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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 367

charmander6000 | Posted 9/21/2006 9:01:49 PM | message detail
Wow the board vote couldn't get KOS-MOS over 70%
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:02:06 PM | message detail
and I was .01% off a perfect oracle yesterday. grrr.
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xyzzy
Who Cares? | Posted 9/21/2006 9:02:20 PM | message detail
lol board vote?
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th)
*Just 19 days until Tales of the Abyss*
FFDragon | Posted 9/21/2006 9:02:32 PM | message detail
ATTN: Smurf

Told ya KOS didn't have to be strong. ~_^
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
(Metal Gear Solid 2)
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:02:52 PM | message detail
oh wait, .11%. damn, here I thought I was gonna get a perfect too!
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xyzzy
cyko | Posted 9/21/2006 9:05:34 PM | message detail
only 5069 perfect brackets and 102 zero brackets left. for only having 2 debated matches out of 10, that seems quite low.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:05:51 PM | message detail
heh, she's stabilizing too. ouch for Amy.

I guess it's impossible to tell if this is a KOS-MOS boost or if Amy is just this week.. and we'll probably never know thanks to Aeris.
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xyzzy
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/21/2006 9:06:36 PM | message detail
Hey, Ada/Jade was debated!!

oh wait
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: KOS-MOS with 66.89%
Aprosenf | Posted 9/21/2006 9:06:57 PM | message detail
Smurf, don't you ever get tired of being wrong?
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For the sake of simplicity, I'm going to refer to Gordon Freeman versus Tanner as Schrodinger's Match. -Phoenix Flattener
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/21/2006 9:07:08 PM | message detail
Will Aeris really SFF KOS-MOS?
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Terra vs. Sarah Kerrigan / Bracket: Terra / Vote: Terra (8/9)
Tomorrow / Bracket: KOS-MOS / Vote: Amy Rose
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 9:07:20 PM | message detail
I wouldn't imagine there being anything fishy about KOS-MOS's match with Aeris.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Big Bob | Posted 9/21/2006 9:07:48 PM | message detail
Guess it's time to change my sig. Crap.

Unless she's as monsterous with the morning vote as Knuckles is, which I doubt.
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September 22nd! Amy Rose > KOS-MOS
Currently Playing: Disgaea: Hour of Darkness, God of War, Tales of Symphonia (again)
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:08:24 PM | message detail
it'll be similar to Tifa/Vyse, I say.
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xyzzy
cyko | Posted 9/21/2006 9:08:56 PM | message detail
Sonic characters do rock the day vote pretty hard. so, i'm expecting KOS-MOS to drop down to the 64-65% match by the time it's all done.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:08:57 PM | message detail
hell, you could change the match to Knuckles vs. KOS-MOS come noon and KOS-MOS would still win.
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xyzzy
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/21/2006 9:16:22 PM | message detail
Whoa, big update for KOS
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: KOS-MOS with 66.89%
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/21/2006 9:21:35 PM | message detail
I can definitely see Amy bringing KOS down to the low 60's.

Xenosaga is too obscure for the day vote.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/21/2006 9:23:25 PM | message detail
Heh, I wonder if this says anything about Peach.
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KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose / Bracket: KOS-MOS / Vote: Amy Rose (9/10)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Aeris / Vote: Marle
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2006 9:24:17 PM | message detail
Amy Rose and Peach are different. Nintendo's fanbase is just indifferent about Peach. Sonic's fanbase hates Amy Rose.
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Character Battle V Score - 10/10 points
Current Prediction - KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose
Janus5000 | Posted 9/21/2006 9:27:18 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Janus5000 | Posted 9/21/2006 9:28:09 PM | message detail
Wait, that made no sense. Yeah, Amy kills stuff during the day. >_>
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/21/2006 9:30:17 PM | message detail
Heh, I wonder if this says anything about Peach.

Peach has Kart/Party/Smash/Sports/etc. on her side, as well as SPP and SMB2. But even if she weren't playable in all of those games, she'd still kick the **** out of Amy Rose.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/21/2006 9:32:45 PM | message detail
I'd take Peach over Amy, yeah.

But I honestly see Peach's ceiling possibly being.. Ness?
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KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose / Bracket: KOS-MOS / Vote: Amy Rose (9/10)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Aeris / Vote: Marle
transience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:36:46 PM | message detail
Peach beats Ness. her ceiling is DK to me.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/21/2006 9:37:42 PM | message detail
But I honestly see Peach's ceiling possibly being.. Ness?

Seriously? I'd see Peach as stronger than Ness even if she just had Kart/Party/Smash/Sports/SMB2/SPP on her side. The rest of the main Mario series just kicks her up even more.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 9:37:48 PM | message detail
Peach beating Ness would make me sad...and it'd likely happen.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
Tarrot | Posted 9/21/2006 9:37:50 PM | message detail
Xenosaga 3 just came out. I predict a boost for KOS-MOS, especially from Christian Fundamentalists (you have to play the game to get it).
Xuxon | Posted 9/21/2006 9:41:08 PM | message detail
I think Peach is about even with Ness, and her ceiling is Diablo. Like, that Jill will beat her and it won't be all that close.
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Take off every sig.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/21/2006 9:44:47 PM | message detail
Ness has both SSBM and the Eartbound fanbase. Peach only has cult Mario games and SSBM. The only reason I can see her stronger than Ness is simply being liked more than him. Pretty obvious Peach is already known more than him.

Though, using this logic.. DK being her ceiling does make a little bit of sense.
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KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose / Bracket: KOS-MOS / Vote: Amy Rose (9/10)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Aeris / Vote: Marle
transience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:51:56 PM | message detail
yeah, her floor is well below DK.. maybe even below Ness, though I wouldn't go that far. but her recognizability + her mad skills in SSBM + Mario 2 + every other Mario spinoff gives her the potential to be in the high 20's on BL.

let's take, say, Marth. just being in SSBM probably puts him at around the fodder line. why would Peach go below that? Ness isn't much above the fodder line as is and he's got a cult RPG on his side.

heh.. this makes me question Ness / KOS-MOS. I'd take Ness.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/21/2006 9:58:06 PM | message detail
I guess I'd take Ness since I see him being around maybe 23-24% on BL? No idea. He's somewhere near the likes of Tails, Scorpion, etc.
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KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose / Bracket: KOS-MOS / Vote: Amy Rose (9/10)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Aeris / Vote: Marle
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/21/2006 9:58:09 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
9------8560-----59.2172897
8------15016----56.5463506
7------11148----56.9160388
6------5254-----54.3966502
5------1780-----53.5393258
4------458------51.7467249
3------121------51.2396694
2------77-------35.0649351
1------106------25.4716981
0------126------19.0476190

Overall prediction percentage: 56.5%

For a match that was just over a percent off the X-Stats' expected result, many people didn't do too well. This match hurt people pretty equally across the board. The perfects do slightly better than everyone else but they still couldn't hit 60 and only 8% points higher than the -6s. Assuming the 0s were trying to lose, they did pretty well with over 80% getting the match "right".

16 people fell off the Top 50 today. bpolanco2001, sinslayer, ThatsRidiculous, theamericandrea, Bussies, everyday17, feartheducky, ThisRegIsNotCoo, Aleins, Slickslipper, OblivionM90, 604AzN, firefdr, SHMS, aerosmith89, Majinn_Vegeta

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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
HaRRicH | Posted 9/21/2006 10:05:42 PM | message detail
Peach only has cult Mario games and SSBM.

...oh, you mean cult games like SMW, SM64, SMB1, SMB2, and SMB3?


I know you mean the OTHER SMB games, but Peach simply being in the main series is just as crucial to her -- if not moreso -- than being playable in the other "cult" Mario games (excluding SSBM, because it's both big and not really a Mario spin-off).
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
transience | Posted 9/21/2006 10:16:44 PM | message detail
yeah if Mario 2 is cult, I'd like to hear what some mainstream titles were for the NES. I'm fairly sure Mario 2 would be in the top ten most known games on the system.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/21/2006 10:18:28 PM | message detail
Eh, well, I wouldn't put too much account into the spin-offs. Those are the ones I call 'cult'.
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KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose / Bracket: KOS-MOS / Vote: Amy Rose (9/10)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Aeris / Vote: Marle
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 10:20:55 PM | message detail
SMB2 was one of the highest selling games for the system, too. I suppose that kind of mentality would come from how it was such a big divergence from the original and is usually regarded as the "black sheep" of the series.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
creativename | Posted 9/21/2006 10:24:54 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS doing better than I thought she could, even considering that Amy will probably have a big day vote swing.

Maybe Xenosaga 3 helped after all, or Amy is even more pathetic than I thought.
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/21/2006 10:29:00 PM | message detail
I bet both. Dr. Robotnik was expected to get 39% against KOS-MOS from last year, I believe, and I've made a plenty good enough case already why he's stronger than Amy. It only makes sense KOS-MOS gains after such an apparently crowd-pleasing game, too, though I also wonder how new it is and how much it's sold. Even then though, if it stays like this, I didn't think the ass-beating would be like THIS -- maybe push the doubling and that was all for me, heh. The day-vote should help a little, but not like it does for other Sonic characters.....



She still gets 45% on Mario though.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
transience | Posted 9/21/2006 10:32:42 PM | message detail
I'd love to hear some sales figures. XS3 has been lauded all over the place by its fans, but I just don't see how it could draw new fans. the only thing it could do is bring fans to the site.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
lavkian | Posted 9/21/2006 10:33:00 PM | message detail
I agree on Peach's ceiling being DK. She would beat Ness easily. He's too niche, and in a universal explosion of irony, the "Earthbound is too cartoony" vote would go to Peach.
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NP: SMT: Nocturne, Pokemon MD:BRT, Okami
lavkian=PWNing people left and right - justinra
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 10:35:17 PM | message detail
XS3 has been lauded all over the place by its fans, but I just don't see how it could draw new fans.

For what it's worth, the latest PSM recommends skipping the first two games and just jumping into the third one.

I haven't played any of the Xenosaga games, and I was still like "what"
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Commit it to memory.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/21/2006 10:37:39 PM | message detail
XS3 does give a decent summary of both games in the database...you don't really need to play 1 and 2, though 1 is worth playing.
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CB5 Points: 9/10, Current Oracle placement: 54/156
Now playing: Xenosaga 3 (kinda)
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 10:39:03 PM | message detail
though 1 is worth playing.

Oh hell no it wasn't. >>

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/21/2006 10:39:47 PM | message detail
Moreso than 2 was!
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CB5 Points: 9/10, Current Oracle placement: 54/156
Now playing: Xenosaga 3 (kinda)
greatone10 | Posted 9/21/2006 10:40:59 PM | message detail
Peach would easily beat Ness, though whether she could do it without SFF is another story.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/21/2006 11:29:02 PM | message detail
Eh, well, I wouldn't put too much account into the spin-offs. Those are the ones I call 'cult'.

Mario Kart isn't that weak you know. And I'd bet that the Mario sports games would be far more popular on GF than any other sports games.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/22/2006 12:07:05 AM | message detail
1 is worth watching, lol m i rite?
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CB06 - Score: 10/10 Rank: Tied - 1st Yesterday's Pick: Terra
Today's Pick: KOS-MOS Tomorrow's Pick: Aeris Gainsborough
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 9/22/2006 12:12:10 AM | message detail
GAH!

But there's still time for Amy to restore some dignity, let's see that Sonic day vote in action!
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My World is still Smurf!
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 9/22/2006 12:16:21 AM | message detail
Amy is steadying rapidly, only 50 votes down last update. o_0

She's going to be winning updates, come the day vote.
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My World is still Smurf!
transience | Posted 9/22/2006 12:56:29 AM | message detail
heh, this feels familiar.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage