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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 364

MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/17/2006 8:08:20 PM | message detail
I agree with KH why continue nominating FF6 characters when theres people like Akuma, Mewtwo, Red XIII, Seifer, hell even Meta-Knight that would easily beat anybody from the game?
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2006 8:17:30 PM | message detail
...Meta-Knight? I certainly wouldn't group him with the other characters you mentioned until SSBB releases.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Draco1214 | Posted 9/17/2006 8:19:23 PM | message detail
Hmmm...with KH2 in his corner now, I wonder how Seifer would do.
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Character Battle V Score - 6/6 points
Current Prediction - Jill Valentine vs. Sheena Fujibayashi
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 8:22:02 PM | message detail
Well KH, if there is a hidden fountain of strength from FF6, it's our duty to find it. Even if it means we have to rally behind a new FF6 character every contest!

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/17/2006 8:23:00 PM | message detail
I have no desire to rally behind any more FF6 characters. They have proven time and again to be absolute trash in these contests and just finding one that manages to get by Kefka's value is not worth rallying over. >>

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 8:23:47 PM | message detail
And since the current contest isn't generating any discussion, what will be today's prediction percent? I'll guess under 50. This site seems to be really bad in terms of overrating FF6 characters.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/17/2006 8:24:45 PM | message detail
Terra had a horrible prediction percentage against Dante.

But then again, that was 1-seed Dante.

I'll say it's 50/50, with The Boss having the slight advantage.
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Character Battle V Score - 6/6 points
Current Prediction - Jill Valentine vs. Sheena Fujibayashi
Keno316 | Posted 9/17/2006 8:25:12 PM | message detail
However, there seems to be a lot of MSG love on the site as of late...so I'll say 54%.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/17/2006 8:41:55 PM | message detail
HM and I have become very good at totally screwing the crew.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2006 8:46:44 PM | message detail
The Boss with...ah, we'll say 58.12% today.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2006 8:48:00 PM | message detail
I'm up for seeing how Shadow or Locke would do...but after one or even both, yeah, I'd be done with FF3/6 characters for sure.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Draco1214 | Posted 9/17/2006 8:49:42 PM | message detail
I'd much rather see the characters MegatokyoEd listed before any other FF6 character. Only ones who have a shot at breaking the fodder line are Mog and Shadow, IMO.
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Character Battle V Score - 6/6 points
Current Prediction - Jill Valentine vs. Sheena Fujibayashi
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2006 8:51:21 PM | message detail
Oh, Mog too. Le whoops.

One or two of those three would be fine for me to see.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 8:54:34 PM | message detail
Locke would do nothing. I'd take Edgar or Sabin over Locke.

I think that one PotD is a pretty accurate representation of how they would do in a contest setting.

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
cyko | Posted 9/17/2006 8:56:11 PM | message detail
i'm also calling for The Boss with 55.43% of the brackets and Jill will just fall short of doubling Sheena tomorrow with 65-66%!!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2006 8:57:39 PM | message detail
Sabin, sure, it's plausable though I'd still take Locke (plus I mentioned him since he was my fave)...but Edgar, eh, not so much. Maybe, but I'd be surprised.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/17/2006 8:58:56 PM | message detail
If we rally for another FFVI character, we might as well wait 'til after FFVIA. That could give them at least a little boost.
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Pity for the guilty is treason to the innocent.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2006 9:00:17 PM | message detail
Jill Valentine 65.31% 32
Sheena Fujibayashi 34.69% 17
TOTAL VOTES 49

Hmm...
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Sheena - Bracket: Jill - Vote: Sheena (5/6)
Janus5000 | Posted 9/17/2006 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Jill Valentine 54.55% 6
Sheena Fujibayashi 45.45% 5
TOTAL VOTES 11

68.16% of the bracketeers > moi
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/17/2006 9:00:46 PM | message detail
68% for The Bos?!?! Board 8 gets owned!
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2006 9:01:14 PM | message detail
GG Casual bracketeers
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Sheena - Bracket: Jill - Vote: Sheena (5/6)
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/17/2006 9:01:46 PM | message detail
Sheena's looking pretty damn good but it's probably just the board vote.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
charmander6000 | Posted 9/17/2006 9:01:52 PM | message detail
Jill Valentine 62.76% 241
Sheena Fujibayashi 37.24% 143
TOTAL VOTES 384

The board is still pro-ToS right?
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Yesmar | Posted 9/17/2006 9:02:13 PM | message detail
What happened there? Jill was hanging in with 68% and then she just dropped out of nowhere.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
HaRRicH | Posted 9/17/2006 9:02:36 PM | message detail
That could say something about how Solid will have lots of bracket-support, which would couple his success in the poll just before the contest started.....
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/17/2006 9:02:47 PM | message detail
lol, Ceej had Celes

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 9:03:09 PM | message detail
Jesus.... more people had Claire winning her 7-2 match than Celes winning her 4-5 match?

Now I feel like an idiot =(

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 9/17/2006 9:03:19 PM | message detail
dunno what people were expecting here - I see Jill as being on about Diablo's level while Sheena is slightly below Kratos. this makes sense to me if it hangs around the low 60's.
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2006 9:04:00 PM | message detail
*hack*

Sheena's just... making it interesting! That's all!

... Bracket voting!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 9:04:08 PM | message detail
You'd also expect Sheena to take the board vote no?

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Janus5000 | Posted 9/17/2006 9:05:14 PM | message detail
Oh snap.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/17/2006 9:05:19 PM | message detail
That was definitely a board vote. >>

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2006 9:05:24 PM | message detail
Dammit Sheena, don't get tripled!

Aaand, I'm out.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Sheena - Bracket: Jill - Vote: Sheena (5/6)
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2006 9:05:35 PM | message detail
*doubled
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Jill vs. Sheena - Bracket: Jill - Vote: Sheena (5/6)
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/17/2006 9:05:50 PM | message detail
Awesome update for Jill. Hopefully my prediction doesn't end up looking too crazy.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
The_Ocelot | Posted 9/17/2006 9:05:59 PM | message detail
From BlAcK TuRtLe Posted 9/18/2006 12:03:09 AM
Jesus.... more people had Claire winning her 7-2 match than Celes winning her 4-5 match?

Now I feel like an idiot =(

TuRtLe



Same here.
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Current Character Battle 5 Score 5/6 Today's Pick: Jill Next Pick: Peach Incorrect Picks: Celes
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 9:06:01 PM | message detail
There we go. 67.43% is my oracle pick. This might make up for me having Celes yesterday...

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/17/2006 9:06:10 PM | message detail
Yep, definitely the board vote.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
The Real Truth | Posted 9/17/2006 9:06:14 PM | message detail
That was hilarious.
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Let's welcome Chaos.
4/6 Next picks- Jill > Sheena, Peach > Daisy
RockMFR 5 | Posted 9/17/2006 9:06:15 PM | message detail
Oh man, I was all over this one. Come on, Jill! Break 70%!
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HEATED DISCUSSIONS WITH OTHER HARD CORE GAMERS o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/17/2006 9:06:17 PM | message detail
Looks like a certain princess has to be shaking in her dress about now...<_<
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Character Battle V Score - 6/6 points
Current Prediction - Jill Valentine vs. Sheena Fujibayashi
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/17/2006 9:06:38 PM | message detail
No reason to be shaking when Jill is just beating down fodder!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Yesmar | Posted 9/17/2006 9:06:52 PM | message detail
Wasn't there a delay in the sc2k4 contest after the first round, entering the second round?

Since this topic was brought up earlier, here are all the delays that I can recall

2003:
Two day break in between the second and third rounds

Sp2004:
1 day delay since Xenogears/Pokemon had to be redone

GTA/KOTOR ran 1 extra day due to the site redesign

1 day break in between the 16-Bit and 32-Bit Divisions in the Second Round

2004:
1 day delay due to Ryu H./Jill being redone

I don't believe that the last three contests have had any delays, so unless there's a glitch or something, having a break is up in the air.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 9/17/2006 9:07:15 PM | message detail
Looks like a certain princess has to be shaking in her dress about now...<_<


Well, if you were in Daisy's position tomorrow, you'd be shaking too.


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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2006 9:07:44 PM | message detail
... well I maintain that Peach loses to Jill by even more!

*grumble*
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Yesmar | Posted 9/17/2006 9:08:46 PM | message detail
I don't think Jill blowing out Sheena means anything for her match with Peach. I would expect Lloyd to get 60% against Sheena indirectly.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/17/2006 9:10:19 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
5------14464----66.9800885
4------17651----68.3077446
3------7904-----69.6609312
2------2036-----73.2318271
1------384------68.2291667
0------207------31.4009662

Overall prediction percentage: 68.16%

Another FF3 character bombs and takes brackets down with them. The best performers were the lower scores as opposed to the higher ones. Oddly enough the 0s do very well with almost 70% of them remaining 0.

20 people fell off the Top 50 today. reddevils5000, HeroicTombolo, GrapefruitKing, FigureOfSpeech, buttcake333333, ozcar504, MnMZero, Axem_Turtle, Janus5000, SpiritEvolve, Jarvey_Birdman, TheCatWhoDrowns, sqpat17, Heroic_Icon, MeowthRocket, E5150_ca, Viper_Vix3n, Kiarayah, Gettles and GameFAQs admin CJayC had Celes taking out The Boss.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 9:10:36 PM | message detail
Bold prediction: prediction rates will stay above 70% until Gordon/Phoenix

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2006 9:11:26 PM | message detail
Or rather Yoshi/Riku

TuRtLe
~~~
I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory.
Who Cares? | Posted 9/17/2006 9:13:31 PM | message detail
I can't see Jo Dark/Cortana having that big of a favorite.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th)
*Just 22 days until Tales of the Abyss*