message detail |
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Christ, for a contest that the cookie-cutter has just been breezing through, perfects are dropping like flies. There's actually a record number of perfects left. 1.33% of all brackets are perfect right now. At this point in 2k5 only 0.302% were perfect. Even in the Summer 2004 contest, only 0.831% of brackets were perfect at this point. --- I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest. Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest! |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/3/2006 9:45:56 PM | message detail |
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They're staying pretty consistant right now..... --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:46:18 PM | message detail |
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We didn't have the stats for Sp2K4. I bet by match 22 there were more perfects in that contest than we're seeing now... I'll go average the prediction percentage up to match 22 for both of them and see if it's likely... --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:49:24 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, but 2k5 had... ...Wait, that would be today. ...Oh no... the memories... *twitches* Stop... dropping... no... NOOOOOO! *drops 3m katamari on Smurf* --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/3/2006 9:50:38 PM | message detail |
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We are now Gods who have survived the implosion with our implosion
shelters and the resulting Big Bang that followed! We now live in a
brand new universe that shall not be destroyed until CATS wins and we
undergo yet another Big Bang. On other news: Ryu stablelizes at 61% but looks to be gaining slightly. --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| transience | Posted 10/3/2006 9:51:00 PM | message detail |
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not everything survived though. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 9:53:49 PM | message detail |
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Ave pred. % up to match 22 for Sp2K4: 79.86% Ditto for SC2K6: 78.90% Add to that only 5 matches with less than a 70% prediction percentage in Sp2K4 as opposed to 8 in this contest. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| transience | Posted 10/3/2006 9:57:36 PM | message detail |
| hmm, looks like that 58% was a false alarm. with
the night vote kicking in, Ryu may actually gain a little bit instead
of falling under 60%. Rikku was doing a little bit better at this point of the match than Kratos is (well, three hours later, but :50 in). Kratos might have a better day vote though. Ryu's lead dropped until about noon and then it stayed completely still for the last twelve hours of the poll. I guess we should keep an eye on the morning vote for Ryu's inevitable decline. Ryu actually took the day vote against Bowser too.. though Bowser seems kind of upside-down to what you'd expect out of a Nintendo character. anyway, I guess Ryu's day vote is actually decent and WC? was right, it's that brutal morning vote that kills him. does anyone else have a vote like that? --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/3/2006 9:58:07 PM | message detail |
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not everything survived though. That's part of the fun. Since we're gods now, we get to make whatever things we want using our knowledge from the previous universe and we shall make a utopia and have our own little cult followings. Now... what to be a god of and what kind of sentinent beings do we want? --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 10:00:23 PM | message detail |
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Ryu won the day vote? *checks* I suppose so, but it was more because
Bowser was so amazingly dominant with the morning/early day vote,
though, and Ryu still did much better in the night. Nintendo characters
are just incredible in the morning. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Who Cares? | Posted 10/3/2006 10:00:37 PM | message detail |
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The only other character off the top of my head that has a brutal
morning vote like SF characters is Tifa, but she was against Luigi
& Sonic when her percentage bled like crazy. --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara Croft (October 21th) One down, two to go! *Just 6 days until Tales of the Abyss* |
| transience | Posted 10/3/2006 10:01:48 PM | message detail |
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well, remember Bowser / Kirby? the only reason Bowser won that match
was the lead he built up overnight. everything else was Kirby stalling
or taking updates during the daytime. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2006 10:03:51 PM | message detail |
| I guess you're right! Bowser's not even among the
best of the Nintendo characters in the morning, so Ryu truly is that
cruddy with it. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/3/2006 10:04:02 PM | message detail |
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One thing that I've always found interesting about Bowser: no matter
who he's facing, he's always lost the second night-vote. It never
mattered who he's facing, he's going to allow his opponent a chance to
look better. He's like the Donkey Kong of the night..... --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| transience | Posted 10/3/2006 10:04:47 PM | message detail |
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heh, Resident Evil / Street Fighter shows what kind of morning vote SF
has. I bet SMRPG/SF2 was an absolute landslide in the morning too. --- Query "Results" failed: You have an error in your SQL syntax. Check the manual that corresponds to your MySQL server version for the right syntax to use near ' WHERE Gordon.IsWinner = True AND Predic |
| Janus5000 | Posted 10/3/2006 10:07:03 PM | message detail |
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Well, it did apparently go from winning to losing with under 44%... which I think is a bigger % swing than Sora/Alucard. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/3/2006 10:56:54 PM | message detail |
| I made two quick 16-character divisions out of the
females (one of just the losers this round, and one of just the
winners), and the seeding is based on their vote totals. See if there's
anything you like out of it: 1-Claire Redfield 16-Carmen Sandiego 8-Kasumi 9-Ivy Valentine 5-Cortana 12-Jade 4-Kerrigan 13-Alyx Vance 6-Amy Rose 11-Roll 3-Celes Chere 14-Nidoran F 7-Marle 10-Lenneth Valkyrie 2-Sheena 15-Princess Daisy 1-Zelda 16-Kairi 8-Lara Croft 9-Ada Wong 5-Princess Peach 12-KOS-MOS 4-Samus 13-The Boss 6-Rikku 11-Jill Valentine 3-Tifa 14-Joanna Dark 7-Aeris 10-Chun-Li 2-Yuna 15-Terra --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/3/2006 11:08:49 PM | message detail |
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Yes, SF2 was indeed killed by the Morning Vote. From the Archive: After Mario RPG grabbed the lead on bracket voting, SF2 fought back and lead up until 5:30 in the morning. Mario gained some strength, and then the sun rose, and it was a massacre. 06:00 | Super Mario RPG | 08238 | +469 | 50.96% | Street Fighter II | 07927 | +372 | 49.04% | Lead of 0311 | ^097 06:15 | Super Mario RPG | 08787 | +549 | 51.31% | Street Fighter II | 08338 | +411 | 48.69% | Lead of 0449 | ^138 06:30 | Super Mario RPG | 09399 | +612 | 51.85% | Street Fighter II | 08730 | +392 | 48.15% | Lead of 0669 | ^220 06:45 | Super Mario RPG | 10020 | +621 | 52.20% | Street Fighter II | 09174 | +444 | 47.80% | Lead of 0846 | ^177 07:00 | Super Mario RPG | 10727 | +0707 | 52.61% | Street Fighter II | 09664 | +490 | 47.39% | Lead of 1063 | ^217 07:15 | Super Mario RPG | 11426 | +0699 | 52.92% | Street Fighter II | 10166 | +502 | 47.08% | Lead of 1260 | ^197 07:30 | Super Mario RPG | 12156 | +0730 | 53.25% | Street Fighter II | 10671 | +505 | 46.75% | Lead of 1485 | ^225 07:45 | Super Mario RPG | 12966 | +0810 | 53.58% | Street Fighter II | 11234 | +563 | 46.42% | Lead of 1732 | ^247 08:00 | Super Mario RPG | 13817 | +0851 | 53.90% | Street Fighter II | 11818 | +584 | 46.10% | Lead of 1999 | ^267 08:15 | Super Mario RPG | 14715 | +0898 | 54.20% | Street Fighter II | 12432 | +614 | 45.80% | Lead of 2283 | ^284 08:30 | Super Mario RPG | 15554 | +0839 | 54.38% | Street Fighter II | 13046 | +614 | 45.62% | Lead of 2508 | ^225 08:45 | Super Mario RPG | 16469 | +0915 | 54.62% | Street Fighter II | 13682 | +636 | 45.38% | Lead of 2787 | ^279 09:00 | Super Mario RPG | 17386 | +0917 | 54.89% | Street Fighter II | 14286 | +604 | 45.11% | Lead of 3100 | ^313 09:15 | Super Mario RPG | 18376 | +0990 | 55.15% | Street Fighter II | 14944 | +658 | 44.85% | Lead of 3432 | ^332 50% to 55% in what felt like about 6 seconds. --- thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2006 11:39:02 PM | message detail |
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SFII LOST!?!?! TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2006 11:40:09 PM | message detail |
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And O_O at Ryu's last 2 updates. He has a very good chance to keep this
above 60-40, assuming he doesn't completely fall apart during the day
(which he probably will) TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/3/2006 11:41:27 PM | message detail |
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Ryu is really increasing his percentage right now. Trying to acquire some buffer before the morning/day vote it seems. --- Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 12:12:04 AM | message detail |
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I take back my previous projections, Ryu is just eating up the night
vote right now. He could keep it above 60% depending on what happens... --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 10/4/2006 12:14:06 AM | message detail |
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God damn it. --- The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD Coming October 3, 2006 |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/4/2006 12:16:15 AM | message detail |
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Jesus Christ SMRPG absolutely raped with the morning vote. That's insane. --- Pride. Power. Pinstripes. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/4/2006 12:16:15 AM | message detail |
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Poor, poor, lowballing yo. Seems like you need cheering up. Here, random fanboyism of your favorite: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/detail.php?board=8&topic=30541403&message=338676619 --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/4/2006 12:18:12 AM | message detail |
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I love this --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/4/2006 12:18:20 AM | message detail |
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*RKOs Gordon Freeman* --- Pride. Power. Pinstripes. |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/4/2006 12:18:22 AM | message detail |
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*RKOs Gordon Freeman* --- Pride. Power. Pinstripes. |