GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 374
| XIII_rocks | Posted 10/2/2006 3:19:14 PM | message detail |
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If there isn't a delay, I at least expect Cloud to make it considerably closer than last time. If there is a delay, it'll be Cloud's worst ever loss. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz AC2K6 Score: 20/20 Tomorrow: Gordon |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 3:20:13 PM | message detail |
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I laugh at those thinking Cloud over Link is a possibility!! Once again, the propaganda is working like a charm! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 3:22:06 PM | message detail |
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Even without a delay, Link still has his biggest game yet coming out the next
day. I don't know about you, but I think the voters who like both are
very likely going to vote Link on hype alone. The next day they'll be
able to play what is likely to be the greatest game ever. Link will be kicking some ass and taking some names, with or without TP. And that means Cloud could never win again! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 3:23:40 PM | message detail |
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I take hype, no matter how much or how imminent, as a pretty low factor
in any match. The PS3 coming out just before the match will be enough
to at least counteract anything that stuff does. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 3:25:03 PM | message detail |
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...You really think PlayStation 3 hype here is going to exceed The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess hype? The hype for that game is going to be palpable here in a few weeks. Italics for emphasis! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/2/2006 3:25:04 PM | message detail |
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"I take hype, no matter how much or how
imminent, as a pretty low factor in any match. The PS3 coming out just
before the match will be enough to at least counteract anything that
stuff does." Mario vs Cloud 2002 would like a word with you. --- Can't think of a good sig. |
| H__RR____H | Posted 10/2/2006 3:26:28 PM | message detail |
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About Yoshi/Luigi, since we've talked about it alot... http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=634 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2328 Considering Yoshi/Luigi have the same fanbase, I think these polls are completely reasonable to use (completely reasonable, not completely reliable). Since Yoshi already had more than a quarter of the votes in both polls and Yoshi has always been generally well-liked amongst the fanbase, it's not hard to imagine Yoshi being able to outdo Luigi there. Now, of course...Bowser/Yoshi ****s it up to a degree, but as it's been said already, it's not completely reliable -- Bowser just has that many more fans that like him over Yoshi than #1 fans, yet Yoshi's strong fanbase in the Mario world kept him in the game too and probably made the most reliable value we have for Yoshi to date...but it's hard to say for sure. Anyway, back to Yoshi/Luigi: 2k3 indicated Yoshi > Luigi close to how the match actually went in 2k4, and Yoshi increased in the Mario-poll while Luigi dropped in it earlier this year...so one could say that would solidify Yoshi > Luigi again, whether it be by rSFF or not -- that's arguable until we get a clean value on Yoshi. However, last year shows Luigi beating Yoshi a lil' worse than Yoshi beat Luigi, so perhaps a rematch wouldn't be favorable for Yoshi. So may say Yoshi's under-rated, but Laharl and Pac-Man both lead to almost exactly the same area for him to land at, so that's not worth over-looking. So...I dunno, I don't think a rematch should have Yoshi being the immediate favorite anymore. It's too big of a toss-up for me to bother with for now. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
| Samurai7 | Posted 10/2/2006 3:31:04 PM | message detail |
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Mario vs Cloud 2002 would like a word with you. It was planetgamecube.com's doing. Not Sunshine. --- It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade |
| H__RR____H | Posted 10/2/2006 3:31:52 PM | message detail |
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It was PGC coupled with SMS -- neither one would have been as effective without the other. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 3:32:15 PM | message detail |
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I hope you don't believe PlanetGameCube had more to do with that than Super Mario Sunshine being released on that day. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Samurai7 | Posted 10/2/2006 3:32:58 PM | message detail |
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I hope you don't believe PlanetGameCube had more to do with that than Super Mario Sunshine being released on that day. I do --- It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/2/2006 3:32:59 PM | message detail |
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Sonic > Male Bracket = 10:1...only Crono and Mega Man to overcome. Vince > Sonic = 5:1...come on, Vincent was worth like 46% on Sonic last year. Snake > Megaman = 10:1 Sephiroth > Cloud in royale = 5:1 Cloud > Link in royale = 20:1...the Wii is gonna be out at this time, right? PoP evading a doubling from Kirby = 1:1...Kain evaded a doubling. I think PoP is stronger than Kain. Dante > Yoshi = 1:5...I'm surprised at the 1:1 odds some of you gave for this one after the past couple days. Jill > Peach = 2:1 Kratos > Ryu = 50:1 --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| H__RR____H | Posted 10/2/2006 3:33:04 PM | message detail |
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*Though SMS was the bigger factor. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 3:52:14 PM | message detail |
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A preliminary rough guestimate of what the 2006 stats MAY look like
based on what we've seen so far. Perhaps we can use it to guess
increases, decreases, etc. Note that several values are arbitrary. Samus Aran – 41.69% Solid Snake – 36.97% Squall Leonhart – 35.16% Dante Sparda – 34.12% Princess Zelda – 33.71% Tifa Lockhart – 33.57% Aeris Gainsborough – 32.81% Sora – 32.00% Yoshi – 29.01% Rikku – 26.55% Yuna – 26.10% Riku – 25.99% Chun-Li – 24.92% Ryu Hayabusa – 23.75% Jill Valentine – 23.74% Princess Peach – 23.50% The Boss – 23.00% KOS-MOS – 21.30% Marle – 19.83% Tidus – 19.68% Kairi – 19.39% Terra Branford – 18.65% Ada Wong – 18.64% Claire Redfield – 18.58% Sheena Fujibayashi – 18.03% Celes Chere – 17.90% Lara Croft – 16.75% Joanna Dark – 16.50% Ivy Valentine – 15.99% Tingle – 15.72% Kasumi – 15.58% Sarah Kerrigan – 15.41% Nidoran F – 15.13% Amy Rose – 14.73% Lenneth Valkyrie – 13.28% Soma Cruz – 13.20% Cortana – 13.12% Roll – 10.81% Carmen Sandiego – 9.38% Jade – 9.00% Princess Daisy – 7.94% Alyx Vance – 7.52% --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 3:54:05 PM | message detail |
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SMS was released on the day of Mario/Cloud. That's not hype, that's a release day. Cloud obviously has no shot if TP falls on the day of Link/Cloud. Also, it's not PS3 hype. It's an actual release, which invariably dwarfs something as fickle as hype. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 3:55:14 PM | message detail |
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20:1...the Wii is gonna be out at this time, right? If there's no delay in the contest, no. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 3:56:09 PM | message detail |
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Marle – 19.83% Tidus – 19.68% Kairi – 19.39% har --- xyzzy |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2006 3:56:55 PM | message detail |
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Marle – 19.83% Tidus – 19.68% Kairi – 19.39% Terra Branford – 18.65% He fits right in! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Sora vs. Tingle - Bracket: Sora - Vote: Sora (19/20) |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 3:57:17 PM | message detail |
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Note: For Kairi, I just took Ansem's VC value and upped it by 1%. Characters like Jade...Just guessed. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth |
| therealmnm | Posted 10/2/2006 3:59:35 PM | message detail |
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What did you do for Peach? Guess as well? --- Vote for Soma Cruz Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 4:01:49 PM | message detail |
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Since he has Jill above her, I suppose he went with making Jill near-even with Hayabusa and working Peach a bit below. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2006 4:02:03 PM | message detail |
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Oh, and it's also funny that "Claire got 45% on Tidus!" was actually a
semi-valid argument, seeing as how (according to those stats), she
would get 47% on him now, and everyone would take Tidus over Kairi with
ease. I'm sorry, but Tidus = Kairi is just too damn funny. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Sora vs. Tingle - Bracket: Sora - Vote: Sora (19/20) |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 4:03:26 PM | message detail |
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Also, it's not PS3 hype. It's an actual release, which invariably dwarfs something as fickle as hype The release of the PS3 should generate just about nothing for Cloud. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 4:04:29 PM | message detail |
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The release of the PS3 should generate just about nothing for Cloud. Like I said, about as much as TP hype for Link! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 4:05:51 PM | message detail |
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Like I said, about as much as TP hype for Link! TP Hype > > > > PS3 Release. Palpable, man, palpable. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/2/2006 4:06:43 PM | message detail |
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Kairi vs. KOS-MOS, who wins?! --- caps |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/2/2006 4:10:31 PM | message detail |
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KOS-MOS! --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 4:12:43 PM | message detail |
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Palpable, man, palpable. The only thing palpable about it was the sensation of you screaming down my throat that it was going to be out before Sonic/Ganon, much less Link/Cloud... --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/2/2006 4:19:10 PM | message detail |
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Oh, and another reason yesterday's match doesn't mean much for the
Devil Division (although I'm sure you're all sick of hearing about this
by now): it's entirely possible that Hayabusa pulled a KOS-MOS/Vyse.
Random under/overperformances happen all the time, and if KH's right,
there was SFF in this match, which would contribute even further to
this. I don't really care whether the Devil Division's overrated, though. I'm far more concerned about Zero remaining at the top. A far more definitive answer about the Devil Division (and VV/Ganon ins particular) comes from Celes/The Boss. Assuming that Celes/Terra and Big Boss/The Boss are close to each other, that match looked very good for Ganon supporters. Kairi vs. KOS-MOS, who wins?! KOS-MOS, easily. I'm convinced that 2k4 KOS was an anomaly, and XS3 goes a long way to pushing KOS up even further. --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
| Kaxon | Posted 10/2/2006 4:34:29 PM | message detail |
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I hate Vegas odds, so I'll do percentages. Sonic > Male Bracket - 25% (Do I misunderstand or do the 25:1 people really think Sonic only has a 4% chance of winning the male side?) Vince > Sonic - 20% Snake > Megaman - 35% Sephiroth > Cloud in royale - 45% Cloud > Link in royale - 25% PoP evading a doubling from Kirby - ? Dante > Yoshi - 67% Jill > Peach - 50% Kratos > Ryu - 10% --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 4:37:37 PM | message detail |
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Assuming that Celes/Terra and Big Boss/The Boss are close to each other, that match looked very good for Ganon supporters. I'd wager that The Boss is closer to Ocelot than Big Boss at this point, and my projections put Celes not far below Terra. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 4:40:28 PM | message detail |
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What did you do for Peach? Guess as well? Pretty much. There's nothing to base her on. Note that I originally had Jill at her 2004 value, but...that put her below Ada Wong's original projection. To fix it, I moved Jade from 11.00% to 9.00% and it made things look better. I just decided to keep Jill where she was though. Gotta keep that Jill > Peach spirit alive! --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 5:04:56 PM | message detail |
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hmm.. is Sora like Crono, where his vote patterns are different from
his game / other characters? Sora's starting to increase now for
whatever reason. maybe he's got more of an evening vote than we thought. --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 5:17:17 PM | message detail |
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I think this is more indicative of Tingle. Not that Tingle would seem
to have a stronger day vote than most other Zelda/Nintendo characters,
but he probably gets an 'anti-night' vote instead. The hardcore gamers
that actually know him (and aren't *that* friendly toward Zelda to
begin with) would make the day and night votes seem more extreme. I'd expect Sora to gain in the day against, say, Ganondorf. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2006 5:20:27 PM | message detail |
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So, who's ready for the inevitable board explosion tomorrow? TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/2/2006 5:21:17 PM | message detail |
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I know I am. The PW supporters are already going crazy rallying for Phoenix. --- Character Battle V Score - 20/20 points Current Prediction - Sora vs. Tingle |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 5:22:31 PM | message detail |
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If PW can win I'll sort of welcome it...we haven't had an upset yet, and this would be pretty big. If the match is competitive, though, I'll consider it a miracle. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| greatone10 | Posted 10/2/2006 5:24:47 PM | message detail |
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It's not going to be a board expolosion, it's a board IMPLOSION. --- RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 5:25:29 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, I'm worried about more than the board exploding tomorrow... --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 10/2/2006 5:28:56 PM | message detail |
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When people realize PW never stood any semblence of a chance to win,
I'll expect the board to go insane tomorrow. There's already tons of
topics on the match. In fact I don't recall there ever being so many
board topics about a match before it even starts in recent memory. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 5:29:35 PM | message detail |
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I've never seen so much discussion for a fodder-fodder match anyway. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2006 5:30:25 PM | message detail |
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It's hilarious, but there will be more whining/gloating tomorrow than any of the Mario/Crono matches or contest finals. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/2/2006 5:31:38 PM | message detail |
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It won't be as bad if Freeman wins since most of this board agrees it'll be an easy Gordon Freeman victory. However, if Phoenix Wright wins...oh boy... --- Character Battle V Score - 20/20 points Current Prediction - Sora vs. Tingle |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 5:32:27 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, this could turn into another Ansem/CATS if Phoenix wins or even leads for any prolonged period of time. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 5:32:55 PM | message detail |
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Phoenix losing will cause a mixture of whining, gloating, and tons of topics talking about world implosion or something. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/2/2006 5:33:51 PM | message detail |
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It's hilarious, but there will be more whining/gloating tomorrow than any of the Mario/Crono matches or contest finals. Its sad because its probably true! --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| greatone10 | Posted 10/2/2006 5:35:08 PM | message detail |
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Most people will probably laugh their asses off if Gordon somehow loses. Personally, I think Gordon hitting 70% is more likely than Phoenix winning, but I'd love to see Phoenix pull off the upset. --- RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest. |
| Big Bob | Posted 10/2/2006 5:35:21 PM | message detail |
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If Phoenix wins it'll be one of the most hilarious contest matches going all the way back to...Gordon/Tina. --- My bracket is so screwed. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 5:36:27 PM | message detail |
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Personally, I think Gordon hitting 70% is more likely than Phoenix winning, but I'd love to see Phoenix pull off the upset. I personally think Gordon's going to destroy him as well, but most people are going conservative for GFNW reasons. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 2: Etna |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 5:37:43 PM | message detail |
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actually, most people are abandoning Phoenix. all of the high people in
the Oracle are afraid of getting burned and changed their Phoenix picks
to like 60% Gordon picks. lol groupthink --- xyzzy "12 percent of those who liked opera had experimented with magic mushrooms." - Reuters |