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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 367

Lopen | Posted 9/21/2006 5:51:58 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
longbladeofhiko | Posted 9/21/2006 5:52:02 PM | message detail
I'd take The Elder Scrolls over a lot of low fodder series.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
Lopen | Posted 9/21/2006 5:53:04 PM | message detail
Hey Lopen, welcome to three posts ago!

I saw your post, but all I read was FACE FACE FACE RAW HOT SEX LOL LOL LOL.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
longbladeofhiko | Posted 9/21/2006 5:54:43 PM | message detail
Hey Lopen, welcome to Pee Wees Playhouse!
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
FFDragon | Posted 9/21/2006 5:55:50 PM | message detail
Hey Lopen, welcome to the Neverland Ranch!
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
(Metal Gear Solid 2)
Lopen | Posted 9/21/2006 5:58:50 PM | message detail
I think what you guys meant was: "Hey Lopen, welcome to the Contest Stats and Discussion topic!"

It's okay, I accept your mistakes.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
KingBartz | Posted 9/21/2006 6:42:43 PM | message detail
hot sex? in the contest stats topic? huh?
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The end of the world is nigh! Earth Life Remaining: 12 days, 2 hours, 18 minutes.
SC2K6: 8/9 Today's pick: Terra
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 7:29:58 PM | message detail
gah, this next match is bugging me. it seems like KOS-MOS should destroy Amy, but... I just can't get over the thought of Xenosaga being one tenth as popular as Sonic. I'm not even sure if 65% of the people on GF have heard of Xenosaga, let alone played it... yet that seems to be the logical pick for the match. eh, oh well.

just don't bomb on me, KOS-MOS!
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 9/21/2006 7:32:15 PM | message detail
Looks like the match will only be able to break 99k at the most.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2006 7:35:32 PM | message detail
Hey now, 65% doesn't need to have played Xenosaga! Anti-votes against Amy and hotness factor for the win!

(At least I know I'll be voting Not Amy!)
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Terra vs. Kerrigan - Bracket: Terra - Vote: Terra (8/9)
Who Cares? | Posted 9/21/2006 7:37:37 PM | message detail
That's the very thing that bugs me too tranny. To me, it all depends on how many Sonic fans don't hate Amy enough to toss a vote her way. (hell, I'm still deciding who to vote, & I haven't even played Xenosaga...though I've been watching the anime >_>)
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th)
*Just 19 days until Tales of the Abyss*
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2006 7:38:27 PM | message detail
Her not being well-known didn't stop her from breaking 60% on Crash Bandicoot.
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Character Battle V Score - 10/10 points
Current Prediction - KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 7:39:08 PM | message detail
She still beat Crash with ease though. It's not like Amy Rose is significantly more well known or even as likable as Crash.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
therealmnm | Posted 9/21/2006 7:41:46 PM | message detail
Nah, if being well known was a factor for KOS-MOS and Xenosaga as a whole, KOS-MOS wouldn't have been able to beat Crash so badly, who everyone knows. You don't have to have played Xenosaga to realize that KOS-MOS is the Xenosaga chick. And it doesn't take much for one to think that she is cooler than Amy Rose at first glance.
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Vote for Carmen Sandiego in SC2k6
Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 7:44:45 PM | message detail
yeah Crash makes me feel a lot better. I always thought KOS-MOS got a lot of her strength because she's a hot android chick, not because of her game. (her series would bomb, trust me. Star Ocean style.) I'm not sure if her picture really highlights her, uh, hotness though. eh, it shouldn't matter too much.

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xyzzy
Big Bob | Posted 9/21/2006 7:46:38 PM | message detail
Furry vote > Android vote
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September 22nd! Amy Rose > KOS-MOS
Currently Playing: Disgaea: Hour of Darkness, God of War, Tales of Symphonia (again)
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 8:03:18 PM | message detail
everyone else's bracket > your bracket
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 8:04:01 PM | message detail
My Bracket > Link and Samus <_<
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Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 8:04:45 PM | message detail
KARMA HUNTER IS ANTI NINTENDO
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 9/21/2006 8:10:16 PM | message detail
DONT HATE APPRECIATE
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 8:10:48 PM | message detail
My Bracket > Link and Samus

lol no

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
cyko | Posted 9/21/2006 8:17:14 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS beat Crash with 61.98% of the vote when she only had 42.45% of the brackets on her side. i'm guessing that she will have significantly more bracket support this time around and she does have a very recent new game to draw from. as for Amy, i'm also guessing that she will be somewhat similar in contest strength to Crash.

it's pure conjecture, but based on that, i think KOS-MOS should come pretty close to doubling Amy Rose.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2006 8:21:31 PM | message detail
Triforce Division: Round 1 - Match 11 – (3)KOS-MOS vs. (6)Amy Rose

Moltar’s Analysis

KOS-MOS
Game/Series Known From: Xenosaga
Extrapolated Rank in 2003: 36th (22.96%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2004: 21st (22.60%)
Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 41st (19.52%)
Seed in 2003: 7
Seed in 2004: 8
Seed in 2005: 7
Lost in 2003 to Samus in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Ryu in Round 1
Lost in 2005 to Luigi in Round 1

The blue-haired beauty is back! Yay!

Amy
Game/Series Known From: Sonic the Hedgehog

Blah…Amy. Only a few in the Sonic-verse surpass you in suckitude.

KOS-MOS wins. Amy would have to be stronger than Robotnik, and maybe Tails, to even stand a chance. I also think KOS-MOS is a underrated in 2005, and with XS3 behind her, she’s bound to look better now.

Now, back to this cursed female bracket. A lot of good characters were left out because of it, and instead we got stuff like…Amy Rose. I’ll show you another Sonic character that deserves to be in it instead!

*This regularly scheduled analysis has been interrupted for this short announcement. Please do not change topics.*

Real Men, Real Snubs - Knuckles

He’s Red. He’s mean. He has his priorities straight. He’s Knuckles, a real man, and a snub in the 2006 Contest.

*Shot of Knuckles doing an uppercut*

Ever since 2002, this Echinda has seen action in GameFAQs Summer Contests. Back then, he mustered up 80% of the vote against Akira Yuki. THE Akira Yuki. Knuckles’ path of destruction wasn’t done there. Next year, semi-fresh off of Final Fantasy X, Yuna challenged the big Red One. Yet even she could not stand up to him. The King Dig’s track of Round 1 victories didn’t end there though, because in 2004, he took down Kefka with ease.

*Shot of Knuckles standing over his fallen opponents triumphantly*

However, in 2005, all seemed lost for Knux, the Red Demon of the Wind. His round 1 opponent was Magus, known for his win over Ganondorf and impressive performance against Link…and the game he’s in, Chrono Trigger. No one had faith in Knuckles, but even though the odds were against him, Little Mac in Echinda Form overcame the odds and won the match-up. Brackets had died, but new life was breathed into Knuckles, as that match would forever be remembered in the hearts of the GameFAQs members.

*Shot of Knuckles cheered on by the masses*

But where is he now? He didn’t even make the cut for the 5th Character Battle. Knuckles, a character who’s only weakness was a snake that didn’t reside on an aircraft, missed the mark. His impressive victories, including the upset of Magus, and even his valiant loss against Squall Leonhart, couldn’t get him a spot. Is that what Knuckles really deserved?

*Shot of Knuckles frowning in a lone spotlight*

Knuckles. A real man, and a real snub. (P.S.: Shadow > Knuckles, 45% on Mario! Shadow for 2K7!)

Moltar’s Bracket Says: KOS-MOS will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: KOS-MOS: 65% - Amy: 35%



Ulti’s Analysis

I know KOS-MOS completely ****ing tanked last year (remember how KOS-MOS/Luigi was an "even" match according to stats?), but has she fallen so far that she'll fail to beat a character that Sonic fans despise? Somehow I doubt it, plus for what it's worth XS3 is a recent release.

Prediction: KOS-MOS with 57.45%



HM’s Analysis

I have no idea why Amy Rose managed to disgrace us with her rotten appearance in this contest, but she did. Fortunately, she was put in a match she cannot possibly win against KOS-MOS. Most of the reason this match isn’t debatable is because the Sonic fanbase has shown to hate Amy Rose in previous polls. They were old, sure, but it’s not like Amy got any better over the years. She’s still the annoying little rodent who’s trying to get Sonic’s attention.
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/21/2006 8:22:00 PM | message detail
Zelda got more votes than Terra and Kerrigan combined! 2K6 champion right there!
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caps
Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2006 8:22:10 PM | message detail
I believe the stats put Tails around KOS-MOS’s level or around there, which is far above the ceiling for Amy. Added to that, KOS-MOS has proven to be decently strong in these contests before, and she has the benefit of a new game coming out right around the contest – Xenosaga Episode III. It may not be something big, but it should at least put some more focus back onto her for now.

This match should end up being a rather boring affair with KOS-MOS taking it without trouble.

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: KOS-MOS

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: KOS-MOS – 60% ; Amy Rose – 40%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: KOS-MOS



Yoblazer’s Analysis

This is the second consecutive match where I know nothing and don't give a hoot about either character; it definitely makes these harder to write. KOS-MOS isn't weak, and Amy should be a good bit weaker than Tails, so the hot robo babe on the left will win easily. Rather than spice this up with something witty or entertaining, I'd rather just go ahead and slurp the X-Stats. According to the 2004 stats, KOS-MOS is projected to beat Tails with approximately 52%. Ok. Hmm... no wonder everyone hates these things. That didn't help at all. Let's try Robotnik. According to the stats, 2004 KOS-MOS beats the evil doctor with a little over 65%. Much better, but then you have to remember that Robotnik was probably SFF'D by Ganondorf. **** these things. Ok, in 2003, KOSSY beats Crash Bandicoot with 62%. There's no way Amy Rose is stronger than him, so I'll bump that percentage and call it a day. Actually, I'll bump it a lot, since I get the feeling that not even Sonic fans care about this goofball.

My prediction: KOS-MOS def. Amy Rose (68-32)



Lopen’s Analysis

Amy Rose is yet another example of a character from a popular series that I don't feel has any real fans. They seem to grow on trees here in this contest, it seems. However, any of the statements I say apply to Peach, Kairi (shaddap!), Celes, Terra… and all those others, apply even worse to Amy Rose. Amy Rose doesn't have the benefit of being in every/almost every game of the series like Kairi or Peach. Amy Rose doesn't have the benefit of being "the main character of a game" like Celes or Terra. She's not in any of the old games, which I think are the main appeal of Sonic. She's got nothing!

In that "favorite Sonic character" poll? She got last? Second to last maybe? She didn't get more than 2 or 3%, I know that. Not to put too much faith in those polls, but when they back up my thoughts on the matter, well, they can only help. She did about as bad as Robotnik, she's not as important to the games as Robotnik, she's not in as many games as Robotnik. She's got no appeal to the old school Sonic fans. All signs say that she should be less popular than Robotnik.

Would KOS-MOS beat Robotnik? Of course she would! Xenosaga isn't hugely popular here, but don't let KOS-MOS's match with Luigi last year fool ya. She's not mega jobber fodder… at least she beat Crash Bandicoot decisively. And quite simply put… I think Amy Rose is the very mega jobber fodder I was talking about! Crash vs. Amy? I'd put my money on Crash. Really! But, this match isn't too debated, so most of you agree with me! Good then, I guess I can shut up now!

Lopen's prediction: KOS-MOS with 64.88%



KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

KOS-MOS

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 36th Place [22.22%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 31st Place [22.60%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 45th Place [19.52%]
Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2006 8:22:38 PM | message detail
A long running, middle-of-the-pack contest entrant, KOS-MOS has the dubious honor of being one of the hardest people to write for in the FFP when she loses. <_< She has also had Xenosaga III since her last appearance, which would seem to spell good things for her -- but last year, even after Xenosaga II, she appeared to take a bit of a fall. She's still got the nomination power to get into these things, though, and still hovers around the fodder line, so that's not all bad. As for her opponent....

Amy Rose

lol N/A

KOS-MOS was just wasted here, as this match is hardly debatable. Amy is one of *the* most hated and reviled characters in the Sonic series, happens to only be prominent in the Adventure titles (y'know, the less popular ones), and would basically lose to anyone with a bit of strength. Poor Amy. I still like you! ;_;

Notable Releases Since Last Appearance

KOS-MOS: Xenosaga III (PS2)
Amy Rose: Shadow the Hedgehog (Multi)

Upcoming Releases

KOS-MOS: N/A
Amy Rose: N/A

While Amy Rose may come from a more popular series, she is generally hated. KOS-MOS has taken out more well known characters on the basis of hate before (Crash). Although to be fair, that was her only win.

Something tells me that Amy should win this, and I'd have definitely picked her if this were their first contests. But KOS-MOS has stood the test of time too well to fall to someone I know should be fodder. Don't be surprised if the overall bracket predictions differ drastically from the board though.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Amy Rose. Don't judge me!

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: KOS-MOS with 61.72%%.

Xenosaga III will help a bit? C'mon...

Upset Potential: 14.5%

It's not impossible for Amy to win this, but like Kerrigan...it's not worth discussing. What a fall it would be for KOS-MOS, though.

Upset Prediction: Amy Rose with 51.3%.



Guest’s Analysis - Tai

KOS-MOS

2k3: Defeated Crash Bandicoot 61.98%-38.02%
Lost to Samus 30.25%-69.75%

2k4: Lost to Ryu 37.87%-62.13%

2k5: Lost to Luigi 34%-66%

Amy Rose

OMG, FIRST TIMER LOLZ!

Omg, a veteran with somewhat respectable history vs a first-timer that no one cares about. Who could possibly win? :)

KOS-MOS is that sexy android from the Xenosaga series. While I don't know much about that series, I guess KOS-MOS is sorta a cult favorite in GameFAQs, from a *gasps* cult RPG series! She hasn't done anything ground-breaking in these tournaments, and hasn't been past the first round since 2003. Hell, she may have gone down. I mean, come on; 37% on Ryu one year then 34% on Luigi the next? Well, I guess it doesn't matter against who she's facing.

Amy Rose....oh, she's that girl who chases Sonic around, or tries. Yeah, considering she's from one of the more classic series in video gaming and can't get into a contest unless CJayC allows at least 32 girls in, no one should care about her, right? Uh, right; get with my program, damnit! :( Unless you're Tifa or Vincent, if this is your first time in your contest, there's probably a reason for that; YOU SUCK and you will be going home with nothing to talk about with your family and friends (possibly imaginary) but the bruises on your ass! I mean, ask Kerrigan! "Starcraft's legion is gonna mass spam the polls lol!" Uh huh, she did well vs Vincent! :) Oh...and furries do suck....those fans didn't hear me, did they? >_>
Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2006 8:24:01 PM | message detail
Yeah, so with all that said, it's a bit shocking Amy did get in period, cause what happened to that echinda that exposed Magus has fraud? That two-tailed fox that follows Sonic around and makes cool airplanes?. Oh, they got snubbed? :( See? That actually leaves only Sonic and Amy to represent the Sonic series, right? Isn't that cute? See, that's why we can take KOS-MOS to win and don't have to worry about the Sonic legion mass spamming the polls, ok? Or at least, enough to beat KOS-MOS. Maybe Sonic would beat KOS-MOS, no questions asked. But, his girlfr....I mean stalker doesn't have that kind of support. Hell, FURRIES don't have that...ok, forget it.

KOS-MOS wins with 61.23%. Cry, furry fans. Cry very hard. :-)

All four of you on GameFAQs. *runs*



Crew Consensus: KOS-MOS wins with ease, but the range is large. Will Amy end up with more Sonic support than we think, or will KOS-MOS with XS3 behind her pound her back into the dirt (cuz she's a hedgehog lolol)
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 8:26:07 PM | message detail
I thought I was going HIGH with my prediction, but -- whoa, guys. I'm totally screwed. <_<
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Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 8:28:45 PM | message detail
if KH wins this, I'll, uh, eat a MGS disk..?????
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/21/2006 8:38:08 PM | message detail
Hay guys! Feeling like **** right now. Anyways, wow @ Terra losing the day vote.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 8:45:43 PM | message detail
hm. Terra with, uh, 53% of the brackets.
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xyzzy
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2006 8:47:11 PM | message detail
Faith in seeding should be enough for a relatively high percent of the brackets for Terra.

Terra with 68% of the brackets.
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Character Battle V Score - 10/10 points
Current Prediction - KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose
HaRRicH | Posted 9/21/2006 8:47:54 PM | message detail
Terra with 58.12% of the brackets.

Just curious here...if you game Kerrigan her box-art and had her face Celes, would you take Kerrigan after today's performance, or do you say Celes isn't THAT far from Terra and/or Kerrigan's pic doesn't matter that much?
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
HaRRicH | Posted 9/21/2006 8:49:02 PM | message detail
Faith in seeding should be enough for a relatively high percent of the brackets for Terra.

Terra with 68% of the brackets.


Kairi/Claire had a noticably worse prediction percentage...and that match was a 2/7-match.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 8:49:03 PM | message detail
Kerrigan would be under 45% no matter what. Terra's CG model isn't exactly the best representation of her character either but no one's saying crap about that.

I'd still take Celes, yeah. those guys should all be approximately equal.
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xyzzy
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 8:49:41 PM | message detail
and Dante had like 80% of the brackets vs. Terra, Boss had what, 65%?, and Kerrigan is from STARCRAFT. I expect something kinda low here.
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xyzzy
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2006 8:49:50 PM | message detail
True. Bump it down to about 63% I guess.
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Character Battle V Score - 10/10 points
Current Prediction - KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/21/2006 8:57:26 PM | message detail
It's almost here. I really, really hope Amy doesn't win. Or come close.
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caps
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2006 8:58:26 PM | message detail
Amy shall get crushed. No worries.
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Character Battle V Score - 10/10 points
Current Prediction - KOS-MOS vs. Amy Rose
Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2006 9:00:21 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS 67.86% 38
Amy Rose 32.14% 18
TOTAL VOTES 56

Yay!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
KOS-MOS vs. Amy - Bracket: KOS-MOS - Vote: KOS-MOS (9/10)
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 9:00:30 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS 60% 9
Amy Rose 40% 6
TOTAL VOTES 15

TAKE THAT KOS-MOS
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Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:00:33 PM | message detail
oh yeah, that's what I like to see!
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xyzzy
Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2006 9:00:45 PM | message detail
Heh, only 56.5% for Terra
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
KOS-MOS vs. Amy - Bracket: KOS-MOS - Vote: KOS-MOS (9/10)
Janus5000 | Posted 9/21/2006 9:00:49 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS 72.41% 63
Amy Rose 27.59% 24
TOTAL VOTES 87

Surprise surprise, the board vote hates Amy and loves KOS-MOS.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/21/2006 9:00:53 PM | message detail
FREAKING WHOA.

Oracle off by 12%. ;_;
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caps
Dark115 | Posted 9/21/2006 9:00:58 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS 66.67% 10
Amy Rose 53.33% 8
TOTAL VOTES 15

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Current Content Score: 10/10
My Collection: http://club.ign.com/b/list/custom?lid=100018&owner=Dark115.&mode=vown
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/21/2006 9:01:03 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS 71.1% 219
Amy Rose 28.9% 89
TOTAL VOTES 308

Stay that way, k?
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: KOS-MOS with 66.89%
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 9:01:21 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS 69.16% 287
Amy Rose 30.84% 128
TOTAL VOTES 415

Getting rocked.

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"Master using it and you can have this."
http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/160/masterjg3.jpg
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/21/2006 9:01:28 PM | message detail
Looks bad but Amy should honestly 'win' the dayvote.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
trannyscience | Posted 9/21/2006 9:01:38 PM | message detail
this'll drop, bigtime. a lot of Amy hate on the board + bracket voting.

still, 65% looks likely.
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xyzzy