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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 374

HaRRicH | Posted 10/2/2006 11:13:59 AM | message detail
1) That post could not have been more annoying.

2) Just how much of an over-performance are you expectin', really?
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Cecil XIX | Posted 10/2/2006 11:17:32 AM | message detail
Y'know, it's crime that Phoenix gets to fight Gordon while CATS is stuck as an 8 seed again.

Gordon vs. CATS... That's a match I would have liked to see.
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 11:21:16 AM | message detail
The stats would clearly favor Gordon there, though I'd be very tempted to take CATS. I'd certainly take him to crush Wright.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/2/2006 11:24:38 AM | message detail
I still don't understand why so many people think phoenix will win. Is it just a really loud small minority, or are a lot of people actually taking board jokes such as gfnw into account when making serious brackets? I mean were talking about a character from a game that hadn't even sold 50k english copies as of last july...
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
KingBartz | Posted 10/2/2006 11:27:16 AM | message detail
Why is everybody referencing GF vs. Tina Armstrong like it has any relevance? HL2 changed everything.

Besides, that was 2k2! WHEN MARIO FAILED TO TRIPLE SERVBOT. 2k2 stats mean absolutely nothing.

the stat to look at is 2k5, which means that Gordon Freeman will will.

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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 1 day!
SC2K6: 19/20 Today's pick: Sora
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/2/2006 11:27:46 AM | message detail
It was meant to be annoying, as I'd said it twice already to no response.

I still don't understand why so many people think phoenix will win. Is it just a really loud small minority, or are a lot of people actually taking board jokes such as gfnw into account when making serious brackets? I mean were talking about a character from a game that hadn't even sold 50k english copies as of last july...

Yeah, but do you honestly think that all the people who voted CATS have played Zero Wing? Not that I think Phoenix will win, as he doesn't have a chance, but still.
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dragoontheguy | Posted 10/2/2006 11:31:07 AM | message detail
The objection! website isn't even nearly as big as the all your base fad, and has been around for a very short period of time. Even as a fad it's far more obscure then what cats has going for him.

Aside from that, I doubt a very minor amount of internet fame will save a character from a game more obscure then suikoden 2.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/2/2006 11:32:05 AM | message detail
Gordon Freeman will will?

>.>

Anyways, those actually cheering for Gordon Freeman in this match really don't belong on Board 8 IMO. >.>
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Pride. Power. Pinstripes.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/2/2006 11:33:38 AM | message detail
And Freeman's probably going to win, which will be the saddest thing ever. v.v
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Pride. Power. Pinstripes.
The_Dealer_7 | Posted 10/2/2006 11:34:45 AM | message detail
*cheers for Freeman*

I hate his guts, but a point is a point.

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Passion. Perseverance. Pinstripes.
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 11:41:28 AM | message detail
And Freeman's probably going to win, which will be the saddest thing ever.

On the contrary, it'd be one of the best things ever because we will no longer have to hear about GFNW and Phoenix Wright.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
KingBartz | Posted 10/2/2006 11:42:47 AM | message detail
I'll be happy when this life is over. Remember, by Wednesday, we'll all be dead! ^_^
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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 1 day, 9 hours, 18 minutes!
SC2K6: 19/20 Today's pick: Sora
Redtooth | Posted 10/2/2006 11:49:33 AM | message detail
Even if gordon does win, GFNW will only get more annoying. At least right now, the fad is based on him losing constantly, which is true. If (when) he wins, the entire basis of the fad evaporates. But is that really enough to destroy the fad? I doubt it. We'll just see an increase in loopholed theories and rampant angry rants. Gordon Freeman might win, but GFNW will never die.

oh, and PW>GF

>_>

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
Kaxon | Posted 10/2/2006 12:22:15 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Kaxon | Posted 10/2/2006 12:22:57 PM | message detail
Even if gordon does win, GFNW will only get more annoying.

"You can't win, Gordon. If you strike me down, I shall become more powerful than you can possibly imagine."
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....TCELES B HSUP
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 12:30:48 PM | message detail
This is usually around the time that the school vote begins kicking in, correct? Because Tingle is holding strong!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/2/2006 12:32:22 PM | message detail
You say that like supporting Tingle is a good thing.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Heroic Mario | Posted 10/2/2006 12:33:44 PM | message detail
Supporting Tingle is one of the best things you can do!!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
FFDragon | Posted 10/2/2006 12:33:57 PM | message detail
Supporting Tingle is a good thing.

I mean... I despise Tingle, but I despise Sora that much more.
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
(Metal Gear Solid 2)
MetaRidleyX | Posted 10/2/2006 12:34:26 PM | message detail
I wonder if Tingle could Soma?
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I am the number 1 Fire Fly fan of board 8.
Kaxon | Posted 10/2/2006 12:49:01 PM | message detail
This is usually around the time that the school vote begins kicking in, correct? Because Tingle is holding strong!

Usually the after school vote comes into effect between 2:30 and 3:00 eastern. It should be in full swing by now, although it's a little bit weird that Sora went up to 77% in the last 15 minutes.
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....TCELES B HSUP
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/2/2006 12:49:29 PM | message detail
3 77+ updates?


I think so. Hello after school vote.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/2/2006 12:49:58 PM | message detail
I wonder who will win the day vote tomorrow. Gordon is absolutely terrible with it, but Phoenix is cult and all, so...
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Character Battle V Score - 20/20 points
Current Prediction - Sora vs. Tingle
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/2/2006 12:50:43 PM | message detail
That last one didn't count.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 1:08:32 PM | message detail
heh, Tingle's actually holding his own here. impressive.
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xyzzy
Incompetence | Posted 10/2/2006 1:12:48 PM | message detail
Tingle's day vote > Yoshi's day vote? O_o
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Proudly voting for Gordon Freeman tomorrow.
R.I.P. Universe.
creativename | Posted 10/2/2006 1:14:34 PM | message detail
I expect Phoenix to do better during the day, only because he looks more cartoony. (better as compared to overnight, certainly his best time should be the start of the match)
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THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 1:18:39 PM | message detail
That larger boost would make much more sense if he were overrated in 2005 and got back up to around those levels in 2006. Doing around a percent better than expected is nothing to get worked up about.

When you get into the mid-60s, a percent means more than it does when you're in the 50s, but the fact that he exceeded it at all (and you're talking about a percent better at a value that you don't think he's at anyway, so it means much more than just that) when few expected him to means something.

There's absolutely nothing conclusive from that match. What a shock!

Yeah, it's not like I was expecting supporters of the overrated theory to concede when something goes above and beyond expectations. THAT would be a shock!!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/2/2006 1:20:00 PM | message detail
Yeah, it's not like I was expecting supporters of the overrated theory to concede when something goes above and beyond expectations. THAT would be a shock!!

lol

V>G 4 LIFE
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/2/2006 1:21:55 PM | message detail
I agree that Phoenix should get a day vote thanks to him being on the DS and whatnot.
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Sora vs. Tingle / Bracket: Sora / Vote: Tingle (19/20)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Gordon / Vote: Gordon
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/2/2006 1:27:54 PM | message detail
If Snake is the same strength from last year, what would Gordon Freeman be projected to get on Soma Cruz?
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/2/2006 1:31:50 PM | message detail
Pretty much a 70% blowout.
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Sora vs. Tingle / Bracket: Sora / Vote: Tingle (19/20)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Gordon / Vote: Gordon
neonreaper | Posted 10/2/2006 1:42:46 PM | message detail
Tingle vs Phoenix Wright - who wins?
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Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter?
Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards.
longbladeofhiko | Posted 10/2/2006 1:43:37 PM | message detail
Tomorrow, Phoenix Wright gets 55% on Gordon!
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
voltch | Posted 10/2/2006 1:44:01 PM | message detail
if freeman loses how many brackets does he take with him/
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/2/2006 1:46:33 PM | message detail
I'd wager Phoenix has less than 35% of the brackets behind him if he wins. I mean, Leon only had 43%. Imagine what Phoenix will have...
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Character Battle V Score - 20/20 points
Current Prediction - Sora vs. Tingle
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 1:46:58 PM | message detail
Tingle scoffs at this dreaded Kingdom Hearts day vote!
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xyzzy
daverath | Posted 10/2/2006 1:49:56 PM | message detail
not mine!
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putting the laughter in manslaughter
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/2/2006 1:51:23 PM | message detail
Sora! Damn you, you need a %rise, NOW!
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XxSoulxX | Posted 10/2/2006 1:52:48 PM | message detail
Come on Tingle! Bring Sora down 1 more percent!
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2006 1:53:53 PM | message detail
lol @ Tingle holding his own during the feared KH after school vote.

I know I predicted Sora to get around 75%, but this still looks pretty embarassing. I hate to draw conclusions from a match like this, but perhaps Riku and Sora will be closer than I originally thought.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sora vs. Tingle - Bracket: Sora - Vote: Sora (19/20)
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 1:56:47 PM | message detail
Tidus got about the same percentage on KOAC. Sora pre-KH2 is projected to get the same percentage on Master Hand.

maybe all joke characters perform about the same? ehh, this match is not worth reading into. at all.
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xyzzy
H__RR____H | Posted 10/2/2006 2:25:12 PM | message detail
Heh...so, what are Link and Zelda supposed to get on Tingle before SFF now?
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/2/2006 2:31:43 PM | message detail
I hate to draw conclusions from a match like this, but perhaps Riku and Sora will be closer than I originally thought.

Depending on where Sora is, Tingle will only be worth 15-16% on BL. Considering that's the range Nidoran F is in, this really isn't that bad for Sora, all things considered. I'd heavily consider taking him over Yoshi at this point.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 2:35:58 PM | message detail
I was thinking about that earlier.. I think I'd take Yoshi.
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xyzzy
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2006 2:39:40 PM | message detail
15-16% actually sounds about right, though I'm expecting Sora to overperform on Mega Man for some reason.

Sora/Yoshi is very close, especially after Riku/Yoshi. I'd probably go with Sora, but I don't see him winning by anymore than 52%.

Hmm, and that in turn makes me feel even better about Dante/Yoshi...
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sora vs. Tingle - Bracket: Sora - Vote: Sora (19/20)
H__RR____H | Posted 10/2/2006 2:42:31 PM | message detail
I would take Sora over Yoshi purely off of instinct.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2006 2:45:20 PM | message detail
that's the exact reason I'd take Yoshi over Sora. I expect it would be an unpopular pick, but it just seems right for some reason.

didn't we debate Luigi / Sora recently on your board? I can't see Yoshi being weaker than Luigi.
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/2/2006 2:48:06 PM | message detail
I'd take Sora over Yoshi because, um, Riku got 45% on him. Yeah, no other real logic there.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Xuxon | Posted 10/2/2006 2:49:12 PM | message detail
I figured Tingle to be at 17% with Sora around 32%, with a bit under a tripling. That's pretty close to what's happening but a bit below, so Tingle is probably a bit weaker than that 17%. But Sora could very well be up in the 33-34 range. I would absolutely take Sora over Yoshi this year, no hesitation. Maybe Luigi as well, who I'm convinced is stronger than Yoshi.
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Take off every sig.