GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 368
| Yesmar | Posted 9/22/2006 10:50:45 PM | message detail |
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And also, I refuse to say that the biggest flop in contest history is a lock to beat anything. Gordon Freeman is not a flop. He flopped in one match (Tina), MASSIVELY overperformed in two others (Leon and Max) and performed up to par in one. (Sam) --- Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:51:07 PM | message detail |
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The fad exists for a reason. The fact of the matter is Gordon has lost
to opponents he has no business losing to. Every year he gets put up
against generic nobodies and every year he always loses. Why would this
year be any different? --- Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 10:52:33 PM | message detail |
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Does your opinion on this match really change that much if, say, Gordon Freeman beat Tina in 2002 and lost every other match up to this point? --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:53:01 PM | message detail |
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I didn't know Leon Kennedy was a generic nobody... --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:53:35 PM | message detail |
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Leon is really the only exception. He's pretty much the only one I can't explain. --- Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:54:52 PM | message detail |
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Does your opinion on this match really change that much if, say,
Gordon Freeman beat Tina in 2002 and lost every other match up to this
point? Even if he had beaten Tina, almost of all of his contest performances have him well below the fodder line. Hell, even if you take his performance with Leon at face value, he's still at the fodder line. --- Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:56:44 PM | message detail |
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If this was pre HL2, you might have a point, but Leon Kennedy is not a
generic nobody, and yet he still performed decently on him. Whereas the only thing that's going to keep Phoenix from ranking above the likes of Manny Calavera and Guybrush is that Objection fad, and the fact that a small percentage of DS owners may have heard of him. --- RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 10:58:30 PM | message detail |
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Leon is really the only exception. He's pretty much the only one I can't explain. Half-Life 2. Even if he had beaten Tina, almost of all of his contest performances have him well below the fodder line. Hell, even if you take his performance with Leon at face value, he's still at the fodder line. And that's well above what Phoenix Wright has the potential to be at. Phoenix is absolute fodder. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 11:02:18 PM | message detail |
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Upon further investigation of just how often he is called out by name in Half-Life 2, I came up with this... He is called "Gordon Freeman" 16 times. He is called "Dr. Freeman" 25 times. He is called "Mr. Freeman" 2 times. In comparison to Half-Life... He is called "Gordon Freeman" 2 times. He is called "Mr. Freeman" 10 times. I have not actually played much of Half-Life 2, but given how much more he is referred to by name, along with the fact that he has gotten in the spotlight yet again thanks to the critics loving HL2, should explain his boost just fine. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 11:02:29 PM | message detail |
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I don't think Phoenix is going to be Manny-level fodder. But we'll just
have to see what happens. I still say Phoenix is being underestimated
in here. --- Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle |
| ps2rulezzz | Posted 9/22/2006 11:05:52 PM | message detail |
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This match is the VJ-Tails of last year. Just like back then everyone
rooted for the new guy, who was supposed to be strong. Then Tails won
and this time GF will win. How many people do you really think have
played the phoenix game. --- 190/192 points in sc2004, winner team oracle challenge Z1mzum owned me this spring |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 11:07:21 PM | message detail |
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Eh, I guess one point off won't really kill my bracket, I suppose... --- Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle |
| transience | Posted 9/22/2006 11:07:37 PM | message detail |
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I love Phoenix Wright. really, I do. it just... for Phoenix to win,
he'd have to show me he's got some strength and it's tough to believe.
you have to believe GF will completely flop - something that doesn't
make a lot of sense unless you listen to GFNW GFNW every day for months
and months and months. I found this whilst browsing wikifaqs yesterday, an interview with Darth Maul the moderator: 53. Will Phoenix Wright defeat Gordon Freeman in the Character Battle or will the Internet itself implode? 1. I don't know who Phoenix Wright is. 2. Gordon Freeman is the main character in the Half-Life series, right? 3. I don't care. doesn't mean a thing, I just found it interesting how he knew who Freeman was and hadn't even heard of Phoenix Wright. a guy who spends a lot of his time on GameFAQs. --- iddqd "MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2006 11:07:55 PM | message detail |
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Who thinks Phoenix will be strong? Gordon's the decisive favorite, even here, where his losses are a fad. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| transience | Posted 9/22/2006 11:10:11 PM | message detail |
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and I will agree that some of the GF supporters have been arrogant and
flaunting their pick, and I've got no problem with anyone who picks
Wright. he's got a chance, I believe. it's just that statistically,
it's tough to ignore how far Gordon is ahead of even the best PW
estimation. real quick: would you expect Phoenix Wright to get 40% on Leon Kennedy? ...30%? --- iddqd "MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2006 11:12:48 PM | message detail |
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From Redtooth Posted 9/22/2006 6:23:18 PM #009 DotA> the character contest Ulti, name and server? =D FUNNY WE SHOULD MEET TODAY. God that game was a blast. We went from me feeding them to us almost losing to us winning even with them at higher levels. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2006 11:13:55 PM | message detail |
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I'm not even sure Phoenix could get 20%. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/22/2006 11:14:26 PM | message detail |
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Upon further investigation of just how often he is called out by name in Half-Life 2, I came up with this... He is called "Gordon Freeman" 16 times. He is called "Dr. Freeman" 25 times. He is called "Mr. Freeman" 2 times. In comparison to Half-Life... He is called "Gordon Freeman" 2 times. He is called "Mr. Freeman" 10 times. This might be the best set of figures ever posted in a Stats Topic. --- The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD Coming October 3, 2006 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 11:28:39 PM | message detail |
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Meh, I've pretty much just thrown away a point on this. I know it won't
finish my bracket off at least, so whatever, it's all good. <_< --- Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle |
| frisqo | Posted 9/22/2006 11:29:10 PM | message detail |
| Who's Pheonix Wright and what does Objection mean? |
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/22/2006 11:33:46 PM | message detail |
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Score-Brackets-% Right 10-----5069-----83.9218781 9------11982----77.4912369 8------12870----70.5594406 7------7661-----64.7435061 6------3349-----59.7491789 5------1064-----54.5112782 4------283------49.8233216 3------86-------40.6976744 2------77-------27.2727273 1------103------10.6796117 0------102------6.8627451 Overall prediction percentage: 71.23% The top tiers are really starting to differentiate themselves from the lower tiers. The perfects do more than 6 percentage points better than the -1s and manage to break 80. 9 people fell off the Top 50. fallenroseangel, gonfre, Mr_Jin, PaGz_GF, day25366, Seihyouken, TheStrongSide, indoprince1800, capnobvious all had Amy over KOS-MOS. --- I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest. Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest! |
| voltch | Posted 9/22/2006 11:38:32 PM | message detail |
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if phoenix is stronger than sam fischer then freeman will find it tough to implode the universe. --- Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2006 11:39:14 PM | message detail |
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If. And I'd take Freeman in a rematch with any of his first three opponents. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Redtooth | Posted 9/22/2006 11:51:37 PM | message detail |
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FUNNY WE SHOULD MEET TODAY. God that game was a blast. We went from me feeding them to us almost losing to us winning even with them at higher levels. Yea, I really wasn't expecting to find you so quickly... and the game was actually balanced, which rocked. That kind of game is like 1 in 10 nowadays. That, and you rarely find people who aren't total jerks, which was a huge bonus. --- Z1mZum>Redtooth Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7 |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/23/2006 12:57:49 AM | message detail |
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This ain't just FF7/CT though -- I would think more FF7 fans care about
Aeris than CT fans care about Marle as well, and then factor in that
Aeris has also been seen with small roles in both console-KH's (and
maybe KH:CoM?) and FF:AC. With all that in mind, one would think Aeris
could do a bit more than this. There's no doubt in my mind Aeris will
finish higher than what she's got right now though, so I'll reserve
final judgment for now... ...for what it's worth though, assuming the match stays contstant (30.7% for Marle), Aeris 2k3 = 2k5, and Liquid didn't get SFF'd by Sephiroth -- all that says that Lavos would get 45.61% on Marle. Aeris will probably be stronger now than 2k3 (and certainly has better seeding than ever before, heh), but Liquid likely was SFF'd by Sephiroth some...so maybe it won't be too bad of a comparison. As long as Marle remains above Lavos, I feel fairly content with not calling for much/any SFF...but let's see what the rest of the match does -- many of us remember CT/FF7's early hours..... --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/23/2006 2:16:30 AM | message detail |
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I think Aeris might end up with 71% here. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2100 Marle > Frog, Aeris > Samus. Oh yeah! --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| transience | Posted 9/23/2006 2:25:28 AM | message detail |
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those early hours are happening and happening fast. Aeris is looking to rip through 70% before the sun comes up. --- iddqd "MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 9/23/2006 3:42:57 AM | message detail |
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when she destroys her. No. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz Hi-ho, Hi-ho, Z1m Zum, Z1m Zum...our guru champ. |
| longbladeofhiko | Posted 9/23/2006 6:47:48 AM | message detail |
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Why must Marle be jobbin so hard? Come on girl, represent the best game ever ho! --- WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you? |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/23/2006 7:08:28 AM | message detail |
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Just for fun, how high in the x-stats is Aeris if Marle is as strong as Lavos? --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/23/2006 7:56:06 AM | message detail |
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Samus would be expected to win 62/38 (assuming the match ends with 71/29) Samus (2005c) VS Zelda (2005c) Samus has a strength of 41.69. Zelda has a strength of 33.71. Samus wins with 59.57% of the vote! A win of 18,870 with 98,582 total votes cast. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/23/2006 7:57:36 AM | message detail |
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The more I think about it, the more unlikely it seems Phoenix will win his match. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Tediz247 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:22:57 AM | message detail |
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Wow, Aeris is doing a lot worse than I expected. If there is any SFF involved, she stands no chance against Zelda. --- That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end. ZSB [aX] |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:30:20 AM | message detail |
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At least we are on pace for 116k, better than the last two days. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:31:52 AM | message detail |
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Hell, look at this match. Feelin' better about picking Kosy over her every day. Aeris is so screwed. --- He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:35:54 AM | message detail |
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...how high in the x-stats is Aeris if Marle is as strong as Lavos? Assuming Aeris ends at 71% and Lavos' x-stat is accurate, Aeris is at 31.69% on BL. However, I think Lavos there is underrated, since Lavos did only 5.5% worse against Liquid Snake than Frog, which would bring Aeris up to more like 37% on BL after making the adjustments. I think Marle is a bit weaker than Lavos, though. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 9/23/2006 8:37:02 AM | message detail |
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Marle is not weaker than Lavos!! I played Chrono Trigger for 40 hours, and I still didn't know Lavos until the board told me where he was from. --- caps |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:37:12 AM | message detail |
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Today's match is comparable to....Sephiroth vs. Vivi. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| Jen141 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:37:39 AM | message detail |
| i thought sephiroth won that one |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/23/2006 8:38:36 AM | message detail |
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Samus would be expected to win 62/38 (assuming the match ends with 71/29) And Marle has to be stronger than Lavos. Personaly I think Marle is closer to Frog's strenght than Lavos. Zelda is so screwed Unless Vincent totally bombs against Ganon and shows that FFVII actually CAN SFF Chrono Trigger. --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 9/23/2006 8:39:29 AM | message detail |
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Yeah, I'd presume Marle to be stronger than Lavos. Not by a huge amount, but I'd wager she puts 55+% on him without SFF. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz Hi-ho, Hi-ho, Z1m Zum, Z1m Zum...our guru champ. |
| Who Cares? | Posted 9/23/2006 8:39:36 AM | message detail |
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...wait, wait, people were expecting Aeris to come close to 80% o_0 --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th) *Just 17 days until Tales of the Abyss* |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:41:40 AM | message detail |
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If Marle is closer to Frog than to Lavos and there's no SFF today (bar
an LSnake drop between SC2K4 and Sp2K5), Zelda -is- screwed...=p --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/23/2006 8:41:44 AM | message detail |
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My oracle was 72% The basis for that was Aeris scoring 66% on Sora. Although I thought I undershot by alot. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/23/2006 8:42:06 AM | message detail |
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^Yup. People seems to forget that Marle is from a game that defeat 3 Mario games and only the BIG Final Fantasy and Zelda title could get a higher place than it in the top 10 contest. --- Supporter of Alucard. |
| Who Cares? | Posted 9/23/2006 8:45:36 AM | message detail |
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I personally though Marle could grab 30% for that very reason! CT/FF7
& Crono/Vincent pretty much told me the SFF wouldn't be that bad! --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th) *Just 17 days until Tales of the Abyss* |
| therealmnm | Posted 9/23/2006 8:46:14 AM | message detail |
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And again, we're assuming that Chrono Trigger/FFVII SFF is minimal,
even though we know that there are TONS of people who like both. I
think it's kinda absurd to think that the two biggest RPGs on this site
don't share a fanbase. Of course, some Chrono Trigger entities have
shown that FFVII stuff isn't unproportionally preferred, but that
doesn't mean that it holds true for EVERY match involving FFVII/CT. I'm
not saying that Marle is necessarily getting SFF'd here, but I'm not
automatically ruling it out because she got 30% on Aeris. --- Vote for Soma Cruz Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/23/2006 8:46:55 AM | message detail |
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I had Aeris breaking 70% and I have Aeris > Zelda. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/23/2006 8:50:13 AM | message detail |
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It'd be awesome if Marle was rSFFing Aeris. ¬_¬ Then Aeris could totally beat Zelda. ¬_¬ --- Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots! |
| Who Cares? | Posted 9/23/2006 9:00:52 AM | message detail |
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Votals at the halfway mark: Tifa/Ivy -- 64797 [1st] Aeris/Marle -- 59514 The Boss/Celes -- 56916 [6th] Zelda/Carmen -- 54184 [2nd] Samus/Nidoran F -- 52372 [3rd] Hmm, was expecting this one to be the new top vote getter, but I guess we'll have to wait til we get to the male side for that! --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th) *Just 17 days until Tales of the Abyss* |