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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 373

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/29/2006 9:31:17 PM | message detail
Use the (KH2) boost to get through!



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt



!yawa tsoP
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:31:29 PM | message detail
In!
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CB5 Points: 17/18, Current Oracle placement: 13/159
Now playing: Okami
Draco1214 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:32:05 PM | message detail
Do what's right. Vote to save the universe.

Vote for Phoenix Wright on Oct. 3rd!
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Character Battle V Score - 18/18 points
Current Prediction - Riku vs. Yoshi
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/29/2006 9:32:05 PM | message detail
Use (Kerrigan) bombing wisely!
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
LeonhartForever | Posted 9/30/2006 9:03:52 AM | message detail
Squall will be boosting right past Snake!
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/30/2006 9:07:14 AM | message detail
Something's wrong with the G-Dorf-Diffuser!

...
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
Super Luigi | Posted 9/30/2006 9:10:28 AM | message detail
Squall wont even boost past 43% on Snake. lolz
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Currently playing : Star Fox Command(DS),Megaman ZX(DS),Mario vs DK 2 :March of the Minis(DS).
transience | Posted 9/30/2006 3:51:38 PM | message detail
I'd pick Yoshi in a rematch. I don't see a reason for a match like that to really change all that much. with DK/Vivi or something similar, at least you can make an argument for a Nintendo boost or whatever.
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xyzzy
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/30/2006 3:54:34 PM | message detail
Squall wont even boost past 43% on Snake. lolz

Sigh, you and your Snake fanboyism.
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Riku vs. Yoshi / Bracket: Yoshi / Vote: Yoshi (17/18)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Dante / Vote: Ryu
transience | Posted 9/30/2006 3:55:49 PM | message detail
Gamefox's ignore option does wonders!
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xyzzy
LeonhartForever | Posted 9/30/2006 3:55:56 PM | message detail
Potential scenarios:

Riku based off of Yoshi's given 2005 value (44.26% as of now) - 25.68% on BL, nearly dead even with Sora's given 2005 value

Riku based off of Yoshi = Luigi - 27.72% on BL, right above Leon Kennedy

Riku based off of Yoshi/Luigi 2004 (34.40% on BL) - 30.45% on BL, in between MC and DK, meaning he beats his former self with 60.28% here. If Sora's boost is proportional to that, he will be worth 36.40% on BL, nearly equal to Bowser. That means he gets 46.91% on Mega Man.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 3:56:53 PM | message detail
The problem with Luigi as compared to Yoshi is that you're giving Luigi a HUGE swing relative to Yoshi based on absolutely nothing...you're not getting a Nintendo-biased influx, you're getting a Luigi biased influx. He's gone from losing in a direct match in 2004 with 54%+ to winning with 53.5%+? It just doesn't make sense.

If anything, I'd believe my iffy theory of Sonic being potentially overrated (which would affect Luigi) before I'd believe that. In that case, Sonic may be in some deep trouble next round.
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Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 9/30/2006 3:57:48 PM | message detail
If he faces Vincent, he might be in trouble.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
transience | Posted 9/30/2006 3:59:29 PM | message detail
I think I like Yoshi = Luigi... but I'm not sure yet. I'm not sure you can assume the two boosts will be the same either because it's just harder to boost when you're stronger.
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xyzzy
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/30/2006 3:59:48 PM | message detail
Riku based off of Yoshi/Luigi 2004 (34.40% on BL) - 30.45% on BL, in between MC and DK, meaning he beats his former self with 60.28% here. If Sora's boost is proportional to that, he will be worth 36.40% on BL, nearly equal to Bowser. That means he gets 46.91% on Mega Man.

I like this one.
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caps
KingBartz | Posted 9/30/2006 3:59:58 PM | message detail
Just got online. Either Riku is much stronger than I thought, or my Dante pick is full of win.
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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 3 days
SC2K6: 17/18 Today's pick: Yoshi
LeonhartForever | Posted 9/30/2006 4:00:14 PM | message detail
I'm not sure I could expect a hefty boost for Riku either myself.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/30/2006 4:01:25 PM | message detail
I've thought Sonic was a bit overrated all along. His match with Mega Man was the first true Icon vs. Icon match we had ever seen (nope, not counting Clinkeroth as a gaming icon). That right there could have been reason enough for something screwy, but I also have a feeling Mega Man will cave against other iconic or super strong competitors. That's why I feel Mario would kick the crap out of him, and it's also why I'd be too scared to take him over Samus.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
LeonhartForever | Posted 9/30/2006 4:02:55 PM | message detail
At the 19:00 mark, this match has 106293 votes. To compare with other matches at the same time:

Tifa/Ivy - 106918
The Boss/Celes - 93140
Aeris/Marle - 97867
Yuna/Roll - 103718

Whoa, I never realized just how much Yuna outdrew Aeris. That's...unusual, though I guess you could chalk it up to SFF.
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Squall Leonhart's Road to the Character Battle V Championship:
Round 1: Status of Tidus - LIONHEART'D
transience | Posted 9/30/2006 4:04:27 PM | message detail
Sonic looked good three times over to me last year. I don't think he overperformed on Mega Man and lowering his number makes Tifa look a lot weaker than I'd like to think she is. the only number that looks out of place to me is Luigi's.
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xyzzy
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/30/2006 4:04:45 PM | message detail
Wow.. only 700 below Tifa/Ivy. Cool.
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Riku vs. Yoshi / Bracket: Yoshi / Vote: Yoshi (17/18)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Dante / Vote: Ryu
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 4:06:56 PM | message detail
Sonic looked kinda bad against Jin (though that's simple expectations), outperformed Ganondorf significantly against Diablo (how impressive this is depends on where you put Ganon), beat down a Tifa who killed Vyse but struggled with Luigi, and then had his glorious MM match.

It'll depend to me...if Vincent and Zero really put the hurting on Ganon and Luigi beyond expectations, it'll get me worried.
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Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:07:58 PM | message detail
Sonic's performance against Diablo looked good enough for me to believe he's fine. If he's overrated, then Ganondorf might not be in that great of shape. In every match, Sonic did as well or better than he was expected to do.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Who Cares? | Posted 9/30/2006 4:08:40 PM | message detail
Whoa, I never realized just how much Yuna outdrew Aeris. That's...unusual, though I guess you could chalk it up to SFF.

...more like loli-bait Roll... <_< >_> *runs*
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara Croft (October 21th) One down, two to go!
*Just 10 days until Tales of the Abyss*
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:11:42 PM | message detail
That makes update win #7 for Riku.
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 4:13:37 PM | message detail
Another Riku/Frog, indeed. A tip of my hat to those that made the parallels. I'm anticipating seeing Sora in action now, he may be able to triple Tingle.
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Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:15:04 PM | message detail
It's a shame that Riku and Auron couldn't have switched places. Would've made two four-packs better, and Snake would've had to deal with KHII-boosted Auron if it came down to it.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/30/2006 4:16:15 PM | message detail
The expectations for Sora/Tingle seem to be all over the place, and rightfully so.

On the one hand, he's from Zelda.
On the other hand, he's Tingle.

WHAT A MATCH.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/30/2006 4:16:35 PM | message detail
you're still looking at a pretty sizable boost. this looks to maybe finish under 55%.

Did I mention the whole 50/50 thing being in 2004? Yoshi was not above or equal to Luigi in 2005, people. This is Riku getting a solid 2.5 - 3% boost from KH2, which is what one should expect from him. Any projections of Yoshi over 60% were just out there.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 4:17:56 PM | message detail
I honestly couldn't see Auron losing this fourpack, especially after KH2...same for Yoshi and that other one. The only real good thing would be seeing post-KH2 Auron against Snake...and going by that, it'd just have been better to switch Tidus with Auron.
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Commit it to memory.
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/30/2006 4:18:04 PM | message detail
Riku switching with Auron would have been awesome!
Riku in the Sweet 16? I think so.
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caps
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:19:06 PM | message detail
I honestly couldn't see Auron losing this fourpack, especially after KH2...same for Yoshi and that other one.

Auron changes with Riku, not Yoshi.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/30/2006 4:19:08 PM | message detail
It's a shame that Riku and Auron couldn't have switched places. Would've made two four-packs better

Dunno about this fourpack, but it would have made the other one light years better. I would have probably taken Riku over Alucard and Chief.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 4:19:29 PM | message detail
Oh, wait, Riku. Not paying attention. Yeah, that's a better fourpack. Don't think Auron really struggles with Yoshi or Dante, though.
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Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:19:51 PM | message detail
Well, at least it could've produced somebody who could be a threat to Solid Snake if Squall doesn't get him first!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
Draco1214 | Posted 9/30/2006 4:20:29 PM | message detail
I would've hesitated to take Riku over the Chief. Mostly because the Chief is a wildcard.

Thankfully, he doesn't get out of Round 2 this year.
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Character Battle V Score - 18/18 points
Current Prediction - Riku vs. Yoshi
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/30/2006 4:20:35 PM | message detail
That's got to be the best bracket suggestion so far. How did Ceej not see this?
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caps
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/30/2006 4:21:13 PM | message detail
The problem with Luigi as compared to Yoshi is that you're giving Luigi a HUGE swing relative to Yoshi based on absolutely nothing...you're not getting a Nintendo-biased influx, you're getting a Luigi biased influx. He's gone from losing in a direct match in 2004 with 54%+ to winning with 53.5%+? It just doesn't make sense.

He's gone from losing a match riddled with SFF with about 46% to being projected to win a match not taking SFF into consideration with 53%. That doesn't mean anything other than -- GASP -- Luigi is indirectly stronger than Yoshi, which could have well be a possible case in 2004, or at least the two being equal with a nod to Yoshi.

Just because Luigi is projected to win a match against Yoshi with 53% doesn't mean he's going to. I would choose Yoshi in another rematch, though not nearly with as much as Yoshi won with last time.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 4:22:46 PM | message detail
Yoshi/Luigi is now riddled with SFF? Uh...
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Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:23:17 PM | message detail
Didn't you hear? Yoshi's the new king of rSFF!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/30/2006 4:23:17 PM | message detail
I remember hoping really hard for a Riku/Chief match before the bracket was announced. Damn, that would have been one sexy upset pick.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/30/2006 4:24:17 PM | message detail
Yoshi/Luigi is now riddled with SFF? Uh...

Oh yeah. Mega Man and Yoshi have tons of SFF, but Luigi and Yoshi? No way! Mega Man rSFF Samus? So possible. Yoshi SFF Luigi a bit? NO WAY!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 4:24:40 PM | message detail
It would make sense that the king of rSFF could only be stopped by THE KING OF SFF!!!
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Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:24:58 PM | message detail
Exactly!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
Draco1214 | Posted 9/30/2006 4:25:17 PM | message detail
Riku/Chief would've been harder for me than most of the bracket busters this contest.
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Character Battle V Score - 18/18 points
Current Prediction - Riku vs. Yoshi
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/30/2006 4:26:18 PM | message detail
It would make sense that the king of rSFF could only be stopped by THE KING OF SFF!!!

And that's why he got beat down hard by Link, the King of SFF!!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/30/2006 4:26:45 PM | message detail
And honestly, switching Mega Man/Axel's position with MC/Subby's would've been good, too.

...And then put Squall in that division somewhere.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 1: 41-15 over Sephiroth
therealmnm | Posted 9/30/2006 4:29:32 PM | message detail
Man, I can't wait to get this round over with so we can get all this crap clarified. I want Yoshi/Dante nao. Who cares about Vincent/Ganon? It's only worth one point...

Oh, and as for Luigi... he just baffles me. By all means he should be the favorite in his fourpack if you knew nothing about these contests. I was one of the ones who thought Luigi would challenge Samus in 2k3. I just can't understand his pathetic contest strength compared to what I think it should be. All this talk about Luigi > Yoshi makes sense, but he still hasn't really done anything to prove it yet.

Every Luigi match, I keep expecting GameFAQs to wake up and say "it's freakin' Luigi!" But it never comes through...
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Vote for Soma Cruz
Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/30/2006 4:30:10 PM | message detail
Who cares about Vincent/Ganon? It's only worth one point...

Pfft! It's worth eight points!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/30/2006 4:30:12 PM | message detail
It's obvious that Luigi and Yoshi share the same fanbase, but SFF implies that we're getting a massive shift toward one or the other...even if we want to suggest that Yoshi was indirectly weaker in that match, it's got to be a helluva lot weaker before I even think of calling that a match riddled with SFF.

Oh, and Link is the poseur of SFF. Mega Man only took a dive in that match to teach HM a lesson!
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Commit it to memory.