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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 358

longbladeofhiko | Posted 9/13/2006 7:45:10 PM | message detail
Lenneth needs to break 30% to show that Rikku is weaksauce.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/13/2006 7:49:38 PM | message detail
hiko needs to stop being wrong about everything, especially concerning the awesomest characters like Rikku and Kairi!
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caps
longbladeofhiko | Posted 9/13/2006 7:50:45 PM | message detail
Rikku and Kairi are like the worst Square characters out there. Your the one whose wrong here :P
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend And Tag Champ Masa
I jobbed to Z1mZum in the Guru Contest. Did you?
Tai | Posted 9/13/2006 7:51:10 PM | message detail
tag! :o
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Just like the South in the Civil War, the Red Sox will always and forever be remebered for getting owned by the Yankees.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 9/13/2006 7:52:10 PM | message detail
Will Lennith cover the spread tomorrow? SC2k6 Spread betting put the line at Rikku - 48. That means Lennith only needs to break 26%

I totally feel like someone reputable now. This made my gamefaqs day. I'm going to refer to myself now as SC2k6 Spread Betting from now on, forget FF05.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
MastaHealer | Posted 9/13/2006 7:52:37 PM | message detail
*has entered the topic. Do not be alarmed*
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*is wavedash101*
Satai gets Biggest Surprise EVER Award! ^_^
Super Luigi | Posted 9/13/2006 7:53:44 PM | message detail
It doesn't even feel like the contest has started yet. That's how boring it is so far because of a stupid all females side of the bracket.
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Currently playing : Resident Evil 4(GC),NCAA Football 07(Xbox),Kirby Canvas Curse(DS).
XBL Gamertag - SuPer MiKe 86.
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/13/2006 7:54:26 PM | message detail
Too bad the female side is better than any male side will ever be!
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caps
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/13/2006 7:55:08 PM | message detail
too bad the female side needs moar of me lolol
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/13/2006 8:01:46 PM | message detail
Nintendo - 20
- A Link to the Past over Final Fantasy VI
- Donkey Kong over Aya Brea
- Ganondorf over Tidus
- Ganondorf over Ansem
- Ganondorf over Yuna
- Ganondorf over Auron
- Kirby over Ramza Beoulve
- Kirby over Cecil
- Kirby over Tidus
- Link over Sephiroth (x2)
- Link over Cloud Strife (x2)
- Mario over Cloud Strife
- Samus Aran over Squall Leonhart
- Samus Aran over Sora
- Super Mario Bros. 3 over Final Fantasy
- Super Smash Bros. Melee over Final Fantasy X
- The Legend of Zelda series over Final Fantasy series
- Zelda over Vivi


Square - 19
- Auron over Ness
- Cloud Strife over Fox McCloud
- Cloud Strife over Pikachu
- Cloud Strife over Bowser
- Cloud Strife over Link
- Cloud Strife over Samus Aran
- Final Fantasy series over Super Mario Bros. series
- Final Fantasy VII over Ocarina of Time
- Final Fantasy VII over Super Smash Bros. Melee
- Sephiroth over Samus Aran
- Sephiroth over Mario (x2)
- Sephiroth over Bowser
- Sephiroth over Ganondorf
- Squall Leonhart over Luigi
- Squall Leonhart over Kirby
- Tifa Lockhart over Luigi
- Vivi over Donkey Kong
- Xenogears over Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal

Wow. It's close!

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...Z1mZum owned my B1mBum in the Guru Contest...
RadiantRikku | Posted 9/13/2006 8:02:21 PM | message detail
Sorry, Ms. Tronne, but I'm better than you and I got into the contest. And I'm about to break 80%!
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Rikku > Samus!
Heroic_Servbot | Posted 9/13/2006 8:03:51 PM | message detail
Hell yeah Tron!!!!

Servbot and T. Bonne will rule the next Character Battle!

*dropkicks Rikku*
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wavedash
Ozzie's in a pickle!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/13/2006 8:05:01 PM | message detail
*follows up with a missile dropkick with a chair to Rikkus abdomen*

Try breakin 80% now!
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/13/2006 8:07:44 PM | message detail
Fun with x-stats!

Claire (2002c) VS Rikku (2005c)

Claire has a strength of 30.11.
Rikku has a strength of 26.55.

Claire wins with 55.91% of the vote!
A win of 9,712 with 82,142 total votes cast.
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/13/2006 8:09:47 PM | message detail
DC, I'm guessing you didn't count anything related to Chrono Trigger because it was on a Nintendo console?
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 8:10:17 PM | message detail
THEJackSparrow
Posted 9/13/2006 3:02:43 PM
message detail
#197 It's the whole "Nintendo fans will vote for anything!" mentality, is it?

Speaking of which, Kuja vs. Nidoran F: Who wins?


Nidoran. I've said it before, it's less about people voting anything Nintendo, and more about people genuinely disliking Kuja. 9 is the least popular FF since 5.


TuRtLe
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Character Battle V score: 1/1 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
RadiantRikku | Posted 9/13/2006 8:10:25 PM | message detail
Claire (2002c) VS Rikku (2005c)

Claire has a strength of 3.77.
Rikku has a strength of 26.55.

Rikku wins with 92.90% of the vote!
A win of 89,498 with 104,310 total votes cast.

Oops!
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Rikku > Samus!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/13/2006 8:11:28 PM | message detail
*sad face*
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/13/2006 8:12:00 PM | message detail
Pfft!


We'll be finding out in less than three hours that the Wii is coming out October 23rd, 2006.


O RLY?

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Explicit Content
Philadelphia's Path to Cheer Up Emo Kids (1-0) - Next week vs. New York Giants.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/13/2006 8:12:47 PM | message detail
Wow. It's close!

Too bad you've missed matches on both sides. (Mario/Crono comes to mind right away)
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/13/2006 8:13:08 PM | message detail
Yeah, I didn't count Crono/CT/SMRPG...

http/boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php=3fboard=3d8&topic=3d30535937

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...Z1mZum owned my B1mBum in the Guru Contest...
Master Moltar | Posted 9/13/2006 8:14:49 PM | message detail
Spazer Division: Round 1 - Match 3 – (3)Rikku vs. (6)Lenneth Valkyrie

Moltar’s Analysis

Rikku
Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy X
Extrapolated Rank in 2005: 28th (24.33%)
Seed in 2005: 7
Lost in 2005 to Ryu in Round 1

Rikku made her Contest debut in 2005 and is back to show the females how it’s done.

Lenneth
Game/Series Known From: Valkyrie Profile

…………………………………………….Who?

So in one corner we have a Final Fantasy X female, and in the other…Lenneth. In one corner, we have a woman who was able to put up 45% on Ryu, and in the other…Lenneth. This match is just too easy.

I could go and do research on how much FFX/FFX-2 has outsold Valkyrie Profile, but that’s unecessary. All you need to do is ask yourself if the casual voter will know who Lenneth is? Then ask if they would vote her over Rikku. Yeah, Rikku has this in the bag.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Rikku will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Rikku: 80% - Lenneth: 20%



Ulti’s Analysis

Lenneth making a contest is cool and all, but Valkyrie Profile is far too cult for her to do any damage in this match at all. Especially not after what Rikku pulled off against Ryu last year. Valkyrie Profile making it to the PSP might make a difference of a percent or two, but that's still not much of anything noteworthy.

Prediction: Rikku with 72.45%



HM’s Analysis

So I’m guessing that Lenneth managed to make it in because of that new PS2 RPG…Silmeria, I believe. No matter, she’s up against a Final Fantasy female who was able to put up 45% against Ryu of all characters. Rikku is definitely one of the strongest on the female side, which doesn’t really matter considering Ms. Aran heads up this division, but it’s worth noting!

Lenneth may have a nice cult fanbase that will be able to keep her from being too far below other cult RPG characters, but there’s nothing to see here other than a huge blowout for Rikku.

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Rikku

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Rikku – 77% ; Lenneth Valkyrie – 23%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Rikku



Yoblazer’s Analysis

I don't know her, you don't know her, but her name is Lenneth Valkyrie, and she's here to stink up the joint! Tell me, Lenneth, can you score 45% on Ryu? Huh? Can you? Want to give it a shot? Oh, what's that? You say you can't? Awww...

Well too bad so sad for you, toots! Get out of my sight.

My prediction: Rikku def. Lenneth Valkyrie (77-23)



Lopen’s Analysis

From what I understand, Lenneth Valkyrie is the star of Valkyrie Profile. Valkyrie Profile is a pretty hard game to get your hands on, I can't find it anywhere! You know what, I think as research for this match, I should play this game… let's go to eBay!

*walk walk walk*

Okay, we're here at eBay! Let's find "Valkyrie Profile". *finds results* Oh, alright! The games are only selling for $30 or $40! Excellent! Whoa whoa… that's the PSP game? Yeah right, like anyone owns that. I want the PS game! Ah, here we go:

http://cgi.ebay.com/Valkyrie-Profile-Playstation_W0QQitemZ120027041798QQihZ002QQcategoryZ62053QQrdZ1QQcmdZViewItem

EGADS! $102.50 plus S&H! And it's still going! Stay tuned to see how much it finished for! Okay, this was a roundabout way of saying "Valkyrie Profile is cult". Sorry, I wanted more than a four word analysis… I know you did too. Expect a Luca Blight-esque (who is also star of an eBay ripoff special!) performance from Lenneth.

Lopen's Prediction: Rikku with 76.94%
Master Moltar | Posted 9/13/2006 8:15:10 PM | message detail
KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

Rikku

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 30th Place [24.33%]

Next up is Rikku. And hey, this year I actually know something about her, thanks to my recent playthrough of FFX. Yeah, Rikku's cool, though if you're not using items or stealing she's basically useless early on. Good personality too, though she could stand to act more realistic. Though this is a problem with every character in X, not just -- oh, wait! Contest match, yeah...well, Rikku did a helluva job in her first time out, getting 44% on Ryu -- for comparison, Dante got 46% in 2k3. Even on a weaker Ryu, that's great. But she could have only got 20% on Ryu and still have this first match in the bag. For her opponent is...

Lenneth Valkyrie

lol N/A

My pick for the weakest character of the contest here, ladies and gentlemen. No, the PSP remake will do squat. No one knows who she is, no one will confuse her with anyone except maybe the Valkyrie from Gauntlet Legends (who, by the way, I would take to beat Lenneth in a match). And no, I don't know anything about her, so nyah. =p

Notable Releases Since Last Appearance

Rikku: Kingdom Hearts 2 (PS2)

Lenneth Valkyrie: Valkyrie Profile (PS), Valkyrie Profile (PSP)

Upcoming Releases

Rikku: N/A
Lenneth Valkyrie: Valkyrie Profile: Silmeria (PS2)?

Yeah, the only thing hard about this match is gauging how fodderific Lenneth will be, and then putting it up against Rikku. Um...geez. I dunno, Rikku seems to get some hate, which might stop her a bit, but on the flip side...well, it should be well above what Samus got on Nidoran F.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Rikku. See Ada/Jade.

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Rikku with 86.34%.

This *looks* crazy, but if Ada can get 75% on Jade...

Upset Potential: 0%

Wow, I have no respect for Lenneth, it seems. Come get me, fanboys.



Guest’s Analysis - Redtooth

This is my first (and hopefully not final) foray into the world of B8 contest analysis. For this initiation of sorts, my match to predict is pretty easy. That also means kind of dry, but that’s probably more my fault anyways =P. So on one side, we have Rikku, who jumped into the last contest and really impressed. On the other, we have a complete unknown, Lenneth Valkyrie. As with most of the matches in the female sections, percentages and even results are bound to fluctuate enormously.

Rikku so far has only had one match, against Ryu. Putting up high percentages there shows the potential that Rikku has. Although x-stats are seemingly laughed it, she’d still place higher then Yuna according to them. Seeing the competition, this puts Rikku at the top of the field. She’d be able to put up good numbers against pretty much any girl in the contest. We won’t really know until we see how she does against Samus though. It could show the fight with Ryu was a fluke or her actual power.

Then we see Lenneth Valkyrie. Her first contest appearance placed into a very unsure match. Not of the result, but of the percentage. A quick look through the Oracle shows a spread from 59.23% to 88.39% as to predictions, most falling between 63% and 80%. Now, regardless of how strong Rikku happens to be, which is still unsure, no one really knows how strong LV might be. The difficulty of getting a copy and a non-casual game might put her below the fodder line? Maybe the fact that she looks cool, is cult and a cool character might throw her into a respectable level?
Master Moltar | Posted 9/13/2006 8:16:11 PM | message detail
Regardless the match is completely without debate, with no one I’ve seen yet to side with Lenneth. The whole match is frustrating too, as it’ll be hard to understand for a long while. Barring an upset and a 90/10 match, it seems this early fight won’t be giving much input for either character.

And who am I kidding anyways, 90% of voters will probably: vote Rikku because they get excited by her looks or vote Lenneth because she looks cool and has a sword. Since you can logically follow that kids play game, gamefaqs is about games, so perverts and murderers flock gamefaqs for the innocent kids, and inadvertently vote. And everyone knows there are more perverts on the internet then murderers. Thus Rikku wins easy. The only swing votes are those perverted murderers, who’ll probably vote green this year anyways.

Prediction: Rikku with 62.00%



Summary: Crew predicting Lenneth will be crushed by Rikku. Guest says Lenneth does too well. Hmm....
PiGuy96 | Posted 9/13/2006 8:16:41 PM | message detail
Hmph. Lenneth is the best female in the bracket. If she's the weakest character, I will be very sad.
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Mustache...and green...
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/13/2006 8:17:01 PM | message detail


i'm not so sure that Rikku is drastically stronger than Ada. i would definitely take Rikku over Ada, but keep in mind that Rikku is ranked a little below Leon in last year's x-stats. so, if Ada is anywhere near Leon, she may not be THAT far below Rikku. AND i would definitely take Lenneth over Jade, so i am expecting a result very similar to today's match.


I don't understand how you can believe that and still take Rikku > Claire with confidence.

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Explicit Content
Philadelphia's Path to Cheer Up Emo Kids (1-0) - Next week vs. New York Giants.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/13/2006 8:17:33 PM | message detail
Guest Analysis huh? How does one get involved in one of those? An analysis for Zero/Luigi might be in order.

-Hiko
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 9/13/2006 8:20:35 PM | message detail
Yeah, I didn't count Crono/CT/SMRPG...

Probably shouldn't count...

- A Link to the Past over Final Fantasy VI
- Kirby over Cecil
- Super Mario Bros. 3 over Final Fantasy

...either then. Unless I'm missing something.
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 8:21:03 PM | message detail
After RE4, I'd take Ada over Claire, or at least a very close match.


TuRtLe
~~~
Character Battle V score: 1/1 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2006 8:22:11 PM | message detail
From HeroicTronBonne Posted 9/13/2006 8:17:33 PM
Guest Analysis huh? How does one get involved in one of those? An analysis for Zero/Luigi might be in order.

-Hiko


Moltar had signups, and neglected to tell important people like me about it.

Although he just had signups for the first round (which filled up pretty quick), meaning that if you're nice to him, he'll let you guest write a later match.


TuRtLe
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Character Battle V score: 1/1 | Check out my contest analysis:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/13/2006 8:25:15 PM | message detail
Jesus Christ... people are SERIOUSLY overrating Ada's appearance in RE4. It's not as if Leon is some contest ****ing juggernaut, he has done everything she has done, but been 20 times more prominent and well liked. Jade is just a weak piece that no one knows...

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Explicit Content
Philadelphia's Path to Cheer Up Emo Kids (1-0) - Next week vs. New York Giants.
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/13/2006 8:25:36 PM | message detail
I think it makes perfect sense to count the Final Fantasy series before VII toward Square.

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...Z1mZum owned my B1mBum in the Guru Contest...
Redtooth | Posted 9/13/2006 8:25:43 PM | message detail
Guest Analysis huh? How does one get involved in one of those? An analysis for Zero/Luigi might be in order.

Well, it's a pretty important ritual. It all begins with the sacrifice of 100 bulls. Everything after that is kept secret at pain of death.

So get herding, you'll find out the rest soon enough...

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
HaRRicH | Posted 9/13/2006 8:55:45 PM | message detail
Ada with 78.12%.
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Z1mZum performed a hit and run on me in the Guru Contest.
It still hurts to be rear-ended like that.....
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/13/2006 8:56:35 PM | message detail
Ada with 91%

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Explicit Content
Philadelphia's Path to Cheer Up Emo Kids (1-0) - Next week vs. New York Giants.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/13/2006 8:58:32 PM | message detail
Ada with 69.48%
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Yesmar | Posted 9/13/2006 8:59:56 PM | message detail
Ada with 75%

Oh well, looks like the 100,000 streak ends.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Ada with 75% of the brackets.
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Character Battle V Score - 2/2 points
Current Prediction - Rikku vs. Lenneth Valkyrie
Master Moltar | Posted 9/13/2006 9:00:19 PM | message detail
Rikku 58.33% 14
Lenneth Valkyrie 41.67% 10
TOTAL VOTES 24

Hmm...
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Rikku vs. Lenneth - Bracket: Rikku - Vote: Rikku (2/2)
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/13/2006 9:00:51 PM | message detail
64% SIXTY FOUR PERECENT!?!?

Jesus Christ did I overestimate the intelligence of predictors. Have we ever had such a huge blowout with that low of PP?

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Explicit Content
Philadelphia's Path to Cheer Up Emo Kids (1-0) - Next week vs. New York Giants.
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:00:56 PM | message detail
Only 64% for Ada Wong. Looks like bracket makers had no idea who either lady was.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Master Moltar | Posted 9/13/2006 9:01:04 PM | message detail
Ada with 64.74%....Oh man
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Rikku vs. Lenneth - Bracket: Rikku - Vote: Rikku (2/2)
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/13/2006 9:01:20 PM | message detail
Huzzah! I knew they'd think Jade was from Mortal Kombat!

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Sir Bormun | Posted 9/13/2006 9:01:20 PM | message detail
Two triplings in a row, it looks like. What a boring beginning.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30272411 - Fanfiction based on the 2k6 contest.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/13/2006 9:02:03 PM | message detail
Wow, what a resounding failure on the part of bracketmakers. Ness/CJ is officially redeemed.

And I may have overestimated Rikku/underestimated Lenneth lol =(
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Commit it to memory.
FlamboyantSpy | Posted 9/13/2006 9:02:08 PM | message detail
And Ada/Jade break our 30-something match streak off 100K+ votals. *****es.

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Explicit Content
Philadelphia's Path to Cheer Up Emo Kids (1-0) - Next week vs. New York Giants.
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/13/2006 9:02:09 PM | message detail
Go Rikku!
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caps
Heroic Mario | Posted 9/13/2006 9:02:47 PM | message detail

And I may have overestimated Rikku/underestimated Lenneth lol


Just a smidge.

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...a lone figure shining in the toxic shadows. She comes dressed for war, and her wrath is terrible.
Keno316 | Posted 9/13/2006 9:02:52 PM | message detail
Sigh....Lenneth does not deserve this whooping...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/13/2006 9:03:01 PM | message detail
If Ada ends up decent in the stats we need MK Jade in one of these. <_________<
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Commit it to memory.