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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 359

Heroic Mario | Posted 9/14/2006 9:21:02 PM | message detail
Claire did let Kairi gain too much there -- only eight votes -- but the lead is out to 238 now.

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Yesmar | Posted 9/14/2006 9:21:21 PM | message detail
And as soon as I post that, Kairi's gains start to slow.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
HaRRicH | Posted 9/14/2006 9:21:43 PM | message detail
Kairi only gained, what, 8 that time?

Take what you can get, I guess, but Claire's gotta cut into the lead soon, often, and preferably big-time if she's goin' to keep this a match all day.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
cyko | Posted 9/14/2006 9:21:44 PM | message detail
oh ****. now Kairi only gained 8 votes on that update........ i was so about to go to bed, too.....

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
Lopen | Posted 9/14/2006 9:21:55 PM | message detail
I wouldn't go that far. We've yet to determine how close Claire actually is to her 2k2 value. Heck, for all we know she could be below Jill's 2k4 value.

Oh, I'd bet on it. We won't really know until next round for sure, but the main reason I picked Claire here is because I figured people wouldn't care about Kairi. Not because I thought Claire was anything near her 2002 value. I think both of these two are below the fodder line.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/14/2006 9:21:58 PM | message detail
Bah, Kairi's not killing Claire enough for my prediction. This 'middle ground' stuff angers me. Either blow her out or give her a close match, Kairi!
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Commit it to memory.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/14/2006 9:22:03 PM | message detail
Oh can it, Ulti, as if you're any better.

When was the last time I've even come close to doing that other than GTA/Warcraft? Seriously.

You have no idea how sick I am of seeing people speaking in absolutes about in-the-air matches. It just boggles my mind how people that are so smart otherwise can act that way.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
Axem Turtle | Posted 9/14/2006 9:22:39 PM | message detail
OMG!!!!!!!!!!!! ONLY 8 VOTES!!!!!!!!!!!!!

CLAIRE WINS THE MATCH ZOMG!!!!111111111111111111111

lol cs&d

TuRtLe
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Turtle on his laptop | Contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 9/14/2006 9:22:50 PM | message detail
In any event, I should be safe with my spread betting max on Claire if this continues. >.>
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
Janus5000 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:22:55 PM | message detail
GTA had a higher % and a bigger lead at this point over Warcraft.

The difference being that Kairi has every reason to get the morning/day vote, whereas GTA was against server maintenance during the day.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Axem Turtle | Posted 9/14/2006 9:23:40 PM | message detail
How many in the BOP had Claire to win this match?

TuRtLe
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Turtle on his laptop | Contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Draco1214 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:24:17 PM | message detail
Kairi - 57
Claire - 33
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Character Battle V Score - 3/3 points
Current Prediction - Kairi vs. Claire Redfield
transience | Posted 9/14/2006 9:24:18 PM | message detail
it shouldn't matter.. unless Claire starts cutting at the lead bigtime, it's very unlikely Claire will win considering KH's traditionally strong day vote. RE is probably a night vote kind of game, too. unless this is still the board vote / bracket vote and Claire starts tearing Kairi to pieces suddenly, I'd say this match is probably over.

*hears crickets chirp from gloaters*
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iddqd
"MY SLEEPING PATTERNS ARE SHOT THANKS TO YOU AND YOUR FANFICTION" -windmage
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/14/2006 9:24:24 PM | message detail
Before we go thinking claire can come back maybe we should wait for her to win an update. I mean slowing the gains kairi is making helps, but for one update it could just be an anomaly
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Axem Turtle | Posted 9/14/2006 9:24:28 PM | message detail
And the Warcraft server maintenance was from 1am-11am EST IIRC.

TuRtLe
~~~
Turtle on his laptop | Contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/14/2006 9:24:49 PM | message detail
This match was heavily debated and considered to be up in the air by many people (y'know, not counting people who show up after the fact and proclaim how obvious one pick was <_<). But I never really thought that these two being fodder was even...in question. Same thing for Master Hand/Kuja -- what was with the nutjobs who were thinking MH was going to be a low midcarder after that match?

No offense to the nutjobs, of course.
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Commit it to memory.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/14/2006 9:25:30 PM | message detail
"Jill did have that crazy-ass run on Hyubasa in the middle of the night though."

1. Seen anyone have any crazy runs lately? Since the change of the poll's start times it doesn't seem to happen anymore, ever.
2. Jill took the lead after 14 minutes of that match.
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, maybe you deserved it.
Janus5000 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:25:38 PM | message detail
So much for that.

Not to say it won't happen again next update.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/14/2006 9:25:39 PM | message detail
Kairi up to a lead of 286 now. Rebounded from the last update!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/14/2006 9:25:49 PM | message detail
I think the warcraft rallying would have happened in just as much force regardless of the day. Being the time-sinks that mmo's are, people often wait a long time between raids, in which I'd imagine they spend on warcraft fan sites a lot.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/14/2006 9:26:14 PM | message detail
I don't know why people thought Kairi would be THAT weak. Even Ansem has some strength(Even if he did struggle with CATS) and I'm certain that KH fans love Kairi a lot more than Ansem.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
Janus5000 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:27:01 PM | message detail
It started that early? I thought it was more of a morning thing.

The point still stands - KH's day vote owns the crap out of GTA's, and RE's barely owns the crap out of Street Fighter's.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/14/2006 9:27:03 PM | message detail
And by the way, I didn't act like an ass about this match because I'm not passing judgment without having played RE2.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/14/2006 9:28:07 PM | message detail
I don't know why people thought Kairi would be THAT weak. Even Ansem has some strength(Even if he did struggle with CATS) and I'm certain that KH fans love Kairi a lot more than Ansem.

I agree. I'm no KH expert, but from what I can gather ansem is about as well liked by the KH fanbase as dagoth ur is by morrowind fans.

Which is to say, they couldn't give two ****s about him.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/14/2006 9:28:31 PM | message detail
Passing judgment on RE4 being miles ahead of the others without even playing the traditionally best one, Ulti?

You see this? You get a Wag of the Finger. =[
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Commit it to memory.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/14/2006 9:28:53 PM | message detail
Well yeah, Janus, that's why people were calling it after 15 minutes. This time of day is Claire's only chance of pulling a win. She'll do nothing but lose ground all day long. So if she can't lead now, she can't lead ever.
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, maybe you deserved it.
Lopen | Posted 9/14/2006 9:29:25 PM | message detail
You have no idea how sick I am of seeing people speaking in absolutes about in-the-air matches. It just boggles my mind how people that are so smart otherwise can act that way.

When was the last time I've even come close to doing that other than GTA/Warcraft? Seriously.


You know what I'm sick of? No... forget it.

Whatever, I still say that's because you haven't had many opportunities to do that where you've made the wrong call in a debatable match since then. So you've lasted about 20 matches without making big claims for the wrong competitor, suddenly you're supposed to be "above it", now? Excuse me if I don't give that much weight.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/14/2006 9:29:32 PM | message detail
What are the odds of Kairi running away with the day AND night votes en route to a 58.12% win?

>_>

;__;

I'm sucking badly this year in the Oracle.

TuRtLe
~~~
Turtle on his laptop | Contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/14/2006 9:29:38 PM | message detail
It's so painful for me to go through these two days, despite my two favorite characters winning (probably). Because every single topic about Rikku or Kairi is about how they're stupid and slutty or stupid and useless.
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caps
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/14/2006 9:29:54 PM | message detail
I'd like to hear reasoning as to how RE4 isn't the most popular game in the series.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/14/2006 9:30:21 PM | message detail
I don't know, I started replaying RE2 a few months ago and it seemed horribly dated, and it had aged about as well as the original castlevania. After playing RE4 it just seems so inferior in gameplay I can't see anything even coming close to touching re4 in terms of re popularity.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:30:41 PM | message detail
I think RE2 has sold more.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/14/2006 9:30:51 PM | message detail
And if there's 1 match Ulti could get pwned by that he's been acting is absolute truth, it's PW/GF

<_<

TuRtLe
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Turtle on his laptop | Contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/14/2006 9:31:49 PM | message detail
BS. I picked Gordon in my bracket, and hope to GOD that I'm wrong. I've said this from day one! :)

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/14/2006 9:31:50 PM | message detail
Sure, RE2 sold more... but that's because peoplw didn't mind playing crappy games with dusgustingly puke-in-mouth-and-chocke-to-death-on-my-own-vomit-instead-of-playing-this-crap-anymore controls.
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, maybe you deserved it.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/14/2006 9:31:54 PM | message detail
I wasn't referring to popularity. I was referring to gameplay, which is what you were referring to. >=/

RE4 is obviously leaps and bounds ahead of any other RE game on this site.
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Commit it to memory.
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/14/2006 9:32:20 PM | message detail
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO, kairi dropped below what she needs for me to make gains in the spread betting topic. Hopefully she makes it back in the day.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Janus5000 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:32:23 PM | message detail
Well, in-the-air is subjective, and while some people think PW/GF is in the air, there's an amazingly good case to suggest otherwise.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
greatone10 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:33:46 PM | message detail
Heh, I still say the reasoning for picking Claire was logical, as was the idea that Kairi was trash fodder that no one cares about, and that I don't regret making this choice at all.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/14/2006 9:34:14 PM | message detail
Oh well.. there goes one point. I guess one point isn't bad in a contest like this, though.
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Rikku vs. Lenneth / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Lenneth (2/2)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Claire / Vote: Claire
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/14/2006 9:34:38 PM | message detail
I have to disagree with no one caring about Kairi, you know with me being a fan and all.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/14/2006 9:35:17 PM | message detail
I don't see how anyone can actually convince themselves PW actually has a decent chance in that match without taking a brick to their own head. If he wins it'd be a miracle, and it'd prove GFNW as well as put the punk lower than he's ever been.

Yep, losing to PW would put GF well under 11%
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, maybe you deserved it.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/14/2006 9:35:50 PM | message detail
The problem is, if you or your game doesn't leave a BIG impression on people (think Crono, Ryu, that kind of thing), recency is a much bigger factor than most imagine. After Claire gets that role in the new RE Wii game, would I even consider Kairi over her? HELL no.
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Commit it to memory.
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/14/2006 9:35:53 PM | message detail
The reasoning for picking Claire was that she got 45% on Tidus before the Square boost, and when Tidus-hate was at it's peak.

I'd hardly call that logical >_>

Though if Kairi does better than 57% on Rikku, I'll honestly be surprised.

TuRtLe
~~~
Turtle on his laptop | Contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/14/2006 9:36:18 PM | message detail
"Heh, I still say the reasoning for picking Claire was logical, as was the idea that Kairi was trash fodder that no one cares about, and that I don't regret making this choice at all."

Reality called, said you were wrong on all counts but the last. Then you bracket called and said wants to reak up with you because you don't care for it enough and you don't take good care of it.
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, maybe you deserved it.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/14/2006 9:37:17 PM | message detail
Huh? I highly doubt Kairi is beating Rikku, because she IS fodder compared to Rikku in the Square echelon.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/14/2006 9:38:12 PM | message detail
Why would you think Kairi was trash fodder? Not even Ansem is THAT low and you would have to be insane to think Kairi would be near Ansem.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
Haste_2 | Posted 9/14/2006 9:38:14 PM | message detail
The match has been too consistant. Good night.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/14/2006 9:38:19 PM | message detail
"The reasoning for picking Claire was that she got 45% on Tidus before the Square boost, and when Tidus-hate was at it's peak."

You mean the Tidus that ranked 11th that year? The one that had a massive drop a year later when everyone else from the company had a massive gain? Yeah, as I said, that "logic" was anything but.
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If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, maybe you deserved it.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/14/2006 9:38:25 PM | message detail
If ChichiriMuyo never posts again, it'll be too soon.

Anyway, I'm losing a point on this, but I don't really care, considering I basically picked whatever the hell I wanted to when filling out my bracket. PW>GF and Luigi>Zero!

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Do you really need me to bring out the stats?- Azp2k32 on why Zero would double Luigi