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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 358

UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/13/2006 9:31:13 PM | message detail
Robotnik getting his face kicked in by Ganon felt better.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
Haste_2 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:31:22 PM | message detail
Dang you Board 8 with your bracket-votes! Just let Rikku drop down to that 74%!

Okay, anyway...I'm not so sure about RE bracket support. It seems about average to me. Jill was favored over Ryu H, but Gordon was favored over Leon. In my opinion, a HUGE factor in bracket support is whether that character has been a previous contest, and it's not just having success in the past contest.

But, to be honest, I think Jade had such big support because Jade has the advantage of a more appealing name for those who had no clue who either character was (basically what creativename said except applied to prediction percentage =P). That, and a little bit from people thinking of the wrong Jade. But, yeah...who honestly likes the name Ada wong? "Jade" just sounds so cool and all.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 9:31:50 PM | message detail
Wait..... Terra? You had her over freaking Dante?


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 1/1 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/13/2006 9:33:11 PM | message detail
3 days later, you're still laughing at the fact the Samus couldn't break 82% on Nidoran F.
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 9:33:58 PM | message detail
Oh, KH, our sig bet was on Celes/Boss right?

How we gonna do this? Change sig for the rest of the contest? Or just a month?


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 1/1 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
FastFalcon05 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:34:37 PM | message detail
Really, the thought that Kairi is going to absolutely SUCK has nothing to do with x-stats.

XD
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/13/2006 9:34:37 PM | message detail
But, yeah...who honestly likes the name Ada wong

HI I'M DAISY

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/13/2006 9:35:21 PM | message detail
Wait..... Terra? You had her over freaking Dante?

Yes, and I had similar reasons for taking her over Dante.

Oh, and I didn't have MK over MM.

Anyway, if there's anything Ridley (the one that burnt me the most) ever taught me, it's that I should rely more on the character than the series they come.
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Ada Wong vs. Jade / Bracket: Ada / Vote: Ada (1/1)
Tomorrow: Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Lenneth
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/13/2006 9:35:21 PM | message detail
*de~*st*~roys Ulti*
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
PiGuy96 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:35:30 PM | message detail
I don't see why everyone thinks Claire fell off the face of the earth into fodderland, anyway. 45% on Tidus a year after FFX is pretty darn good, I'd say, and Jill hasn't fallen that far since 2k2. Around 27% back then compared with 24% now(ish), if you assume Hayabusa got hurt by looking like Arabusa against Sora and use Zero instead. That's hardly catastrophic, and it's pre-RE4, too, which probably has an umbrella (lol) affect on the whole series.
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It shall be engraved upon your soul! Divine Assault: Nibelung Valesti! ~ Lenneth Valkyrie
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/13/2006 9:36:06 PM | message detail
From ExThaNemesis Posted 9/14/2006 12:35:21 AM #359
*de~*st*~roys Ulti*

*uses Bowser*

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FE8, Castlevania: LoI
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/13/2006 9:37:39 PM | message detail
*kills self, twice*
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 9:39:24 PM | message detail
Yes, and I had similar reasons for taking her over Dante.

My reasons involve applying that logic to debateable matches. Samus/Mario comes to mind. I still can't fathom how the majority of this board had Samus winning that match.


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 2/2 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/13/2006 9:40:43 PM | message detail
How we gonna do this? Change sig for the rest of the contest? Or just a month?

A month, like I already specified. <_<
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Commit it to memory.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/13/2006 9:40:44 PM | message detail
Truth be told, Turtle, I had Samus a few times, and had her going into the lockdown... but I went to bed... and couldn't sleep, and about 30 seconds before Lockdown I went back to Mario. That match was harder to call than you think.
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 9:40:50 PM | message detail
From PiGuy96 Posted 9/13/2006 9:35:30 PM
I don't see why everyone thinks Claire fell off the face of the earth into fodderland, anyway. 45% on Tidus a year after FFX is pretty darn good, I'd say, and Jill hasn't fallen that far since 2k2. Around 27% back then compared with 24% now(ish), if you assume Hayabusa got hurt by looking like Arabusa against Sora and use Zero instead. That's hardly catastrophic, and it's pre-RE4, too, which probably has an umbrella (lol) affect on the whole series.

I'd point out Mega Man/Sephiroth, but I'm sure there are better examples of 2k2 wierdness that I probably wouldn't know without looking them up.


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 2/2 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:41:49 PM | message detail
You know, I'd have to agree with BT that this match reminds me of Mega Man/Mario Kart. Kairi was blowing Claire away in the BOP until this topic began to argue it.

Personally, I think the match will be uninteresting, with Kairi taking the board vote/early lead and never giving it up.
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Character Battle V Score - 2/2 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Lenneth Valkyrie
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 9:42:21 PM | message detail
From ExThaNemesis Posted 9/13/2006 9:40:44 PM
Truth be told, Turtle, I had Samus a few times, and had her going into the lockdown... but I went to bed... and couldn't sleep, and about 30 seconds before Lockdown I went back to Mario. That match was harder to call than you think.

I think that match is one where you need to seperate yourself completely from Board 8. Although now I can somewhat understand the rationale with Mario's bombing against Crono in 2k4. It just seems like common sense that Mario would steal the votes from any Nintendo Character (lol link)


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 2/2 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
greatone10 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:43:40 PM | message detail
Well, the 2k2 stats are old and weird, but I'm not going to pretend it never happened either, especially when I can just take Claire's one performance and throw it into 2k4 to see where she measures up using Tidus's lowest value.

Although I still feel Kairi's going to suck so much I shouldn't bother having to do that.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/13/2006 9:43:59 PM | message detail
I'd be surprised if Kairi actually took the board vote head-on.
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Ada Wong vs. Jade / Bracket: Ada / Vote: Ada (1/1)
Tomorrow: Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Lenneth
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/13/2006 9:45:17 PM | message detail
If Kairi takes the board vote I'm gonna throw up.

Hell if Kairi takes ANY vote I'm gonna throw up.
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 9:45:19 PM | message detail
Let's put it this way. If I had Board 8 knowledge last year, along with the mindset I used this year, I probably would've been on the leaderboard at the end. I had stupid picks like Vivi > Zelda and Squall > Dante in the Devil Division that probably would've been avoided if I had some info on past contest.

Fun fact: I had Magus winning his match due to the SquareFAQs factor. It's odd how immersing yourself in the contests changes your perception of the sight.


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 2/2 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 9:46:26 PM | message detail
I think Kairi sucking is pretty much universally accepted. Just that some people think that Claire will suck much more.


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 2/2 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:47:28 PM | message detail
Does the majority of this board even care about Claire?
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Character Battle V Score - 2/2 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Lenneth Valkyrie
greatone10 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:48:10 PM | message detail
Board 8 knowledge is a double-edged sword. On one hand, you are privy to the board overanalyzing things like Samus over Mario, and being influenced by board fads (ToS characters last year, Phoenix this year). On the other hand, you won't ever do something stupid like picking GoW Kratos over Alucard or having Ganon defeat Samus becuase he made the Villian Contest finals.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/13/2006 9:48:40 PM | message detail
Does the majority of this board even care about Claire?

Dude, you got it SO backwards.
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Rikku vs. Lenneth / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Lenneth (2/2)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Claire/ Vote: Claire
Janus5000 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:49:39 PM | message detail
There are a few Claire fans here, and... maybe two Kairi fans.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:50:27 PM | message detail
You forget that this board is still on a KH2 high and would probably vote for Kairi over a character they don't care about. Hell, I know I'll be voting for Kairi...and I liked RE2.
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Character Battle V Score - 2/2 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Lenneth Valkyrie
Big Bob | Posted 9/13/2006 9:50:51 PM | message detail
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/business/285027_nintendo14.html

Heroic Mario is so screwed.
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September 22nd! Amy Rose > KOS-MOS
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/13/2006 9:51:13 PM | message detail
I actually expect Claire to get the board vote, and very easily. My reasons are just gut reasons.
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Rikku vs. Lenneth / Bracket: Rikku / Vote: Lenneth (2/2)
Tomorrow / Bracket: Claire / Vote: Claire
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:51:34 PM | message detail
Well, if that's true, that just buried the Ganondorf upset for good.
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Character Battle V Score - 2/2 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Lenneth Valkyrie
greatone10 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:51:50 PM | message detail
I guess this match COULD be compared to Mario Kart/Mega Man (if Kairi takes it), except we were arguing which series is stronger, while this time we are arguing which character is going to bomb worse.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/13/2006 9:53:09 PM | message detail
BR Round 5 is projected to be on Nov. 18th. If everything goes as planned, Cloud still has a shot at Link. If there is a one day delay, TP releases on the day of Cloud vs Link and Link will completely decimate him.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
Yesmar | Posted 9/13/2006 9:58:40 PM | message detail
I would expect Kairi to get the board vote actually. In close matches, the board favorite usually does much better initially.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/13/2006 9:59:35 PM | message detail
If this Wii stuff is true, my Cloud > Link upset may win me the contest.
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Commit it to memory.
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 10:01:03 PM | message detail
XD

If that news is true, then HM just got screwed by Nintendo. I bet they've been reading his rants XD


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 2/2 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Haste_2 | Posted 9/13/2006 10:04:09 PM | message detail
I like the news by the fact that Zelda/Aeris takes place well before the Wii is released, so I feel a bit better about Aeris' chances. I -love- this 12-point risk...in fact, so much that I took Aeris over Zelda in BOTH my brackets...:p Come on, Aeris...!

I just realized that if Aeris beating Zelda, Samus would face both Aeris AND Tifa, giving us a clear comparison between the two. Interesting.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/13/2006 10:05:26 PM | message detail
I love it. Vincent > Ganon is a lock, Aeris > Zelda looks awesome, and Link may lose in the battle royale now, which would be the best thing to happen in any contest since Sephiroth won.
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/13/2006 10:05:57 PM | message detail
lol SquareFAQs
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Commit it to memory.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2006 10:06:42 PM | message detail
Note: Never bank on a release date for affecting the result of a match (see: Advent Children last year).
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Character Battle V Score - 2/2 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Lenneth Valkyrie
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/13/2006 10:08:01 PM | message detail
As hypocritical as this sounds, I'd welcome SquareFAQs with open arms after the last year or so. >.>
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ExThaNemesis? More like ExThOWNEDNemesis! ND>PSU What a blowout; the Lions must suck, but thats the way ExTha likes it.
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/13/2006 10:08:10 PM | message detail
If that news is true, then HM just got screwed by Nintendo.

As far as the contest goes? Looks like it.

As far as my feelings overall? No way. Everything except for the date has been pleasing to me.

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/13/2006 10:09:44 PM | message detail
As far as my tastes go, SquareFAQs would mean a better champion, and a worse everything else. I'd like an, um, Nintendo&SquareAreCompetitiveAndMaybeSomethingFromAnotherCompanyFAQS, if that's possible.

AND DON'T CLOSE YOUR ACCOUNT IF YOU LOSE HM PLZ ;_;
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Commit it to memory.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/13/2006 10:09:55 PM | message detail
And a small smile arose across Cloud's face...
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Scooped in a coupe, Snoop we got news/Your girl was trickin' while you was draped in your county blues
I ain't been out a second/And already gotta do some mutha****in chin checkin
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2006 10:10:17 PM | message detail
And Link isn't losing in the Battle Royale. Not after what happened in the last contest.
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Character Battle V Score - 2/2 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Lenneth Valkyrie
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/13/2006 10:10:58 PM | message detail
AND DON'T CLOSE YOUR ACCOUNT IF YOU LOSE HM PLZ

I have to. Them's the breaks. =p

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Who Cares? | Posted 9/13/2006 10:11:05 PM | message detail
I guess the TP release is what made Zelda > Aeris an overwhelming favorite? (at least in the BOP) Now the match becomes as debatable as it should've been from the start.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Kasumi (Septemeber 26th)
*Just 26 days until Tales of the Abyss*
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/13/2006 10:11:38 PM | message detail
...uh...seeing as how the biggest argument for Cloud to win this year is KH2, I don't see how that's relevant. I've been saying it's possible for Zelda to win the series and Cloud to win the character contest for a while now -- which is why I took that upset. <_<
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Commit it to memory.
Haste_2 | Posted 9/13/2006 10:11:47 PM | message detail
Hey...what if Sonic DROPPED? Maybe he dropped to his 2K4 levels again...add in a Ganondorf increase that he might've gotten anyway, and Ganondorf still might beat Sonic! Don't lose hope yet!

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 10:12:24 PM | message detail
From ExThaNemesis Posted 9/13/2006 10:08:01 PM
As hypocritical as this sounds, I'd welcome SquareFAQs with open arms after the last year or so. >.>

Pfft, we've had SquareFAQs. It sucked. NintendoFAQs was much better, although we could use a change. Maybe CapcomFAQs? That would kick ass.


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 2/2 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383