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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 367

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GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/21/2006 8:27:22 AM | message detail
Roll Casket > Roll
Tron Bonne > Tron


*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

Demented Cartoon Movie:
http://www.albinoblacksheep.com/flash/demented.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html


!yawa tsoP


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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Terra with 54.79%
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 8:27:45 AM | message detail
FIRST?!
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Redtooth | Posted 9/21/2006 8:27:52 AM | message detail
367 is great!

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Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
Ayvuir | Posted 9/21/2006 11:17:57 AM | message detail
4orth!
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Tai | Posted 9/21/2006 12:09:56 PM | message detail
Roll Casket > Roll

......You monster.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:10:02 PM | message detail
bumpo
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:10:45 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:11:16 PM | message detail
What the hell are you talking about?

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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:11:51 PM | message detail
I need Scissors etc
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:13:47 PM | message detail
Wait a damn minute!Terra has gone UP in percentage? DOESN'T SHE SUCK WITH THE DAY VOTE? *nurses sickly oracle*
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:14:06 PM | message detail
You're not making any sense, it had nothing to do with a Battle Royale.

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FastFalcon05 | Posted 9/21/2006 12:14:32 PM | message detail

Solid Snake/Naked Snake is so completely different from Dark Link and Samus it isn't even funny. As he has his own personal story (better than Solid's IMO), his own game where he is the main character, and plays a role as an older man in previous MGS's.


Ugh. I love MGS3, but for all practical purposes, Naked Snake = Solid Snake to me. They look exactly the same; literally the same. When two characters look exactly the same, act in the same way, speak the same...I'd think it natural to consider them the same. Yeah the ending blah blah blah who he really is; mgs3 is about The Boss and snake is sort of just there to be manipulated by the two awesome female characters in the game.

I don't think there should be a contest where we have both Naked and Solid snake in at the same time.
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Dark115 | Posted 9/21/2006 12:16:35 PM | message detail
If there is a contest where Solid Snake and Naked Snake make it in then Mega Man X should be allowed in, simple as that
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:17:01 PM | message detail
Actually more of the point of it was to show Big Boss' background and history, things that he's gone through in the past that lead him to act the way he does later in his life.

Just because a character looks the same doesn't mean they are the same. OH MAN SUB-ZERO!? FORGET THAT SCORPION WAS ALREADY HERE! OH MAN SHADOW?! FORGET THAT WE GOT US SOME SONIC!

It really doesn't make any sense to group them as one.

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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:18:22 PM | message detail
I have nothing against MMX making it in, but how do you even know if he's had enough noms to make it in? You guys are acting like we haven't already SEEN Naked Snake in this contest, Ceej allowed him to be in, he just gave him the name of Big Boss, which is why he needs to be nominated as Naked Snake.

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consolefreak | Posted 9/21/2006 12:21:11 PM | message detail
Solid Snake/Naked Snake is so completely different from Dark Link and Samus it isn't even funny. As he has his own personal story (better than Solid's IMO), his own game where he is the main character, and plays a role as an older man in previous MGS's.

Err, I suppose I should've been more clear about this. What I meant to say was that, similarly to Dark Link or Samus, he would get a bunch of votes that aren't really his to get.

It's like allowing collections for a games contest. I can't see how anyone would approve of this.

Then how could Naked put up 49%+ on Solid Snake himself on an IGN poll? Sure GameFAQs =/= IGN, but I don't think there's suddenly going to be a ton of people here to make that a match that close, to a 70-30 affair. People like Naked Snake because he's the hero of MGS3, not because of Solid Snake.

Ah come on. First of all, Naked Snake - Solid Snake is a match where the distinction has to be made. Then how did he get so close? Beats me, but do you honestly think a gameFAQs poll would go similarly? It's an entirely different voting group.

And if the Metal Gear fans were so aware of the series' story, they sure didn't show it when Big Boss was facing Auron. If Naked Snake would perform a lot better, and I'm sure he would, it would be because he looks like Snake.

I have nothing against MMX making it in, but how do you even know if he's had enough noms to make it in? You guys are acting like we haven't already SEEN Naked Snake in this contest, Ceej allowed him to be in, he just gave him the name of Big Boss, which is why he needs to be nominated as Naked Snake.

And he rightfully gave him an old Boss pic. That's a pretty clear message to me.


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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:22:32 PM | message detail
What I meant to say was that, similarly to Dark Link or Samus, he would get a bunch of votes that aren't really his to get.


Ding.
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consolefreak | Posted 9/21/2006 12:25:23 PM | message detail
Ding.

Whatever.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:25:58 PM | message detail
That was me agreeing with you.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:28:04 PM | message detail
Err, I suppose I should've been more clear about this. What I meant to say was that, similarly to Dark Link or Samus, he would get a bunch of votes that aren't really his to get.

And why not? Because he just happens to look similar to Solid Snake? Well you know, that could be because Solid is a clone of him. Don't want to allow clones in huh? Kick Solid's ass out right now then. Naked came first. But you're right, let's remove Shadow from ever being in a contest again, and Subby? Take his ass out while there's still time!

http://ps2.ign.com/articles/629/629401p2.html

Naked Snake got 49.9% against Solid Snake, if you honestly think Dark Link or Dark Samus could get anywhere CLOSE to that on their original counterparts, you're delusional. It's pretty evident that they are their own seperate entities.

It's like allowing collections for a games contest. I can't see how anyone would approve of this.

....uhhhhh, no. That's one of the stupidest analogies I've ever seen. It's NOTHING like allowing collections for games contest. Super Mario Bros 3 is a part of the Super Mario Bros series. Naked Snake isn't a part of Solid Snake. There's absolutely no reason for SMB3 to perform well on SMB series, because the series has SMB3, plus all the other great Mario games. There's a reason for liking Naked over Solid, or vice versa.

Ah come on. First of all, Naked Snake - Solid Snake is a match where the distinction has to be made. Then how did he get so close? Beats me, but do you honestly think a gameFAQs poll would go similarly? It's an entirely different voting group.

Yeah, I do. I don't think it would be THAT close, but I'll be damned if Solid manages to pull more than 60%, and that's being generous.

And if the Metal Gear fans were so aware of the series' story, they sure didn't show it when Big Boss was facing Auron. If Naked Snake would perform a lot better, and I'm sure he would, it would be because he looks like Snake.

Yeah, it couldn't possibly have to do with the fact that they call him Big Boss ONCE at the end of the game. No, that's definitely not it.

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consolefreak | Posted 9/21/2006 12:28:06 PM | message detail
That was me agreeing with you.

Ah I thought it was more of a *ding ding ding* thing.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 12:31:26 PM | message detail
EC, your problem is that you're naive enough to take the IGN poll seriously. Solid Snake would SFF Naked Snake into the ground.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:34:51 PM | message detail
Why would Naked Snake only be capable of having a fanbase on IGN that prefers him to Solid Snake, yet on GameFAQs, suddenly he can't even come close to competing with him? It makes no sense at all. Yes we're different sights, and yes matches would definitely go differently here than there, but it proves that Naked Snake is liked in his own right, more than just a Solid clone.

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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 12:36:49 PM | message detail
No, EC, it proves that you can't take a poll in an IGN contest where the results are tabulated "secretly" and where, as Slow liked to put it, every match is a barnburner. I question the validity of those results entirely.

It's like putting MGS3 up against the combined force of MGS and MGS2. It's going to get squashed.
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FastFalcon05 | Posted 9/21/2006 12:39:25 PM | message detail
Just because a character looks the same doesn't mean they are the same. OH MAN SUB-ZERO!? FORGET THAT SCORPION WAS ALREADY HERE! OH MAN SHADOW?! FORGET THAT WE GOT US SOME SONIC!

See, they don't look exactly the same though. They're at least different colors, and I loathe the idea of Sub Zero in this contest; he deserves to be a complete failure. On gamefaqs I highly highly doubt Naked Snake having strength that did not almost entirely rest upon Solid Snake. Shadow is the villain for Sonic, Sub Zero is a separate character from Scorpion at the same time. Naked Snake is quite literally a proxy for Solid Snake in that he stands in for the traditional role of snake in that game.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/21/2006 12:40:40 PM | message detail
Every match being close was probably just a result of the vote totals. It wasn't very publicized and it was kind of hard to find if you weren't looking for it O_o

I mean, when you're probably only getting 5000+ votes, it's a lot easier to make anyone stay in the game
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:41:02 PM | message detail
Auron vs. Jak 73%
Wolverine vs. Jango Fett 82%
KOS-MOS vs. Serph 64%
The Punisher vs. Beyond The Grave 66%
Jack Slate vs. Max Payne 87%
Ryu vs. Heihachi 70%
Quan Chi vs. Goku 65%
Solid Snake vs. Sam Fisher 75%

...and so on and so forth. All the matches are hardly barnburners.

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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/21/2006 12:41:21 PM | message detail
It's also why any matches there probably shouldn't be taken too seriously though.

Back when GameFAQs was getting those kind of totals, FF6 was almost preferred over FF7
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Heroic Mario | Posted 9/21/2006 12:42:26 PM | message detail
I have been skimming the last topic and this one...but what are we talking about, chums?

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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 12:44:07 PM | message detail
Ever since MK3 Sub-Zero has stood apart from Scorpion in looks and design. And thanks to his new "Shredder" design, he also happens to not be ugly!

There's a difference between two characters who happen to be 'clones' of one another with equal footing, and Solid/Naked Snake. Regardless of the storyline, chronologically Naked Snake is the clone of Solid Snake, not the other way around. Solid came first, Naked had to be retconned into existence.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:45:27 PM | message detail
HM, we're talking about the Demented Cartoon Movie.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:45:27 PM | message detail
So because Shadow and Sonic are different colors AND have a different personality, das cool? Well Naked and Solid have far more differences in personality and reasons for doing what they do, and one only has one eye! See, see that, they look different too!

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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 12:47:00 PM | message detail
That's your best comeback, EC? Yes, I'm well aware not every match is a barnburner -- and like n00b said, there's also the little problem of having a teeny tiny sample size to work with. And how does IGN combat the problem of cheating, if it is indeed legit?

Too many potential problems from an unreliable source from a too small sample size from a community completely different from GameFAQs. Solid crushes Naked with 60%+. BOOK IT.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:47:21 PM | message detail
Snake and Naked are almost identical in appearance. You'd have to be colour blind to not tell the difference between Shadow/Sonic.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:48:41 PM | message detail
Well you certainly made it seem like every match was a barnburner, there's just as many blowouts as close matches there, as for the votals, no one can really say how many they get. And if Solid put up only 60% on Naked, that would pretty much prove that he's his own character, and has strength for more than being a Solid clone.

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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:48:43 PM | message detail
BOOK IT.

*Books this*

Sorry EC. I'm with you, Naked would definitely be a strong character in one of these contests, but Solid would SFF him into the ground.
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FFDragon | Posted 9/21/2006 12:49:06 PM | message detail
Naked had to be retconned into existence.

Uh... The story had always been that Snake was a clone of Naked, since the beginning. You just never saw Naked before MGS3.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:50:02 PM | message detail
Snake and Naked are almost identical in appearance. You'd have to be colour blind to not tell the difference between Shadow/Sonic.

Being painted a different color doesn't make you a different character. If you make a black cloud, that doesn't mean he's a unique character. Naked is far more unique than Shadow is.

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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/21/2006 12:50:04 PM | message detail
I was playing Metal Gear Solid 3 and my sister actually thought I was used Solid Snake.

I explained to her like, 3 times who it was but I still don't think she gets it >_>

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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 12:50:37 PM | message detail
60%+ is a very low estimate, really. That's Solid's absolute floor, assuming that everyone that played MGS3 was actually convinced to prefer Naked to Solid.

In reality, that match would be ugly, and I'd prefer not to think how ugly. At least Raiden looked different from Solid, and look what happened to him...
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:50:49 PM | message detail
If she played the games for herself she'd understand.

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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:51:42 PM | message detail
Naked is far more unique than Shadow is.

Shadow is definitely generic in his actions and character, and I don't really like him all that much... but in both character and appearance he's very different to Sonic.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 12:52:19 PM | message detail
Uh... The story had always been that Snake was a clone of Naked, since the beginning. You just never saw Naked before MGS3.

Incorrect -- this didn't come up until MGS. The two original Metal Gear games actually contradict stated facts in MGS, hence why it needed to be retconned.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:52:58 PM | message detail
Yeah, forgot about Raiden. If Snake can SFF Raiden, he's definitely going to SFF a clone of himself.

And yes, I'm quite aware that it's Snake who's the clone, but you get my point.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:53:01 PM | message detail
Raiden was at the peak of his hate back then, so many people were ridiculously pissed off that they had to play as that naked, cartwheeling girly man. I don't think you can really draw a parrarel. I would bet all my accounts and never come back to gamefaqs if Raiden outperformed Naked on Solid.

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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 12:54:25 PM | message detail
And I would be with you. Naked would go above Raiden's performance. He'd still get viciously SFFed.
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FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/21/2006 12:56:24 PM | message detail
Which would mean he has more to him than just being a Solid Snake leach, this is my entire point. People like him for something other than looking like Solid, which should warrant him a spot in this contest. I'm arguing against the assertion that he's a Solid leach.

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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 12:59:27 PM | message detail
I'm sure Naked has his own fanbase indepedent from Solid's. That being said, he still leeches a good amount of his popularity from Solid. Ganondorf may outperform Tingle on Link, that doesn't mean he's not a leech. It just means he's less of one.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/21/2006 1:01:37 PM | message detail
And besides, arguing this is pointless. Ceej has already set precedent by not letting Mega Man X into the contest, and he's very different from MM. Letting Naked in would just open the floodgates. Big Boss was a compromise, albeit a poor one.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/21/2006 1:01:48 PM | message detail
OK, EC, take a moment to imagine the match pic. You'd have a body shot of Solid Snake vs. a body shot of Naked Snake.

So what happens then? Many people, people not necessarily experts in the series, are confused. People vote for the name which gets by FAR the most recognition anywhere: Solid Snake.

Bear in mind that even though it's clear what Naked Snake's full codename is at first, because Zero tells you, it's not mentioned that much in the game. People just call him "Snake".

Either that or Naked gets a Big Boss pic, which would only make it worse.
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