GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 367
Xuxon | Posted 9/22/2006 11:05:54 AM | message detail |
The afterschool vote hasn't been having much effect lately. I'm
thinking it will show itself again this match, but even then, winning
an update might be a bit of a stretch. I'm going to say no. --- Take off every sig. |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 11:10:25 AM | message detail |
Also, I find it sad that Zelda got more votes on her own than
Terra/Kerrigan did overall. That's a sign that next round will be ugly
for Terra. Zelda with 80%!! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
ShadowOwns | Posted 9/22/2006 12:51:48 PM | message detail |
That wouldn't surprise me at all if zelda got 80%+ on terra >.< --- 13 days!Can't wait for the raising of the western conference champs banner. Lovin Oil Country. |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/22/2006 1:07:31 PM | message detail |
For what it's worth, if Terra gets 19.99%, Kerrigan still gets 57.87% on Carmen Sandiego. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:08:22 PM | message detail |
Does anybody think it's possible Aeris/Marle ends up worse than Zelda/Carmen? Peach/Daisy? Samus/Nidoran F? Ehh, I don't think Aeris is going to break 80% next round. I mean, even Lavos is expected to get 28% on her based on the Villains Contest. Sure, I know that's tentative ground, but he did get 45% against a character who's been in a Summer Contest before in Liquid Snake. I can't imagine Marle being that far off from Lavos. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/22/2006 1:10:00 PM | message detail |
Also, according to the unadjusted stats last year, Terra should get
27.68% on Zelda. While Zelda will probably be stronger than last year
and the Devil Division could be over-rated (I think so, at least),
getting 80+% is a big stretch to make. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:11:21 PM | message detail |
As of right now, Zelda is projected to get 72.34% on Terra based on last year's stats. If she can pull the tripling, she's getting into Solid Snake territory, as he'd be expected to get 74.78% on her. Either that, or she's overrated, one of the two. Zelda pulling a quadrupling would put her over everyone except Clinkeroth, unless Terra is overrated by a lot, so...don't expect that much, heh. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
Garsha_III | Posted 9/22/2006 1:21:51 PM | message detail |
Which ones? I don't remember her at all in any sonic games I've played. >_> Believe it or not, but Amy actually came before Knuckles. --- George Harrison > Flonne |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:24:16 PM | message detail |
...Amy actually came before Tails, as Sonic CD was produced before Sonic 2. I think that's right anyway. They were released fairly close to one another. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
Master Moltar | Posted 9/22/2006 1:24:52 PM | message detail |
Ahh, this is good to see, Amy getting rocked. And I didn't realize Terra is expected to get 27% on Zelda '05. Probably will end around a tripling then, since it's looking like Terra is constant and Zelda is stronger. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. KOS-MOS vs. Amy - Bracket: KOS-MOS - Vote: KOS-MOS (9/10) |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/22/2006 1:33:21 PM | message detail |
Yeah, Terra looks pretty constant, but we don't really know where her
constant value is at for sure. I'll take Zelda to get 76% or 77%, but
much more than that and **** gets scary. If Terra needs no adjusting
and Zelda gets 80%, she's beating last year's Mario... ...I, for one, am not wagering on that. --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:33:48 PM | message detail |
Huzzah! Looks like Amy will avoid the doubling! Moral victory! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:34:34 PM | message detail |
Meh, I'm not taking Zelda to quite pull off the tripling, though 74% isn't out of the question. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/22/2006 1:35:02 PM | message detail |
Huzzah, she's still well-below Dr. Robotnik! Moral justice! =P --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:36:43 PM | message detail |
It's not like I was expecting anything else. I'll take Amy to avoid getting doubled and be satisfied, thank you very much. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
Master Moltar | Posted 9/22/2006 1:41:09 PM | message detail |
Pfft, I wouldn't consider that a moral victory. Only a few people had her getting doubled. So no victory for you! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. KOS-MOS vs. Amy - Bracket: KOS-MOS - Vote: KOS-MOS (9/10) |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:50:09 PM | message detail |
It's not my fault people are stupid! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 1:53:55 PM | message detail |
I'm extremely confident in Zelda at least
pulling off a tripling. Terra being lower than the stats indicate is
what I'm personally expecting, plus I think Zelda has got a nice boost
since the last contest. Not insane amounts, mind you, but a nice noticeable one. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 1:54:34 PM | message detail |
Seeing Amy get beat down so bad by KOS-MOS makes me extremely happy at least! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 9/22/2006 1:55:51 PM | message detail |
Well, Amy has been pulling in as high as 44% of the vote in the last year. At least, it's something. >_< --- My World is still Smurf! |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 1:57:26 PM | message detail |
And, man, the Zelda series has Final Fantasy's number. It beat Final Fantasy last contest, Link is always beating Cloud, Zelda has three
Final Fantasy characters lined up, Ganon beat two Final Fantasy
characters last contest and is looking to take care of another this
one, Ganon puts up a really good performance on Sephiroth, and Link's
taking out FF's top two in the Battle Royale. Domination!! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 1:57:45 PM | message detail |
Terra being lower than the stats indicate is what I'm personally expecting You used to be cool, HM. You used to be cool. The Devil Division ain't overrated, folks (well, not the whole thing anyway. Knuckles is really the only one that sticks out, so it could just be him. However, you can't lower Magus too much without dropping him below Tidus either, so...)! Wait and see. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2006 1:58:00 PM | message detail |
That's kind of what I thought she would do from the beginning. I didn't
think Sonic hated her to the point of KOS threatening a doubling. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 1:58:50 PM | message detail |
Dante's 5% boost sticks out like a sore thumb to me. I don't buy DMC3 helping him out that much when it didn't even sell well until that Special Edition rolled around. It was worth something, but not 5%. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 2:01:36 PM | message detail |
Sure, if his number was just based on Terra or something, I'd agree.
But he got 46% on Vincent, who got 45% on Crono. I personally found the
Devil Division overperformance logic to be rather lame anyway.
Personally, I couldn't see an AC leak doing THAT much for Vincent.
Really, the only thing that could have happened is Dante overperformed
on him, and based on Terra/Kerrigan, it doesn't look likely. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
The Real Truth | Posted 9/22/2006 2:03:21 PM | message detail |
Dante is just that awesome. --- Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to Contest score= 8/10, Next= KOS-MOS, Aeris, Yuna |
wavedash101 | Posted 9/22/2006 2:06:14 PM | message detail |
That's kind of what I thought she would do from the beginning. I
didn't think Sonic hated her to the point of KOS threatening a doubling. Why do people say its just hate? K-MOS has a lot of fans and XSIII was an amazing game. I think the hate factor is being overrated. --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
Who Cares? | Posted 9/22/2006 2:15:33 PM | message detail |
It's not that KOS isn't strong, but the Sonic fanbase far outweights
that of Xenosaga's. Basically the match was more about how liked Amy
was & less about KOS' popularity. --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th) *Just 18 days until Tales of the Abyss* |
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/22/2006 2:30:22 PM | message detail |
Personally, I couldn't see an AC leak doing THAT much for Vincent Why not? It did just as much, if not more, for Cloud and Sephiroth. --- Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent. |
Haste_2 | Posted 9/22/2006 2:31:40 PM | message detail |
Amy vs. Albedo...that woulda been a much better match. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2006 2:33:52 PM | message detail |
If Albedo lost that, I think I'd die a little inside. --- Character Battle V Score - 10/10 points Current Prediction - KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose |
HaRRicH | Posted 9/22/2006 2:34:44 PM | message detail |
HM, don't forget that Tingle even got in the contest! --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
trannyscience | Posted 9/22/2006 2:39:26 PM | message detail |
- I think Terra will do "okay" vs. Zelda - that is, about a tripling. I don't think that's that bad. - Aeris won't get 80% on Marle. I don't think she'll even get 75%. Marle might not be the most liked CT character, but she's still from a game that resisted FF7 SFF, for the most part at least. if Aeris gets 80% on her, I'll chalk that up to Marle bombing instead of SFF. --- xyzzy |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 2:40:40 PM | message detail |
Sure, if his number was just based on Terra or something, I'd agree.
But he got 46% on Vincent, who got 45% on Crono. I personally found the
Devil Division overperformance logic to be rather lame anyway.
Personally, I couldn't see an AC leak doing THAT much for Vincent.
Really, the only thing that could have happened is Dante overperformed
on him, and based on Terra/Kerrigan, it doesn't look likely. Well, it isn't as though it would have to be massively overrating Vincent and the Devil Division. Sephiroth looked like he got something from that leak, or at least some type of boost from when we last saw him, and Cloud benefiting a bit wouldn't be too surprising either -- this would be harder to see because of a small Link increase that year. If we go with the leak helping Vincent and some possible rSFF accounting for, like, 2% then everything still stays looking good. Dante's 5% boost is knocked down to 3% -- still more than DMC2, but not nearly as extreme -- and Magus is still slightly above Tidus. These two should have plenty of reason to stay closer to each other than Ganon and Magus/Tidus. They would stay near equal with the nod to Magus. Terra drops down to 16% on BL, Kerrigan drops to 13% on BL -- there should be no difference in how that match plays out based on an overrated division. Terra being overrated by that division would put Zelda getting 75.55% on her if she remained constant. Account for a solid boost for Zelda and she could get 77% without things being extreme. I would expect Zelda to easily put up at least a tripling in her match against Terra, too. --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
wavedash101 | Posted 9/22/2006 2:40:41 PM | message detail |
Yeah Tingle got in but no Jay, no Knux, no Magus, no Zolom, and no Vivi. There is no justice in the world. --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down |
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/22/2006 2:41:47 PM | message detail |
HM, don't forget that Tingle even got in the contest! Tingle > Sora, baby!! --- "Master using it and you can have this." http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg |
trannyscience | Posted 9/22/2006 2:47:24 PM | message detail |
and as expected, Amy's doing well with the day/afterschool vote here. KOS-MOS is bleeding percentage like Sheena was. (Tales = Sonic of RPGS?!) --- xyzzy |
therealmnm | Posted 9/22/2006 2:50:53 PM | message detail |
huh? --- Vote for Soma Cruz Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/22/2006 2:55:03 PM | message detail |
It did just as much, if not more, for Cloud and Sephiroth. Yeah, because we can prove what it did for Cloud because he was in so many matches last year. As far as Sephiroth is concerned, I'm not even going to take the Final Four of the Villains Contest seriously. There's no doubt in my mind that Bowser and Ganon overperformed on him, so I don't believe it's a fair comparison between those two matches and his matches with Mario and Link. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
Lopen | Posted 9/22/2006 2:56:49 PM | message detail |
Jill was bleeding percentage, get it right! --- Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef |
trannyscience | Posted 9/22/2006 2:59:56 PM | message detail |
Jill, Sheena, same thing! --- xyzzy |
therealmnm | Posted 9/22/2006 3:08:18 PM | message detail |
Wait, I just noticed something I missed. Ceej changed the Kerrigan picture because of mass whining? --- Vote for Soma Cruz Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/22/2006 3:09:05 PM | message detail |
From therealmnm Posted 9/22/2006 3:08:18 PM Wait, I just noticed something I missed. Ceej changed the Kerrigan picture because of mass whining? Last horse, finish line, ect. --- Z1mZum won the Guru Contest. I picked Pokemon over Metroid, GTA over Warcraft, Halo over CV, Street Fighter over RE, and FF over Zelda. |
trannyscience | Posted 9/22/2006 3:09:58 PM | message detail |
yeah, you can see that it did a whole lot of good. --- xyzzy |
Dark115 | Posted 9/22/2006 3:11:18 PM | message detail |
the original kerrigan picture was better IMO --- Current Content Score: 11/11 My Collection: http://club.ign.com/b/list/custom?lid=100018&owner=Dark115.&mode=vown |
therealmnm | Posted 9/22/2006 3:11:55 PM | message detail |
Last horse, finish line, ect. Job, travel, etc. And out of all the match pics that have been unfair, Ceej changes it for Kerrigan? Like it would really matter for her... --- Vote for Soma Cruz Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX |
H__RR____H | Posted 9/22/2006 3:14:22 PM | message detail |
Whining, sure, but it was based more because there
wasn't any other official artwork than just "it's a bad picture". I
hope CJay does that another time or two for other characters who are
notorious for bad pictures (Solid Snake.....), then, you know...never
again. It just feels like CJay is looking out for us a bit more now. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/22/2006 3:15:08 PM | message detail |
From therealmnm Posted 9/22/2006 3:11:55 PM Job, travel, etc. Bah! Mere excuses for your incompetence. And out of all the match pics that have been unfair, Ceej changes it for Kerrigan? Like it would really matter for her... He actually posted a topic daring us to find a better pic that fit the body shot criteria (so no Brood War face pic). We did. People still complained, a lot.. Chances of a pic ever getting changed again=0. --- Z1mZum won the Guru Contest. I picked Pokemon over Metroid, GTA over Warcraft, Halo over CV, Street Fighter over RE, and FF over Zelda. |
trannyscience | Posted 9/22/2006 3:16:45 PM | message detail |
http://gamefaps.net/genmessage.php?topic=30667215&board=8 there it is if you wanna see. --- xyzzy |
H__RR____H | Posted 9/22/2006 3:17:27 PM | message detail |
The original Kerrigan picture was goddamned
pathetic, and this is coming from somebody who hasn't played Starcraft
in years and probably never put more than two hours into the
single-player mode. I know the head-shot wasn't going to fit the theme,
but the pic that made it in was still notably better than that purple
beast. Hardly made a difference percentage-wise, heh, and it very well could be chalked up for random variation from year-to-year or day-to-day...but it did Kerrigan more justice. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |