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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 368

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2006 9:31:34 AM | message detail
We're sitting here in Ventril, playing some DotA...

Yeah I probably spelled that wrong.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

Demented Cartoon Movie:
http://www.albinoblacksheep.com/flash/demented.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html


!yawa tsoP
RockMFR 5 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:32:46 AM | message detail
GFNW
---
HEATED DISCUSSIONS WITH OTHER HARD CORE GAMERS o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
KingBartz | Posted 9/22/2006 9:32:49 AM | message detail
FIRST!
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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 11 days
SC2K6: 9/10 Today's pick: KOS-MOS
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/22/2006 9:33:41 AM | message detail
MORE LIKE NO!
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
Hi-ho, Hi-ho, Z1m Zum, Z1m Zum...our guru champ.
KingBartz | Posted 9/22/2006 9:34:17 AM | message detail
dammit.


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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 11 days
SC2K6: 9/10 Today's pick: KOS-MOS
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2006 9:43:25 AM | message detail
lol amy

lol female side of the bracket

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
KingBartz | Posted 9/22/2006 9:44:48 AM | message detail
oh, and Cortana is so screwed.
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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 11 days
SC2K6: 9/10 Today's pick: KOS-MOS
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 3:18:32 PM | message detail
Only five more days 'til we get to the good stuff!
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"...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow
Redtooth | Posted 9/22/2006 3:23:18 PM | message detail
DotA> the character contest

Ulti, name and server? =D

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
H__RR____H | Posted 9/22/2006 3:28:08 PM | message detail
Knuckles > Magus
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 9:28:47 PM | message detail
!!

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Haste_2 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:28:51 PM | message detail
Go, Marle! Rip into that percentage, for CT justice!

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2006 9:29:35 PM | message detail
From Redtooth Posted 9/22/2006 6:23:18 PM #009
DotA> the character contest

Ulti, name and server? =D


Ultimaterializr, Azeroth.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:29:46 PM | message detail
I hope this speaks more of Marle's strength than Aeris's weakness.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2006 9:30:04 PM | message detail
One of these days I've gotta try and get back into DotA. Assuming the DotA people will let me download the damn new version >_<

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
cyko | Posted 9/22/2006 9:30:19 PM | message detail
WTF @ Lucid's 500 post.....

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
Who Cares? | Posted 9/22/2006 9:31:18 PM | message detail
Not suprised that Marle's breaking 30% here. Coming from someone who's never played CT, one thing I've noticed about the game is that it has it's own separate fanbase. The fact that held a lead over FF7 during the first hour of it's match told me the SFF would be nowhere near as sereve as Daisy or Nidoran F.
---
Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th)
*Just 17 days until Tales of the Abyss*
Haste_2 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:31:24 PM | message detail
Well, I'm convinced that Marle is evading SFF...not that it speaks volumes for Aeris' strength regardless.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/22/2006 9:32:09 PM | message detail
*Ventrilo, by the way. Horrible freaking thing.
--- -
"ertyu is actually a language. For example, 'dum' is ertyunese for 'godly'." - Topaz Kitsune
RIP Eddie Guerrero. 1967-2005. Deputy Chief!
charmander6000 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:32:11 PM | message detail
char, way to COMPLETELY **** the format up. I knew there was a reason I was doing these stats each night.

But that was the format during the early contests (though instead of saying round 1 they just did (i)). So how is it done now?

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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/22/2006 9:32:34 PM | message detail
Marle always did have a high evade stat!

Also, this match is already ahead of Tifa/Ivy in votals!
---
caps
KingBartz | Posted 9/22/2006 9:33:09 PM | message detail
My oracle pick is so screwed!
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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 10 days
SC2K6: 10/11 Today's pick: Aeris Gainsborough
Aprosenf | Posted 9/22/2006 9:33:14 PM | message detail
And Ulti, how did I answer my own question? If it looks the same, how is that ****ing it up?
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/22/2006 9:33:57 PM | message detail
Assuming Aeris brings this up a bit in the day, I'm feeling quite good on my Oracle and Crew picks.
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Commit it to memory.
cyko | Posted 9/22/2006 9:34:09 PM | message detail
and for the record, i agree that we have no idea exactly where Marle or Carmen Sandiego stand, so it is kinda pointless to speculate who will win between Aeris and Zelda at this point. not that pointing that out will stop anyone, but i still felt the need to say that anyways.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
LusterSoldier | Posted 9/22/2006 9:34:21 PM | message detail
Well, I'm convinced that Marle is evading SFF...not that it speaks volumes for Aeris' strength regardless.

Another case of rSFF, I believe.
---
Luster Soldier - Pwned by Repus_Yortsed
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30445079
Redtooth | Posted 9/22/2006 9:34:41 PM | message detail
Redtooth on Azeroth here.


We should play, I'm not too bad. And there's less chance that you'd leave like half the lamers that usually leave just to annoy >_<

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
TheCruelAngel | Posted 9/22/2006 9:35:00 PM | message detail
By god, Ulti! DoTA is the single worst custom game ever. ;)
---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
KingBartz | Posted 9/22/2006 9:35:17 PM | message detail
Looks like this will be another snoozer. I'm off to bed and away for the weekend.
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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 10 days
SC2K6: 10/11 Today's pick: Aeris Gainsborough
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:35:20 PM | message detail
Vi sitter här i venten och spelar lite DOTA
å pushar på å smeker,
med motståndet vi leker
Vi sitter här i venten och spelar lite DOTA
å springer runt å creepar,
och motståndet vi sleepar
---
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/contest_nominate.php
Please nominate K. K. Slider (Animal Crossing) (Male) and Kazooie (Banjo-Kazooie) (Female)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2006 9:35:35 PM | message detail
From AmazingKirby Posted 9/23/2006 12:32:34 AM
Marle always did have a high evade stat!

Also, this match is already ahead of Tifa/Ivy in votals!


Nowhere near as high as Ayla's.

AYLA FOR 2k7!!!

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/22/2006 9:35:51 PM | message detail
CT rSFFing FF7? I could sort of see the argument there for Vincent/Crono. But there's no way that Marle gets any kind of rSFF, I have a hard time seeing her SFF anyone from her own series.
---
Commit it to memory.
Lucid Faia | Posted 9/22/2006 9:36:06 PM | message detail
WTF @ Lucid's 500 post.....

This alone made that post worth it.

---
2nd Place, Spring Contest 2005
Elite Gamer (see quote).
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2006 9:37:22 PM | message detail
From Redtooth Posted 9/23/2006 12:34:41 AM
Redtooth on Azeroth here.


We should play, I'm not too bad. And there's less chance that you'd leave like half the lamers that usually leave just to annoy >_<


Having a large community is a double edged sword.

On the one hand, private clan dota games are easy to get, but on the other, as soon as someone falls behind, they leave because it's "a waste of time" to finish the match.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Haste_2 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:38:26 PM | message detail
CT rSFFing FF7? I could sort of see the argument there for Vincent/Crono. But there's no way that Marle gets any kind of rSFF, I have a hard time seeing her SFF anyone from her own series.

Erm...that would mean Crono OVERperformed against Vincent, not underperformed. :p Not that I believe that for a second. And, I really do think this is Marle's legit strength rather than rSFF...close to the fodder line and aways below Frog sounds right.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2006 9:38:38 PM | message detail
I'll repeat it again: CT being invulnerable to FF7 SFF = Mario is so screwed!

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/22/2006 9:41:31 PM | message detail
Meh, I never bought Cloud/Sephy SFFing Crono significantly (after all, they get their strength from the PS1/PS2 while Crono gets his from the SNES/PC), but that doesn't mean Crono is going to outlast Mario...Mario is a good deal stronger now, and I think that we're past the era of 2k2 he'll hold up surprisingly well in the Royale. If I had any faith in Cloud SFFing Sephy I'd have taken him to get third.
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Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 9:47:16 PM | message detail
Obligatory Phoenix > Gordon, Vincent > Ganon, Zero > Luigi tag (TM).
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Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points
Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 9/22/2006 9:58:10 PM | message detail
Going by the 2k3 stats, and assuming Aeris brings this back to 71% (at least, I expect more, it's a CT character afterall), that puts Marle equal to Vyse-2k3 which seems perfectly reasonable. Aeris/Zelda is still a toss-up, and I expect it to stay that way with Twilight Princess coming out after their match.

This result is only surprising if you were expecting a large amount of SFF.
LusterSoldier | Posted 9/22/2006 9:59:17 PM | message detail
Obligatory Phoenix > Gordon, Vincent > Ganon, Zero > Luigi tag (TM).

I agree with Phoenix > Gordon but not Vincent > Ganon and Zero > Luigi.
---
Luster Soldier - Pwned by Repus_Yortsed
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30445079
CountCrazy007 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:00:56 PM | message detail
GF > PW for me. And Ganon > Vincent and Zero's kicking some ass in his division. Minus the final tournament thing which I didn't think through, having Zero go as far as I do could seriously screw me over.
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4th Place of the Fall 2005 10-Year Anniversary Contest
LusterSoldier | Posted 9/22/2006 10:03:25 PM | message detail
GFNW will still hold true for this contest too.
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Luster Soldier - Pwned by Repus_Yortsed
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30445079
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2006 10:03:34 PM | message detail
Zero takes his fourpack, but no way he wins the division.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:11:46 PM | message detail
All this casual support for Lara Croft makes me wonder just how catastrophic Chun-Li's prediction percentage will be when she destroys her. Hell, it might even affect Yuna's bracket support at getting out of her division.
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Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points
Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle
transience | Posted 9/22/2006 10:23:57 PM | message detail
as I said earlier, Marle beats Kairi.

this isn't SFF to me, this is natural strength, maybe 1-2% of SFF max. just like CT/FF7.

Marle isn't as hated as you guys make her out to be and she is kinda from the third most popular game on this site. I figure the fodder line is a good place for her, maybe a point or two higher. I think most CT characters would be right around there. there shouldn't be any Aeris is so screwed comments here.

also, this is the brutal FF7 antivote vs. the dominating CT night vote. remember FF7/CT? now I don't think there'll be nearly as much of a swing, but this should go up pretty nicely once the day vote hits.

*looks again*

jesus christ she's ripping percentage off Aeris
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
Big Bob | Posted 9/22/2006 10:24:41 PM | message detail
I am so screwed.
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*in mourning*
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/22/2006 10:40:13 PM | message detail
Phoenix > Gordon is this contest's Kerrigan > Vincent. Seriously, many characters would stand a chance at beating Gordon...but Phoenix Wright? Come on now.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:41:28 PM | message detail
Unlike Kerrigan, Phoenix doesn't need to be particularly strong to beat Gordon Freeman...
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Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points
Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle
Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 10:43:15 PM | message detail
And also, I refuse to say that the biggest flop in contest history is a lock to beat anything.
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Character Battle V Score - 11/11 points
Current Prediction - Aeris Gainsborough vs. Marle
transience | Posted 9/22/2006 10:49:07 PM | message detail
it's thinking like that that gets you in trouble. to me, GF is no more a flop than Kerrigan or Terra or anyone else. why would anyone expect him to have any strength? GF is only labelled like that because of the fad behind him.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage