GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 364
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 10:32:50 PM | message detail |
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lol, Red making a stats topic. (That account posted on MBH with "R3d" in the sig for weeks, so... yeah) *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists: http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251 HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games: http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/top10/top10_100.html !yawa tsoP |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/16/2006 10:33:22 PM | message detail |
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Red has an account with 1000+ karma? >> --- ...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible. |
| Big Bob | Posted 9/16/2006 10:33:29 PM | message detail |
| Amy Rose > KOS-MOS |
| MoogleKupo141 | Posted 9/16/2006 10:33:32 PM | message detail |
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Blast, there goes my perfect bracket ;_; --- http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/contest_nominate.php Please nominate K. K. Slider (Animal Crossing) (Male) and Kazooie (Banjo-Kazooie) (Female) |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/16/2006 10:33:40 PM | message detail |
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Welcome to more internet drama, soon to be followed by threats of lawsuits and more borderline ASCII posts and pork links! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 10:34:07 PM | message detail |
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From Heroic Mario Posted 9/17/2006 1:33:22 AM #002 Red has an account with 1000+ karma? >> That he made himself? Of course not. But you know people are stupid and hand alts to anyone these days. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/16/2006 10:34:36 PM | message detail |
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Umm.. I'm not red... --- CB06 - Score: 6/6 Rank: Tied - 1st Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Today's Pick: The Boss Tomorrow's Pick: Jill Valentine |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/16/2006 10:35:11 PM | message detail |
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Who the hell has an alt with 1000+ karma? --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Sir Chris | Posted 9/16/2006 10:35:50 PM | message detail |
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Hey Darunia how are ya man. How is cindy? --- The FFP is the best topic on the board. It's a fact, look it up. http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411 |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/16/2006 10:35:55 PM | message detail |
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Sephiroth > Clou --- ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2006 10:36:07 PM | message detail |
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You know, for all you guys know, I could be a Red alt. Hell, what if ulti is a red alt? TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/16/2006 10:36:15 PM | message detail |
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But Cloud > Sephiroth! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2006 10:36:35 PM | message detail |
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I didn't think Darunia was Red, but what do I know. Paranoia FTW I guess <_< --- Commit it to memory. |
| Menji76 | Posted 9/16/2006 10:36:56 PM | message detail |
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This match makes me mad, I originally had Boss but switched it... Oh well. --- Board 8's #1 Duke Fan - Be Honest© SC2K6; 5/5; 5 Points; T-1st; Next Pick: Celes |
| Big Bob | Posted 9/16/2006 10:37:16 PM | message detail |
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Tifa beat Samus on votes. Board's reaction? --- September 22nd! Amy Rose > KOS-MOS Currently Playing: Disgaea: Hour of Darkness, God of War |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/16/2006 10:37:17 PM | message detail |
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Now that the last topic is over, I'm going back to something I've been
meaning to do for a long time: giving LoZ:LttP another chance. I've
been enjoying the hell out of it as of last night, something I hadn't
ever done before..... --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/16/2006 10:38:05 PM | message detail |
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Tifa beat Samus on votes. Board's reaction? Samus beats Tifa with 60%! --- ...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/16/2006 10:38:09 PM | message detail |
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I beat Link to the Past a couple of weeks ago. Good, but not great, by any means. Secret technique of darkness my foot! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 10:38:25 PM | message detail |
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You people must not go to MBH much, but it's irrelevant at this point anyway. Interesting topic, now that this match has become boring: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30595248 ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/16/2006 10:38:43 PM | message detail |
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Great >_> Now I'm not even allowed to post a stats topic because of some paranoia. --- CB06 - Score: 6/6 Rank: Tied - 1st Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Today's Pick: The Boss Tomorrow's Pick: Jill Valentine |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2006 10:39:22 PM | message detail |
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Celes had a relatively decent update. Will she take the night vote? TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| Heroic Mario | Posted 9/16/2006 10:39:51 PM | message detail |
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It doesn't matter what she does. This match is done. --- ...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible. |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 9/16/2006 10:40:11 PM | message detail |
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I just beat A Link to the Past again yesterday. Still my second favorite game, after Fire Emblem: Genealogy of the Holy War. --- It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti! ~ Lenneth Valkyrie |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/16/2006 10:40:16 PM | message detail |
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Meh, that was random variation more than anything. The Boss just
dropped off a bit. She probably won't finish with 60%+ but nothing to
be concerned about. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| Sir Chris | Posted 9/16/2006 10:40:33 PM | message detail |
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Well since he doesn't know who Cindy is, he is clearly fake, heh. --- The FFP is the best topic on the board. It's a fact, look it up. http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411 |
| Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 9/16/2006 10:40:49 PM | message detail |
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It doesn't matter what she does. What if she was forced to take drastic measures? Like... jumping off a cliff. --- Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 10:40:49 PM | message detail |
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WTF is up with these votals. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 10:41:58 PM | message detail |
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From DaruniaTheGoron Posted 9/17/2006 1:38:43 AM #020 Great >_> Now I'm not even allowed to post a stats topic because of some paranoia. You're horrid at imping people, slick. Stick to bad suicides. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/16/2006 10:42:05 PM | message detail |
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Not that it really matters, but... Who should represent the new fodder line? Kratos Aurion? Oh, and I still just can't understand Vyse vs. Tifa...maybe Vyse dropped a lot (possible: see Ryo Hazuki), Tifa got some abnormal TJF, Cloud got anti-voted some, Vyse's fans are dilligent enough that a character twice as popular as Tifa would only push Vyse down 3%...lots of stuff that might explain it. SFF wouldn't explain it since Vyse didn't suffer SFF against Cloud. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/16/2006 10:43:05 PM | message detail |
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What about them? Let's see. At the 1:40 mark, this match has 15272 votes. To compare with other matches at the same time: Samus/Nidoran F - 14651 Rikku/Lenneth - 13938 Kairi/Claire - 13185 Tifa/Ivy - 16388 Weekends! --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/16/2006 10:43:09 PM | message detail |
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Tag for later --- Character Battle V Score - 5/5 points Current Prediction - The Boss vs. Celes Chere |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/16/2006 10:43:15 PM | message detail |
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ATTN: Ulti I think you saw a guy from LUE posting called Clockwork Dragon, his signature used to have a quote from me, and all the "e"'s were replaced by "3" in his sig (because of that april fool's thing). I think he was part of that Red team and Blue team thing on LUE, which is why his sig said "R3d". --- CB06 - Score: 6/6 Rank: Tied - 1st Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Today's Pick: The Boss Tomorrow's Pick: Jill Valentine |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2006 10:43:32 PM | message detail |
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SFF wouldn't explain it since Vyse didn't suffer SFF against Cloud. Not necessarily...when you're that strong it's hard to get that much SFF. Mario/Samus and Link/Samus... --- Commit it to memory. |
| Sir Chris | Posted 9/16/2006 10:43:52 PM | message detail |
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Look at how he is ignoring my posts, geesh red, make it more obvious. --- The FFP is the best topic on the board. It's a fact, look it up. http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411 |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/16/2006 10:44:03 PM | message detail |
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SFF wouldn't explain it since Vyse didn't suffer SFF against Cloud. Meh, it's more of the idea that Cloud, Sephy, Vincent, Tifa, and Aeris would all perform in the same general area on Vyse. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 10:45:12 PM | message detail |
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From DaruniaTheGoron Posted 9/17/2006 1:43:15 AM #032 ATTN: Ulti I think you saw a guy from LUE posting called Clockwork Dragon, his signature used to have a quote from me, and all the "e"'s were replaced by "3" in his sig (because of that april fool's thing). I think he was part of that Red team and Blue team thing on LUE, which is why his sig said "R3d". ....how the **** does anyone ever fall for you asking for alts on AIM? You have the single worst "acting skills" of anyone I've ever seen on the internet. And regardless, I know what I saw and that story is BS. Off to WC3 with me =p ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| Sir Bormun | Posted 9/16/2006 10:49:17 PM | message detail |
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Hmm. I thought Darunia's been around for a while. Anyway. I'm still surprised that The Boss is this good based solely off of MGS3. But I can't complain. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411 - Fanfiction based on the 2k6 contest. |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/16/2006 10:51:41 PM | message detail |
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Ulti, why are you being such an ass to me? I'm honestly not Red, you
can ask Link2dapast, he probably remembers me from the Hylian Knights,
and he knows my friend Chris. This is honestly ridiculous, you have no proof and are jumping to conclusions. --- CB06 - Score: 6/6 Rank: Tied - 1st Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Today's Pick: The Boss Tomorrow's Pick: Jill Valentine |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 9/16/2006 10:53:33 PM | message detail |
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His typing style is nothing like red's, and he's certainly not going ballistic in a way that red would. Maybe he is red, but he's not handling the situation the way red would. --- "...And then they made me their chief." - Captain Jack Sparrow |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/16/2006 10:56:47 PM | message detail |
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Oh and Sir Chris, I'm ignoring you because I have no idea who Cindy is.
Maybe you have mistaken me for DaruniaTheKing, who despite similar
usernames, is not an alt of mine. --- CB06 - Score: 6/6 Rank: Tied - 1st Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Today's Pick: The Boss Tomorrow's Pick: Jill Valentine |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 10:57:57 PM | message detail |
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Fine. If I'm wrong, I apologize, blah blah blah have fun making the next topic when this one hits 300. I'm not an ass to ANYONE from the old Prophet Challenge topics without a damn good reason, by the way. And even if I am wrong, try posting in here at least once in awhile before making a topic. It's all I ask. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 11:01:06 PM | message detail |
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From DaruniaTheGoron Posted 9/17/2006 1:56:47 AM #040 Oh and Sir Chris, I'm ignoring you because I have no idea who Cindy is. Maybe you have mistaken me for DaruniaTheKing, who despite similar usernames, is not an alt of mine. ... You know, I think you're actually right on that. YAAAAAY for the psycho Ulti train being on insomnia high gear again. I'm going the **** to bed. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/16/2006 11:04:06 PM | message detail |
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Okay, well I'm glad all that's cleared up ^_^ --- CB06 - Score: 6/6 Rank: Tied - 1st Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Today's Pick: The Boss Tomorrow's Pick: Jill Valentine |
| BDawg | Posted 9/16/2006 11:08:54 PM | message detail |
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At this rate they might as well throw in General Leo and tell people if
you vote for him he becomes a playable character. Or maybe the spring
contest can be only FFVI characters so Vicks (haha Vicks) and Wedge can
finally dominate. --- Should I start running now? |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2006 11:16:18 PM | message detail |
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From BDawg Posted 9/17/2006 2:08:54 AM #044 At this rate they might as well throw in General Leo and tell people if you vote for him he becomes a playable character. That's not even funny. Remember that "fight 4000 straight battles in dragon forest to bring Leo back" rumor? Yeah, I took that seriously when I was a kid. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| transience | Posted 9/16/2006 11:22:05 PM | message detail |
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ahh, I remember that. people swore up and down that you could get Leo into your party back when. --- iddqd "MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage |
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/16/2006 11:23:05 PM | message detail |
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Score-Brackets-% Right 4------14975----96.5876461 3------18796----91.1896148 2------7373-----84.7416248 1------1268-----71.8454259 0------234------11.5384615 Overall prediction percentage: 90.96% Great prediction percentage today. The perfects and the -1s both get over 90. Only one person fell off the Top 50 today. SkullAngemon had Ivy over Tifa and prevents the top 50 from going perfect. --- I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest. Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest! |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/16/2006 11:43:14 PM | message detail |
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********LOZ:LTTP SPOILERS!!! I've got the second medallion/necklace/whatever and just now collected the Ice Rod, so I'm calling it a night for now. Next time I play though, should I go for the sword in the forest or on to the third medallion? Does it even matter which one I do first? --- Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest. It still hurts to be rear-ended like that..... |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/17/2006 12:28:16 AM | message detail |
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I was bored: Auron scored 45.95 on Ganondorf. Dante scored 45.99% on Vincent. 33.02% ; that's Auron's BL value if you take his 2005 match with Ganondorf and plug him into the Villain Contest. Dante's BL value from last summer is 32.73%. (32.73 / 33.02) * 50 = 49.56% is what Dante supposedly scores on Auron, but these two are only even if you assume the villain's contest is accurate. Basically, Ganondorf being favored against Vincent is based off of warped stats from when everyone thought Magus 2003 was legit, and a villain's contest in which Sephiroth was anti-voted to hell and back in the last two rounds. Is Ganon really that close to Mario of his own accord? If Ganon is overrated at ALL by our stats (and he is; none of the high readings we have on him are valid), Vincent might win that match in an easier fashion that people expect. Vincent might be overrated a bit due to FF7 > CT SFF, but if he pulled 44.62% on Crono due to Advent Children then his value is kind of accurate by accident. And he's had his own game since last year. And he might even see some KH2F go his way. Barring NintendoFAQs showing its muscle again (a real possibility, of course), I really think Vincent might be due to surprise some people in a couple of weeks. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI |
| transience | Posted 9/17/2006 12:33:18 AM | message detail |
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Vincent might be overrated a bit due to FF7 > CT SFF, but if he
pulled 44.62% on Crono due to Advent Children then his value is kind of
accurate by accident. not if it's anything like Mario Sunshine, where the immediate exposure (the leak happened like two days before) gave him a boost that he isn't likely to get again. personally, I take Ganondorf in that matchup. 46% on Auron pre-KH2 is more impressive to me than 46% on Dante. I would have taken Auron over Dante last year. does DOC make this closer? I don't think it has much of an effect, personally. you can make the case, but the people who bought DOC were already Vincent / FF7 fans to begin with. the game didn't sell incredibly well. --- iddqd "MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage |