GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 372
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:22:01 PM | message detail |
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And I don't understand how "Kairi/Claire was the only debateable match". Or are you people forgetting Boss/Celes? I think people tend to forget debatable matches were debatable when they pick the right character, and the match ended up not being close. There's also kerrigan/terra... --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/29/2006 9:22:32 PM | message detail |
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Boss/Celes wasn't obvious -- my biggest fear was that she wouldn't be
anywhere near where Big Boss was. I'd take him over Terra and Celes in
a heartbeat, but she was the real oddball. --- Commit it to memory. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/29/2006 9:23:02 PM | message detail |
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*points to my previous post* The only reason that match was debated is because way more people have played FF6 than MGS3 on this board. --- Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:23:41 PM | message detail |
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I was one of the people who never got the hype behind Boss/Celes. I thought The Boss was going to win with ease. The debatability of the match came almost entirely from how little we knew about each characters possible strength. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 9/29/2006 9:23:44 PM | message detail |
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Looks like Riku summoned the darkness to the front page to swallow away Yoshi's votes! >_> --- caps |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:24:19 PM | message detail |
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DARKNESS!!!! --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/29/2006 9:25:44 PM | message detail |
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Eh, The Boss/Celes just felt like another Kefka/Tommy V. --- Riku vs. Yoshi / Bracket: Yoshi / Vote: Yoshi (17/18) Tomorrow / Bracket: Dante/ Vote: Ryu |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:26:56 PM | message detail |
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Interesting fact: The actual poll isn't covered in darkness when logged
out. I've also noticed that when using ie, the content of the main page
isn't dark, just the surrounding adspace. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/29/2006 9:27:21 PM | message detail |
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*points to my previous post* That doesn't mean anything concerning The Boss' strength as related to Big Boss...BB would easily beat Terra and Celes, that was obvious to me from the beginning. The only reason that match was debated is because way more people have played FF6 than MGS3 on this board. I think it's because more people have played FF6 than MGS3 on this site. --- Commit it to memory. |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:27:37 PM | message detail |
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However I have no clue what it looks like when logged in on ie, I only took a quick peak. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/29/2006 9:29:03 PM | message detail |
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That doesn't mean anything concerning The Boss' strength as related
to Big Boss...BB would easily beat Terra and Celes, that was obvious to
me from the beginning. The Boss had a very good chance of being stronger than BB, for a number of reasons, the biggest being that the casual MGS fanbase thinks that the main character of MGS3 is Solid Snake. --- Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/29/2006 9:30:10 PM | message detail |
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She had a good chance, of course (and there's no doubt in my mind now
that she is closer to Ocelot than BB). But it wasn't a lock, and if she
was weaker she was in danger of losing. --- Commit it to memory. |
| creativename | Posted 9/29/2006 9:30:55 PM | message detail |
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How in the world can anyone be confident Big Boss would beat Terra? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/29/2006 9:31:20 PM | message detail |
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Score-Brackets-% Right 17-----2763-----79.8045603 16-----6474-----73.7411183 15-----8793-----70.7039691 14-----8350-----68.8143713 13-----6662-----66.8117682 12-----4340-----64.8617512 11-----2495-----62.8456914 10-----1384-----56.9364162 9------660------56.2121212 8------270------53.3333333 7------106------56.6037736 6------43-------60.4651163 5------19-------47.3684211 4------27-------29.6296296 3------40-------27.5000000 2------52-------23.0769231 1------93-------17.2043011 0------75-------12.0000000 Overall prediction percentage: 68.54% Okay performace today. The perfects are a clear cut above the -1s with 6 percentage points better. The 0s also do well only losing 9. 10 people fell off the Top 50. leper73, deathadder79, ss4g0ku, pukerman, KohlrabiGod, fish_gonzo, Medea53, BobTheFishyFish, stayinalive84 and KingofSweden had Tidus taking down Squall. --- I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest. Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest! |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/29/2006 9:31:34 PM | message detail |
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Of course it wasn't a lock. No match is a lock except for 1/8 matches,
and even then Starcraft has proved that that isn't a sure fire thing.
What I'm saying is that Boss was the obvious choice. --- Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/29/2006 9:32:25 PM | message detail |
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How in the world can anyone be confident Big Boss would beat Terra? ...because Ganondorf is underrated... --- Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/29/2006 9:32:46 PM | message detail |
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From MarioSuperstar Posted 9/30/2006 12:21:03 AM Boss/Celes was debatable, but I, myself, found it obvious. And that's exactly how I felt about Kairi/Claire TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/29/2006 9:33:53 PM | message detail |
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Yoshi is kicking some ass! Go Yoshi! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/29/2006 9:34:42 PM | message detail |
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If Riku actually goes even with Yoshi during the day, this'll be Riku/Frog v 2.0 in a hurry. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/29/2006 9:35:50 PM | message detail |
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Ah, I was just reminded of why I love contest times. Someone claiming
that Alucard is in a 'league of his own', Percentage Gain=Comeback,
Kratos>Ryu...I love newbs. --- Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/29/2006 9:35:52 PM | message detail |
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That'll be damn hard for Riku, though. Yoshi is no Frog. Looking at Samus/Sora, it was mostly consistent. I don't expect the day to affect this percentage greatly, though I guess we'll see. --- Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/29/2006 9:35:56 PM | message detail |
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How in the world can anyone be confident Big Boss would beat Terra? I know I would have complete confidence in Big Boss over Terra, especially considering that Ganon was definitely underrated that year. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:36:10 PM | message detail |
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Yoshi just keeps on dropping percentage. I think Riku will at least go even with Yoshi during the day. --- Character Battle V Score - 18/18 points Current Prediction - Riku vs. Yoshi |
| creativename | Posted 9/29/2006 9:36:19 PM | message detail |
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...because Ganondorf is underrated... There's still no way in hell one can say with any confidence that Big Boss would beat Terra. I might be inclined to take him simply because he's a male, but it would be very iffy. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:38:10 PM | message detail |
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By go even, do you mean match him vote for vote? Because I very much doubt that riku is going to manage that. --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/29/2006 9:38:59 PM | message detail |
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If the percentages remain constant we're looking at a ~55/56-44/45
finish. But it's KH. We could easily see Yoshi score something like
53-54%, if not less. Either the board vote favored Yoshi but the bracket vote actually favored Riku, a large KH2 boost is in effect (Kairi backs this up, because no way in hell she beats Claire last year), or Yoshi is just overrated. Dante might actually beat him, depending on how overrated he himself is. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| creativename | Posted 9/29/2006 9:39:03 PM | message detail |
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By 'going even', do people mean Riku will split the vote 50/50 or that
the percentage won't swing during the day? Because I can't see Riku
splitting the vote with Yoshi during the day. I think Yoshi will do
better during the day than he will overnight. Percentage Gain=Comeback No chance of a Riku comeback here, but momentum is often a very important thing in these contests due to voting patterns. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/29/2006 9:39:51 PM | message detail |
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From creativename Posted 9/30/2006 12:39:03 AM #327 By 'going even', do people mean Riku will split the vote 50/50 or that the percentage won't swing during the day? Yeah. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/29/2006 9:40:06 PM | message detail |
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I really think people are overrating just how much favor Riku will get
with the day vote. He may bring down the percentage a bit, but we're
not going to see anything that drastic. This is a Nintendo character he's up against -- they tend to get a very favorable day vote. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:41:48 PM | message detail |
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| Gaddswell | Posted 9/29/2006 9:42:41 PM | message detail |
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Yoshi is no Frog Actually, Yoshi's quite similar to frog. The long tongue for one thing is noticable and they're both green. Anyways, Yoshi just dropped below 57.5%. All those spread betters who picked Yoshi look like they're going to be losing money. Anyone here think that Yoshi can return to 58% or will Riku continue to chip away at the percentage points? --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn Vote Right! Phoenix Wright! |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:42:56 PM | message detail |
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This is a Nintendo character he's up against -- they tend to get a very favorable day vote. Look at what Sora did to Samus. The percentage barely moved during the day. --- Character Battle V Score - 18/18 points Current Prediction - Riku vs. Yoshi |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 9/29/2006 9:43:19 PM | message detail |
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Riku/Frog never happened, and this is Riku's first appearance, getting 42.5% on Yoshi: Everyone: "OMG, WHOA!" --- The real scenario: Everyone: "Gee wiz, Riku isn't winning, what a flop." --- caps |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:43:59 PM | message detail |
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Look at what Sora did to Samus. The percentage barely moved during the day. Err... wouldn't that add credence to the argument that riku won't be able to do much during the day to yoshi? --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:44:04 PM | message detail |
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I think Yoshi will pick it up during the day and probably end up close to 60% by the end. --- CB5 Points: 17/18, Current Oracle placement: 13/159 Now playing: Okami |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:44:26 PM | message detail |
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I think Riku is benefiting from a nice KHII boost and that Yoshi is
doing a fine job here. Of course, it'll be very hard to see this in the
first round, especially with the KH characters themselves. Yoshi was
behind SFF last year, Sora is up against a complete wild card (think
Nidoran F x5), and Kairi and Axel are both new. The best read will
probably come from Auron. --- The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD Coming October 3, 2006 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:45:04 PM | message detail |
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Err... wouldn't that add credence to the argument that riku won't be able to do much during the day to yoshi? I'm not expecting Riku to outright win the day vote, but I'm expecting Yoshi to remain stable throughout the day. --- Character Battle V Score - 18/18 points Current Prediction - Riku vs. Yoshi |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/29/2006 9:45:16 PM | message detail |
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Yoshi looks impressive against Riku: "OMG what happened to that KH2 boost fellas???" Riku looks impressive against Yoshi: "OMG Yoshi is so overrated LOL" Even where Yoshi is based on Laharl from last year, this is still better than Riku was expected to do. I consider that Yoshi's absolute floor. --- Commit it to memory. |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 9/29/2006 9:46:06 PM | message detail |
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I'm not expecting Riku to outright win the day vote, but I'm expecting Yoshi to remain stable throughout the day. Oh, I thought you were arguing that riku would either match yoshivote for vote during the day, or that he would knock off a huge percentage. My bad. >_> --- When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory! |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/29/2006 9:47:01 PM | message detail |
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Bowser 2005 scores 55.21% on Dante 2005. Bowser scored 43.67% on Yoshi in 2003. Sure Dante may be overrated in 2005, but Bowser probably was overrated as well. Yoshi is relying on NintendoFAQs factor (and Dante could seriously get burned by that), Dante being overrated and getting SFFd by Bowser to win, more or less. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:47:12 PM | message detail |
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And it looks like it's stabilizing around the 57% range. This is a good
performance by Riku, but it doesn't tell us much about where Yoshi
stands. --- Character Battle V Score - 18/18 points Current Prediction - Riku vs. Yoshi |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:47:16 PM | message detail |
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Truth to be told, I think Yoshi has a slightly better day vote than Samus. If anyone cared... --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/29/2006 9:48:31 PM | message detail |
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Heh, that's right. What I think IS the truth! --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/29/2006 9:49:02 PM | message detail |
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Bowser scored 43.67% on Yoshi in 2003. Uh.... --- Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/29/2006 9:49:42 PM | message detail |
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Oh you know what I meant, jeez. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/29/2006 9:51:20 PM | message detail |
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Heh. Personally, I picked Yoshi, my reasoning being that I think both Bowser and Dante are overrated in the 2005 stats, and that Yoshi is underrated due to Mega Man's SFF but the main reason that I picked Yoshi is that I couldn't give to ****s about my bracket and thought it would be funny if Yoshi won. --- Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/29/2006 9:52:12 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Bowser's proportion with Yoshi suggests that Dante has the
advantage, while Yoshi's proportion with Luigi suggests that Yoshi has
the advantage. However, Yoshi's match is more recent, and I also cut
some slack on Bowser's end because it's just that much harder to
increase in strength when you're that much stronger. A character that
can go 50/50 with Snake is pretty damn strong. --- Commit it to memory. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/29/2006 10:02:13 PM | message detail |
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Strong enough to get beat 70/30 by Samus! --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/29/2006 10:02:55 PM | message detail |
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Yoshi is doing fine, as long as he doesn't drop like a rock during the day. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| MarkSmith | Posted 9/29/2006 10:04:17 PM | message detail |
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Yoshi's already a bit under his projection and the day vote hasnt hit
yet. I think he may be a wee bit overrated, and such a fact makes me
even more confident in Zero>Luigi. --- PROUDEST MEMBER OF THE FIGHTIN' TEXAS AGGIE CLASS OF 2010 Next game: ARMY (2-0) |